Fonterra Co-Operative Group Ltd
NZX:FCG

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Fonterra Co-Operative Group Ltd
NZX:FCG
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Price: 4.23 NZD Market Closed
Market Cap: 6.8B NZD
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Relative Value

The Relative Value of one FCG stock under the Base Case scenario is 6.59 NZD. Compared to the current market price of 4.23 NZD, Fonterra Co-Operative Group Ltd is Undervalued by 36%.

Relative Value is the estimated value of a stock based on various valuation multiples like P/E and EV/EBIT ratios. It offers a quick snapshot of a stock's valuation in relation to its peers and historical norms.

FCG Relative Value
Base Case
6.59 NZD
Undervaluation 36%
Relative Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Multiples

vs History
14
vs Industry
86
Median 3Y
0.2
Median 5Y
0.2
Industry
1
vs History
53
vs Industry
67
Median 3Y
6.1
Median 5Y
6.4
Industry
16.8
vs History
65
vs Industry
67
Median 3Y
2.5
Median 5Y
3.6
Industry
9.9
vs History
11
vs Industry
45
Median 3Y
4.2
Median 5Y
-7.2
Industry
17.2
vs History
28
vs Industry
78
Median 3Y
0.6
Median 5Y
0.7
Industry
1.5
vs History
63
vs Industry
80
Median 3Y
0.3
Median 5Y
0.4
Industry
1.1
vs History
68
vs Industry
73
Median 3Y
2.3
Median 5Y
3
Industry
4.8
vs History
71
vs Industry
68
Median 3Y
4.1
Median 5Y
5.6
Industry
10.6
vs History
74
vs Industry
65
Median 3Y
5.9
Median 5Y
9.4
Industry
13.7
vs History
65
vs Industry
65
Median 3Y
3.3
Median 5Y
6.6
Industry
11.2
vs History
65
vs Industry
52
Median 3Y
4.5
Median 5Y
9.5
Industry
15.5
vs History
33
vs Industry
72
Median 3Y
0.6
Median 5Y
0.6
Industry
1.1

Multiples Across Competitors

FCG Competitors Multiples
Fonterra Co-Operative Group Ltd Competitors

All Multiples
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
All Countries
Close
Market Cap P/S P/E EV/EBITDA EV/EBIT
NZ
Fonterra Co-Operative Group Ltd
NZX:FCG
6.8B NZD 0.3 6 4 5.6
JP
Goyo Foods Industry Co Ltd
TSE:2230
53.2T JPY 23 895.9 540 752.8 186 542.5 318 284.3
CH
Nestle SA
SIX:NESN
191.2B CHF 2.1 17.1 12.4 15.1
US
Mondelez International Inc
NASDAQ:MDLZ
80B USD 2.2 21 12.9 15.5
ZA
Tiger Brands Ltd
JSE:TBS
45.5B Zac 0 0 0 0
FR
Danone SA
PAR:BN
41.1B EUR 1.5 41.1 9.4 13.7
US
Kraft Heinz Co
NASDAQ:KHC
36.9B USD 1.4 27 8.7 10.3
ZA
Avi Ltd
JSE:AVI
35.9B Zac 0 0 0 0
CN
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Co Ltd
SSE:603288
258.6B CNY 10 43.2 37.1 37.1
US
General Mills Inc
NYSE:GIS
35.2B USD 1.8 13.5 10.7 12.3
US
Hershey Co
NYSE:HSY
34.4B USD 3.1 19.4 12.8 15.1
P/E Multiple
Earnings Growth P/E to Growth
NZ
Fonterra Co-Operative Group Ltd
NZX:FCG
Average P/E: 60 104.6
6
N/A N/A
JP
G
Goyo Foods Industry Co Ltd
TSE:2230
540 752.8
N/A N/A
CH
Nestle SA
SIX:NESN
17.1
18%
1
US
Mondelez International Inc
NASDAQ:MDLZ
21
5%
4.1
ZA
T
Tiger Brands Ltd
JSE:TBS
Not Available
50%
N/A
FR
Danone SA
PAR:BN
41.1
211%
0.2
US
Kraft Heinz Co
NASDAQ:KHC
27
38%
0.7
ZA
A
Avi Ltd
JSE:AVI
Not Available
29%
N/A
CN
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Co Ltd
SSE:603288
43.2
40%
1.1
US
General Mills Inc
NYSE:GIS
13.5
12%
1.1
US
Hershey Co
NYSE:HSY
19.4
-2%
N/A
EV/EBITDA Multiple
EBITDA Growth EV/EBITDA to Growth
NZ
Fonterra Co-Operative Group Ltd
NZX:FCG
Average EV/EBITDA: 20 738.9
4
N/A N/A
JP
G
Goyo Foods Industry Co Ltd
TSE:2230
186 542.5
N/A N/A
CH
Nestle SA
SIX:NESN
12.4
5%
2.3
US
Mondelez International Inc
NASDAQ:MDLZ
12.9
19%
0.7
ZA
T
Tiger Brands Ltd
JSE:TBS
Not Available
74%
N/A
FR
Danone SA
PAR:BN
9.4
4%
2.5
US
Kraft Heinz Co
NASDAQ:KHC
8.7
6%
1.4
ZA
A
Avi Ltd
JSE:AVI
Not Available
24%
N/A
CN
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Co Ltd
SSE:603288
37.1
65%
0.6
US
General Mills Inc
NYSE:GIS
10.7
3%
3.6
US
Hershey Co
NYSE:HSY
12.8
0%
N/A
EV/EBIT Multiple
EBIT Growth EV/EBIT to Growth
NZ
Fonterra Co-Operative Group Ltd
NZX:FCG
Average EV/EBIT: 35 378.8
5.6
N/A N/A
JP
G
Goyo Foods Industry Co Ltd
TSE:2230
318 284.3
N/A N/A
CH
Nestle SA
SIX:NESN
15.1
3%
4.5
US
Mondelez International Inc
NASDAQ:MDLZ
15.5
19%
0.8
ZA
T
Tiger Brands Ltd
JSE:TBS
Not Available
39%
N/A
FR
Danone SA
PAR:BN
13.7
17%
0.8
US
Kraft Heinz Co
NASDAQ:KHC
10.3
6%
1.7
ZA
A
Avi Ltd
JSE:AVI
Not Available
24%
N/A
CN
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Co Ltd
SSE:603288
37.1
45%
0.8
US
General Mills Inc
NYSE:GIS
12.3
2%
6.7
US
Hershey Co
NYSE:HSY
15.1
-2%
N/A

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