Taylor Morrison Home Corp
NYSE:TMHC

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Taylor Morrison Home Corp Logo
Taylor Morrison Home Corp
NYSE:TMHC
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Price: 70.73 USD 1.86% Market Closed
Market Cap: 7.3B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one TMHC stock under the Base Case scenario is 110.37 USD. Compared to the current market price of 70.73 USD, Taylor Morrison Home Corp is Undervalued by 36%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

TMHC Intrinsic Value
110.37 USD
Undervaluation 36%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Base Case
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Valuation Backtest
Taylor Morrison Home Corp

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

Economic Moat
Taylor Morrison Home Corp

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Business Breakdown

Taylor Morrison Home Corp. is a leading player in the residential homebuilding sector, known for its exceptional craftsmanship and customer-centric approach. Founded in 2007 and based in Scottsdale, Arizona, the company specializes in designing and constructing single-family homes and high-density residential communities across the United States. Taylor Morrison's vision aligns with many current market trends, focusing on sustainability and innovative design, which appeals not only to first-time homebuyers but also to families seeking their dream homes. With a reputation for quality and an extensive portfolio, the company has established itself as a trusted name in the industry, making it a...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Taylor Morrison Home Corp

Current Assets 7.2B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 256.4m
Receivables 207.6m
Other Current Assets 6.8B
Non-Current Assets 2.1B
Long-Term Investments 671m
PP&E 391.6m
Intangibles 663.2m
Other Non-Current Assets 334m
Current Liabilities 1.2B
Accounts Payable 269.3m
Accrued Liabilities 614.3m
Other Current Liabilities 313m
Non-Current Liabilities 2.4B
Long-Term Debt 2.1B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 255.6m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Taylor Morrison Home Corp

Revenue
7.8B USD
Cost of Revenue
-5.9B USD
Gross Profit
1.9B USD
Operating Expenses
-764m USD
Operating Income
1.2B USD
Other Expenses
-349m USD
Net Income
813.4m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Taylor Morrison Home Corp

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In Q3, Taylor Morrison delivered 3,394 homes, with a gross margin of 24.8%, contributing to a remarkable year-over-year earnings growth of 50% to $2.37 per share. Revenue exceeded $2 billion, driven by a 29% increase in closings volume. Despite hurricane disruptions, the company maintained strong operational performance and improved guidance, projecting 12,725 total closings for the year and a gross margin around 24.3%. Looking ahead, they expect continued strength in demand, primarily from move-up and resort lifestyle buyers, while achieving a targeted annual sales pace in the low 3 range, emphasizing their resilient market position amid economic uncertainty.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

TMHC Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Taylor Morrison Home Corp's profitability score is 56/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive 3-Year Average ROE
Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive Gross Profit
Positive 3-Years Revenue Growth
56/100
Profitability
Score

Taylor Morrison Home Corp's profitability score is 56/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

TMHC Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Taylor Morrison Home Corp's solvency score is 64/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Short-Term Solvency
High Altman Z-Score
Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
64/100
Solvency
Score

Taylor Morrison Home Corp's solvency score is 64/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

TMHC Price Targets Summary
Taylor Morrison Home Corp

Wall Street analysts forecast TMHC stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TMHC is 84.81 USD with a low forecast of 74.78 USD and a high forecast of 106.05 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
74.78 USD
6% Upside
Average
Price Target
84.81 USD
20% Upside
Highest
Price Target
106.05 USD
50% Upside
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Dividends

Taylor Morrison Home Corp
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for TMHC is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

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Dividend Yield
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Ownership

TMHC Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

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Profile

Taylor Morrison Home Corp Logo
Taylor Morrison Home Corp

Country

United States of America

Industry

Consumer products

Market Cap

7.3B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Taylor Morrison Home Corp. engages in the business of residential homebuilding and the development of lifestyle communities. The company is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona and currently employs 3,000 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2013-04-10. The firm is also a land developer, with a portfolio of lifestyle and master-planned communities. The company provides an assortment of homes across a range of price points to appeal to an array of consumer groups. The firm designs, builds and sells single and multi-family detached and attached homes in traditional markets for entry level, move-up and 55-plus active lifestyle buyers. The firm operates under various brand names, including Taylor Morrison, Darling Homes Collection by Taylor Morrison and Esplanade. The company through, Christopher Todd Communities, operates a Build-to-Rent homebuilding business. The company serves as a land acquirer, developer and homebuilder while Christopher Todd Communities provides community designs and property management consultation. In addition, it develops and constructs multi-use properties consisting of commercial space, retail and multi-family properties under the Urban Form brand.

Contact

ARIZONA
Scottsdale
4900 N Scottsdale Rd Ste 2000
+14808408100.0
investors.taylormorrison.com

IPO

2013-04-10

Employees

3 000

Officers

Chairman, President & CEO
Ms. Sheryl Denise Palmer
Executive VP & CFO
Mr. Curt VanHyfte
Executive VP, Chief Legal Officer & Secretary
Mr. Darrell C. Sherman Esq.
Executive Vice President of Strategic & Operational Initiatives
Mr. Louis Steffens
Executive VP & Chief Corporate Operations Officer
Mr. Erik Heuser
Chief Accounting Officer
Mr. Joseph Terracciano
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Chief Information Officer
Mr. John Lucas
Chief Marketing & Communications Officer
Ms. Stephanie McCarty
Senior VP of People Operations, Development & Acquisition
Ms. Charissa Wagner
Executive VP & President of Financial Services
Ms. Tawn Lin Kelley
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Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one TMHC stock?

The intrinsic value of one TMHC stock under the Base Case scenario is 110.37 USD.

Is TMHC stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 70.73 USD, Taylor Morrison Home Corp is Undervalued by 36%.

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