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Spotify Technology SA
NYSE:SPOT

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Spotify Technology SA
NYSE:SPOT
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Price: 427.4536 USD -13.79%
Market Cap: $88B

EV/FCFF

22.9
Current
50%
Cheaper
vs 3-y average of 46

Enterprise Value to Free Cash Flow to Firm (EV/FCFF) ratio compares a company`s total enterprise value to the free cash flow available to all investors, both debt and equity holders. It shows how much investors are paying for each dollar of cash flow the business generates before interest payments.

EV/FCFF
22.9
=
Enterprise Value
$84.8B
/
Free Cash Flow to Firm
€2.9B

Enterprise Value to Free Cash Flow to Firm (EV/FCFF) ratio compares a company`s total enterprise value to the free cash flow available to all investors, both debt and equity holders. It shows how much investors are paying for each dollar of cash flow the business generates before interest payments.

EV/FCFF
22.9
=
Enterprise Value
$84.8B
/
Free Cash Flow to Firm
€2.9B

Valuation Scenarios

Spotify Technology SA is trading below its 3-year average

If EV/FCFF returns to its 3-Year Average (46), the stock would be worth $857.64 (101% upside from current price).

Statistics
Positive Scenarios
3/4
Maximum Downside
-27%
Maximum Upside
+201%
Average Upside
70%
Scenario EV/FCFF Value Implied Price Upside/Downside
Current Multiple 22.9 $427.45
0%
3-Year Average 46 $857.64
+101%
5-Year Average 69 $1 286.63
+201%
Industry Average 23.9 $445
+4%
Country Average 16.8 $313.23
-27%

Forward EV/FCFF
Today’s price vs future free cash flow to firm

Not enough data available to calculate forward EV/FCFF

Peer Comparison

All Multiples
EV/FCFF
P/E
All Countries
Close
Market Cap EV/FCFF P/E
LU
Spotify Technology SA
NYSE:SPOT
102.1B USD 22.9 33.7
US
Netflix Inc
NASDAQ:NFLX
384.7B USD 32.3 28.6
US
Walt Disney Co
NYSE:DIS
184.5B USD 30 15
US
Warner Bros Discovery Inc
NASDAQ:WBD
66.5B USD 30.4 91
NL
Universal Music Group NV
AEX:UMG
36.3B EUR 22.7 23.2
US
Live Nation Entertainment Inc
NYSE:LYV
36.8B USD 121.5 -665.9
US
TKO Group Holdings Inc
NYSE:TKO
36.1B USD 41.4 157.8
FR
Bollore SE
PAR:BOL
14.8B EUR 54.7 42.7
US
Roku Inc
NASDAQ:ROKU
16.9B USD 29.7 187.5
US
Warner Music Group Corp
NASDAQ:WMG
15B USD 40.5 50
CN
Tencent Music Entertainment Group
NYSE:TME
14.4B USD 8.1 8.7

Market Distribution

Higher than 70% of companies in Luxembourg
Percentile
70th
Based on 169 companies
70th percentile
22.9
Low
0 — 12.1
Typical Range
12.1 — 22.9
High
22.9 —
Distribution Statistics
Luxembourg
Min 0
30th Percentile 12.1
Median 16.8
70th Percentile 22.9
Max 1 067.8

Spotify Technology SA
Glance View

Spotify Technology S.A., founded by Daniel Ek and Martin Lorentzon in 2006, emerged as a revolutionary force in the music streaming industry, transforming how people consume music. The company, headquartered in Sweden, turned the music world on its axis with its user-friendly platform that allows seamless access to a vast library of music tracks and podcasts from across the globe. Spotify operates on a freemium model—users can opt for an ad-supported free service or pay a subscription fee for an enhanced, ad-free experience with additional features like offline listening. This dual-tier service has been central to Spotify's strategy, drawing in massive user numbers while compelling enough of them to convert to paying subscribers, thus forming a stable revenue stream. The heart of Spotify's business model lies in its relationships with record labels and music rights holders, agreements that enable it to host a monumental catalog of songs. Monetization is primarily driven through subscriptions and advertising. Premium subscriptions not only provide a steady revenue channel but also buffer against the variability of ad-generated income. On the advertising front, Spotify sells digital ad space in various formats, such as audio, video, and display ads within its free service. By leveraging data analytics and user personalization, Spotify enhances ad targeting capabilities, offering value to advertisers through highly targeted campaigns, and, in turn, securing its position as a leading player in the music streaming ecosystem.

SPOT Intrinsic Value
401.816 USD
Overvaluation 6%
Intrinsic Value
Price $427.4536
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