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NYSE:SO
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one SO stock under the Base Case scenario is 80.24 USD. Compared to the current market price of 87.93 USD, Southern Co is Overvalued by 9%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Southern Co
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Fundamental Analysis
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Southern Company, a prominent player in the utility sector, has established a robust reputation for delivering electricity and natural gas across the Southeastern United States. With a history dating back to 1945, the company serves over 9 million customers through its array of subsidiaries, including Georgia Power, Alabama Power, and Mississippi Power. Southern Company's commitment to providing reliable service is matched by its focus on sustainability and innovation, as the company invests heavily in renewable energy sources such as solar and wind. This strategic pivot not only aligns with evolving regulatory frameworks and consumer preferences but also positions Southern Company as a forw...
Southern Company, a prominent player in the utility sector, has established a robust reputation for delivering electricity and natural gas across the Southeastern United States. With a history dating back to 1945, the company serves over 9 million customers through its array of subsidiaries, including Georgia Power, Alabama Power, and Mississippi Power. Southern Company's commitment to providing reliable service is matched by its focus on sustainability and innovation, as the company invests heavily in renewable energy sources such as solar and wind. This strategic pivot not only aligns with evolving regulatory frameworks and consumer preferences but also positions Southern Company as a forward-thinking leader in the transition to a cleaner energy future.
For investors, Southern Company presents a compelling opportunity grounded in solid fundamentals and a stable dividend. The company boasts a diverse asset base and operates within a regulated environment, which lends itself to predictable cash flows and reduced volatility. Furthermore, Southern Company's ongoing investment in infrastructure and technology enhancements reflects a proactive approach to meet growing demand while managing operational risks. As the energy landscape transforms, Southern's balanced strategy—leveraging both traditional and renewable energy technologies—maintains its competitive edge and promises potential for long-term growth, making it a noteworthy consideration for investors seeking stability in the utility space.
Southern Company is a prominent energy company based in the United States, primarily engaged in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity. The company's core business segments are generally categorized as follows:
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Electricity Generation:
- Southern Company operates a diverse portfolio of power generation facilities, including coal, natural gas, nuclear, and renewable energy sources such as solar and hydroelectric. This segment is crucial for meeting electricity demand across its service areas.
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Electric Utilities:
- This segment comprises several regulated utility subsidiaries, including Georgia Power, Alabama Power, Mississippi Power, and Gulf Power. These subsidiaries provide electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial customers in their respective states and are regulated by state public service commissions.
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Natural Gas Distribution:
- Southern Company also operates in the natural gas sector through subsidiaries like Atlanta Gas Light and Nicor Gas. This segment involves the distribution of natural gas to residential and commercial customers, contributing to the company’s revenues and customer base.
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Wholesale Energy:
- Southern Company engages in wholesale energy sales, providing power to other utilities and energy marketers. This segment allows the company to optimize its generation portfolio and leverage market opportunities.
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Renewable Energy:
- In line with industry trends and sustainability goals, Southern Company invests in renewable energy projects, including wind and solar initiatives. This segment is increasingly becoming a focus area as the company aims to reduce its carbon footprint and meet regulatory requirements.
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Energy Infrastructure:
- This segment includes investments in energy-related assets, such as transmission lines, substations, and other infrastructure necessary for the delivery of electricity and natural gas.
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Energy Innovations and Technologies:
- Southern Company is actively involved in developing and implementing energy technologies, including smart grid solutions and energy efficiency programs. This segment supports the overall strategy of enhancing service delivery and customer experience.
Overall, Southern Company’s business segments reflect its comprehensive approach to providing reliable and sustainable energy solutions, balancing traditional energy resources with emerging technologies and renewable sources.
Southern Company (Southern Co) boasts several unique competitive advantages over its rivals in the utility and energy sector. Here are some key points:
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Diverse Energy Portfolio: Southern Co has a diverse range of energy generation sources, including natural gas, coal, nuclear, and renewables (solar and wind). This diversification helps to stabilize revenue streams and adapt to changing market conditions or regulatory environments.
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Strong Regulatory Relationships: The company operates primarily in regulated markets, which provide more predictable returns and a level of protection against market volatility. Southern Co's established relationships with regulators ensure it can navigate the complex regulatory landscape effectively.
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Large Customer Base: With millions of customers across several states, Southern Co benefits from economies of scale and a strong market presence. This large customer base helps mitigate risks associated with customer loss and enhances bargaining power.
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Investment in Infrastructure: The company has made substantial investments in modernizing its infrastructure to improve reliability and efficiency. This proactive approach not only enhances customer satisfaction but also positions the company favorably in terms of compliance with environmental regulations.
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Commitment to Sustainability: Southern Co has been increasing its focus on renewable energy and sustainability initiatives. This positions the company positively with regulatory bodies and consumers who are increasingly prioritizing environmental responsibility.
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Robust Financial Position: Southern Co has demonstrated strong financial performance, which provides it with the resources necessary to invest in new technologies, enhance operations, and withstand market fluctuations. A strong balance sheet also helps in accessing financing at favorable rates.
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Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships: The company has a history of strategic acquisitions and partnerships that enhance its technological capabilities and extend its market reach. This approach diversifies its offerings and captures new growth opportunities.
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Strong Brand and Reputation: Southern Co has built a strong brand over the years, trusted by consumers and businesses alike. A positive reputation can be a significant competitive advantage in customer retention and new customer acquisition.
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Innovation and Technology Investment: Continuous investment in technology and innovative practices helps Southern Co improve operational efficiencies, reduce costs, and enhance customer service, providing a competitive edge over less innovative peers.
By leveraging these advantages, Southern Co can effectively position itself in the energy market and maintain a competitive edge against its rivals.
Southern Company faces several risks and challenges in the near future, which can impact its operations, financial performance, and strategic goals. Here are some key areas of concern:
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Regulatory Environment: As a utility provider, Southern Company is heavily regulated at both the state and federal levels. Changes in regulations, compliance requirements, or policies around energy production and emissions can pose significant challenges. The transition towards renewable energy sources may also entail stricter regulations.
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Fuel Price Volatility: The company relies on various energy sources, including natural gas, coal, and renewables. Fluctuations in fuel prices can impact operating costs and profitability. As the market reacts to geopolitical events, these prices can become highly volatile.
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Transition to Renewable Energy: While transitioning to renewable energy can be beneficial long-term, it presents significant upfront costs and operational challenges. Southern Company must balance investments in renewable infrastructure while managing existing fossil fuel assets.
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Infrastructure Aging and Investment Needs: Much of the electrical infrastructure in the U.S. is aging and requires substantial investment for maintenance and upgrades. Failing to invest appropriately may lead to increased outages and safety risks.
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Technological Disruption: The energy sector is undergoing significant changes with advancements in technology, such as energy storage and smart grid development. Failing to adapt to these changes could put Southern Company at a competitive disadvantage.
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Climate Change and Environmental Risks: Increasing focus on climate change may result in more intense scrutiny of emissions from fossil fuels. Companies with significant fossil fuel operations could face reputational risks and regulatory penalties if they do not align with evolving environmental standards.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As utility companies increasingly rely on digital technology for operations, they become more vulnerable to cyberattacks. Ensuring robust cybersecurity measures is critical to protecting sensitive data and maintaining operational integrity.
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Economic Factors: Economic downturns can influence energy demand. A recession could reduce consumption and impact revenues, especially if customers shift to conserving energy to manage costs.
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Financing Challenges: With increasing capital expenditure requirements for new projects and technology, fluctuations in interest rates could affect financing costs, making investments more expensive or hard to secure.
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Competitive Pressure: With the rise of decentralized energy resources and changing consumer preferences, Southern Company faces increased competition from alternative energy providers, which may impact its market share.
Addressing these risks requires a proactive approach in strategy formulation and prudent risk management to ensure the company's resilience and sustainability in a changing energy landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Southern Co
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Southern Co
Current Assets | 11B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1B |
Receivables | 3.9B |
Other Current Assets | 6.2B |
Non-Current Assets | 132.9B |
Long-Term Investments | 1.4B |
PP&E | 104.3B |
Intangibles | 5.5B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 21.7B |
Current Liabilities | 12.2B |
Accounts Payable | 4B |
Accrued Liabilities | 2.8B |
Short-Term Debt | 722m |
Other Current Liabilities | 4.7B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 98.5B |
Long-Term Debt | 61.3B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 37.2B |
Earnings Waterfall
Southern Co
Revenue
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26.4B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-2.8B
USD
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Gross Profit
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23.6B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-16.6B
USD
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Operating Income
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7B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-2.2B
USD
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Net Income
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4.7B
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Southern Co
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q3 2024, Southern Company achieved adjusted earnings of $1.43 per share, benefitting from robust customer growth and investments despite a $1.1 billion hit from Hurricane Helene. Year-to-date earnings rose to $3.56 from $3.01 a year earlier, with an estimated $4.05 for the full year. Notably, customer additions increased by 12,000 for electric and 7,000 for natural gas. Economic activity surged, with commitments for 8 gigawatts of new load expected by the mid-2030s. The company anticipates weather-normalized retail electricity sales to remain flat but shows potential for growth with improved economic prospects.
What is Earnings Call?
SO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Southern Co's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Southern Co's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
SO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Southern Co's solvency score is 26/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Southern Co's solvency score is 26/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
SO Price Targets Summary
Southern Co
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SO is 92.74 USD with a low forecast of 77.77 USD and a high forecast of 109.2 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for SO is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
SO Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Dividend Yield
Description
The Southern Co is a holding company, which engages in the generation and sale of electricity. The company is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia and currently employs 27,300 full-time employees. The traditional electric operating companies, such as Alabama Power, Georgia Power, and Mississippi Power are each operating public utility companies providing electric service to retail customers in three Southeastern states in addition to wholesale customers in the Southeast. The Southern Power Company develops, constructs, acquires, owns, and manages power generation assets, including renewable energy projects, and sells electricity at market-based rates in the wholesale market. The Southern Company Gas is an energy services holding company whose primary business is the distribution of natural gas in four states, such as Illinois, Georgia, Virginia, and Tennessee through the natural gas distribution utilities. The Southern Company Gas is also involved in several other businesses.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one SO stock under the Base Case scenario is 80.24 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 87.93 USD, Southern Co is Overvalued by 9%.