XPO Logistics Inc
NYSE:XPO

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XPO Logistics Inc Logo
XPO Logistics Inc
NYSE:XPO
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Price: 148.97 USD -0.48% Market Closed
Market Cap: 17.3B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one XPO stock under the Base Case scenario is 117.63 USD. Compared to the current market price of 148.97 USD, XPO Logistics Inc is Overvalued by 21%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

XPO Intrinsic Value
117.63 USD
Overvaluation 21%
Intrinsic Value
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Base Case
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XPO Logistics Inc

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

Economic Moat
XPO Logistics Inc

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Business Breakdown

XPO Logistics Inc. has emerged as a crucial player in the global logistics landscape, providing innovative supply chain solutions designed to meet the ever-evolving demands of modern commerce. Founded in 1989, the company has rapidly expanded its reach and capabilities through strategic acquisitions and organic growth. With a robust portfolio that includes transportation, last-mile delivery, and contract logistics, XPO is well-positioned to serve diverse industries ranging from e-commerce and automotive to healthcare and food services. By leveraging advanced technologies, such as machine learning and automated systems, the company enhances operational efficiency and offers its clients compet...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
XPO Logistics Inc

Current Assets 1.7B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 378m
Receivables 1.1B
Other Current Assets 212m
Non-Current Assets 6.3B
PP&E 4.1B
Intangibles 1.9B
Other Non-Current Assets 265m
Current Liabilities 1.6B
Accounts Payable 445m
Accrued Liabilities 939m
Other Current Liabilities 179m
Non-Current Liabilities 4.7B
Long-Term Debt 3.3B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 1.4B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
XPO Logistics Inc

Revenue
8.1B USD
Cost of Revenue
-3.3B USD
Gross Profit
4.8B USD
Operating Expenses
-4B USD
Operating Income
708m USD
Other Expenses
-338m USD
Net Income
370m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
XPO Logistics Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In the third quarter, the company reported a 4% increase in revenue to $2.1 billion, aided by a 20% rise in adjusted EBITDA to $333 million. Key drivers included a 6.7% increase in yield and a 200 basis point improvement in operating ratio, reaching 84.2%. Costs were significantly controlled, notably achieving a 40% reduction in outsourced transportation expenses. Cash flow from operations totaled $264 million, with a robust liquidity position of $934 million. For 2024, the company aims for a 150 to 250 basis point improvement in operating ratio, expecting favorable pricing trends in a recovering market.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

XPO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

XPO Logistics Inc's profitability score is 58/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
Positive Gross Profit
Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
Exceptional ROE
58/100
Profitability
Score

XPO Logistics Inc's profitability score is 58/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

XPO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

XPO Logistics Inc's solvency score is 44/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Long-Term Solvency
Average Altman Z-Score
Short-Term Solvency
High D/E
44/100
Solvency
Score

XPO Logistics Inc's solvency score is 44/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

XPO Price Targets Summary
XPO Logistics Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast XPO stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for XPO is 150.51 USD with a low forecast of 85.85 USD and a high forecast of 187.95 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
85.85 USD
42% Downside
Average
Price Target
150.51 USD
1% Upside
Highest
Price Target
187.95 USD
26% Upside
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Dividends

XPO Logistics Inc
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for XPO is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
No dividends
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Ownership

XPO Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

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Profile

XPO Logistics Inc Logo
XPO Logistics Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Road & Rail

Market Cap

17.3B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

XPO Logistics, Inc. engages in the provision of freight transportation services. The company is headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut and currently employs 42,000 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2004-05-12. The firm uses its technology, including the XPO Connect automated freight marketplace, to move goods through its customers’ supply chains, primarily by providing less-than-truckload (LTL) and truck brokerage services. The firm has two reportable segments: North American LTL, and Brokerage and Other Services. The North American LTL segment provides its customers with geographic density and day-definite regional, inter-regional and transcontinental LTL freight services. Its services include cross-border United States service to and from Mexico and Canada, as well as intra-Canada service. The Brokerage and Other Services segment includes last mile logistics for heavy goods sold through e-commerce, omnichannel retail and direct-to-consumer channels. The company also includes non-core brokered freight transportation modes, as well as its European transportation offerings.

Contact

CONNECTICUT
Greenwich
Five American Lane
+18559766951.0
www.xpo.com

IPO

2004-05-12

Employees

42 000

Officers

Executive Chairman
Mr. Bradley S. Jacobs
CEO & Director
Mr. Mario A. Harik
Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Kyle Wismans
Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Dave Bates
Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary
Ms. Wendy Cassity
Chief Accounting Officer
Mr. Christopher Brown
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Chief Information Officer
Mr. Jay Silberkleit
Chief Communications Officer
Mr. Michael Abrahams
Senior Vice President of Sales
Mr. Anthony Hoereth
Chief Human Resources Officer
Ms. Carolyn Roach
Show Less

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one XPO stock?

The intrinsic value of one XPO stock under the Base Case scenario is 117.63 USD.

Is XPO stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 148.97 USD, XPO Logistics Inc is Overvalued by 21%.

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