Weyerhaeuser Co
NYSE:WY
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one WY stock under the Base Case scenario is 24.71 USD. Compared to the current market price of 31.74 USD, Weyerhaeuser Co is Overvalued by 22%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Weyerhaeuser Co
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Fundamental Analysis
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Weyerhaeuser Co., founded in 1900, is one of the largest private owners of timberlands in the United States, managing approximately 12 million acres of forests across the country. The company's core operations involve the sustainable harvesting of timber, which is then processed into a variety of forest products, including lumber, oriented strand board, and engineered wood products. With a commitment to environmental stewardship, Weyerhaeuser practices sustainable forestry, ensuring that their operations not only meet current demand but also preserve ecological balance and biodiversity for future generations. This dual focus on economic performance and environmental responsibility positions...
Weyerhaeuser Co., founded in 1900, is one of the largest private owners of timberlands in the United States, managing approximately 12 million acres of forests across the country. The company's core operations involve the sustainable harvesting of timber, which is then processed into a variety of forest products, including lumber, oriented strand board, and engineered wood products. With a commitment to environmental stewardship, Weyerhaeuser practices sustainable forestry, ensuring that their operations not only meet current demand but also preserve ecological balance and biodiversity for future generations. This dual focus on economic performance and environmental responsibility positions Weyerhaeuser as a leader in the forestry industry, appealing to socially conscious investors seeking long-term growth.
In recent years, the demand for building materials has surged, driven by a recovering housing market and increased construction activity, positioning Weyerhaeuser to benefit from expanding profit margins. The company's strategy emphasizes operational efficiency, cost management, and innovation, resulting in improved profitability and robust cash flow generation. Additionally, Weyerhaeuser’s dividend history is noteworthy, with a commitment to returning value to shareholders through consistent dividend payments. With strong fundamentals, a commitment to sustainability, and a favorable market outlook, Weyerhaeuser Co. represents a compelling investment opportunity for those looking to capitalize on the growing demand for timber and wood products while supporting environmentally responsible practices.
Weyerhaeuser Company, one of the largest timber, land, and forest products companies in the world, operates primarily through three core business segments:
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Timberland:
- This segment involves the company's ownership and management of timberlands. Weyerhaeuser owns a significant amount of forested land in the United States and Canada, which is managed sustainably to produce timber for various end markets. The company generates revenue by leasing these lands to timber producers and selling raw timber directly.
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Wood Products:
- The Wood Products segment includes the manufacturing and distribution of a wide range of wood products such as plywood, oriented strand board (OSB), structural lumber, and engineered wood products. These products are used in residential and commercial construction, and the segment focuses on innovation and quality to meet customer demands.
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Real Estate, Energy and Natural Resources:
- This segment encompasses the development of real estate on the company's surplus land, including residential and commercial developments. It also includes activities related to natural resource extraction, such as mineral rights and energy production from renewable sources.
Weyerhaeuser's commitment to sustainability and responsible forest management is evident across all segments, aligning with the increasing consumer demand for environmentally responsible practices. The company's diverse product offerings and land management strategies position it as a key player in the forest products industry.
Weyerhaeuser Co., one of the largest private owners of timberlands in the U.S. and a significant player in the forest products industry, possesses several unique competitive advantages over its rivals:
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Extensive Timberland Ownership: Weyerhaeuser has a vast portfolio of timberlands across North America. This significant landholding provides a steady and sustainable supply of raw materials, which is crucial for their operations and helps insulate them from fluctuations in wood prices.
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Vertical Integration: The company operates across multiple segments of the forestry supply chain, including timberland management, wood products manufacturing, and real estate development. This vertical integration enables better control over costs, quality, and production efficiency.
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Innovation in Sustainable Practices: Weyerhaeuser prioritizes sustainability in its business practices. It is known for its commitment to responsible forestry, which enhances its brand reputation and appeal to environmentally conscious consumers and investors. This focus on sustainability can also lead to cost savings and operational efficiencies in the long term.
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Strong Research and Development: The company invests in R&D to improve forest management practices and product development. Innovations in products and processes can lead to increased efficiency, higher-quality outputs, and a stronger competitive position.
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Market Leadership and Brand Recognition: Weyerhaeuser's long-standing presence in the market has established it as a trusted name in the forestry industry, which can lead to long-term relationships with customers and partners. This brand equity can be a significant advantage in competitive negotiations.
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Diversified Product Offerings: The company produces a wide range of products, from lumber and engineered wood products to cellulose fibers. This diversification allows Weyerhaeuser to cater to different market segments and reduce its dependency on any single product line.
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Operational Efficiency and Scale: Weyerhaeuser benefits from economies of scale, allowing it to operate more efficiently than smaller competitors. Its size helps in negotiating better rates for raw materials and logistics, as well as in spreading fixed costs over a larger production volume.
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Strong Financial Position: Weyerhaeuser typically maintains a solid balance sheet, with reliable cash flows from its timberland operations. This financial stability allows the company to invest in new opportunities, weather downturns, and pursue strategic acquisitions if needed.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, Weyerhaeuser Co. can maintain its market leadership and navigate challenges more effectively compared to its rivals in the industry.
Weyerhaeuser Company, a leading timberland and forest products company, faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Market Volatility: The construction and housing markets affect demand for Weyerhaeuser's products like lumber and wood panels. Economic fluctuations can lead to sudden drops in demand.
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Environmental Regulations: Increasing regulations related to forestry practices, emissions, and sustainability can create compliance challenges and potentially increase operational costs.
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Climate Change: Changes in climate patterns can affect timber yields and the health of forests, leading to supply chain disruptions. Severe weather events can also damage facilities or forest reserves.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chains have been affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, and further disruptions could impact the availability of raw materials and transportation costs.
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Labor Shortages: The logging and manufacturing sectors may face labor shortages, impacting production capabilities and increasing wage costs.
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Competition: The industry is competitive, with other companies seeking to capture market share. Innovations and market changes from competitors can affect pricing power.
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Technological Changes: Advancements in substitute materials (like composites) may decrease demand for traditional wood products.
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Interest Rate Fluctuations: As interest rates rise, borrowing costs increase, which can impact investment in new projects and affect housing market affordability.
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Foreign Exchange Risks: As a company operating in international markets, fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates could impact profitability.
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Public Perception and Activism: Growing consumer awareness regarding sustainable practices can put pressure on Weyerhaeuser to enhance its environmental stewardship, which may involve significant investments.
Addressing these risks will require strategic planning and proactive management to maintain competitive positioning and financial performance.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Weyerhaeuser Co
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Weyerhaeuser Co
Current Assets | 2B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 877m |
Receivables | 383m |
Other Current Assets | 734m |
Non-Current Assets | 14.7B |
PP&E | 14.3B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 417m |
Current Liabilities | 992m |
Accounts Payable | 275m |
Accrued Liabilities | 330m |
Other Current Liabilities | 387m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 5.7B |
Long-Term Debt | 4.9B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 885m |
Earnings Waterfall
Weyerhaeuser Co
Revenue
|
7.2B
USD
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-5.8B
USD
|
Gross Profit
|
1.4B
USD
|
Operating Expenses
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-589m
USD
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Operating Income
|
762m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-228m
USD
|
Net Income
|
534m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Weyerhaeuser Co
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q3, Weyerhaeuser reported $28 million in GAAP earnings with net sales of $1.7 billion, down from previous highs due to tough market conditions. Timberlands saw $57 million in earnings, impacted by lower log pricing. They expect earnings in Q4 to match Q3 numbers as log markets stabilize. The company is on track to reach $1 billion in timberland acquisitions by 2025. Additionally, they raised their full-year 2024 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $340 million, driven by solid real estate demand. Weyerhaeuser remains optimistic for 2025, anticipating improved housing market dynamics and recovery in lumber prices.
What is Earnings Call?
WY Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Weyerhaeuser Co's profitability score is 51/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Weyerhaeuser Co's profitability score is 51/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
WY Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Weyerhaeuser Co's solvency score is 47/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Weyerhaeuser Co's solvency score is 47/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
WY Price Targets Summary
Weyerhaeuser Co
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for WY is 37.63 USD with a low forecast of 34.34 USD and a high forecast of 40.95 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for WY is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Weyerhaeuser Co. engages in the manufacture, distribution and sale of forest products. The company is headquartered in Seattle, Washington and currently employs 9,214 full-time employees. The firm owns or controls approximately 10.6 million acres of timberlands in the United States and manages an additional 14.1 million acres of timberlands under long-term licenses in Canada. The firm's segments include Timberlands; Real Estate, Energy and Natural Resources (Real Estate & ENR), and Wood Products. The Timberlands segment offers logs, timber, recreational leases, and other products. The Real Estate & ENR segment includes sales of timberlands; rights to explore for and extract hard minerals, construction materials, natural gas production, wind and solar. The Wood Products segment consists of structural lumber, oriented strand board, engineered wood products and building materials distribution. The firm also transfers raw materials, semi-finished materials, and end products among its business segments. The company operates approximately 35 manufacturing facilities in the United States and Canada.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one WY stock under the Base Case scenario is 24.71 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 31.74 USD, Weyerhaeuser Co is Overvalued by 22%.