Twilio Inc
NYSE:TWLO
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Twilio Inc
Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one
TWLO
stock under the Base Case scenario is
71.86
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 102.07 USD,
Twilio Inc
is
Overvalued by 30%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Twilio Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Twilio Inc. is a cloud communications platform that has carved out a crucial niche in the digital transformation landscape, enabling businesses to connect with their customers seamlessly through various channels such as voice, SMS, and video. Founded in 2008 by Jeff Lawson and a team of innovative thinkers, Twilio empowers developers and enterprises to create engaging customer experiences by providing an easy-to-use application programming interface (API). Their technology facilitates interactions that are increasingly important in today’s digital world, allowing users—from fledgling startups to Fortune 500 companies—to build customized communication solutions that enhance customer engagemen...
Twilio Inc. is a cloud communications platform that has carved out a crucial niche in the digital transformation landscape, enabling businesses to connect with their customers seamlessly through various channels such as voice, SMS, and video. Founded in 2008 by Jeff Lawson and a team of innovative thinkers, Twilio empowers developers and enterprises to create engaging customer experiences by providing an easy-to-use application programming interface (API). Their technology facilitates interactions that are increasingly important in today’s digital world, allowing users—from fledgling startups to Fortune 500 companies—to build customized communication solutions that enhance customer engagement and drive business growth.
As more businesses recognize the necessity of robust communication tools, Twilio has experienced rapid growth, evident in its expanding customer base and revenue streams. Investors look at Twilio not only as a leader in the communications sector but also as a versatile player capable of adapting to market trends, such as the surge in remote work and digital customer interactions. The company’s innovative product offerings, such as Twilio Flex (a cloud-based contact center solution) and the recently launched Twilio Segment (a customer data platform), position it to capture further market share in the increasingly competitive SaaS landscape. With a committed focus on long-term growth, consistent updates to its technology, and a strong leadership team, Twilio stands as a compelling opportunity for investors seeking to capitalize on the digital communications revolution.
Twilio Inc. is a cloud communications platform that provides various services to help businesses connect with their customers through multiple channels. The company primarily operates in the following core business segments:
-
CPaaS (Communications Platform as a Service):
- Voice: Twilio offers APIs that allow businesses to integrate voice calling functionality into their applications. This includes features like programmable voice calls, SIP trunking, and phone number provisioning.
- Messaging: This segment includes SMS and MMS messaging services, enabling businesses to send and receive messages globally. It also offers features like SMS verification and notifications.
- Video: Twilio provides APIs for video communication, enabling businesses to incorporate real-time video into their applications. This is essential for sectors like telehealth, education, and customer support.
-
Twilio Flex:
- Twilio Flex is a cloud-based contact center platform that offers customizable solutions for businesses to manage customer interactions across various channels. It supports voice, messaging, and video, allowing for a unified customer experience.
-
Twilio Segment:
- Segment, a customer data platform acquired by Twilio, allows businesses to collect, unify, and activate their customer data from various sources. This helps in personalizing communications and improving customer engagement through data-driven insights.
-
Twilio Trust & Safety:
- This segment focuses on providing tools and services that help businesses manage security, compliance, and fraud prevention in their communication processes. It includes features like caller ID validation, two-factor authentication, and message verification.
-
Email:
- With the acquisition of SendGrid, Twilio also offers email services, allowing businesses to send transactional and marketing emails through a robust platform that supports email APIs, marketing campaigns, and analytics.
-
Developer Tools and Ecosystem:
- Twilio focuses heavily on providing tools for developers to build and integrate communication functionalities into their applications easily. This segment includes extensive documentation, SDKs, and community support to foster developer engagement.
Overall, Twilio's diverse offerings allow businesses across various industries to enhance their customer engagement strategies through integrated communication solutions. The company continues to expand its product suite and enhance existing services to meet evolving customer needs.
Twilio Inc. possesses several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals in the cloud communications space:
-
Developer-Centric Platform: Twilio’s platform is designed with developers in mind, offering extensive APIs that allow for seamless integration of communication capabilities into applications. This focus on empowering developers has fostered a strong community and a wide range of innovative use cases.
-
Robust Product Ecosystem: Twilio offers a comprehensive suite of communication tools, including SMS, voice, video, and email solutions (through its acquisition of SendGrid). This diverse product portfolio enables customers to have a one-stop solution for all their communication needs, reducing the need for multiple vendors.
-
Scalability and Flexibility: The cloud-based architecture of Twilio’s services allows companies to scale their communication requirements easily. Businesses can start small and grow their usage as needed, which is particularly appealing for startups and enterprises alike.
-
Global Reach and Compliance: Twilio's extensive global network facilitates communication across various countries and regions, with compliance across different regulatory environments (like GDPR, HIPAA, etc.). This gives it an edge in serving international clients who need reliable and compliant communication solutions.
-
Strong Brand Reputation and Trust: Over the years, Twilio has built a strong reputation as a reliable and innovative communication platform. Trust is crucial in this industry, and the company is often recognized for its customer service and support, which can greatly influence purchasing decisions.
-
Open and Extensible Platform: Twilio promotes a culture of innovation through its API-first approach, allowing other developers to build applications on top of its platform. This extensibility encourages a vibrant ecosystem of third-party developers and integrations, driving further adoption of its services.
-
Data-Driven Insights: Twilio collects vast amounts of data through its services, enabling it to offer advanced analytics and insights. This helps customers optimize their communication strategies and improve user engagement, which can be a significant value-add compared to competitors.
-
Strong Community and Developer Support: Twilio has invested in building a robust community around its services, providing extensive documentation, tutorials, and support for developers. This community aspect fosters loyalty and encourages more developer-driven innovations.
-
Acquisitions for Expanding Capabilities: Twilio has strategically acquired companies such as Segment (a customer data platform) to enhance its offerings with better customer insights and engagement strategies, therefore providing a more comprehensive solution for businesses.
These advantages enable Twilio to maintain a leading position in the highly competitive cloud communications market, providing value to its customers while differentiating itself from other players in the space.
Twilio Inc. faces several risks and challenges in the near future that could impact its business performance:
-
Competition: The market for cloud communication services is becoming increasingly competitive, with new entrants and existing tech giants expanding their offerings. This could lead to pricing pressures and reduced market share for Twilio.
-
Market Saturation: As businesses adopt cloud communication solutions, there is a risk of market saturation. Growth may slow in mature markets, requiring Twilio to innovate continuously to maintain its position.
-
Regulatory Risks: Twilio operates in many jurisdictions, each with different regulations regarding data privacy and telecommunications. Compliance with these regulations can be complex and costly, and any violations could lead to significant penalties.
-
Dependence on Third-Party Providers: Twilio relies on various third-party providers for infrastructure and services. Disruptions or changes in these partnerships could impact its service delivery and reliability.
-
Data Security and Privacy Concerns: As a provider of communication APIs, Twilio handles large volumes of sensitive data. Any breach or misuse of data could harm its reputation and result in legal liabilities.
-
Economic Conditions: Economic downturns could impact customers' spending on Twilio's services, as businesses may cut costs and reduce their cloud communication budgets.
-
Integration Challenges: As Twilio continues to acquire other companies to expand its offerings, integrating new technologies and cultures can pose significant challenges, potentially derailing growth initiatives.
-
Technological Change: The rapid pace of technological advancement may require Twilio to continually update its platform and offerings. Failure to keep up could lead to obsolescence.
-
Customer Concentration: Reliance on a few large customers can pose a risk. If one or more of these customers decides to switch providers or reduce usage, it could significantly impact Twilio's revenue.
-
Talent Acquisition and Retention: As a technology company, retaining and attracting skilled talent is critical. A competitive labor market can increase costs and hinder growth if Twilio cannot secure the necessary human capital.
Addressing these risks will require strategic planning, robust security measures, and ongoing investment in technology and talent.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Twilio Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Twilio Inc
| Current Assets | 3.5B |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 2.7B |
| Receivables | 550.9m |
| Other Current Assets | 299.2m |
| Non-Current Assets | 6.5B |
| Long-Term Investments | 515m |
| PP&E | 253.2m |
| Intangibles | 5.5B |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 211.7m |
| Current Liabilities | 700.7m |
| Accounts Payable | 71.3m |
| Accrued Liabilities | 480m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 149.4m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 1.1B |
| Long-Term Debt | 990.2m |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 117.5m |
Earnings Waterfall
Twilio Inc
|
Revenue
|
4.3B
USD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-2.1B
USD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
2.2B
USD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-2.3B
USD
|
|
Operating Income
|
-104.2m
USD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-358.2m
USD
|
|
Net Income
|
-462.3m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Twilio Inc
| USD | |
| Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q3 2024, Twilio achieved $1.134 billion in revenue, up 10% year-over-year, driven by strong performance in its communications business, particularly messaging. The company generated $182 million in non-GAAP income from operations, reflecting a 34% increase from the previous year. Free cash flow reached $189 million. For Q4, Twilio projects revenue between $1.15 billion and $1.16 billion, indicating 7% to 8% growth, and expects to raise full-year operating income guidance to $700 million to $710 million. Twilio is optimistic about leveraging AI to enhance customer engagement and is tracking ahead of its goal for GAAP operating profitability by 2025.
What is Earnings Call?
TWLO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Twilio Inc's profitability score is 40/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Twilio Inc's profitability score is 40/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
TWLO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Twilio Inc's solvency score is 75/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Twilio Inc's solvency score is 75/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
TWLO Price Targets Summary
Twilio Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
TWLO
is 85.85 USD
with a low forecast of 50.5 USD and a high forecast of 141.75 USD.
Click here to dive deeper.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for TWLO is
.
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
TWLO Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
Twilio Inc
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Twilio, Inc. engages in the development of communications software, cloud-based platform, and services. The company is headquartered in San Francisco, California and currently employs 8,510 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2016-06-23. The firm offers a customer engagement platform with software designed to address specific use cases, like account security and contact centers, and a set of Application Programming Interfaces (APIs). The company also offers a set of APIs that enable developers to embed voice, messaging, video and email capabilities into their applications, and are designed to support all the fundamental ways humans communicate to address any communication market. The Super Network is its software layer that allows its customers' software to communicate with connected devices globally. The company interconnects with communications networks and inbox service providers around the world. The Super Network also contains a set of APIs giving its customers access to foundational components of its platform, like phone numbers and session initiation protocol Trunking.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
TWLO
stock under the Base Case scenario is
71.86
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 102.07 USD,
Twilio Inc
is
Overvalued by 30%.
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