Valero Energy Corp
NYSE:VLO
Utilize notes to systematically review your investment decisions. By reflecting on past outcomes, you can discern effective strategies and identify those that underperformed. This continuous feedback loop enables you to adapt and refine your approach, optimizing for future success.
Each note serves as a learning point, offering insights into your decision-making processes. Over time, you'll accumulate a personalized database of knowledge, enhancing your ability to make informed decisions quickly and effectively.
With a comprehensive record of your investment history at your fingertips, you can compare current opportunities against past experiences. This not only bolsters your confidence but also ensures that each decision is grounded in a well-documented rationale.
Do you really want to delete this note?
This action cannot be undone.
52 Week Range |
118.3752
180.9246
|
Price Target |
|
We'll email you a reminder when the closing price reaches USD.
Choose the stock you wish to monitor with a price alert.
This alert will be permanently deleted.
Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one VLO stock under the Base Case scenario is 184.23 USD. Compared to the current market price of 140.91 USD, Valero Energy Corp is Undervalued by 24%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Valero Energy Corp
Uncover deeper insights with the Valuation Backtest. Learn how current stock valuations stack up against historical averages to gauge true investment potential.
Start backtest now and learn if your stock is truly undervalued or overvalued!
Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.
To access the results of this valuation backtest, please register an account with us. Registration is quick and gives you instant access to insights on 3 stocks per week for free.
The backtest for VLO cannot be conducted due to limitations such as insufficient data or other constraints. Please select a different stock or adjust your settings.
Fundamental Analysis
Select up to 3 indicators:
Select up to 3 indicators:
Months
Months
Months
Months
Select up to 2 periods:
Valero Energy Corporation, a leading global player in the energy sector, has carved a unique niche for itself as the largest independent refining company in the world. Headquartered in San Antonio, Texas, Valero transforms crude oil into a diverse range of high-quality fuels and petrochemical products, with a focus on sustainability and innovation. With a robust portfolio of 15 refineries strategically located across the United States, Canada, and the Caribbean, Valero not only ensures a stable supply of refined products—including gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel—but also positions itself for growth in the renewable energy landscape. The company is actively investing in renewable diesel and ot...
Valero Energy Corporation, a leading global player in the energy sector, has carved a unique niche for itself as the largest independent refining company in the world. Headquartered in San Antonio, Texas, Valero transforms crude oil into a diverse range of high-quality fuels and petrochemical products, with a focus on sustainability and innovation. With a robust portfolio of 15 refineries strategically located across the United States, Canada, and the Caribbean, Valero not only ensures a stable supply of refined products—including gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel—but also positions itself for growth in the renewable energy landscape. The company is actively investing in renewable diesel and other low-carbon technologies, underscoring its commitment to reducing emissions and adapting to the evolving energy market.
What sets Valero apart is its strong operational efficiency and a disciplined approach to capital management. The company has consistently delivered impressive financial results, supported by a robust supply chain and vast logistical infrastructure. Valero also boasts a history of returning value to its shareholders through dividends and share buybacks, making it an attractive option for income-focused investors. As the energy industry undergoes significant transformation amid calls for greener practices, Valero's proactive strategy in diversifying its energy offerings positions it well for the future. For investors looking for a stable investment with potential for growth and dividends, Valero Energy presents an intriguing opportunity in the dynamic energy landscape.
Valero Energy Corporation is a prominent international manufacturer and marketer of transportation fuels and petrochemical products. Its core business segments can be divided into the following:
-
Refining Segment:
- Overview: This is the primary operation of Valero and is focused on converting crude oil into various refined petroleum products. The refineries are strategically located in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom.
- Products: Major outputs include gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and petrochemical feedstocks.
- Market Outlook: The refining sector's profitability is heavily influenced by the crack spread, which is the difference between the price of crude oil and the prices of the refined products.
-
Renewable Diesel and Ethanol Segment:
- Overview: Valero is also engaged in the production of renewable diesel and ethanol. This has become a significant focus, given the global shift towards cleaner energy sources.
- Products: Valero produces renewable diesel from waste fats and oils, alongside the production of fuel ethanol from corn and other biomass sources.
- Regulatory Impact: Government policies supporting lower carbon emissions positively impact this segment, including incentives for renewable fuel production.
-
Marketing and Supply Segment:
- Overview: This segment is responsible for the marketing and distribution of Valero’s refined products. It also manages the logistics and supply chain aspects of its operations.
- Activities: Activities include wholesale marketing, retail sales through its branded and unbranded convenience stores, and the operation of its distribution networks.
- Retail Presence: The company owns and operates several retail brands, such as Valero, Diamond Shamrock, and others.
-
Petrochemicals Segment:
- Overview: Valero produces various petrochemical products, including propylene and other base chemicals, which are crucial for many industrial applications.
- Products: These chemicals serve as building blocks for a wide array of products, contributing to Valero's revenue and diversification.
Valero’s strategy typically focuses on optimizing its refining operations and expanding its renewable energy production capabilities, positioning the company effectively in a transitioning energy market. The integration of these segments provides Valero with robust revenue streams while allowing for risk management across different market dynamics.
Valero Energy Corp possesses several competitive advantages that position it favorably against its rivals in the energy sector:
-
Diversified Operations: Valero is one of the largest independent refiners in the United States, with a diversified portfolio that includes refining, ethanol production, and renewable diesel. This diversification helps mitigate risks associated with price volatility in different markets.
-
Strategic Locations: Valero's refineries are strategically located near major transportation hubs and markets, enabling efficient distribution of products and reducing logistical costs. This geographic advantage provides better access to both feedstock and customers.
-
Operational Efficiency: Valero is known for its high operational efficiency and industry-leading refining capabilities. The company's investment in state-of-the-art technology allows it to optimize production processes and reduce costs, enhancing profitability.
-
Scale and Size: Being one of the largest refiners gives Valero significant economies of scale. This allows the company to negotiate better prices for crude oil and other inputs, leading to higher margins compared to smaller competitors.
-
Strong Financial Position: Valero has demonstrated strong financial management, including maintaining a healthy balance sheet and generating robust cash flow. This financial strength provides flexibility for capital investments, distribution to shareholders, and the ability to weather market downturns.
-
Sustainability Initiatives: Valero has been proactive in its investments in renewable energy and sustainability initiatives, including biofuels and renewable diesel projects. These initiatives position the company well in a market increasingly focused on environmental concerns.
-
Robust Supply Chain: Valero's well-established supply chain and strong relationships with suppliers help ensure a consistent supply of crude oil and other necessary inputs, which is crucial for maintaining production continuity.
-
Experienced Management Team: Valero’s leadership team brings extensive experience in the energy sector, giving the company insight into market trends and operational best practices that can drive long-term success.
-
Strong Brand Reputation: Valero has built a strong brand reputation for quality and reliability. This brand strength enhances customer loyalty and can provide a competitive edge in securing contracts and maintaining market share.
-
Adaptability: Valero has shown an ability to adapt to changing market conditions, whether through shifts in consumer preferences, regulatory changes, or technological advancements. This adaptability enables the company to better navigate industry challenges compared to less agile competitors.
These competitive advantages collectively enable Valero Energy Corp to maintain its market position and pursue growth opportunities more effectively than many of its rivals in the energy industry.
Valero Energy Corp, like any major player in the oil and gas industry, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key areas to consider:
-
Volatility of Oil Prices: Fluctuations in crude oil prices can directly impact Valero's profitability. This volatility can be driven by geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, OPEC decisions, and changes in global demand.
-
Regulatory Environment: Increasing regulatory scrutiny regarding environmental practices and emissions can pose challenges. Valero may face stricter regulations that could require costly compliance measures and investments in cleaner technologies.
-
Transition to Renewable Energy: As the global energy landscape shifts towards renewable sources, Valero may encounter pressure to adapt its business model. The rising demand for clean energy could affect its traditional refining operations and necessitate significant investment in alternative energy sources.
-
Market Competition: Intense competition from both traditional oil companies and newer entrants in the renewable energy space may put pressure on Valero’s market share and pricing power.
-
Operational Disruptions: Natural disasters, technical failures, and other operational risks can disrupt production and refining operations. Valero’s facilities must also manage risks associated with aging infrastructure.
-
Supply Chain Challenges: Disruptions in supply chains, whether due to geopolitical tensions, pandemics, or other factors, can impact the availability of raw materials and logistics costs.
-
Debt Levels: Maintaining a manageable debt load is crucial. Rising interest rates could increase the cost of borrowing and strain Valero's financial position if not managed carefully.
-
Technological Changes: The rapid advancement in technology requires continuous investment in innovation and efficiency. Failing to keep up with such changes could make Valero less competitive.
-
Public Sentiment and ESG Factors: Heightening public awareness and investor focus on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) criteria could influence Valero’s operations and investment strategies. A failure to meet these expectations could affect reputation and access to capital.
-
Global Demand Changes: Economic slowdowns, shifts in consumer behavior, and structural changes in energy consumption patterns (especially post-pandemic) could affect petroleum product demand.
In conclusion, while Valero Energy Corp has established a strong position within the energy sector, it must navigate these risks and challenges to sustain growth and profitability in an evolving market landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Valero Energy Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Valero Energy Corp
Current Assets | 24B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 5.2B |
Receivables | 11.1B |
Other Current Assets | 7.7B |
Non-Current Assets | 36.4B |
PP&E | 29.7B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 6.7B |
Current Liabilities | 15.3B |
Accounts Payable | 11.5B |
Accrued Liabilities | 2.5B |
Other Current Liabilities | 1.2B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 19.8B |
Long-Term Debt | 9.8B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 10B |
Earnings Waterfall
Valero Energy Corp
Revenue
|
134.5B
USD
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-128.5B
USD
|
Gross Profit
|
6.1B
USD
|
Operating Expenses
|
-1.1B
USD
|
Operating Income
|
5B
USD
|
Other Expenses
|
-1.3B
USD
|
Net Income
|
3.7B
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Valero Energy Corp
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
Valero Energy reported a net income of $364 million ($1.14 per share) for Q3 2024, a significant decrease from $2.6 billion in Q3 2023. The refining segment generated $565 million in operating income, reflecting ongoing maintenance in a weak margin environment but maintaining a 90% throughput capacity. Renewable diesel sales volumes increased by 552,000 gallons daily, totaling 3.5 million. Looking ahead, refining margins are expected to improve due to low product inventories and increased diesel demand. Valero anticipates $2 billion in capital investments for 2024, with a consistent stockholder return policy, yielding an 84% payout ratio this quarter.
What is Earnings Call?
VLO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Valero Energy Corp's profitability score is 56/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Valero Energy Corp's profitability score is 56/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
VLO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Valero Energy Corp's solvency score is 62/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Valero Energy Corp's solvency score is 62/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
VLO Price Targets Summary
Valero Energy Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for VLO is 156.31 USD with a low forecast of 124.23 USD and a high forecast of 184.8 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for VLO is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
VLO Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
Period | Sold | Bought | Net |
---|---|---|---|
3 Months |
|
|
|
6 Months |
|
|
|
9 Months |
|
|
|
12 Months |
|
|
|
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Valero Energy Corp. engages in the manufacture and marketing of transportation fuels and other petrochemical products. The company is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas and currently employs 9,813 full-time employees. Valero segments include Refining, Renewable Diesel and Ethanol. The Refining segment includes the operations of its petroleum refineries, the associated marketing activities, and logistics assets that support its refining operations. The Renewable Diesel segment sells renewable diesel to the refining segment. The Ethanol segment includes the operations of its ethanol plants, the associated marketing activities, and logistics assets that support its ethanol operations. Valero owns 15 petroleum refineries located in the United States (U.S.), Canada and the United Kingdom (U.K.), and 12 ethanol plants located in the Mid-Continent region of the U.S. The firm is also a joint venture partner in Diamond Green Diesel (DGD), which owns and operates a renewable diesel plant in Norco, Louisiana.
Officers
The intrinsic value of one VLO stock under the Base Case scenario is 184.23 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 140.91 USD, Valero Energy Corp is Undervalued by 24%.