Stellar Bancorp Inc

NYSE:STEL

Earnings Call Analysis

Stellar Bancorp Reports Strong Q2 And Future Outlook

Stellar Bancorp reported a strong second quarter with net income rising to $29.8 million from $26.1 million in Q1. Despite a slight dip in net interest margin to 4.24% from 4.26%, the company maintained a solid performance amidst high interest rates. The emphasis is on diversifying the lending business and building a strong deposit base, which resulted in lowering commercial real estate portfolio concentration. CFO Paul Egge indicated stability and potential growth in net interest income, while the company strategically prepares for future opportunities, expecting favorable conditions through 2025. The focus remains on capital, liquidity, and credit strength going forward.

A Solid Quarter Amid Challenges

Stellar Bancorp has reported its second quarter earnings for 2024, showcasing a net income of $29.8 million, or $0.56 per diluted share. This marks an increase over the first quarter, where earnings were $26.1 million with a share price of $0.49. Consequently, the annualized Return on Average Assets (ROAA) improved to 1.13% from 0.98%, and Return on Average Tangible Common Equity (ROATCE) rose to 12.82% from 11.47%. These results reflect the bank's ongoing efforts to balance risks and manage assets efficiently during a climate of higher interest rates.

Focusing on Asset Quality and Risk Management

The bank's strategy has pivoted towards derisking its balance sheet while maintaining a focus on capital, liquidity, and credit quality. CEO Bob Franklin indicated that their commercial real estate portfolio is in line with regulatory guidance, and they intend to sustain this standard moving forward. The bank aims to emphasize small- to medium-sized businesses while containing risk, showcasing a balanced approach to lending amid economic uncertainty.

Earnings and Revenue Insights

Net interest income for the quarter stood at $101.4 million, with a slight decline from the previous quarter's $102.1 million, leading to a net interest margin of 4.24%, down from 4.26%. Excluding purchase accounting, the net interest margin further decreased from 3.91% to 3.82%, reflecting shifts in funding composition. Notably, their funding mix is weighted favorably with noninterest-bearing deposits, significantly stabilizing at 2.16%, providing an advantage over industry averages.

Positive Trends in Capital and Growth Potential

Stellar Bancorp has successfully increased its total risk-based capital ratio to 15.34% from 14.02% at the end of 2023 and 12.39% at the end of 2022. This progression reflects a strong earnings profile and capital generation, positioning the bank well for internal growth and potential acquisitions. Management expressed optimism for continued organic growth as they navigate the remaining half of 2024.

A Cautious Yet Optimistic Outlook

As the bank prepares for the back half of the year, management remains cautious due to uncertainties in interest rates and broader economic factors. However, there is eagerness to capitalize on opportunities when they arise. With robust job and population growth in Texas, the franchise's future outlook remains positive, underscoring the bank's strategic advantage in its core markets.

Looking Ahead – Growth and Dividend Considerations

Looking forward, Stellar Bancorp projects a gradual recovery in loan activity and increased profitability. They have set a target for noninterest expenses at around $70 million per quarter. Furthermore, while discussions around capital returns to shareholders (such as dividends or share buybacks) are ongoing, the focus remains on utilizing capital to support franchise growth and strategic acquisitions in the future.

Earnings Call Transcript 2024-Q2

[Operator]

Thank you for standing by. At this time, I'd like to welcome everyone to the Stellar Bancorp, Inc. Q2 2024 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] Thank you.

I'd now like to turn the call over to Courtney Theriot, Chief Accounting Officer. Please go ahead.

[Courtney Theriot, executive]

Thank you, operator, and thank you all who have joined our call today. Good morning. Our team would like to welcome you to our earnings call for the second quarter of 2024. This morning's earnings call will be led by our CEO, Bob Franklin; and CFO, Paul Egge. Also in attendance today are Steve Retzloff, Executive Chairman of the company; Ray Vitulli, President of the company and CEO of the Bank; and Joe West, Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Credit Officer of the Bank.

Before we begin, I need to remind everyone that some of the remarks made today constitute forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 as amended. We intend all such statements to be covered by the safe harbor provisions for forward-looking statements contained in the act. Also note that if we give guidance about future results, that guidance is only a reflection of management's beliefs at the time the statement is made, and such beliefs are subject to change. We disclaim any obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements, except as may be required by law.

Please see the last page of the text in this morning's earnings release, which is available on our website at ir.stellarbancorpinc.com for additional information about the risk factors associated with forward-looking statements. At the conclusion of our remarks, we will open the line and allow time for questions. I will now turn the call over to our CEO, Bob Franklin.

[Robert Franklin, executive]

Thank you, Courtney, and good morning, and welcome to the Stellar Bancorp earnings call for the second quarter. We are pleased to report our results that represent the great work of the Stellar team. Our goal has been to derisk our balance sheet during the cycle of higher interest rates by focusing on capital, liquidity and credit. Our second quarter results reflect these efforts. Our commercial real estate portfolio is now within the regulatory guidance and our goal is to manage and maintain these levels moving forward. While our focus has always been and will remain on relationship banking, we are taking a more balanced approach to our lending. This approach includes a higher emphasis on small- to medium-sized businesses, and we continue to emphasize the acquisition of those operating accounts that are so important to our organization.

We have added great personnel to our staff to lead these efforts across our footprint, and we are pleased with the success of our officer development program and how they have supplemented our C&I efforts. We look forward to great results from them over the years to come.

We remain cautious as we look to the back half of the year without clarity on interest rates as well as being in an election year. We are excited about the future and ready to play offense when the economy and quality funding create room for growth. Our goal has been to provide Stellar Bank optionality and the strategic goals by building a strong deposit base maintaining a good net interest margin and building our capital base. We believe this positions us to take advantage of opportunities as they present themselves moving into and through 2025. We are well positioned and proud of the markets we serve in building our strong Texas franchise. I will now turn the call over to Paul Egge, our CFO, for more detail on the quarter.

[Paul Egge, executive]

Thanks, Bob, and good morning, everybody. We are pleased to report second quarter net income of $29.8 million or $0.56 per diluted share, which represents an annualized ROAA of 1.13% in an annualized ROATCE of 12.82% as compared to first quarter earnings of $26.1 million or $0.49 per diluted share, which made for an ROA of 0.98% and a return on average tangible common equity of 11.47%.

We are proud of our results, particularly since we've been able to maintain a solid performance profile while we optimize our balance sheet risk profile through maintaining that focus on capital, liquidity and credit as we navigate 2024. The net result has been a lower emphasis on loan growth as we seek to diversify our lending business, build a more liquid balance sheet and accrue capital.

On the earnings front, we feel great about our ability to protect earnings power, notwithstanding the pressures from the current interest rate environment and managing the responsibilities that come from being just over $10 billion in assets. So net interest income for the quarter was $101.4 million, representing a decrease of about $700,000 from the $102.1 million booked in the first quarter of 2024. This translated into a net interest margin of 4.24% in the second quarter relative to 4.26% in the first quarter of 2024.

Purchase accounting accretion was $10.1 million relative to $8.6 million in the prior quarter. Excluding purchase accounting accretion, net interest margin was 3.82%, down from 3.91% in the linked quarter and reflective of the full quarter margin impact of the funding mix shift that we experienced in the first quarter. Notwithstanding the mix-driven uptick in our cost of deposits, we are very proud of how favorably our cost of deposits at 2.16% compared to the broader industry.

The primary driver of our cost of funds advantage is our high level of noninterest-bearing deposits, and we feel really good about how our level of noninterest-bearing deposits has stabilized after seeing outflows in the aftermath of SCB in 2023 and the cumulative effects of the rate cycle. As a result of this stabilization and seeing the cost of our interest-bearing liabilities start to plateau, we see the second quarter net interest income levels as a relative trough from which to grow from in the back half of 2024.

Walking further down the income statement, we booked a $1.9 million reversal of provision for credit losses in the second quarter versus a $4.1 million provision for credit losses in the prior quarter, mostly due to stable credit and lower loan balances. And since annualized net charge-offs were negligible and loan balances decreased, our allowance for credit losses actually ticked up to 1.23% of total loans from 1.22% in the prior quarter, notwithstanding that reversal.

Moving on to noninterest income. We earned $5.4 million for the quarter versus $6.3 million in the first quarter. I should note that the prior quarter benefited from nearly $0.5 million gain on the sale of assets and some SBIC income in the quarter.

Last, noninterest expense for the quarter was $71.2 million down slightly from the $71.4 million in noninterest expense from the first quarter. Excluding notable nonrecurring items such as additional FDIC special assessment charge that totaled $420,000, and approximately $450,000 of severance and certain other items, our noninterest expense was generally in line with our expectations for the quarter.

Given cumulative industry pressures and our position at just over $10 billion in assets, we feel great about our earnings power relative to the industry, our positioning for future organic and inorganic growth opportunities and the potential for meaningful operating leverage when we add more assets to the Stellar Bank platform that we've built.

As it relates to capital, we've been very successful growing our regulatory capital ratio since the merger and the second quarter was no exception. Total risk-based capital was 15.34% at the end of Q2 relative to 14.02% at the end of 2023 and 12.39% at the end of 2022. This process has been -- progress has been consistent across all regulatory capital ratios and is reflective of our tangible book value growth since closing the merger, which is also thanks to a relatively strong earnings profile notwithstanding a very accelerated amortization of CDI expense. We continue to like our prospects for internal capital generation, which we feel is very strategically valuable in the current operating environment.

We ended the quarter with $104.3 million in core deposit intangible assets and a remaining loan discount of $87.4 million.

In summary, we believe that Stellar's consistent focus on capital, liquidity and credit has served us very well as we navigate today's uncertain economy. The incredible strength and resilience of our market is advantageous from a credit standpoint and will prove just as advantageous when the time is right to be more assertive about loan growth. We believe our strategic positioning as the largest locally focused bank in the markets we serve will continue to drive our success in the remainder of 2024 and beyond. Thank you, and I will now turn the call back over to Bob.

[Robert Franklin, executive]

Thank you, Paul. And operator, I think we're ready to take questions.

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of David Feaster from Raymond James.

[David Feaster, analyst]

Maybe just starting with the decline in loans. I'm curious if you could help us think through what's going on, how much of this is strategic, just given less appetite for CRE at this point and maybe tightening structures and standards ahead of a potential credit cycle versus weaker demand or increased payoff activity. Just kind of curious if you could help us dig through what drove that and your appetite for credit today?

[Robert Franklin, executive]

David, I think you may have answered your own question there. That's pretty much -- we had a -- given the environment, we wanted to make sure -- and when we put the 2 banks together, we had a significant amount of CRE on our books, and we wanted to get that down for a number of reasons to down under the guidance. So we've accomplished that at this point, and are starting a sort of a more balanced effort as we start to grow the portfolio back.

And we've been cautious. I mean we have been cautious this year around what the damage to the economy is going to be around interest rates. And I'm not sure we totally experienced that yet in the markets. But we -- our market continues to be good.

Loan demand, I would say, is still okay. It's still -- but it's certainly not robust as it had been, say, earlier in the year or even last year. So I'm going to let Ray make some comments on this because he's got some good information, I think.

[Ramon Vitulli, executive]

David, in addition to what Bob said, the -- as far as like the waterfall of how we got there in the quarter, we've been originating around $300 million for the last 4 quarters, but the second quarter was down about around $250 million. So that was about $50 million less than what we've historically been originating in this posture that we've -- that we've taken. And then our payoffs did increase. So we've been somewhere around $250 million a quarter in payoffs and the first quarter was $320 million. So that -- those are elevated payoffs.

And then the other component, which we call are carried, which is our advances, net of our payments because of where we've -- the posture we've taken around C&D and that availability in that bucket going down, that carried actually flipped to the negative. So we actually had about a $30 million payments exceeding advances, which is probably what we'll see until we take a more offensive approach.

[David Feaster, analyst]

Okay. Okay. So it kind of sounds like loans tread and water here stabilizing?

[Robert Franklin, executive]

Stabilized, I think, we're making this transition to a little more balanced approach and a little more emphasis on C&I. We've also brought down the C&D part of that. So as these construction loans funded out, we haven't been replacing them in this robust fashion as we had in the couple of years ago. But -- so it's really a more balanced approach on how we grow the organization. And I think -- and we get through sort of all the noise in the marketplace from interest rates to presidential election to all the other things that are going on out there that we are well positioned to move forward.

And I think as we get more comfort in that, that's exactly what we'll be doing. And our markets continue to grow. We continue to see job growth, population growth here and I just think the future is really good for this franchise.

[David Feaster, analyst]

That's great. And great to see -- well, maybe staying on that kind of side. You've historically had a lot of success recruiting talent. I'm curious maybe what you're seeing on the hiring front. Do you have any appetite for new producers here? And -- where would you be interested in deepening your presence or potentially interested in the market expansion at all? Just kind of curious what you're thinking on the hiring front?

[Robert Franklin, executive]

Hiring front has been really good. We've been able to attract some great senior C&I talent that are just getting their feet wet and getting going. We're producing our own through our ODP program, our office development program and pushing those folks towards the C&I side of the business, and I think that's going to pay off as we move down the road. But Stellar Bank is becoming a place that people feel very good about coming to work for. And we've seen the talent migrate in our direction. We've had some great opportunities to bring some people on. And we're going to continue to do that. We're continuing to look for talent all across the Board. Ray you want to?

[David Feaster, analyst]

That's great. And then last for me, just stabilization in NIB balances, especially with some of the delevering of C&I borrowers that we've seen and seasonal issues, I'm curious if you could help us think through some of the underlying trends that you're seeing and whether you think this is kind of a sustainable stabilization and funding costs should start to stabilize and could ultimately translate into margin expansion and NII growth going forward? Is that the right way to think about it?

[Ramon Vitulli, executive]

Yes, David, I think the -- we look at the leading indicator on our new accounts onboarded, and it had another strong quarter. In fact, dollar amount was one of the highest quarters of new onboarded accounts that we've had in 4 quarters. So really pleased there. And the other component of that, which we're really excited about, is that 55% of those onboarded number of accounts were new customers. So I think that reflects on our bankers out in the field and as well as our brand. And inside of that, of the noninterest-bearing new accounts, 69% of the noninterest-bearing were customers that have not been here before.

So we think those are great trends. And I think that will -- as we move forward and those accounts build because they start typically at a lower balance, obviously, that, that will result in what you're talking about of how we maintain this level of NIB and also maintain -- or deal with our cost of funds.

[Robert Franklin, executive]

Yes, David, we've been trying to wait to a point where some of the noise and interest rates, especially on the deposit side get drowned out a bit. And I think we're starting to see stabilization across the industry. We're not seeing reaches for higher and higher interest rates. The thing that we know about our franchise is that we -- once we get a level playing field, we can compete for deposit and loans, for that matter, but certainly for deposits. And that's been our background. And so we think that's starting to inflect and get to the point where things will be a lot more competitive and where we're competing on quality rather than just higher interest rates.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Will Jones at KBW.

[William Jones, analyst]

I just wanted to start on the margin and maybe more specifically, deposit costs. It was a bit surprising maybe to see a little bit of an acceleration this quarter, and deposit costs just after -- just comparing to what we saw in the first quarter. And I kind of go back to your comments last quarter about the necessity to see a little bit of a liquidity build. I guess question is, is that kind of a little bit of the driver of this quarter's change? And then it's been a broader narrative this quarter that, yes, maybe deposit costs continue to see pressure in the early half of the quarter, but moderated and maybe even stabilized as we entered the latter half. Would you guys kind of describe that as the trend for your deposit cost this quarter?

[Paul Egge, executive]

No. I'll start with the drivers of margin. And I would say really, the big driver of that cost was the cost of funds and ultimately, what you saw in the second quarter was really the full quarter effect of our how our mix of deposits shifted during the first quarter of 2024. So probably around mid-quarter, mid to late quarters where you saw -- where we experienced a measure of noninterest-bearing outflows. And that kind of resetting the deck and effectively replacing noninterest-bearing balances with interest-bearing balances it's ultimately what drove kind of a higher entrance cost of funds in the second quarter.

So really good news is the extent to which it's been rather stable. So we have experience up to this point, if we were to review kind of on a month-to-month basis, a pretty high level of stability in cost of funds. In fact, probably one of the worst cost of funds months was likely April, but it has been relatively stable and it has been improved materially, but we're pleased to be experiencing relative stability and have experienced monthly stability throughout the second quarter.

[William Jones, analyst]

Okay. Great. So if we just kind of pair that commentary, maybe we see deposit costs stabilize here. And just with the expectation that NII trough this quarter and expands from here on out, would you expect margin stability going forward? Or is there opportunity to maybe see a bit of expansion as we exit the year?

[Paul Egge, executive]

I think stability to expansion, I'd actually rather speak in net interest income terms, it's kind of where we're more confident in the trough by virtue of some -- as we build some on balance sheet liquidity and pivot to a larger securities portfolio [indiscernible] can be -- have less an effect on noninterest income as it might have diluting the net interest margin metric. Ideally, we get both, but I see net interest income inflecting perhaps a hair before the metric of net interest margin in flex because of some of the inherently dilutive effects of building liquidity on our balance sheet to that statistic.

[William Jones, analyst]

That's great color, Paul. I appreciate that. And Bob, just a bigger, broader question for you. We've talked about quite a bit about your hiring opportunities and what you're doing internally and reinvesting just from an organic standpoint. But -- what is the conversation like from an inorganic perspective? What is the M&A discussion that's happening in the market today? Are you seeing any pickup in conversation or any incremental interest in the M&A space?

[Robert Franklin, executive]

Yes. I think there continues to be a lot of conversations across the industry, and we're having a significant amount of conversations ourselves. One of the things that we always worry about is how is a future acquisition target look in the way they fund themselves. And the biggest focus for us is trying to maintain the funding profile that we have, which is difficult and it's hard to find good partners that kind of look the same way. And so we feel very strongly that that's -- the value created for shareholders is around the deposit side, especially as we keep -- as we move forward. I think it's becoming more and more important every day.

And so the field gets narrowed a bit on who our acquisition targets might be. But we're having a lot of conversations. There are several folks that I think are starting to understand the difficulties going forward and the valuations may not be exactly what their expectations were going to be, but maybe the right choice is to find the right partner, and we intend to be the partner that they choose and when they come around to decide they want to make that exit .

[William Jones, analyst]

I certainly understand you wanted to maintain that attractive funding profile. So I appreciate all the color guys. That's all for me.

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Matthew Olney from Stephens.

[Matt Olney, analyst]

Paul, I want to go back to something you mentioned earlier. You mentioned building a larger securities portfolio, and we saw some of this in 1Q, again in 2Q. I think these end-of-period balances are close to $1.6 billion. Would love to hear an update on what you've been buying more recently and then expectations for continued build of that portfolio in the back half of the year?

[Paul Egge, executive]

Certainly. We've been giving a very vanilla low risk-weighted agency securities and really changing to a focus on cash flow. We've engaged in some level of securities repositioning since the merger that has been focused on bringing in the duration of our securities portfolio incrementally and focusing on cash flow because securities portfolio, one of its main purposes is a strong source of liquidity. So that's been the flavor of incremental purchases. And we're really comfortable with where it's at now. But I think don't be shocked if we were to grow that as a percentage of average assets perhaps another percentage point or 2.

There's definitely some dynamic -- certain dynamics relating to the pace of loan growth and whatnot that we consider in sizing it, but to get back to the original part of the question, the focus in building it has been more on cash flow-related securities with that heightened focus on liquidity.

[Matt Olney, analyst]

Okay. Paul, and then on the expense side, I think, Paul, you mentioned maybe a few non-core items in the second quarter. Can you just review those again? I think I just missed those in your prepared remarks. And then just more broadly, the full year guidance. I think we've talked around expenses in that $280 million number. I would love to hear any updated thoughts with respect to that?

[Paul Egge, executive]

Yes. The bogey we target for 2024 is quarterly noninterest expense of $70 million. We were at $71.2 million in the second quarter. In the first quarter, we were $71.4 million, and that was reflective of some seasonal dynamics. But in the second quarter, we did have -- we recognized the additional FDIC assessment from SCB. We got the invoice for that during the quarter. So being that, that is probable and estimable. We took the accrual on that of $420,000. We had about $450,000 of severance expenses. And then a handful of other kind of not worth calling out small expenses that are nonrecurring in nature that generally explains that delta between $71.2 million and really our guidance of $70 million a quarter.

[Matt Olney, analyst]

Okay. Got it. And then maybe just lastly for me. I think Bob has mentioned a few times the CRE concentrations have come down and now you're, I think, within some of the guidelines, maybe disclosed that, I just missed it, but can you just give us that -- the percent of -- on the guidelines for CRE and C&D that you're at as of June 30?

[Robert Franklin, executive]

Yes. We're about right on 95% and [indiscernible].

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Andrew with Piper Sandler.

[Unknown Analyst]

Just on the credit side, can you detail what drove the minimal net charge-offs this quarter as well as what drove the reversal of the provision?

[Ramon Vitulli, executive]

I didn't catch all that.

[Robert Franklin, executive]

Could you repeat that, Andrew?

[Unknown Analyst]

Sure. Just on the credit side, can you detail what drove the minimum net charge-offs and what drove the provision reversal this quarter?

[Ramon Vitulli, executive]

Well, there was lower outstandings in our CECL formula as we wait certain categories. There's lower outstanding amounts in those categories, that will bring the estimate down. So I think it was -- the reversal was driven by the fall off of overall loan balances. And also the -- we have less in unfunded out minimal charge-offs is we just -- we have some recoveries that were in the quarter, not huge by any means, but we just didn't have much in the way of loans that necessitated charging off. We're taking a real clear-eyed approach to our credit quality. And if a loan needs to be downgraded, it can be downgraded, but we have on our NPAs, we feel like we have strong collateral coverage. And so we feel like there's no need to have an accurate write-off. And so we've got -- we feel pretty good about that. So that's what drove that release.

[Unknown Analyst]

Okay. That's helpful. And then just one more for me around capital. Just curious how you're thinking about capital retention versus returning capital to shareholders moving forward?

[Robert Franklin, executive]

Yes, Andrew, we're aware of our ability to retain capital. It's something that since the merger happened, we've been building capital. We're now at a point, I think, where we're comfortable in trying to think about what our options are going forward. We are certainly aware of the various ways we can do that. The biggest thing that we would like to do with our capital is to grow the franchise and to help us supplement whatever we choose as far as expanding our franchise. However, we are aware that folks would like us to consider buybacks and dividends, et cetera. But there's other things that we think we might be able to use this capital for and as we make those considerations through the end of the year, I think it will become apparent as to what our thoughts are around capital. But this isn't a time to be capital constrained. I think this is the time to have a little extra around. And so we'll see as we move through the rest of the year.

[Unknown Analyst]

Congrats on the quarter.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of John Rodis with Janney.

[John Rodis, analyst]

Paul, just a question for you, just to follow up your comments on net interest income bottoming, I assume you're talking about core net interest income, excluding yield accretion. Is that correct?

[Paul Egge, executive]

Absolutely, yes.

[John Rodis, analyst]

Okay. And then can you just give us your thoughts on what yield accretion could be in the second half of the year on a quarterly basis or what we should be modeling?

[Paul Egge, executive]

I'd probably look at the first quarter run rate, more than the second quarter run rate. We did benefit from a little bit more in the second quarter. And we're pleased actually. In the second quarter, we have got a lot of payoffs in months that we did not mind seeing payoff. And the net result is obviously an increase in that waterfall portion of accretion. So it's really hard to bet on the behavior of loans, particularly, we've been pleased at some pretty low rate loans are paying off due to sale of property and whatnot, more so than we would have handicapped.

So I'd probably guide towards conservatism closer to the first quarter versus the second quarter. But the good news is we have $87.4 million of loan discount remaining. We feel great about the credit, and we're going to recognize that an income as those loans pay down. And we see a high level of certainty in net accretion income in the coming quarters.

[John Rodis, analyst]

Okay. And then just one other question on the tax rate. What's a good -- it's ticked up a little bit here, but is 20% still good to use? Or should we use a little bit higher?

[Paul Egge, executive]

I would guide you to between 20% and 21%.

[Operator]

I'll now turn the call back over to Bob Franklin for closing remarks.

[Robert Franklin, executive]

Thank you. We thank all of the great folks here at Stellar Bank for their hard work this past quarter, and thank you for your interest in our organization, everyone on this call.

[Operator]

Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.