Spotify Technology SA
NYSE:SPOT

Watchlist Manager
Spotify Technology SA Logo
Spotify Technology SA
NYSE:SPOT
Watchlist
Price: 475.04 USD 0.92% Market Closed
Market Cap: 95.4B USD
Have any thoughts about
Spotify Technology SA?
Write Note

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one SPOT stock under the Base Case scenario is 205.6 USD. Compared to the current market price of 475.04 USD, Spotify Technology SA is Overvalued by 57%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

SPOT Intrinsic Value
205.6 USD
Overvaluation 57%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Spotify Technology SA

Backtest Intrinsic Value
Dive into the past to invest in the future

Uncover deeper insights with the Valuation Backtest. Learn how current stock valuations stack up against historical averages to gauge true investment potential.

Start backtest now and learn if your stock is truly undervalued or overvalued!

Run Backtest
Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

Backtest Example
Register to View Results
Register to View Results

To access the results of this valuation backtest, please register an account with us. Registration is quick and gives you instant access to insights on 3 stocks per week for free.

Backtest Unavailable

The backtest for SPOT cannot be conducted due to limitations such as insufficient data or other constraints. Please select a different stock or adjust your settings.

Backtest In Progress...
Backtest In Progress...
How do you feel about SPOT?
Bearish
Neutral
Bullish

Fundamental Analysis

Economic Moat
Spotify Technology SA

Company Quality
No Indicators Selected
Select Indicators

Select up to 3 indicators:

Insider Trading
0-3
Months
0-6
Months
0-12
Months
0-36
Months
No Periods Selected
Select Periods

Select up to 2 periods:

Investment Journal
AI Assistant
AI Assistant
Ask me anything about Spotify Technology SA

Provide an overview of the primary business activities
of Spotify Technology SA.

What unique competitive advantages
does Spotify Technology SA hold over its rivals?

What risks and challenges
does Spotify Technology SA face in the near future?

Summarize the latest earnings call
of Spotify Technology SA.

What significant events have occurred
in Spotify Technology SA over the past months?

Is it considered overvalued or undervalued
based on the latest financial data?

Show all valuation multiples
for Spotify Technology SA.

Provide P/S
for Spotify Technology SA.

Provide P/E
for Spotify Technology SA.

Provide P/OCF
for Spotify Technology SA.

Provide P/FCFE
for Spotify Technology SA.

Provide P/B
for Spotify Technology SA.

Provide EV/S
for Spotify Technology SA.

Provide EV/GP
for Spotify Technology SA.

Provide EV/EBITDA
for Spotify Technology SA.

Provide EV/EBIT
for Spotify Technology SA.

Provide EV/OCF
for Spotify Technology SA.

Provide EV/FCFF
for Spotify Technology SA.

Provide EV/IC
for Spotify Technology SA.

Show me price targets
for Spotify Technology SA made by professional analysts.

What are the Revenue projections
for Spotify Technology SA?

How accurate were the past Revenue estimates
for Spotify Technology SA?

What are the Net Income projections
for Spotify Technology SA?

How accurate were the past Net Income estimates
for Spotify Technology SA?

What are the EPS projections
for Spotify Technology SA?

How accurate were the past EPS estimates
for Spotify Technology SA?

What are the EBIT projections
for Spotify Technology SA?

How accurate were the past EBIT estimates
for Spotify Technology SA?

Compare the revenue forecasts
for Spotify Technology SA with those of its competitors based on recent analyst estimates.

Compare the intrinsic valuations
of Spotify Technology SA and its key competitors using the latest financial data.

Compare historical revenue growth rates
of Spotify Technology SA against its competitors.

Analyze the profit margins
(gross, operating, and net) of Spotify Technology SA compared to its peers.

Compare the P/E ratios
of Spotify Technology SA against its peers.

Discuss the investment returns and shareholder value creation
comparing Spotify Technology SA with its peers.

Analyze the financial leverage
of Spotify Technology SA compared to its main competitors.

Show all profitability ratios
for Spotify Technology SA.

Provide ROE
for Spotify Technology SA.

Provide ROA
for Spotify Technology SA.

Provide ROIC
for Spotify Technology SA.

Provide ROCE
for Spotify Technology SA.

Provide Gross Margin
for Spotify Technology SA.

Provide Operating Margin
for Spotify Technology SA.

Provide Net Margin
for Spotify Technology SA.

Provide FCF Margin
for Spotify Technology SA.

Show all solvency ratios
for Spotify Technology SA.

Provide D/E Ratio
for Spotify Technology SA.

Provide D/A Ratio
for Spotify Technology SA.

Provide Interest Coverage Ratio
for Spotify Technology SA.

Provide Altman Z-Score Ratio
for Spotify Technology SA.

Provide Quick Ratio
for Spotify Technology SA.

Provide Current Ratio
for Spotify Technology SA.

Provide Cash Ratio
for Spotify Technology SA.

What is the historical Revenue growth
over the last 5 years for Spotify Technology SA?

What is the historical Net Income growth
over the last 5 years for Spotify Technology SA?

What is the current Free Cash Flow
of Spotify Technology SA?

Discuss the annual earnings per share (EPS)
trend over the past five years for Spotify Technology SA.

Business Breakdown

Spotify Technology SA, the pioneering force in the music streaming industry, has transformed the way millions of people access and enjoy music since its inception in 2006. With a mission to democratize music and provide artists with a platform to connect with fans, Spotify has continually evolved its offerings, allowing users to access a vast library of songs and podcasts, personalized playlists, and curated content. This innovative approach has not only made it a household name among music lovers worldwide but also positioned the company as a key player in the growing audio entertainment market. As of 2023, Spotify boasts over 500 million monthly active users, a remarkable figure that under...

Read More
Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Spotify Technology SA

Current Assets 7B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 6.1B
Receivables 776m
Other Current Assets 147m
Non-Current Assets 3.6B
Long-Term Investments 1.6B
PP&E 430m
Intangibles 1.2B
Other Non-Current Assets 330m
Current Liabilities 4.1B
Accounts Payable 738m
Accrued Liabilities 2.3B
Other Current Liabilities 1.1B
Non-Current Liabilities 1.8B
Long-Term Debt 1.8B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 28m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Spotify Technology SA

Revenue
15.1B EUR
Cost of Revenue
-10.8B EUR
Gross Profit
4.3B EUR
Operating Expenses
-3.5B EUR
Operating Income
813m EUR
Other Expenses
-112m EUR
Net Income
701m EUR

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Spotify Technology SA

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In Q3, Spotify saw its Monthly Active Users (MAU) grow by 14 million to reach 640 million, and net subscribers increased by 6 million to 252 million. Total revenue rose 21% year-on-year to EUR 4 billion, with premium revenue up 24% due to subscriber growth and price increases. Gross margin achieved a record 31.1%, surpassing guidance by 90 basis points. For Q4, Spotify expects 665 million MAU and EUR 4.1 billion in revenue, projecting an operating income of EUR 481 million. The company remains focused on innovation while balancing growth and profitability, aiming for 20% annual revenue growth in the long term.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

SPOT Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Spotify Technology SA's profitability score is 49/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

ROE is Increasing
ROIC is Increasing
Positive 3-Years Revenue Growth
Positive Gross Profit
49/100
Profitability
Score

Spotify Technology SA's profitability score is 49/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

SPOT Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Spotify Technology SA's solvency score is 85/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Interest Coverage
High Altman Z-Score
Negative Net Debt
Low D/E
85/100
Solvency
Score

Spotify Technology SA's solvency score is 85/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

SPOT Price Targets Summary
Spotify Technology SA

Wall Street analysts forecast SPOT stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SPOT is 478.37 USD with a low forecast of 247.45 USD and a high forecast of 645.75 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
247.45 USD
48% Downside
Average
Price Target
478.37 USD
1% Upside
Highest
Price Target
645.75 USD
36% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates
Want to learn more about Wall St estimates for SPOT?

Click here to dive deeper.

Dividends

Spotify Technology SA
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for SPOT is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
No dividends
Buyback Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Debt Paydown Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest

SPOT News

Other Videos

Profile

Spotify Technology SA Logo
Spotify Technology SA

Country

Luxembourg

Industry

Media

Market Cap

96.9B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Spotify Technology SA is a digital music service offering music fans instant access to a world of music. The firm enables users to discover new releases, which includes the latest singles and albums; playlists, which includes ready-made playlists put together by music fans and experts, and over millions of songs so that users can play their favorites, discover new tracks and build a personalized collection. Users can either select Spotify Free, which includes only shuffle play or Spotify Premium, which encompasses a range of features, such as shuffle play, advertisement free, unlimited skips, listen offline, play any track and high quality audio. The firm operates through a number of subsidiaries, including Spotify LTD and is present in over 20 countries.

Contact

Luxembourg
42-44 Avenue de la Gare
+46702204607.0
www.spotify.com

IPO

2018-04-03

Employees

6 617

Officers

Founder, CEO & Chairman
Mr. Daniel G. Ek
Chief Business Officer & Co-President
Mr. Alex Norström
Co-President, Chief Product & Technology Officer
Mr. Gustav Söderström
Co-Founder & Director
Mr. Sven Martin Lorentzon
Chief Public Affairs Officer
Ms. Dustee Tucker Jenkins

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one SPOT stock?

The intrinsic value of one SPOT stock under the Base Case scenario is 205.6 USD.

Is SPOT stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 475.04 USD, Spotify Technology SA is Overvalued by 57%.

Back to Top