Unity Software Inc
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one U stock under the Base Case scenario is 30.83 USD. Compared to the current market price of 22.46 USD, Unity Software Inc is Undervalued by 27%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Unity Software Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Unity Software Inc. stands as a pivotal player in the rapidly evolving landscape of interactive content creation. Founded in 2004, the company specializes in providing a comprehensive platform that empowers developers to build, operate, and monetize real-time 3D content, ranging from video games to simulations and augmented reality experiences. With its flagship product, the Unity Engine, the company has established itself as the backbone for a significant share of the gaming industry—over half of the world’s mobile games are created using its tools. Investors are drawn to Unity not only for its impressive market penetration but also for its commitment to innovation, as it continually enhanc...
Unity Software Inc. stands as a pivotal player in the rapidly evolving landscape of interactive content creation. Founded in 2004, the company specializes in providing a comprehensive platform that empowers developers to build, operate, and monetize real-time 3D content, ranging from video games to simulations and augmented reality experiences. With its flagship product, the Unity Engine, the company has established itself as the backbone for a significant share of the gaming industry—over half of the world’s mobile games are created using its tools. Investors are drawn to Unity not only for its impressive market penetration but also for its commitment to innovation, as it continually enhances its offerings to meet the demands of a diverse range of industries, including education, automotive, architecture, and film.
Unity's business model is anchored in a combination of subscription services and revenue-sharing from its asset store, providing scalable avenues for growth. As the world increasingly turns to digital and immersive experiences, Unity is strategically positioned to capture the burgeoning demand for high-quality 3D content. The company's recent expansions into virtual reality (VR) and augmented reality (AR) further underscore its forward-looking vision. With a robust user base of creators and developers, coupled with partnerships with major tech companies, Unity is not just riding the wave of digital transformation—it is shaping the future of how content is created and consumed. For investors, Unity Software Inc. represents not just a stake in a successful software company, but a chance to be part of a wider narrative of technological evolution and creativity.
Unity Software Inc. is a prominent platform for creating and operating interactive, real-time 3D content. Its business model is diverse, focusing on several core segments:
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Unity Engine and Asset Store:
- Game Development: Unity provides a powerful game engine that supports 2D and 3D game development across various platforms, including mobile, console, and PC. The engine is user-friendly and supports multiple programming languages, attracting both indie developers and large studios.
- Asset Store: Unity's Asset Store allows developers to purchase and sell assets such as graphics, sounds, scripts, and tools, enhancing the development process by providing ready-to-use components.
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Industries Beyond Gaming:
- Film and Animation: Unity is increasingly used in the film and animation industries for real-time rendering and virtual production, allowing filmmakers to preview scenes with high fidelity.
- Automotive and Transportation: The platform is utilized for creating simulations and visualizations in the automotive sector for prototypes and training, as well as in marketing campaigns.
- Architecture, Engineering, and Construction (AEC): Unity facilitates immersive visualizations of architectural designs and real-time walkthroughs of constructions, enhancing client presentations.
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Multiplayer and Hosting Services:
- Unity offers services that support real-time multiplayer gaming experiences, including server hosting (Unity Multiplayer) and matchmaking capabilities, which are essential for modern online games.
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Monetization Solutions:
- Unity provides monetization tools for developers, including Unity Ads and Unity IAP (In-App Purchases), enabling them to generate revenue through advertising and in-app sales.
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Cloud Services and Collaboration Tools:
- Unity operates cloud-based services that facilitate collaboration among development teams, including asset management and version control, making it easier for teams to work together on projects remotely.
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Education and Training:
- Unity has a strong focus on education and provides extensive resources, tutorials, and certifications for individuals and institutions to learn game development and other applications of the Unity platform.
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Unity DOTS (Data-Oriented Technology Stack):
- This segment focuses on the development of high-performance games and applications. DOTS leverages a data-oriented design approach, enhancing performance and efficiency, particularly for large-scale game projects.
Overall, Unity Software Inc. positions itself as a leader in the real-time 3D content creation space, with a strong emphasis on versatility and cross-industry applications.
Unity Software Inc. holds several unique competitive advantages over its rivals in the gaming and real-time 3D development space. Here are some key points:
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Robust Engine and Toolset: Unity offers a versatile and highly efficient game engine, widely regarded for its ease of use and powerful capabilities. It supports a range of platforms, which allows developers to build applications for mobile, console, AR/VR, and PC seamlessly.
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Large Developer Community: Unity has a vast and active developer community, contributing to a wealth of shared knowledge, tutorials, and resources. This ecosystem helps reduce the learning curve for newcomers and enhances the platform’s credibility and support.
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Asset Store: Unity’s Asset Store is a significant advantage, providing developers with a marketplace for pre-built assets, tools, and plugins. This enables developers to save time and resources by using ready-made components, thus accelerating development cycles.
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Cross-Platform Compatibility: Unity supports extensive cross-platform functionalities, allowing developers to create games that work on numerous platforms without significant rewrites. This flexibility attracts developers looking for wider audience reach.
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Focus on Real-Time 3D Applications: Unity has positioned itself not just as a game engine but as a leader in real-time 3D applications, catering to industries such as architecture, automotive, film, and simulation. This strategic positioning expands its market beyond traditional gaming, tapping into lucrative sectors.
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User-Friendly Interface: The platform is well-known for its user-friendly interface and accessibility, which facilitates rapid prototyping and development. This approach helps indie developers and smaller studios create high-quality content more efficiently.
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Strong Brand Recognition: Unity has established strong brand recognition within the gaming community. Its reputation for being the go-to engine for small to mid-sized developers creates a loyal customer base and enhances customer acquisition.
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Investment in Innovation: Unity consistently invests in innovation, integrating cutting-edge technologies like augmented reality (AR) and virtual reality (VR) into its offerings. This focus helps the company stay ahead of trends and adapt to the evolving needs of developers and end-users.
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Partnerships and Collaborations: Unity has formed strategic partnerships with major tech companies, enhancing its capabilities and reach. Collaborations with companies like Google and Microsoft extend Unity's influence and integration across various technological ecosystems.
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Subscription and Revenue Model: Unity’s flexible subscription-based revenue model allows it to accommodate a wide range of developers, from hobbyists to large enterprises. This approach helps to ensure a steady revenue stream while providing accessible pricing options.
Overall, Unity Software Inc. leverages these competitive advantages to maintain a leading position in the dynamic landscape of game development and real-time 3D applications.
Unity Software Inc. faces several risks and challenges in the near future that could impact its growth and operational stability:
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Increased Competition: The gaming and software development industry is highly competitive. Major players like Unreal Engine (Epic Games), CryEngine, and others continue to improve their offerings, which could limit Unity’s market share.
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Market Saturation: As the gaming market matures, companies may face difficulties in attracting new users, and existing customers, especially indie developers, might struggle to innovate or differentiate their products.
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Technological Advancements: Rapid changes in technology necessitate constant adaptation. Unity needs to keep pace with developments in areas such as virtual reality (VR), augmented reality (AR), and machine learning to stay relevant.
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Monetization Challenges: Finding effective monetization strategies without alienating developers or consumers is a continuous challenge. Changes in subscription models, pricing, or licensing can directly impact revenue.
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Economic Factors: Economic recessions or fluctuations can lead to budget cuts for gaming companies, affecting their software purchases or subscription renewals. This could impact Unity’s revenue streams.
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Regulatory Pressures: Increasing scrutiny over data privacy and platform regulations globally can pose challenges. Compliance with new regulations may escalate operational costs and complicate service offerings.
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Dependence on Third-Party Developers: Unity’s platform heavily relies on third-party developers. If developers switch to competing platforms or encounter difficulties, it could affect Unity's ecosystem and marketplace.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As a technology company, Unity faces risks associated with cyberattacks. A security breach could harm its reputation and customer trust.
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Global Supply Chain Issues: While not a direct software issue, disruptions in the global supply chain can affect the hardware side of gaming and development, which can indirectly affect Unity’s market.
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Workforce Retention and Talent Acquisition: Attracting and retaining skilled employees in a competitive labor market can present obstacles. High turnover rates can disrupt projects and innovation.
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Changes in Consumer Behavior: Shifts in how consumers engage with games (e.g., preferences for mobile vs. console/PC gaming) can impact Unity's strategies and product developments.
By acknowledging and addressing these risks, Unity Software Inc. can develop strategic plans and approaches to mitigate potential adverse effects on its business operations and market position.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Unity Software Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Unity Software Inc
Current Assets | 2.1B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.4B |
Receivables | 576.4m |
Other Current Assets | 134.7m |
Non-Current Assets | 4.6B |
PP&E | 190.5m |
Intangibles | 4.3B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 98m |
Current Liabilities | 876.9m |
Accounts Payable | 15.2m |
Accrued Liabilities | 289.3m |
Other Current Liabilities | 572.4m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 2.7B |
Long-Term Debt | 2.2B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 427.2m |
Earnings Waterfall
Unity Software Inc
Revenue
|
2B
USD
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-626.9m
USD
|
Gross Profit
|
1.3B
USD
|
Operating Expenses
|
-2.2B
USD
|
Operating Income
|
-890.5m
USD
|
Other Expenses
|
96.3m
USD
|
Net Income
|
-794.1m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Unity Software Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q3, Unity reported revenue of $429 million, slightly down 2% year-over-year but up 1% sequentially. Notably, adjusted EBITDA hit $92 million, exceeding expectations of $75 million to $80 million. Free cash flow rose to $115 million, an 11% increase from last year. Full-year revenue guidance was raised to between $1.73 billion and $1.78 billion, alongside adjusted EBITDA guidance of $363 million to $368 million. The upcoming fourth quarter is projected to generate revenue between $122 million and $427 million, with adjusted EBITDA of $79 million to $84 million, reflecting cautious optimism about gradual recovery in revenue growth.
What is Earnings Call?
U Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Unity Software Inc's profitability score is 32/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Unity Software Inc's profitability score is 32/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
U Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Unity Software Inc's solvency score is 39/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Unity Software Inc's solvency score is 39/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
U Price Targets Summary
Unity Software Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for U is 21.61 USD with a low forecast of 15.03 USD and a high forecast of 31.5 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for U is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
U Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Industry
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Dividend Yield
Description
Unity Software, Inc. develops video gaming software. The company is headquartered in San Francisco, California and currently employs 5,245 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2020-09-18. The firm's platform includes Create Solutions and Operate Solutions that enables customers to create, run and monetize their content across a range of third-party content distribution platforms. The company provides a set of software solutions for mobile phones, tablets, computers, consoles, and augmented & virtual reality devices. Content made with Unity is real-time, allowing it to adapt to user's behaviour and feedback. Its Create Solutions are used by content creators, developers, designers, engineers, and architects to create interactive, 2D and 3D content. Its products, Unity Ads and Unity IAP (In-App Purchases), help developers to enhance the revenue potential of their content. The company offers solutions for the delivery of content and provide back-end management, such as Multiplay for multiplayer hosting in games, or Vivox to enable player-to-player communications in games.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one U stock under the Base Case scenario is 30.83 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 22.46 USD, Unity Software Inc is Undervalued by 27%.