Air New Zealand Ltd
NZX:AIR
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one AIR stock under the Base Case scenario is 0.872 NZD. Compared to the current market price of 0.535 NZD, Air New Zealand Ltd is Undervalued by 39%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Air New Zealand Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Air New Zealand Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Air New Zealand Ltd
Current Assets | 2.4B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.3B |
Receivables | 892m |
Other Current Assets | 269m |
Non-Current Assets | 6.1B |
Long-Term Investments | 205m |
PP&E | 5.1B |
Intangibles | 188m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 587m |
Current Liabilities | 3.6B |
Accounts Payable | 849m |
Other Current Liabilities | 2.8B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 2.9B |
Long-Term Debt | 2.3B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 611m |
Earnings Waterfall
Air New Zealand Ltd
Revenue
|
6.8B
NZD
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-3.4B
NZD
|
Gross Profit
|
3.4B
NZD
|
Operating Expenses
|
-3.1B
NZD
|
Operating Income
|
228m
NZD
|
Other Expenses
|
-82m
NZD
|
Net Income
|
146m
NZD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Air New Zealand Ltd
NZD | |
Free Cash Flow | NZD |
Since pre-COVID, the company's yield increased by 25-35%. However, due to growing competition, further significant yield improvements seem unlikely. As for costs, 2024 is projected to exhibit a more moderate operating environment with additional pressures such as increased aeronautical charges and wage inflation. The EBITDA margin remains a key focus for assessing the business's health. For the first half of the year, yields are expected to be relatively firm while costs grow. Unit costs excluding fuel are anticipated to rise between 5% and 6%, with the company seeking productivity improvements to mitigate some increases. Net debt-to-EBITDA is expected to return to the midpoint of the targeted range within the next 18-24 months.
What is Earnings Call?
AIR Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Air New Zealand Ltd's profitability score is 49/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Air New Zealand Ltd's profitability score is 49/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
AIR Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Air New Zealand Ltd's solvency score is 28/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Air New Zealand Ltd's solvency score is 28/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
AIR Price Targets Summary
Air New Zealand Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AIR is 0.579 NZD with a low forecast of 0.485 NZD and a high forecast of 0.725 NZD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for AIR is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Air New Zealand Ltd. engages in the transportation of passengers and cargo on an integrated network of scheduled airline services. The Company, through its subsidiaries, is also engaged in aviation, aircraft leasing and financing, investment, and engineering services. The company is engaged in the operation of domestic and international passenger transport and cargo. Its operational fleet includes Boeing 777-300ER, Boeing 777-200ER, Boeing 787-9 Dreamliner, Boeing 767-300ER, Airbus A320-200, ATR 72-500/72-600, Bombardier Q300 and Beech 1900D. The firm offers check in and immigration services; baggage services, such as cabin baggage and excess baggage; on board flight services, and special assistant services for disable and pregnant people, and children, among others. The firm's short haul operations are represented in New Zealand, Australia and Pacific Islands, and its long haul operations are represented in Asia, North America and Europe.
Contact
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Employees
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The intrinsic value of one AIR stock under the Base Case scenario is 0.872 NZD.
Compared to the current market price of 0.535 NZD, Air New Zealand Ltd is Undervalued by 39%.