WDS Intrinsic Valuation and Fundamental Analysis - Woodside Energy Group Ltd - Alpha Spread

Woodside Energy Group Ltd
NYSE:WDS

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Woodside Energy Group Ltd
NYSE:WDS
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Price: 15.89 USD -8.63% Market Closed
Market Cap: 30.2B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one WDS stock under the Base Case scenario is 23 USD. Compared to the current market price of 15.89 USD, Woodside Energy Group Ltd is Undervalued by 31%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

WDS Intrinsic Value
23 USD
Undervaluation 31%
Intrinsic Value
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Woodside Energy Group Ltd

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

Woodside Energy Group Ltd. is an Australian oil and gas exploration and production company that has become a cornerstone of the energy sector, particularly in the Asia-Pacific region. Established in the early 1950s, Woodside transformed from a small domestic operator into a global player through strategic investments and innovations in energy technologies. The company is best known for its flagship assets in natural gas, including the North West Shelf project and the Pluto LNG project, both of which enable Woodside to supply liquefied natural gas (LNG) to major markets across Asia, particularly in Japan, China, and South Korea. As the world shifts towards cleaner energy sources, Woodside is...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Woodside Energy Group Ltd

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Woodside Energy Group Ltd

Current Assets 5.1B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 1.9B
Receivables 1.6B
Other Current Assets 1.5B
Non-Current Assets 50.2B
Long-Term Investments 369m
PP&E 42.7B
Intangibles 4B
Other Non-Current Assets 3.2B
Current Liabilities 5B
Accounts Payable 1.7B
Other Current Liabilities 3.3B
Non-Current Liabilities 16B
Long-Term Debt 6.2B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 9.8B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Woodside Energy Group Ltd

Revenue
14B USD
Cost of Revenue
-7.5B USD
Gross Profit
6.5B USD
Operating Expenses
-1.2B USD
Operating Income
5.3B USD
Other Expenses
-3.6B USD
Net Income
1.7B USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Woodside Energy Group Ltd

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In a half year marked by significant transactions and operational milestones, the company celebrated a successful merger with BHP Petroleum, which contributed to a record net profit after tax of $1.7 billion and record EBITDA of $4.9 billion. Production reached 91.3 million barrels of oil equivalent, while sustaining a high reliability rate of 97.7% at LNG facilities. An interim dividend of $0.80 per share was announced, amounting to a payout of 80% of profits and marking a substantial return of over $6 billion to shareholders post-merger. Strategic initiatives included welcoming LNG Japan into the Scarborough joint venture and finalizing the Trion project's investment decision. Safety remains a priority despite a tragic incident, and significant progress on projects like Mad Dog Phase 2 and Scarborough, along with investments in hydrogen and carbon capture, illustrates a commitment to long-term growth and sustainability.

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Fundamental Scores

WDS Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Woodside Energy Group Ltd's profitability score is 59/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive Gross Profit
Positive Operating Income
Positive Net Income
59/100
Profitability
Score

Woodside Energy Group Ltd's profitability score is 59/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

WDS Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Woodside Energy Group Ltd's solvency score is 66/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Interest Coverage
Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
66/100
Solvency
Score

Woodside Energy Group Ltd's solvency score is 66/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

WDS Price Targets Summary
Woodside Energy Group Ltd

Wall Street analysts forecast WDS stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for WDS is 22.28 USD with a low forecast of 17.3 USD and a high forecast of 32.74 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
17.3 USD
9% Upside
Average
Price Target
22.28 USD
40% Upside
Highest
Price Target
32.74 USD
106% Upside
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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for WDS is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
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WDS Price
Woodside Energy Group Ltd

1M 1M
-4%
6M 6M
-19%
1Y 1Y
-35%
3Y 3Y
+30%
5Y 5Y
-8%
10Y 10Y
-34%
Annual Price Range
15.89
52w Low
15.89
52w High
24.74
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 10.55%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 37.94%
Max Drawdown -64%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 30.2B USD
Shares Outstanding 1 898 749 952
Percentage of Shares Shorted
N/A

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Woodside Energy Group Ltd Logo
Woodside Energy Group Ltd

Country

Australia

Industry

Energy

Market Cap

30.2B USD

Dividend Yield

8.12%

Description

Woodside Energy Group Ltd is a AU-based company operating in Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. The company is headquartered in Perth, Western Australia and currently employs 3,684 full-time employees. Woodside Energy Group Ltd, formerly Woodside Petroleum Ltd., is an Australia-based global energy company. The firm's segments include Producing, Development, and Other. Producing segment includes North West Shelf Project, Pluto LNG, Australia Oil and Wheatstone. Development segment includes Scarborough, Sangomar, and Other development segments. North West Shelf Project is engaged in the exploration, evaluation, development, production and sale of liquefied natural gas (LNG), pipeline natural gas, condensate and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) in assigned permit areas. Pluto LNG and Wheatstone exclude LPG compared to North West Shelf Project. Australia Oil is engaged in the exploration, evaluation, development, production, and sale of crude oil in assigned permit areas. Scarborough is engaged in the exploration, evaluation, and development of LNG, pipeline natural gas and condensate in assigned permit areas.

Contact

WESTERN AUSTRALIA
Perth
Mia Yellagonga, 11 Mount Street
+61893484000
www.woodside.com.au

IPO

1971-11-18

Employees

3 684

Officers

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What is the Intrinsic Value of one WDS stock?

The intrinsic value of one WDS stock under the Base Case scenario is 23 USD.

Is WDS stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 15.89 USD, Woodside Energy Group Ltd is Undervalued by 31%.

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