Valero Energy Corp
NYSE:VLO

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Valero Energy Corp Logo
Valero Energy Corp
NYSE:VLO
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Price: 140.91 USD -0.14% Market Closed
Market Cap: 44.6B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one VLO stock under the Base Case scenario is 184.23 USD. Compared to the current market price of 140.91 USD, Valero Energy Corp is Undervalued by 24%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

VLO Intrinsic Value
184.23 USD
Undervaluation 24%
Intrinsic Value
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Valero Energy Corp

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

Valero Energy Corporation, a leading global player in the energy sector, has carved a unique niche for itself as the largest independent refining company in the world. Headquartered in San Antonio, Texas, Valero transforms crude oil into a diverse range of high-quality fuels and petrochemical products, with a focus on sustainability and innovation. With a robust portfolio of 15 refineries strategically located across the United States, Canada, and the Caribbean, Valero not only ensures a stable supply of refined products—including gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel—but also positions itself for growth in the renewable energy landscape. The company is actively investing in renewable diesel and ot...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Valero Energy Corp

Current Assets 24B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 5.2B
Receivables 11.1B
Other Current Assets 7.7B
Non-Current Assets 36.4B
PP&E 29.7B
Other Non-Current Assets 6.7B
Current Liabilities 15.3B
Accounts Payable 11.5B
Accrued Liabilities 2.5B
Other Current Liabilities 1.2B
Non-Current Liabilities 19.8B
Long-Term Debt 9.8B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 10B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Valero Energy Corp

Revenue
134.5B USD
Cost of Revenue
-128.5B USD
Gross Profit
6.1B USD
Operating Expenses
-1.1B USD
Operating Income
5B USD
Other Expenses
-1.3B USD
Net Income
3.7B USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Valero Energy Corp

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

Valero Energy reported a net income of $364 million ($1.14 per share) for Q3 2024, a significant decrease from $2.6 billion in Q3 2023. The refining segment generated $565 million in operating income, reflecting ongoing maintenance in a weak margin environment but maintaining a 90% throughput capacity. Renewable diesel sales volumes increased by 552,000 gallons daily, totaling 3.5 million. Looking ahead, refining margins are expected to improve due to low product inventories and increased diesel demand. Valero anticipates $2 billion in capital investments for 2024, with a consistent stockholder return policy, yielding an 84% payout ratio this quarter.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

VLO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Valero Energy Corp's profitability score is 56/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
ROE is Increasing
Positive 3-Year Average ROIC
Positive 3-Years Revenue Growth
56/100
Profitability
Score

Valero Energy Corp's profitability score is 56/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

VLO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Valero Energy Corp's solvency score is 62/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
62/100
Solvency
Score

Valero Energy Corp's solvency score is 62/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

VLO Price Targets Summary
Valero Energy Corp

Wall Street analysts forecast VLO stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for VLO is 156.31 USD with a low forecast of 124.23 USD and a high forecast of 184.8 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
124.23 USD
12% Downside
Average
Price Target
156.31 USD
11% Upside
Highest
Price Target
184.8 USD
31% Upside
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Dividends

Dividend Yield
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Dividend Per Share
N/A
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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for VLO is .

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Ownership

VLO Insider Trading
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Profile

Valero Energy Corp Logo
Valero Energy Corp

Country

United States of America

Industry

Energy

Market Cap

44.6B USD

Dividend Yield

3.04%

Description

Valero Energy Corp. engages in the manufacture and marketing of transportation fuels and other petrochemical products. The company is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas and currently employs 9,813 full-time employees. Valero segments include Refining, Renewable Diesel and Ethanol. The Refining segment includes the operations of its petroleum refineries, the associated marketing activities, and logistics assets that support its refining operations. The Renewable Diesel segment sells renewable diesel to the refining segment. The Ethanol segment includes the operations of its ethanol plants, the associated marketing activities, and logistics assets that support its ethanol operations. Valero owns 15 petroleum refineries located in the United States (U.S.), Canada and the United Kingdom (U.K.), and 12 ethanol plants located in the Mid-Continent region of the U.S. The firm is also a joint venture partner in Diamond Green Diesel (DGD), which owns and operates a renewable diesel plant in Norco, Louisiana.

Contact

TEXAS
San Antonio
1 Valero Way
+12103452000.0
www.valero.com

IPO

1980-01-02

Employees

9 813

Officers

Executive Chairman
Mr. Joseph W. Gorder
CEO, President & Director
Mr. R. Lane Riggs
Executive VP & CFO
Mr. Jason W. Fraser
Executive VP & COO
Mr. Gary K. Simmons
Senior VP, General Counsel & Secretary
Mr. Richard Joe Walsh
VP of Information Services & Technology
Mr. Mike Zacho
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Vice President of Investor Relations & Finance
Mr. Homer Bhullar
Executive Director of Media Relations & Communications
Lillian Riojas
Senior Vice President of Corporate Development & Strategy
Mr. Richard F. Lashway
Senior VP & Chief Human Resources Officer
Ms. Julia Rendon Reinhart
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See Also

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What is the Intrinsic Value of one VLO stock?

The intrinsic value of one VLO stock under the Base Case scenario is 184.23 USD.

Is VLO stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 140.91 USD, Valero Energy Corp is Undervalued by 24%.

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