TFI International Inc
NYSE:TFII
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one TFII stock under the Base Case scenario is 172.33 USD. Compared to the current market price of 145.35 USD, TFI International Inc is Undervalued by 16%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
TFI International Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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TFI International Inc. is a North American transportation and logistics powerhouse, renowned for its extensive network and diverse service offerings. Founded in 1957, the company has flourished into a multifaceted organization, operating across several segments, including truckload, less-than-truckload (LTL), logistics, and package and courier services. By strategically acquiring smaller firms and enhancing its operational efficiency, TFI has established a robust footprint in the continental marketplace. Investors looking for growth will appreciate TFI’s commitment to innovation, leveraging technology to optimize routes and improve service delivery, all while maintaining a focus on sustainab...
TFI International Inc. is a North American transportation and logistics powerhouse, renowned for its extensive network and diverse service offerings. Founded in 1957, the company has flourished into a multifaceted organization, operating across several segments, including truckload, less-than-truckload (LTL), logistics, and package and courier services. By strategically acquiring smaller firms and enhancing its operational efficiency, TFI has established a robust footprint in the continental marketplace. Investors looking for growth will appreciate TFI’s commitment to innovation, leveraging technology to optimize routes and improve service delivery, all while maintaining a focus on sustainability and reducing environmental impact.
Under the leadership of a seasoned management team, TFI International has been able to maintain a strong financial performance, driven by both organic growth and strategic acquisitions. The company has consistently delivered solid revenue and profit margins, making it a compelling investment choice for those seeking exposure to the logistics sector. With a focus on scalability and adaptability, TFI is well-positioned to navigate fluctuations in the economy and the ever-evolving landscape of transportation services. As e-commerce continues to surge and demand for freight logistics rises, TFI International stands out as a resilient player, highlighting its potential for long-term value creation in a dynamic market.
TFI International Inc. is a Canadian-based transportation and logistics company that operates across multiple segments within the North American market. The core business segments of TFI International include:
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Truckload Services:
- This segment involves the provision of long-haul and regional truckload transportation services. TFI operates a fleet of trucks to deliver goods across various distances, catering to businesses that require dedicated freight services.
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Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) Services:
- TFI’s LTL operations allow for the transportation of smaller freight shipments that do not require a full truckload. This segment focuses on providing frequent service and fast delivery options for businesses needing to move smaller quantities of goods.
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Logistics and Freight Management:
- TFI offers logistics services that encompass freight brokerage, intermodal transportation solutions, and supply chain management. This segment helps customers optimize their transportation networks and improve efficiency through strategic logistics planning.
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Specialized Services:
- This includes specialized transportation services for sectors such as temperature-controlled logistics, oversized loads, and hazardous materials. TFI caters to niche markets that require unique handling and transportation needs.
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Packaging and Warehousing:
- TFI also engages in packaging services, primarily focused on the requirements of its customers. Additionally, it provides warehousing solutions to facilitate storage and distribution of goods.
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Last-Mile Delivery:
- The last-mile segment includes services designed to deliver goods directly to consumers or businesses from local distribution centers. This is becoming increasingly important due to the growth of e-commerce.
Each of these segments plays a strategic role in TFI International's overall business model, allowing the company to serve various customer needs while optimizing operational efficiencies and expanding its market presence in North America.
TFI International Inc., a North American freight transportation and logistics company, has several unique competitive advantages that help it stand out from its rivals:
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Diverse Operating Segments: TFI operates in multiple sectors of the transportation industry, including truckload, less-than-truckload (LTL), logistics, and package transportation. This diversification enables the company to mitigate risks associated with market fluctuations in specific segments and to offer a more comprehensive service to customers.
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Strong Network: TFI International has built an extensive and efficient network across Canada and the United States. This network allows for optimized route planning, faster delivery times, and better service to customers, which can be a critical differentiator in the logistics industry.
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Acquisition Strategy: TFI has a history of successfully acquiring smaller transportation companies, which allows it to quickly enhance its service offerings, expand its geographic reach, and leverage synergies to improve efficiency. This aggressive acquisition strategy can provide TFI with economies of scale and access to new markets.
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Focus on Technology and Innovation: TFI invests in technology to enhance operational efficiency and improve customer service. This includes using data analytics for route optimization, real-time tracking for customers, and maintaining a modern fleet, which can lead to reduced costs and improved reliability.
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Strong Financial Position: A sound financial foundation allows TFI to invest in growth opportunities, whether through acquisitions or capital expenditures. Its smart capital allocation strategies, reminiscent of Buffett and Munger's investment philosophies, support long-term value creation.
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Experienced Management Team: TFI's leadership team brings extensive industry experience and expertise, which is vital for navigating challenges in the logistics and transportation sector. Their strategic vision is crucial for maintaining a competitive edge in a rapidly changing market.
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Customer-Centric Approach: TFI focuses on building long-term relationships with its customers by providing customized solutions and exceptional service quality. This customer-centric approach fosters loyalty and can result in repeat business, crucial in a service-oriented industry.
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Sustainability Initiatives: TFI is increasingly emphasizing environmentally responsible practices, which can serve as a competitive advantage as both customers and regulatory bodies prioritize sustainable transportation solutions. This forward-thinking approach can enhance its reputation and attract environmentally conscious clients.
In summary, TFI International Inc.’s unique competitive advantages stem from its diversified operations, strong network, strategic acquisitions, technological investments, solid financials, experienced leadership, customer-focused approach, and commitment to sustainability. These elements allow TFI to differentiate itself in a crowded marketplace and effectively compete against rivals.
As a professional business analyst, I can outline several potential risks and challenges that TFI International Inc., a logistics and transportation company, might encounter in the near future:
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Economic Volatility: TFI International is sensitive to economic conditions as demand for transportation services typically correlates with economic activity. Economic slowdowns, inflation, or recession could adversely impact revenue.
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Fuel Price Fluctuations: As a trucking and logistics company, TFI's operational costs are significantly affected by fuel prices. Increases in fuel costs can squeeze margins unless they can pass on these costs to customers.
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Labor Shortages: The transportation industry faces persistent labor shortages, particularly for qualified drivers. Difficulty in recruiting and retaining skilled workers can limit operational capacity and lead to service issues.
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Regulatory Changes: Changes in regulations, such as emissions standards or labor laws, could impose additional compliance costs or operational constraints.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain issues, such as delays at ports or shortages of raw materials, can affect TFI's ability to provide reliable services to its customers.
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Technological Advancements: The logistics industry is undergoing rapid technological changes. TFI must invest in technology to remain competitive, which can involve significant capital expenditure. Failure to innovate effectively could lead to loss of market share.
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Competition: The logistics and transportation sector is highly competitive. TFI faces competition from both traditional carriers and newer, technology-driven logistics companies. Price wars or loss of key contracts could negatively impact profitability.
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Customer Concentration: If a significant portion of TFI's revenue is derived from a small number of major customers, the loss of one or more of these clients could have a detrimental impact on the company's financial performance.
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Geopolitical Risks: International operations expose TFI to geopolitical risks, including trade restrictions, tariffs, or instability in markets where it operates, affecting logistics and transportation routes.
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Environmental Concerns: Increasing focus on sustainability and environmental impact may require TFI to adapt its operations to meet new standards, which could involve additional costs.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As TFI invests in digital solutions, it becomes more vulnerable to cyberattacks, which could disrupt operations and compromise sensitive business information.
By monitoring these risks and implementing strategic measures to mitigate them, TFI International can enhance its resilience and continue to thrive in a competitive environment.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
TFI International Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
TFI International Inc
Current Assets | 1.3B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 26.6m |
Receivables | 1.1B |
Other Current Assets | 142.2m |
Non-Current Assets | 6.2B |
Long-Term Investments | 20.9m |
PP&E | 3.5B |
Intangibles | 2.6B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 33.4m |
Current Liabilities | 1.4B |
Accounts Payable | 728.4m |
Other Current Liabilities | 625.2m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 3.5B |
Long-Term Debt | 2.7B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 732m |
Earnings Waterfall
TFI International Inc
Revenue
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8B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-4B
USD
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Gross Profit
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4B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-3.3B
USD
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Operating Income
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745.5m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-270.2m
USD
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Net Income
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475.3m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
TFI International Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q2 2024, the company saw strong performance with a 27% increase in revenue before fuel surcharge, reaching $1.96 billion, and operating income of $208 million. The Daseke acquisition significantly boosted revenue and contributed $23 million to operating income. Adjusted EPS rose to $1.71. Free cash flow generation was robust at $151 million. The company reiterated its full-year guidance, expecting EPS between $6.75 and $7 and free cash flow of $825-$900 million. A quarterly dividend increased by 14% to $0.40 per share. Strategic cost management and efficient operations remain core focuses to navigate current market challenges and optimize the benefits of recent acquisitions.
What is Earnings Call?
TFII Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
TFI International Inc's profitability score is 59/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
TFI International Inc's profitability score is 59/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
TFII Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
TFI International Inc's solvency score is 43/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
TFI International Inc's solvency score is 43/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
TFII Price Targets Summary
TFI International Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TFII is 157.91 USD with a low forecast of 104.66 USD and a high forecast of 194.3 USD.
Shareholder Yield
Current shareholder yield for TFII is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
TFII Price
TFI International Inc
Average Annual Return | 44.03% |
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 56.48% |
Max Drawdown | -53% |
Market Capitalization | 12.7B USD |
Shares Outstanding | 85 124 441 |
Percentage of Shares Shorted | 0.33% |
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
TFI International, Inc. engages in the provision of freight transportation and logistics services. The company is headquartered in Saint-Laurent, Quebec and currently employs 29,539 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2002-09-30. The firm's segments include Package and Courier, Less-Than-Truckload, Truckload and Logistics. The Package and Courier segment consists of pickup, transport and delivery of items across North America. The Less-Than-Truckload segment offers pickup, consolidation, transport and delivery of smaller loads. The Truckload segment consists of full loads carried directly from the customer to the destination using a closed van or specialized equipment to meet the customer's specific needs. The Truckload segment also includes expedited transportation, flatbed, container and dedicated services. The Logistics segment offers logistics services, including brokerage, freight forwarding and transportation management, as well as small package parcel delivery.
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Officers
The intrinsic value of one TFII stock under the Base Case scenario is 172.33 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 145.35 USD, TFI International Inc is Undervalued by 16%.