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Spotify Technology SA
NYSE:SPOT

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Spotify Technology SA
NYSE:SPOT
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Price: 522.44 USD -2.67% Market Closed
Market Cap: $107.6B

EV/OCF

28.1
Current
38%
Cheaper
vs 3-y average of 45.6

Enterprise Value to Operating Cash Flow (EV/OCF) ratio compares a company`s total enterprise value to its operating cash flow. It shows how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company`s operating cash flow, including both equity and debt.

EV/OCF
28.1
=
Enterprise Value
$84.8B
/
Operating Cash Flow
€2.9B

Enterprise Value to Operating Cash Flow (EV/OCF) ratio compares a company`s total enterprise value to its operating cash flow. It shows how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company`s operating cash flow, including both equity and debt.

EV/OCF
28.1
=
Enterprise Value
$84.8B
/
Operating Cash Flow
€2.9B

Valuation Scenarios

Spotify Technology SA is trading below its 3-year average

If EV/OCF returns to its 3-Year Average (45.6), the stock would be worth $847.63 (62% upside from current price).

Statistics
Positive Scenarios
2/4
Maximum Downside
-66%
Maximum Upside
+120%
Average Upside
25%
Scenario EV/OCF Value Implied Price Upside/Downside
Current Multiple 28.1 $522.44
0%
3-Year Average 45.6 $847.63
+62%
5-Year Average 61.9 $1 150.6
+120%
Industry Average 23.5 $436.97
-16%
Country Average 9.6 $178.78
-66%

Forward EV/OCF
Today’s price vs future operating cash flow

Not enough data available to calculate forward EV/OCF

Peer Comparison

All Multiples
EV/OCF
P/E
All Countries
Close
Market Cap EV/OCF P/E
LU
Spotify Technology SA
NYSE:SPOT
107.5B USD 28.1 41.2
US
Netflix Inc
NASDAQ:NFLX
389.8B USD 30.9 29.1
US
Walt Disney Co
NYSE:DIS
188B USD 13.9 15.3
US
Warner Bros Discovery Inc
NASDAQ:WBD
67.7B USD 22.1 93.2
NL
Universal Music Group NV
AEX:UMG
36.8B EUR 22.5 24
US
Live Nation Entertainment Inc
NYSE:LYV
36.1B USD 26.1 -654.8
US
TKO Group Holdings Inc
NYSE:TKO
35.5B USD 37.4 155.2
US
Roku Inc
NASDAQ:ROKU
16.9B USD 30.1 191.4
FR
Bollore SE
PAR:BOL
14.2B EUR 25.5 40.7
US
Warner Music Group Corp
NASDAQ:WMG
15.4B USD 24.8 51.4
CN
Tencent Music Entertainment Group
NYSE:TME
14.8B USD 8.2 9.2

Market Distribution

Higher than 90% of companies in Luxembourg
Percentile
90th
Based on 178 companies
90th percentile
28.1
Low
0 — 6
Typical Range
6 — 15.1
High
15.1 —
Distribution Statistics
Luxembourg
Min 0
30th Percentile 6
Median 9.6
70th Percentile 15.1
Max 462.4

Spotify Technology SA
Glance View

Spotify Technology S.A., founded by Daniel Ek and Martin Lorentzon in 2006, emerged as a revolutionary force in the music streaming industry, transforming how people consume music. The company, headquartered in Sweden, turned the music world on its axis with its user-friendly platform that allows seamless access to a vast library of music tracks and podcasts from across the globe. Spotify operates on a freemium model—users can opt for an ad-supported free service or pay a subscription fee for an enhanced, ad-free experience with additional features like offline listening. This dual-tier service has been central to Spotify's strategy, drawing in massive user numbers while compelling enough of them to convert to paying subscribers, thus forming a stable revenue stream. The heart of Spotify's business model lies in its relationships with record labels and music rights holders, agreements that enable it to host a monumental catalog of songs. Monetization is primarily driven through subscriptions and advertising. Premium subscriptions not only provide a steady revenue channel but also buffer against the variability of ad-generated income. On the advertising front, Spotify sells digital ad space in various formats, such as audio, video, and display ads within its free service. By leveraging data analytics and user personalization, Spotify enhances ad targeting capabilities, offering value to advertisers through highly targeted campaigns, and, in turn, securing its position as a leading player in the music streaming ecosystem.

SPOT Intrinsic Value
401.82 USD
Overvaluation 23%
Intrinsic Value
Price $522.44
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