Meridian Energy Ltd
NZX:MEL
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one MEL stock under the Base Case scenario is 5.14 NZD. Compared to the current market price of 5.88 NZD, Meridian Energy Ltd is Overvalued by 13%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Meridian Energy Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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Meridian Energy Ltd., a leading renewable energy company based in New Zealand, is on a mission to power a sustainable future. Founded in 1998, the company harnesses the abundant natural resources of wind and water, primarily generating electricity through hydroelectric and wind farms across New Zealand and Australia. With a focus on clean energy, Meridian stands out in the energy sector not just for its commitment to environmental sustainability, but also for its strong growth trajectory. Investors can appreciate Meridian’s resilient business model, bolstered by a steady demand for renewable energy as global economies shift towards greener solutions. The company’s strategic investments in re...
Meridian Energy Ltd., a leading renewable energy company based in New Zealand, is on a mission to power a sustainable future. Founded in 1998, the company harnesses the abundant natural resources of wind and water, primarily generating electricity through hydroelectric and wind farms across New Zealand and Australia. With a focus on clean energy, Meridian stands out in the energy sector not just for its commitment to environmental sustainability, but also for its strong growth trajectory. Investors can appreciate Meridian’s resilient business model, bolstered by a steady demand for renewable energy as global economies shift towards greener solutions. The company’s strategic investments in renewable projects and emphasis on innovation position it well to capitalize on the increasing appetite for clean energy sources, creating a promising outlook for long-term value.
Moreover, Meridian Energy is listed on the New Zealand Stock Exchange and has built a strong reputation for consistent performance and shareholder returns. The company has a robust balance sheet, with low debt levels and a diverse portfolio that mitigates risks associated with traditional energy markets. As governments worldwide implement policies supporting the transition to renewable energy, Meridian is poised to benefit from these favorable trends. Its customer-centric approach, evidenced by outstanding customer service and innovative energy solutions, further solidifies its competitive advantage. For investors looking to align their portfolios with sustainable practices while securing potential growth, Meridian Energy Ltd. offers an appealing opportunity in an increasingly vital sector.
Meridian Energy Ltd. is a New Zealand-based renewable energy company primarily involved in the generation and retailing of electricity. Its core business segments can be outlined as follows:
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Energy Generation:
- This is the most significant segment for Meridian, as it focuses on the generation of electricity from renewable sources, particularly hydropower and wind power. The company operates several hydroelectric power stations across New Zealand's South Island and wind farms in both New Zealand and Australia.
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Retail Electricity:
- Meridian also operates as a retailer in the electricity market, providing electricity to residential and commercial customers. Its retail brand, Powershop, is known for its innovative pricing and customer engagement strategies. The retail segment is essential for customer acquisition and retention, contributing to the company's overall revenue.
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Energy Storage and Management:
- While primarily focused on generation and retail, Meridian is also involved in energy management systems and storage solutions to maximize the efficiency of its renewable energy assets. This includes initiatives to optimize electricity distribution and storage capabilities, which are critical in a renewable-dominated energy landscape.
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Market Development and Investments:
- Meridian actively seeks opportunities for growth, including investments in new renewable energy projects and partnerships. This segment is crucial for expanding its capacity, entering new markets, and leveraging technological advancements in energy generation and management.
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Environmental and Sustainability Initiatives:
- As a renewable energy provider, Meridian is committed to sustainability and environmental stewardship. This segment focuses on corporate social responsibility (CSR) efforts, including reducing carbon footprints and participating in community projects.
These core segments underscore Meridian Energy's commitment to sustainability, its role as a significant player in the renewable energy market, and its strategy to diversify its income streams while meeting the growing demand for clean energy.
Meridian Energy Ltd has several unique competitive advantages that differentiate it from its rivals in the energy sector:
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Renewable Energy Focus: Meridian Energy is primarily focused on renewable energy generation, particularly hydroelectric power and wind energy. This commitment positions the company favorably in an industry increasingly oriented toward sustainability and carbon reduction.
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Strong Hydro Resource Base: The company has significant hydroelectric assets, which provide it with a stable and relatively low-cost source of energy. These resources are less susceptible to price volatility compared to fossil fuels and provide a reliable generation capacity.
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Sustainability Brand: Meridian has cultivated a strong brand that emphasizes sustainability and environmental responsibility. This not only attracts environmentally conscious consumers but also helps foster partnerships with other organizations that prioritize sustainability.
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Diverse Portfolio: In addition to hydro and wind energy, Meridian has been expanding its portfolio to include solar energy and battery storage solutions. This diversification helps mitigate risks associated with reliance on a single energy source.
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Government Support and Regulations: As a significant player in New Zealand's energy market, Meridian is well-positioned to benefit from government initiatives and subsidies promoting renewable energy, which can enhance its growth prospects compared to less sustainable competitors.
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Technological Innovation: Meridian invests in innovative technologies for energy efficiency and management. This research and development focus enhances operational efficiency and positions the company strategically for future advancements in energy management.
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Customer-Centric Approach: By offering tailored solutions and a strong customer service orientation, Meridian has been able to build a loyal customer base, which is essential for maintaining market share in a competitive industry.
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Strong Financial Position: With consistent revenue generation from renewable sources and a robust financial structure, Meridian is well-equipped to invest in new projects and technologies, maintain competitive pricing, and withstand market fluctuations.
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Strategic Partnerships: The company often engages in strategic partnerships for projects, technology sharing, and market expansion, enhancing its competitive edge and innovation capabilities.
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Market Leadership: As one of the largest electricity retailers in New Zealand, Meridian benefits from economies of scale in operations and pricing, which can provide a competitive edge over smaller companies.
These competitive advantages enable Meridian Energy Ltd to maintain a leading position in the renewable energy market while aligning with global trends toward sustainability and energy transition.
Meridian Energy Ltd, as a leading renewable energy company in New Zealand and Australia, faces several risks and challenges that could impact its operations and growth prospects in the near future. Here are some key considerations:
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Regulatory Changes: Changes in government policies regarding renewable energy subsidies, environmental regulations, and emissions targets could impact Meridian's operations and profitability. The energy sector is subject to significant regulatory oversight, and any shifts could affect project feasibility.
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Market Competition: As the trend toward renewable energy accelerates, increased competition from both traditional and new energy companies could pressure margins and market share. Emerging technologies and innovative business models may disrupt the market landscape.
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Climate Change Impacts: While Meridian's business model benefits from renewable energy, climate change itself poses systemic risks such as changing weather patterns and extreme weather events that can affect energy production and the reliability of supply.
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Supply Chain Risks: Global supply chain disruptions, especially in the procurement of technology and materials necessary for wind and hydroelectric projects, could lead to delays and increased costs.
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Technological Advancements: Rapid changes in technology can pose both risks and opportunities. Failing to adapt to new technologies in energy storage, grid management, or generation could leave Meridian at a competitive disadvantage.
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Financing and Investment Risks: Fluctuations in interest rates or investor sentiment towards renewable energy could impact available financing for projects and potentially lead to higher capital costs.
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Public Sentiment and Community Engagement: Projects may face local opposition or public resistance, particularly with respect to environmental impacts or land use. Effective community engagement is crucial for development success.
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Cybersecurity Risks: As the energy sector increasingly relies on digital technologies and smart grids, Meridian may face heightened risks from cyber attacks that could disrupt operations or compromise data security.
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Economic Conditions: Economic downturns may affect energy demand and investment in infrastructure, impacting revenue growth and profitability. Furthermore, inflation may increase operational costs.
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Transition Risks: As the global economy shifts towards sustainability, companies that do not keep pace with environmental, social, and governance (ESG) criteria may face reputational risks or decreased access to capital.
Navigating these risks effectively requires strategic foresight, investment in resiliency, and continued innovation in both technology and business practices.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Meridian Energy Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Meridian Energy Ltd
Current Assets | 1.1B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 221m |
Receivables | 548m |
Other Current Assets | 282m |
Non-Current Assets | 12.5B |
PP&E | 12.2B |
Intangibles | 62m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 238m |
Current Liabilities | 1B |
Accounts Payable | 565m |
Accrued Liabilities | 21m |
Other Current Liabilities | 418m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 4.3B |
Long-Term Debt | 1.1B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 3.2B |
Earnings Waterfall
Meridian Energy Ltd
Revenue
|
4.9B
NZD
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-3.8B
NZD
|
Gross Profit
|
1B
NZD
|
Operating Expenses
|
-366m
NZD
|
Operating Income
|
673m
NZD
|
Other Expenses
|
-244m
NZD
|
Net Income
|
429m
NZD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Meridian Energy Ltd
NZD | |
Free Cash Flow | NZD |
MEL Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Meridian Energy Ltd's profitability score is 51/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Meridian Energy Ltd's profitability score is 51/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
MEL Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Meridian Energy Ltd's solvency score is 43/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Meridian Energy Ltd's solvency score is 43/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
MEL Price Targets Summary
Meridian Energy Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MEL is 6.81 NZD with a low forecast of 6.2 NZD and a high forecast of 7.67 NZD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for MEL is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Meridian Energy Ltd. engages in the generation and distribution of electricity from renewable resources. The firm is engaged in the business of generation, trading and retailing of electricity, and the sale of complementary products and services. The firm operates through three segments: Wholesale, Retail and International. The Wholesale segment includes activity associated with its New Zealand generation of electricity and its sale into the wholesale electricity market; purchase of electricity, and development of renewable electricity generation opportunities. The Retail segment includes activity associated with retailing of electricity and complementary products through its two brands: Meridian and Powershop in New Zealand. The International segment includes activity associated with its generation of electricity and sale into the wholesale electricity market and licensing of the Powershop platform in the United Kingdom. The firm supplies electricity to power homes, businesses and farms.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one MEL stock under the Base Case scenario is 5.14 NZD.
Compared to the current market price of 5.88 NZD, Meridian Energy Ltd is Overvalued by 13%.