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NYSE:SNAP
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one SNAP stock under the Base Case scenario is 9.76 USD. Compared to the current market price of 11.42 USD, Snap Inc is Overvalued by 15%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
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Fundamental Analysis
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Snap Inc., the parent company behind Snapchat, has carved a distinctive niche in the fast-evolving social media landscape since its inception in 2011. With a mission to empower people to communicate visually, Snap offers a unique platform where users share ephemeral content through photos and short videos. This focus on storytelling and self-expression has attracted a youthful demographic, fostering a vibrant user community. As of 2023, Snapchat boasts over 500 million monthly active users, signaling robust engagement. The company has successfully diversified its revenue streams beyond advertising, venturing into augmented reality (AR) and hardware with products like Spectacles, aiming to in...
Snap Inc., the parent company behind Snapchat, has carved a distinctive niche in the fast-evolving social media landscape since its inception in 2011. With a mission to empower people to communicate visually, Snap offers a unique platform where users share ephemeral content through photos and short videos. This focus on storytelling and self-expression has attracted a youthful demographic, fostering a vibrant user community. As of 2023, Snapchat boasts over 500 million monthly active users, signaling robust engagement. The company has successfully diversified its revenue streams beyond advertising, venturing into augmented reality (AR) and hardware with products like Spectacles, aiming to intertwine digital experiences with the physical world.
However, the journey has not been without its challenges. Snap Inc. faces stiff competition from larger social media giants and struggles with monetization strategies amidst a rapidly shifting digital advertising landscape. Investors should take note of the company’s ongoing commitment to innovation, particularly in AR, which could unlock new revenue opportunities and enhance user engagement. Additionally, Snap is focusing on improving its profitability and operational efficiency, underscoring its potential for future growth. With a blend of creativity, strategic pivots, and a loyal user base, Snap Inc. remains a compelling investment option for those seeking exposure to the dynamic world of social media and technology.
Snap Inc., the parent company of Snapchat, operates primarily in the social media and technology sectors. The core business segments of Snap Inc. can be outlined as follows:
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Advertising Services: This is the primary revenue driver for Snap Inc. The company offers various advertising products to businesses, including Snap Ads, Story Ads, and sponsored lenses and filters. These products allow brands to reach Snapchat’s user base through visually engaging and interactive advertisements, integrating seamlessly into the Snapchat experience.
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Snapchat App: As the main product, Snapchat serves as a multimedia messaging platform where users can send photos, videos, and messages that disappear after being viewed. The app features stories, Discover content, augmented reality (AR) effects, and user-generated content, making it a unique platform for social interaction among younger demographics.
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Augmented Reality (AR) and Camera Technology: Snap Inc. has invested heavily in AR technology, allowing users to create engaging content using filters and lenses. The company also develops and markets hardware products, such as Spectacles, which are camera-equipped glasses that capture Snaps and integrate with the Snapchat app, highlighting their focus on AR experiences.
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Content and Media Partnerships: Snap Inc. collaborates with various media companies and creators to provide Discover content, including news, entertainment, and original shows tailored for mobile consumption. This segment enhances user engagement within the app and creates additional advertising opportunities.
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Snap Kit and Developer Tools: Snap Kit allows third-party developers to integrate Snapchat features into their own apps, expanding the ecosystem around Snapchat. This includes options for sharing content, creating Bitmoji experiences, and more, which can drive user engagement and increase the company's presence outside of the Snapchat app.
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Data and Analytics: Though less emphasized publicly, data analytics plays a role as Snap Inc. collects and analyzes user data to improve ad targeting and overall user experience. This enhances its advertising effectiveness and can lead to increased revenues.
These core business segments enable Snap Inc. to maintain its position in the competitive landscape of social media while continuing to innovate and cater to its primarily younger audience.
Snap Inc. has several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals in the social media landscape. Here are some of the key points:
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Augmented Reality (AR) Leadership:
- Snap has heavily invested in AR technology, particularly through its Lens and Filters features. This innovative use of AR not only enhances user engagement but also creates unique advertising opportunities that competitors are still catching up on.
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Strong Brand Loyalty Among Younger Demographics:
- Snap is particularly popular among younger users, especially Generation Z. Its ephemeral content model appeals to this demographic’s desire for privacy and authenticity, creating a loyal user base that may be harder for competitors to attract.
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Innovative Content Creation Tools:
- The company offers a variety of tools for content creation, including Snap Map and Spotlight, which encourage user-generated content. This helps maintain high engagement levels and keeps the platform vibrant and dynamic.
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Focus on Privacy:
- Snap has built its brand around the idea of privacy with features like disappearing messages and Stories. This focus has become increasingly appealing in a market where privacy concerns are on the rise.
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Unique Advertising Opportunities:
- Snap's AR capabilities allow for distinctive advertising options that offer interactive experiences for users. Brands can engage with consumers in a more memorable and impactful way compared to traditional ads on other platforms.
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Partnerships and Collaborations:
- Snap has formed strategic partnerships with brands, publishers, and content creators to enhance its platform. These collaborations can drive more traffic and create appealing content that attracts users and advertisers alike.
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Niche Positioning:
- Unlike other social media platforms that aim for mass appeal, Snap has carved out a niche as a multimedia messaging platform focused on short, engaging content. This clear positioning helps differentiate it from broader rivals.
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Global Reach with Localization:
- Snap has successfully adapted its features and marketing strategies to various cultural contexts around the world, allowing it to grow its user base in international markets effectively.
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Integrated Shopping Features:
- With its push into e-commerce and shopping through AR, Snap is combining social media and shopping in ways that enhance user experience and provide additional revenue opportunities.
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Highlighting User Experience:
- The emphasis on creativity, self-expression, and immersive content creates a unique user experience that promotes multiple daily interactions.
These competitive advantages not only help Snap Inc. differentiate itself from rivals like Instagram, TikTok, and Facebook but also position it for potential long-term growth in the evolving social media landscape.
Snap Inc., the parent company of Snapchat, faces several risks and challenges in the near future, including:
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Increased Competition: The social media landscape is highly competitive, with rivals like TikTok, Instagram, and YouTube continuously optimizing their offerings to attract users. This can lead to user attrition and affect Snap’s user growth.
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Monetization Challenges: While Snap has made strides in advertising revenue, it still faces challenges in effectively monetizing its user base, especially in light of potential economic downturns that could lead advertisers to cut back on spending.
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Privacy Concerns and Regulation: Increasing scrutiny over data privacy and potential regulation, particularly in the U.S. and Europe, could impact Snap's operations and advertising strategies. Policy changes regarding data usage can limit how effectively Snap targets its ads.
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User Growth and Retention: Snap has struggled with user growth in certain demographics, particularly among older users. Continuing to engage younger audiences while attracting new ones is crucial for maintaining relevance.
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Technological Dependencies: Snap relies heavily on technology for its platform, and any technical issues or failures could disrupt services, degrading user experience and damaging brand reputation.
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Market Saturation: As the social media market matures, growth rates might slow, making it harder for Snap to achieve high user acquisition rates compared to earlier years.
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Threat of Copycatting: Features introduced on Snapchat often get replicated by competitors. This not only diminishes Snap's unique offerings but can also lead to a decline in user interest.
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International Expansion Risks: Expanding into international markets poses its own challenges, including cultural differences, varying regulatory environments, and local competition.
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Economic Downturns: Global economic conditions can impact advertising budgets, which directly affects Snap's revenue. A recession could lead to advertisers slashing spending, significantly affecting the company's financial health.
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Content Moderation and Safety: Given the nature of its platform, Snap faces challenges in ensuring safe content moderation to prevent harmful content from being shared, which can impact user safety and brand trust.
To navigate these challenges effectively, Snap Inc. will need to innovate continuously, enhance user engagement, and adapt to changing market conditions.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Snap Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Snap Inc
Current Assets | 4.6B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 3.2B |
Receivables | 1.2B |
Other Current Assets | 200.9m |
Non-Current Assets | 3B |
Long-Term Investments | 188.6m |
PP&E | 983.4m |
Intangibles | 1.8B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 37.8m |
Current Liabilities | 1.1B |
Accounts Payable | 157.5m |
Accrued Liabilities | 942.7m |
Other Current Liabilities | 36.2m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 4.2B |
Long-Term Debt | 3.6B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 639.8m |
Earnings Waterfall
Snap Inc
Revenue
|
5.2B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-2.4B
USD
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Gross Profit
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2.7B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-3.7B
USD
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Operating Income
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-939m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-16.2m
USD
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Net Income
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-955.2m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Snap Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
SNAP Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Snap Inc's profitability score is 30/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Snap Inc's profitability score is 30/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
SNAP Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Snap Inc's solvency score is 48/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Snap Inc's solvency score is 48/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
SNAP Price Targets Summary
Snap Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SNAP is 13.27 USD with a low forecast of 9.09 USD and a high forecast of 18.9 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for SNAP is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
SNAP Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Description
Snap, Inc. operates as a camera company. The company is headquartered in Santa Monica, California and currently employs 5,661 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2017-03-02. The firm's flagship product, Snapchat, is a camera application that helps people communicate visually with friends and family through short videos and images called Snaps. Snapchat is its core mobile device application and contains five tabs. Its tabs include Camera, Communication, Snap Map, Stories and Spotlight. The Camera is the starting point for creation in Snapchat. Snapchat opens directly to the Camera, making it easy to create a Snap and send it to friends. Communication allows users to send Snaps to friends collectively or individually, through its messaging architecture. Snap Map is a live and personalized map that allows Snapchatters to connect with friends and explore what is going on in their local area. Stories feature content from a Snapchatter's friends, its community, and its content partners. Spotlight is a way to share user-generated content with the entire Snapchat community. Its advertising products include Snap Ads and AR Ads.
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Officers
The intrinsic value of one SNAP stock under the Base Case scenario is 9.76 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 11.42 USD, Snap Inc is Overvalued by 15%.