Taylor Morrison Home Corp
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one TMHC stock under the Base Case scenario is 110.37 USD. Compared to the current market price of 70.73 USD, Taylor Morrison Home Corp is Undervalued by 36%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Taylor Morrison Home Corp
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Fundamental Analysis
Economic Moat
Taylor Morrison Home Corp
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Taylor Morrison Home Corp. is a leading player in the residential homebuilding sector, known for its exceptional craftsmanship and customer-centric approach. Founded in 2007 and based in Scottsdale, Arizona, the company specializes in designing and constructing single-family homes and high-density residential communities across the United States. Taylor Morrison's vision aligns with many current market trends, focusing on sustainability and innovative design, which appeals not only to first-time homebuyers but also to families seeking their dream homes. With a reputation for quality and an extensive portfolio, the company has established itself as a trusted name in the industry, making it a...
Taylor Morrison Home Corp. is a leading player in the residential homebuilding sector, known for its exceptional craftsmanship and customer-centric approach. Founded in 2007 and based in Scottsdale, Arizona, the company specializes in designing and constructing single-family homes and high-density residential communities across the United States. Taylor Morrison's vision aligns with many current market trends, focusing on sustainability and innovative design, which appeals not only to first-time homebuyers but also to families seeking their dream homes. With a reputation for quality and an extensive portfolio, the company has established itself as a trusted name in the industry, making it a compelling option for investors looking to tap into the robust demand for housing.
As the U.S. navigates through economic fluctuations and demographic shifts, Taylor Morrison is poised for significant growth. The company has strategically positioned itself in markets with strong job growth and population inflow, creating a solid foundation for future expansion. Additionally, its commitment to environmentally friendly practices enhances its appeal to today's eco-conscious consumers. With a strong balance sheet and a well-managed supply chain, Taylor Morrison is not only able to weather economic downturns but also capitalize on opportunities arising from industry changes. For investors, the combination of a thriving housing market, robust operational strategies, and a clear vision for growth makes Taylor Morrison Home Corp. a noteworthy addition to any investment portfolio.
Taylor Morrison Home Corporation primarily operates in the residential homebuilding industry, and its core business segments can be categorized as follows:
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Homebuilding: This is the primary segment of Taylor Morrison. It involves the purchase of land, the development of residential communities, and the construction of single-family homes, townhomes, and condominiums. In this segment, Taylor Morrison typically operates in various markets across the United States, catering to different demographics and buyer preferences.
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Traditional Homebuilding: This includes the construction of homes that appeal to a wide range of buyers including first-time homebuyers, move-up buyers, and luxury buyers. Taylor Morrison offers a variety of home designs and floor plans in this segment.
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Active Adult Communities: Taylor Morrison has a significant focus on the active adult market, particularly targeting consumers aged 55 and older. This segment includes the development of communities designed specifically for active adults, promoting maintenance-free living and a lifestyle conducive to social engagement.
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Land Development: This segment is related to the acquisition and development of land for residential communities. Taylor Morrison often engages in the development of master-planned communities that can include amenities such as parks, schools, and retail spaces, enhancing the overall value of the residential offerings.
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Financial Services: Taylor Morrison may also have operations related to financial services, which can include offering mortgage financing and title services to homebuyers. This segment helps facilitate the home purchasing process by providing financial solutions tailored to their buyers' needs.
By operating across these various segments, Taylor Morrison aims to deliver a comprehensive range of housing solutions, focusing on the evolving preferences of homebuyers in different demographic groups. The company strategically aligns its offerings to capitalize on trends in the housing market, such as the increasing demand for active adult communities and sustainable living environments.
Taylor Morrison Home Corp has several unique competitive advantages that differentiate it from its rivals in the homebuilding industry:
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Customer-Centric Approach: Taylor Morrison places a strong emphasis on delivering a superior customer experience, which includes personalization options in home design. This focus on customization helps them create homes that meet individual customer needs, fostering loyalty and word-of-mouth referrals.
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Brand Recognition and Reputation: With a long-standing presence in the industry, Taylor Morrison has built a reputable brand known for quality and reliability. This recognition helps attract customers compared to lesser-known competitors.
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Diverse Product Offerings: The company offers a variety of product lines that cater to different market segments, including entry-level homes, move-up homes, and luxury homes, allowing them to target a broader audience and adjust to market demands.
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Strategic Land Acquisition: Taylor Morrison engages in strategic land acquisition to secure prime locations for development. This planning gives them a competitive edge in desirable markets and helps mitigate risks associated with land availability.
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Operational Efficiency: By focusing on streamlined operations and supply chain management, Taylor Morrison can achieve cost efficiencies that improve margin profiles. Their practices in leveraging technology for project management and home construction leads to reduced build times and costs.
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Sustainability Initiatives: The company is increasingly incorporating sustainable building practices and eco-friendly materials, appealing to environmentally conscious buyers. This commitment can be a significant differentiator as sustainability becomes a higher priority for many consumers.
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Strong Financial Position: Taylor Morrison's access to capital and financial stability enables them to invest in land, technology, and talent effectively. Their robust financial performance allows for greater strategic flexibility.
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National Footprint with Local Expertise: Operating in multiple markets across the U.S., Taylor Morrison combines national scalability with local market knowledge. This allows them to adapt their offerings based on regional preferences and trends.
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Innovative Marketing Strategies: Utilizing modern marketing techniques, including digital marketing and social media engagement, helps Taylor Morrison reach potential buyers more effectively than some competitors.
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Commitment to Homeowner Education: Taylor Morrison provides resources and tools for potential homebuyers to educate themselves throughout the buying process, enhancing customer satisfaction and reducing buyer anxiety.
These competitive advantages position Taylor Morrison Home Corp to effectively navigate the competitive landscape within the homebuilding sector and capitalize on future market opportunities.
Taylor Morrison Home Corp, like many companies in the homebuilding and real estate sector, faces several potential risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key areas to consider:
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Economic Conditions: Fluctuations in the economy can significantly impact consumer confidence and spending. A downturn could lead to reduced demand for new homes.
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Interest Rates: Rising interest rates can increase mortgage costs, making home buying less affordable for consumers. This could lead to decreased sales and lower profit margins.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Ongoing supply chain issues, exacerbated by global events or trade tensions, can delay construction projects and increase costs of materials.
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Labor Shortages: The construction industry has been facing labor shortages, which can lead to project delays and increased labor costs.
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Land Costs: Escalating prices for developable land can impact profitability. Competition for desirable locations may drive prices up significantly.
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Regulatory Changes: Changes in zoning laws, building codes, and environmental regulations can create additional compliance costs or limit development opportunities.
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Market Competition: The homebuilding market is competitive, with many players. Increased competition can lead to price wars, affecting margins.
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Consumer Preferences: Shifts in consumer preferences towards more sustainable or technology-enabled homes may necessitate changes in design and construction practices.
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Natural Disasters/Climate Change: Homebuilders must consider the risks associated with natural disasters, which can impact property values and insurance costs.
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Economic Policy: Changes in government policy, such as tax reforms or housing incentives, can influence the housing market and consumer decisions.
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Investor Sentiment: Fluctuating stock market conditions and investor sentiment can affect the availability of capital and the company’s market valuation.
Addressing these risks requires proactive management strategies, adaptability, and an understanding of market dynamics.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Taylor Morrison Home Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Taylor Morrison Home Corp
Current Assets | 7.2B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 256.4m |
Receivables | 207.6m |
Other Current Assets | 6.8B |
Non-Current Assets | 2.1B |
Long-Term Investments | 671m |
PP&E | 391.6m |
Intangibles | 663.2m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 334m |
Current Liabilities | 1.2B |
Accounts Payable | 269.3m |
Accrued Liabilities | 614.3m |
Other Current Liabilities | 313m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 2.4B |
Long-Term Debt | 2.1B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 255.6m |
Earnings Waterfall
Taylor Morrison Home Corp
Revenue
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7.8B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-5.9B
USD
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Gross Profit
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1.9B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-764m
USD
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Operating Income
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1.2B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-349m
USD
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Net Income
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813.4m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Taylor Morrison Home Corp
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q3, Taylor Morrison delivered 3,394 homes, with a gross margin of 24.8%, contributing to a remarkable year-over-year earnings growth of 50% to $2.37 per share. Revenue exceeded $2 billion, driven by a 29% increase in closings volume. Despite hurricane disruptions, the company maintained strong operational performance and improved guidance, projecting 12,725 total closings for the year and a gross margin around 24.3%. Looking ahead, they expect continued strength in demand, primarily from move-up and resort lifestyle buyers, while achieving a targeted annual sales pace in the low 3 range, emphasizing their resilient market position amid economic uncertainty.
What is Earnings Call?
TMHC Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Taylor Morrison Home Corp's profitability score is 56/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Taylor Morrison Home Corp's profitability score is 56/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
TMHC Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Taylor Morrison Home Corp's solvency score is 64/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Taylor Morrison Home Corp's solvency score is 64/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
TMHC Price Targets Summary
Taylor Morrison Home Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TMHC is 84.81 USD with a low forecast of 74.78 USD and a high forecast of 106.05 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for TMHC is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
TMHC Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Dividend Yield
Description
Taylor Morrison Home Corp. engages in the business of residential homebuilding and the development of lifestyle communities. The company is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona and currently employs 3,000 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2013-04-10. The firm is also a land developer, with a portfolio of lifestyle and master-planned communities. The company provides an assortment of homes across a range of price points to appeal to an array of consumer groups. The firm designs, builds and sells single and multi-family detached and attached homes in traditional markets for entry level, move-up and 55-plus active lifestyle buyers. The firm operates under various brand names, including Taylor Morrison, Darling Homes Collection by Taylor Morrison and Esplanade. The company through, Christopher Todd Communities, operates a Build-to-Rent homebuilding business. The company serves as a land acquirer, developer and homebuilder while Christopher Todd Communities provides community designs and property management consultation. In addition, it develops and constructs multi-use properties consisting of commercial space, retail and multi-family properties under the Urban Form brand.
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one TMHC stock under the Base Case scenario is 110.37 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 70.73 USD, Taylor Morrison Home Corp is Undervalued by 36%.