Universal Corp

NYSE:UVV

Earnings Call Analysis

Robust Tobacco Demand Driving Universal's Profit Surge

Universal Corporation's fiscal year 2024 has seen a significant uptick in operating income, marking a 30% and 46% increase for the six months and quarter ending September 30, 2023, respectively. This performance is driven by strong demand for leaf tobacco, with Tobacco Operations up 46% and 55% in operating income during the same periods. Gross profit margins, bolstered by the Ingredients sector, have also bounced back. Net income stood at $26.1 million or $1.04 per diluted share over the six months, while it reached $28.1 million or $1.12 per diluted share for the quarter. Despite increased interest expenses and overheads by over $13 million and $10.5 million, respectively, the firm managed to slash its net debt by roughly $70 million. Most tellingly, inventory levels remain tight, with a focus on shipments in the latter half of the year.

Strong Performance Amid Operational Growth

Universal Corporation is presenting an upward trajectory in fiscal year 2024, with impressively heightened operating income—up by 30% for the 6-month period and 46% for the most recent quarter compared to the same periods of the prior year. There is a substantial rebound in gross profit margins as well, mainly attributed to the positive contributions from the Ingredients companies. The Tobacco Operations segment notably outperformed in the first half of the year due to a robust demand for leaf tobacco, along with an uptick in the Ingredients segment, reflecting a broader organizational push towards growth and profitability.

Inventory and Global Supply Tightness

At the close of September, the uncommitted inventory sat at a lean 12%, indicating strict inventory control and continued tightness in the global leaf tobacco supply. Looking ahead, similar to the previous fiscal year, the company projects a significant portion of tobacco shipments to occur in the latter half of the year, maintaining low uncommitted inventory levels throughout.

Net Income and Operating Income Gains

For the first half of the fiscal year, the net income reached $26.1 million, which translates to $1.04 per diluted share. Adjusting for non-recurring items, the net income experienced a marginal increase while diluted earnings per share remained consistent year-over-year. Operating income surged by $15.2 million, ending at $66.3 million. Net income for the latest quarter was even more robust at $28.1 million or $1.12 per diluted share, with operating income swelling by $17.4 million—all pointing to solid financial health.

Fiscal Challenges and Debt Reduction

Despite facing increased costs—resulting primarily from higher interest rates and tobacco prices—the company managed to slash its net debt by approximately $70 million. This fiscal prudence mirrors a strategic priority to strengthen the balance sheet.

Environmental Commitment and Governance

Universal Corporation has not overlooked its commitment to environmental sustainability, as showcased by its water stewardship agenda and a track record of 15 years of earnest participation in CDP disclosures. The organization continues to establish and follow science-based targets as part of its pledge to ecological responsibility and has even been recognized as a Supplier Engagement Leader for these efforts.

Forward-Thinking Corporate Management

Management highlighted their anticipation for substantial shipments later in the year which would potentially lower the overall debt even further. Additionally, the company actively engages in stock buybacks to mitigate executive compensation-related dilution, reflecting a proactive approach to capital management. Meanwhile, capital expenditures have been slightly curtailed, from a previous estimate of $65 million to $75 million down to $60 million to $70 million, signaling a careful optimization of investment strategy.

Earnings Call Transcript 2024-Q2

[Operator]

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Universal Corporation Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] This call is being recorded, Thursday, November 2, 2023.

And I would now like to turn the conference over to Ms. Jennifer Rowe, AVP of Capital Markets. Thank you. Please go ahead.

[Jennifer Rowe, executive]

Thank you for joining us. George Freeman, our Chairman, President and CEO; Airton Hentschke, our Chief Operating Officer; and Johan Kroner, our Chief Financial Officer, are here with me today and will join me in answering questions after these brief remarks.

This call is being webcast live and will be available on our website and on telephone taped replay. It will remain on our website through February 2, 2024. Other than the replay, we have not authorized and disclaim responsibility for any recording, replay or distribution of any transcription of this call. This call is copyrighted and may not be used without our permission.

Before I begin to discuss our results, I caution you that we will be making forward-looking statements that are based on our current knowledge and some assumptions about the future and are representative as of today only. Actual results could differ materially from projected or estimated results, and we assume no obligation to update any forward-looking statements. For information on some of the factors that can affect our estimates, I urge you to read our 10-K for the year ended March 31, 2023.

Such risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, impacts of pandemic, customer-mandated timing of shipments, weather conditions, political and economic environment, government regulation and taxation, changes in exchange rates and interest rates, industry consolidation and evolution and changes in market structure or sources.

Finally, some of the information I have for you today is based on unaudited allocation and is subject to reclassification. In an effort to provide useful information to investors, our comments today may include non-GAAP financial measures. For details on these measures, including reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measures, please refer to our current earnings press release.

Our fiscal year 2024 is developing very well with operating income for the 6 months and quarter ended September 30, 2023, up 30% and 46%, respectively, compared to the 6 months and quarter ended September 30, 2022. Gross profit margins also rebounded nicely in the first half of fiscal year 2024 compared to the same period in fiscal year 2023 with our Ingredients companies making a positive contribution.

Our Tobacco Operations segment delivered strong performance in the first half of fiscal year 2024 on robust demand for leaf tobacco from our customers. Results for the Ingredients Operations segment were also up in the second quarter of fiscal year 2024 compared to the same quarter in the prior fiscal year. The segment saw some supply chain normalization, which stabilized demand from certain of our customers and generated better results in the second quarter of fiscal year 2024 compared to the first quarter of 2024 when the segment experienced soft customer demand.

Strong demand for leaf tobacco from our customers and a favorable tobacco product mix benefited our results for the first half of fiscal year 2024. Leaf tobacco margins improved in the first half of fiscal year 2024 despite lower leaf tobacco sales volumes as we had fewer shipments of lower-margin tobacco compared to the first half of fiscal year 2023.

Segment operating income for our Tobacco Operations segment was up 46% and 55% for the 6 months and the quarter ended September 30, 2023, respectively compared to the 6 months and quarter ended September 30, 2022. Our uncommitted tobacco inventory level of 12% at September 30, 2023, remained low and global leaf tobacco supply continues to be tight for all types of tobacco.

Looking ahead, we continue to expect that similar to fiscal year 2023, our tobacco shipments will be strongly weighted to the second half of fiscal year 2024. We also believe our uncommitted tobacco inventory levels remain low for the rest of fiscal year 2024.

We were pleased to see demand from certain customers for our Ingredients products stabilizing in the quarter ended September 30, 2023. Although results for the Ingredients Operations segment were lower in the 6 months ended September 30, 2023, compared to the 6 months ended September 30, 2022, we believe that our customers have been working through their excess inventory levels and raw material prices such as apple prices are coming down.

While navigating evolving market dynamics, we remain focused on and encouraged by both our poor and new business opportunities with existing and first-time Ingredients customers. We continue to strongly believe that our commercial and research and development efforts coupled with our expanded range of capabilities that we can offer our customers due to our ongoing investments in our Ingredients platform will strengthen our business for the future.

Some financial highlights for the 6 months ended September 30, 2023. Net income for the 6 months was $26.1 million or $1.04 per diluted share. Excluding certain nonrecurring items detailed in today's earnings press release, net income increased by $0.2 million and diluted earnings per share were flat for the 6 months ended September 30, 2023, compared to the 6 months ended September 30, 2022.

Operating income of $66.3 million for the 6 months ended September 30, 2023, increased by $15.2 million. Segment operating income for the Tobacco Operations segment was up $19.4 million, while segment operating income for the Ingredients Operations segment was down $6.3 million for the 6 months ended September 30, 2023, compared to the 6 months ended September 30, 2022.

Selling, general and administrative expenses were up $10.5 million in the first half of fiscal year 2024 compared to the first half of fiscal year 2023.

Some financial highlights for the quarter ended September 30, 2023. Net income for the quarter was $28.1 million or $1.12 per diluted share. Excluding certain nonrecurring items detailed in today's press release, net income and diluted earnings per share increased by $8.4 million and $0.33, respectively for the quarter ended September 30, 2023, compared to the quarter ended September 30, 2022.

Operating income of $55.3 million for the quarter increased by $17.4 million. Segment operating income for the Tobacco Operations segment was up $18.6 million and segment operating income for the Ingredients segment was up $0.3 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2023, compared to the quarter ended September 30, 2022.

Our costs continue to be elevated in the first half of fiscal year 2024 compared to the first half of fiscal year 2023. Interest expense was up over $13 million, primarily on higher interest rates and green tobacco prices were also higher. Despite the higher cost, we have been able to reduce our debt levels in fiscal year 2024. At September 30, 2023, our net debt levels, which we define as the sum of notes payable and overdrafts, long-term debt and customer bands and deposits, less cash and cash equivalents declined by about $70 million compared to our net debt levels at September 30, 2022.

Universal has a fundamental responsibility to its stakeholders to achieve high standards of environmental performance to support sustainable operations which we demonstrate through our supplier engagement and disclosures on Climate Change, Water Stewardship and Forestry. Our record is highlighted by 15 years of participation in CDP disclosure, the establishment of science-based targets and recognition by CDP as a Supplier Engagement Leader.

To add to our commitment to environmental sustainability, we have committed to Water Stewardship throughout our operations. To Universal, Water Stewardship is water usage that is socially and culturally equitable, environmentally sustainable, economically beneficial and achieved through a multi-stakeholder process. Our Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee and our management team have approved a Water Stewardship Policy to guide and publicly commit to Water Stewardship through our global operations.

At this time, we are available to take your questions.

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Ann Gurkin from Davenport & Co.

[Ann Gurkin, analyst]

It was nice to see your debt reduction in the quarter and you bought back shares. I was wondering if you could help me how to think about both of those measures for the back half and within that conversation, expected working capital needs for the full year?

[Johan Kroner, executive]

Yes. And I think that certainly, with regard to debt, we are looking at monetizing the sales that we have. We're still have inventory that we expect to ship quite a bit of during the latter half of the year, receivables. And of course, all -- so we hope that debt to be down later this year.

With regard to the stock buyback, that is something that we need to do to take out the dilution with regard to the comp for executives.

[Ann Gurkin, analyst]

Okay. And then it looks like the CapEx was trimmed a little bit, $60 million to $70 million versus the prior $65 million, $75 million, is there anything in that, I should know about?

[Johan Kroner, executive]

At the end of the day, that is purely a bit of a shift there with regard to the ingredients expansion that we're doing in Lancaster, Pennsylvania. We were hoping that, that number would come down faster, but we're thinking that $60 million to $70 million is the right range for the next 12 months.

[Ann Gurkin, analyst]

Okay. Switching to tobacco. You referenced in the comments that customer demand -- demand for leaf remains strong from customers. I guess can you reconcile the latest domestic cigarette industry volume dropped of low double digits? And the path that large customers on to generate 2/3 of the revenues from smoke-free tobacco shift in kind of -- both of those metrics and how you are working on your leaf supply-demand balance over the next 2, 3, 5 years? Any kind of comments you can share?

[Airton Hentschke, executive]

Yes. First of all, the U.S. domestic market represents less than 5% of the overall market in China and every customers here, we have relationships and every customer is important that we continue supplying services and product here.

With regards to the demand, yes, we continue seeing a strong demand for our portfolio of products, different varieties of tobacco. We stated that we see undersupply basically in every one of these categories, and we believe that it will continue into the next year.

So with regards as new generation products, as I stated also before, we basically participate in all these categories as well as supplying service and raw products for the heat-not-burn, for the vaping, Shisha, smokeless, oral products, and that is what -- how we see it that we continue seeing opportunities in all the segments where we operate.

[Ann Gurkin, analyst]

And in the latest leaf market update, it looks like expected crop production in South America was reduced for both flue-cured and burley. Can you help me understand what's going on with those crops?

[Airton Hentschke, executive]

Yes. What we are facing this year is El Nino phenomenon. The El Nino affects agriculture in general and is not different for tobacco. And the whole phenomenon is about warmer waters are pushed closer to the Eastern Coast of the Americas, so producing excessive or above average rainfall in South of Brazil where tobacco is produced. We see an opposite phenomenon in Africa where the El Nino there means a dryer and a warmer environment.

What is important here also, Ann, is that as we knew that, that phenomenon was building up at the beginning of the year, we are proactively working with our leaf technicians and agronomy team that are working with our pharma base to mitigate some of these effects. So just for example, we issue additional -- or we are growing additional seedlings to make sure that we have -- our pharma base have enough material to replace some of the losses that they are facing. Also positioning ourselves with having additional fertilizer to supply for the farmers and also working with them or anticipating or delaying the transplanting season.

But yes, we already see the fact that in Brazil when we reduced our [ belief ] as of today, is that, that flue-cured crop in Brazil has been already affected by 10%, and that is all related to farmer yield.

[Ann Gurkin, analyst]

Okay. Great. That helps. It's nice to see the sequential improvement in the results for the Ingredients segment. Can you highlight the key factors that are driving that improvement? I know you referenced inventory -- customers working through inventory levels. Is there anything else we can point to in terms of the recovery? And how should we think about that pace of recovery in the back half of the year?

[Johan Kroner, executive]

It's mainly just the normalization of demand really. And we're working really hard on new business with new capabilities that will hopefully come online in the summer of next year in Lancaster, Pennsylvania where we'll be able to do additional -- produce additional products, different products, have additional capabilities there.

We have told you already that SG&A is up because we have hired quite a few R&D people. We have hired quite a few commercial people to assist us in that effort. So that's where we see all these things go and we were really positive. We're happy that we finally see some of that -- the stabilization in the market. So hopefully, that will continue, and we'll just continue to have very good results for the Ingredient platform.

[Ann Gurkin, analyst]

So customer inventory [indiscernible] more balanced positions right now. Last quarter, you called out that the inflated inventory positions with customers. So where are you in that recovery?

[Johan Kroner, executive]

Yes. What we are seeing is that certain customers are back. I'm not saying all because earlier in the quarter, we're still a bit slow, and we're still seeing some customers that are hesitant, but we certainly are out the worst of it, it [ fears ]. And we hope that, that trend continues.

[Ann Gurkin, analyst]

So should we expect continued sequential improvement in profit and margin in the back half of fiscal -- of the fiscal year?

[Johan Kroner, executive]

We certainly hope so.

[Ann Gurkin, analyst]

That's fantastic. That's great. And then can you outline -- you referenced this a little bit the investment in the sales force and the opportunities to cross-sell across the business -- the Ingredient businesses. How should we think about potential revenue synergies over the multiyear period? What are you targeting for opportunities to cross-sell and drive higher top line growth for these businesses?

[Johan Kroner, executive]

Well, Ann, what we are trying to achieve here, we bought 3 separate businesses. What we're trying to achieve through the additional commercial folks as well as the R&D platform to use, for example, an Apple beverage and put a flavor in that beverage, go to our customers and say, look, this is what we can produce. So that -- those solutions base things we're going to customers with instead of just going to them with some apple juice and say, why don't you buy our apple juice? So we want to try to value up there, which will -- should improve margins and then on top of that, of course, the investment that we are making in Lancaster, Pennsylvania at our Shank's facility there will give us completely different capabilities that we did not have before. So we have really high hopes for that.

Again, we're talking to customers about that, and that's what we're also using those R&D folks for as well as the commercial folks that are already going out today to try to sell some of that capacity that will come online, hopefully, in the summer of 2024.

[Ann Gurkin, analyst]

So Shank's is vanilla. What are you adding? What else you're adding?

[Johan Kroner, executive]

It's primarily vanilla. We do lots of extracts and botanicals at Shank's. It's not just vanilla, okay? They have a library of something 2,000 products that they can take but some of the things that our folks have pointed out to us is we can't make these or we can make it better. So that's where -- why we have made the investment or making the investment in that facility to do some of those things that we believe will really enhance the platform.

[Ann Gurkin, analyst]

But a multiyear synergy -- top line synergy target driving 10% growth -- 10%, 20%, 30%? Give me a range.

[Johan Kroner, executive]

Yes. No, we're not talking. What -- I can't give you range to, and we're not exactly talking about synergies as such, okay? This is really over and above the synergies amongst the groups are -- is limited, and we told you that when we actually.

[Ann Gurkin, analyst]

Yes, with top line growth, so driving cross-selling opportunity?

[Johan Kroner, executive]

Top line growth. Again, that's certainly expected, else we wouldn't have bought this, and that's why we're making all these investments. So I don't know exactly what those numbers are, but certainly, we're making significant investments. We're making a $30 million investment that we announced in May this year at Shank's. So we certainly expect.

[Ann Gurkin, analyst]

I don't expect a return on that $30 million. I'm sure you've outlined that. Yes.

[Johan Kroner, executive]

Yes, exactly. So that's where -- what we're shooting for. We need to get our people out there now to market that, and then we go from there. So hopefully, in fiscal year 2025, we'll be able to show you the results of that. And again, we're really high on that.

[Ann Gurkin, analyst]

Great. And then SG&A was a little bit lower than I was looking for, for the whole company for the second quarter. Should I think of that number as a good run rate for the second half?

[Johan Kroner, executive]

You know how that works. At the end of the day, depending on currency where it's at. We were happy with it. We always look at opportunities to cut cost if we can. That's certainly what we're looking at. But inflation, air travel, all compensation, all of that is adding to the cost, but we look at that on a continuous basis and try to do the best we can there.

[Ann Gurkin, analyst]

Okay. And then Jennifer, do you have a worldwide uncommitted lease inventory number?

[Jennifer Rowe, executive]

Yes. This is the quarter that we do not update that. But remember we have is $20 million as of the end of June. We believe it's probably lower than that now.

[Ann Gurkin, analyst]

And then one more question. I'm sorry, interest expense, $17 million in the quarter, but with your debt paydown, I haven't gone through what you've done in terms of rates. But can you help me think about that number for the back half?

[Johan Kroner, executive]

As I said before, we hope to be able to reduce the net debt going forward. We have made some arrangements, as you could see that we have some additional customer advances. So we have made some arrangements with some customers to do that. It should help us as well going forward. So hopefully, those numbers will come down a bit.

[Operator]

There are no further questions at this time. Please proceed.

[Ann Gurkin, analyst]

Thank you all for joining us on our call today.