TotalEnergies SE
NYSE:TTE
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one TTE stock under the Base Case scenario is 109.88 USD. Compared to the current market price of 66.3 USD, TotalEnergies SE is Undervalued by 40%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
TotalEnergies SE
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Fundamental Analysis
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TotalEnergies SE is a global energy giant that has undergone a remarkable transformation from its traditional oil and gas roots to a more diversified player in the energy sector. Founded in 1924 and headquartered in Paris, the company has embraced the urgent need for sustainability and innovation in today's energy landscape. With operations in over 130 countries, TotalEnergies is engaged in all segments of the energy value chain, from oil and natural gas exploration and production to renewable energy projects and electricity supply. This pivot towards renewables—investing heavily in solar, wind, and hydrogen—reflects the company’s commitment to reducing carbon emissions and aligning itself w...
TotalEnergies SE is a global energy giant that has undergone a remarkable transformation from its traditional oil and gas roots to a more diversified player in the energy sector. Founded in 1924 and headquartered in Paris, the company has embraced the urgent need for sustainability and innovation in today's energy landscape. With operations in over 130 countries, TotalEnergies is engaged in all segments of the energy value chain, from oil and natural gas exploration and production to renewable energy projects and electricity supply. This pivot towards renewables—investing heavily in solar, wind, and hydrogen—reflects the company’s commitment to reducing carbon emissions and aligning itself with global efforts to combat climate change.
For investors, TotalEnergies presents a compelling opportunity as it balances traditional energy operations with a robust strategy to capture growth in renewable energies. By leveraging its extensive experience in energy markets and gradually shifting its portfolio towards greener initiatives, TotalEnergies aims to deliver sustainable returns while enhancing shareholder value. The company's strategic partnerships and commitment to innovation position it favorably in a rapidly evolving energy landscape. Moreover, its strong dividend track record and disciplined financial management suggest that TotalEnergies is not only poised for growth but is also a reliable income-generating investment in an uncertain economic environment.
TotalEnergies SE is a multinational integrated energy company based in France. Its core business segments encompass a range of activities across the energy value chain. As of my knowledge cutoff in October 2023, here are the primary segments of TotalEnergies:
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Exploration & Production: This segment is involved in the exploration and extraction of oil and natural gas resources. TotalEnergies operates in various regions around the world, developing oil fields and gas reserves, and focusing on ensuring sustainable resource management.
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Refining & Chemicals: TotalEnergies refines crude oil into various petroleum products, such as gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel. This segment also includes the production of petrochemicals, which are used in various industries, including plastics and synthetic materials.
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Marketing & Services: This segment deals with the distribution and sale of petroleum products and services to consumers and businesses. It includes retail networks, fuel distribution, and the sale of a range of energy products and services.
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Renewable Energies and Power: TotalEnergies has been increasingly investing in renewable energy sources, including solar, wind, and bioenergy. This segment focuses on developing, producing, and selling renewable electricity and related services, aligning with the company's transition towards greener energy solutions.
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Gas, Renewables & Power: This segment emphasizes the integration of gas and renewable energy in the overall energy mix. It includes activities related to natural gas production, transportation, storage, and marketing, along with a focus on developing renewable energy projects.
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Trading & Shipping: TotalEnergies engages in the trading of crude oil, natural gas, and refined products. This segment includes logistics and shipping operations to facilitate the movement of energy resources globally.
TotalEnergies is actively evolving its business model to adapt to global energy transition trends, aiming to balance its traditional fossil fuel operations with a significant push towards renewable energy and sustainable practices.
TotalEnergies SE possesses several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals in the global energy market:
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Diversified Energy Portfolio: TotalEnergies has strategically diversified its energy portfolio, investing in various sectors such as oil, natural gas, renewables, and electric power. This diversification helps mitigate risks associated with price fluctuations in fossil fuels and positions the company to benefit from the global shift towards sustainable energy.
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Strong Global Presence: With operations in more than 130 countries, TotalEnergies has a robust global footprint. This extensive geographical reach enables the company to tap into different markets, providing resilience against regional economic downturns and regulatory changes.
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Investment in Renewable Energy: TotalEnergies has committed significant resources to renewable energy projects, including solar, wind, and hydrogen. Their early and ongoing investments in these areas position them as a leader in the energy transition, aligning with global trends and governmental policies focused on sustainability.
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Technological Expertise and Innovation: The company invests heavily in research and development to innovate in energy technologies. This commitment to technological advancement allows TotalEnergies to enhance operational efficiency, reduce costs, and improve environmental performance.
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Robust Supply Chain and Infrastructure: TotalEnergies has built an extensive infrastructure network, including refineries, storage facilities, and distribution channels. This robust supply chain enhances its operational efficiency and ability to respond to fluctuations in supply and demand.
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Financial Resilience: The company's strong financial position allows it to endure periods of market volatility and invest in new projects. TotalEnergies typically maintains a solid balance sheet, which provides necessary capital for expansion and innovation.
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Strategic Partnerships and Alliances: TotalEnergies has formed partnerships with various companies and governments to enhance its capabilities in emerging markets and technologies. These strategic alliances can provide access to new markets, shared resources, and joint ventures in renewable projects.
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Commitment to Sustainability: With clear goals to reduce carbon emissions and enhance sustainability, TotalEnergies has positioned itself favorably in the evolving energy landscape. Its focus on responsible business practices resonates with investors, customers, and governments, giving it a competitive edge.
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Brand Recognition and Reputation: TotalEnergies has established a strong brand presence globally, often associated with stability and trust. This reputation bolsters customer loyalty and attracts talent, which are critical for long-term success.
These competitive advantages collectively allow TotalEnergies SE to navigate the dynamic energy market effectively and strategically position itself for future growth amidst the global energy transition.
TotalEnergies SE, like many companies in the energy sector, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. These can be broadly categorized into market, regulatory, environmental, and operational risks.
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Market Volatility:
- Oil and Gas Prices: Fluctuations in global oil and gas prices can significantly impact revenues. Commodity price volatility driven by geopolitical events, production levels, and economic conditions is a key concern.
- Demand Changes: Shifts in energy demand due to economic downturns, changes in consumption patterns, or the growth of renewable energy can affect TotalEnergies' traditional fossil fuel business.
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Regulatory Risks:
- Environmental Regulations: Increasing regulations aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions can result in higher compliance costs and operational challenges. Companies may face stricter rules in different jurisdictions regarding sustainability practices.
- Tax Policies: Changes in tax policies, including those related to carbon taxes or subsidies for renewable energy, could impact profitability.
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Transition to Renewables:
- Investment Challenges: Transitioning to a more renewable-focused energy portfolio requires substantial investment. Balancing capital allocation between traditional oil and gas projects and renewable initiatives can be challenging.
- Competition: The renewable energy sector is becoming more competitive, with numerous players emerging. TotalEnergies must innovate and differentiate its offerings to remain competitive.
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Technological Risks:
- Innovation and Adaptation: To succeed in renewables, TotalEnergies must invest in and adapt new technologies. Failure to effectively integrate new technologies could hinder growth and profitability in a transitioning energy landscape.
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Geopolitical Risks:
- Political Instability: TotalEnergies operates in various countries, some of which have unstable political environments that can disrupt operations, affect supply chains, or lead to expropriation risks.
- Sanctions and Trade Policies: Changes in international relations and trade policies can impact TotalEnergies’ operations, especially in markets like Russia, where political tensions could lead to sanctions.
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Operational Risks:
- Safety and Environmental Incidents: The risk of accidents, spills, or other environmental incidents poses not only a regulatory risk but also reputational harm.
- Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain issues, exacerbated by geopolitical tensions or pandemics, can affect the company's ability to source materials and deliver products.
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Reputational Risk:
- Public Perception: As the world shifts towards sustainability, companies like TotalEnergies that have a legacy in fossil fuels may face reputational challenges if seen as lagging in their transition to sustainable energy solutions.
By carefully managing these risks and aligning strategy with industry trends, TotalEnergies can position itself for future success. Continuous adaptation and a forward-looking approach will be key in navigating the evolving energy landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
TotalEnergies SE
Balance Sheet Decomposition
TotalEnergies SE
Current Assets | 91.8B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 30B |
Receivables | 20.6B |
Other Current Assets | 41.1B |
Non-Current Assets | 187.7B |
Long-Term Investments | 37B |
PP&E | 109.4B |
Intangibles | 33.5B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 7.8B |
Current Liabilities | 82.4B |
Accounts Payable | 69.9B |
Other Current Liabilities | 12.5B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 79.7B |
Long-Term Debt | 42.5B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 37.2B |
Earnings Waterfall
TotalEnergies SE
Revenue
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210.2B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-136.7B
USD
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Gross Profit
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73.5B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-40.5B
USD
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Operating Income
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33B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-12B
USD
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Net Income
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21B
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
TotalEnergies SE
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Free Cash Flow | USD |
TotalEnergies reported robust financial results for the second quarter of 2024, with adjusted net income reaching $4.7 billion and cash flow totaling $7.8 billion. The company’s hydrocarbon production reached 2.44 million barrels per day, supported by new projects in Brazil and Nigeria. The integrated LNG segment faced a price drop but maintained steady income and cash flow. Integrated Power achieved a 36% increase in net operating income. TotalEnergies confirmed its annual investment guidance of $17-18 billion and announced $2 billion in share buybacks for the third quarter, targeting a payout of more than 40% of CFFO.
What is Earnings Call?
TTE Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
TotalEnergies SE's profitability score is 58/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
TotalEnergies SE's profitability score is 58/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
TTE Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
TotalEnergies SE's solvency score is 53/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
TotalEnergies SE's solvency score is 53/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
TTE Price Targets Summary
TotalEnergies SE
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TTE is 84.21 USD with a low forecast of 73.65 USD and a high forecast of 116.61 USD.
Shareholder Yield
Current shareholder yield for TTE is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
TTE Price
TotalEnergies SE
Average Annual Return | 12.97% |
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 21.49% |
Max Drawdown | -56% |
Market Capitalization | 153.1B USD |
Shares Outstanding | 2 361 965 120 |
Percentage of Shares Shorted | 0.21% |
Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
TotalEnergies SE engages in the exploration and production of fuels, natural gas and low carbon electricity. The company is headquartered in Paris, Ile-De-France and currently employs 101,309 full-time employees. The company operates through four segments: Exploration and Production, Gas, Renewables & Power, Refining & Chemicals and Marketing & Services. Exploration & Production encompasses the exploration and production activities. Gas, Renewables & Power comprises gas activities conducted downstream of the production process and concerns natural gas, liquefied natural gas (LNG) and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), as well as power generation, gas and power trading and marketing. The company also develops renewable energy activities (excluding biotechnologies) and the power storage. Energy efficiency activities are represented through a dedicated Innovation & Energy Efficiency division. Refining & Chemicals encompasses refining and petrochemical activities and Hutchinson’s operations. The company also includes oil Trading & Shipping activities. Marketing & Services includes worldwide supply and marketing activities in the oil products and services field.
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The intrinsic value of one TTE stock under the Base Case scenario is 109.88 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 66.3 USD, TotalEnergies SE is Undervalued by 40%.