Seadrill Ltd

NYSE:SDRL

Earnings Call Transcript 2019-Q1

[Operator]

Good morning and welcome to the Seadrill Limited Q1 Earnings Conference Call.

[Operator Instructions] Please note this event is being recorded.

I would like to now turn the conference over to John Roche, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

[John Roche, executive]

Thank you. And welcome, everyone, to Seadrill Limited's Q1 2019 Quarterly Conference Call.

Before we get started, I'd like to remind everyone that much of the discussion today will not be based on historical fact but rather consist of forward-looking statements that are subject to uncertainty. Included on Page 2 of the presentation is a comprehensive list covering our forward-looking statements. That can also be found on our website, seadrill.com.

So moving on to the agenda. With us in the room today are Anton Dibowitz, our CEO; Mark Morris, our CFO; also Matt Lyne, our Chief Commercial Officer; and Leif Nelson, our Chief Operating Officer. In our prepared remarks, you'll hear from Anton and Mark. Anton will cover off the highlights for the quarter and provide you with -- all with our views on the market. Mark will then provide a review of the financial performance for the quarter. And then we'll open up the lines so you can take some questions from the entire team.

And with that, I'd like to turn the call over to Anton.

[Anton Dibowitz, executive]

Thanks, John. And welcome to everyone to our first quarter earnings call.

Before I go into the highlights for the quarter, I'd like to touch on some of the market dynamics that we're seeing today.

We are firm believers that the offshore barrel is important to meet market demand and that the fundamentals of our business are sound. Oil prices are well within the range where offshore projects are profitable, and we expect this to translate into increasing amounts of capital being deployed into offshore. To be clear, this is not yet a healthy market with respect to day rates, but what we can see is that the macro indicators are pointing to a continued recovery going forward.

There are 3 main areas that demonstrate the improving market fundamentals: first, upstream spending. After 4 consecutive years of decline, we're expecting an increase in offshore spending in 2019, while onshore spending is expected to decline, driven by investors' demand for greater capital discipline and returns. As importantly as overall offshore spending, offshore exploration, which is an important driver for our business, is increasing. The expectations of oil in the $65 to $75 a barrel range is expected to result in offshore spending growing at a faster pace than onshore over the next few years.

Second, contracting activity. Tendering and fixture activity is improving. The harsh environment floater market was the first to begin recovering, but we're announcing an increase in other segments as well. While the shape of the recovery is outside of our control, I can tell you that we're having more and better customer conversations both in open tenders and direct negotiations. We're also beginning to see an improvement in commercial terms, with customers showing their willingness to pay for mobilizations and share in capital projects for the first time in years. And finally, utilization levels in our market are improving, with marketed utilization close to 80% for both floaters and jack-ups.

We take these factors into account when considering how we want to compete with our modern fleet. Because we firmly believe that we are at the start of a recovering market, you will see disciplined and rational action from us as we move forward. Firstly, our focus is on backlog quality over backlog quantity, which means at the moment we are saying no to as much work as we are saying yes to. And second, you will not see us reactivating units and contracting long term unless the investment is justified by the day rates we can achieve.

Now I'll turn to the results for the quarter.

Economic utilization of 93% was disappointing this quarter; and mainly related to subsea equipment events, specifically on Sevan Louisiana and the West Hercules. Importantly, neither events resulted in any harm to people or the environment. Operations and safety underpin our license to operate, and we take every operational incidence and downtime event seriously and are committed to returning to the utilization levels our customers have come to expect from us and you all are used to seeing.

Moving on. We had some great contract wins in the quarter, a few of them that I'd like to highlight. Equinor exercised 2 options on the West Hercules in Norway. The unit is expected to be employed until Q1 2020 and is yet another example of the strong harsh environment market. It's great to see additional duration at a solid day rate and continuing to build our relationship with Equinor. The West Telesto was awarded a 6 firm, plus 2 option well contract in Malaysia. This contract included a mobilization payment which represents an above-market fixture in a low-cost environment and further increases our footprint in Malaysia. West Carina was awarded a 1-well contract with Petronas in Brunei, again a contract that included mobilization revenue. The unit is expected to work in direct continuation of its existing contract with Petronas in Malaysia. And finally, the West Gemini will perform an additional well in Angola, positioning the rig nicely for the additional demand we see in Angola.

In addition to these contracts, our recent announcements relating to opportunities in Angola and Qatar position us well to work in these regions, and we are excited by these prospects. These deals are in keeping with our strategy of finding creative ways to access attractive markets, strengthen our customer relationships and grow our fleet of owned and managed rigs. Based on what we are seeing in the market, we now believe there is enough demand to keep our active fleet employed without extended periods of idle time, and you will not see us reactivating idle units unless day rates justify doing so.

And now I'll turn things over to Mark to take us through the financial highlights.

[Mark Morris, executive]

Thank you, Anton. And good morning or good afternoon, wherever you are.

I will briefly pull out the highlights from the financial quarter before providing guidance for the second quarter.

Turning to the financial highlights. Of our 35 rigs, 16 were working on average through the quarter, comprising of 8 floaters and 8 jack-ups. Contract revenues were largely flat, with $8 million of lost revenue due to downtime-related issues and the lower day rates in the West Callisto following a contract extension being offset by revenue from the West Carina commencing operations.

Overall, operating revenue decreased by $10 million primarily due to higher reimbursable revenues related to the West Mira mobilization. EBITDA was in line with the previous quarter, although there were a number of offsetting movements, as I just highlighted, plus the impacts of the final installment of an overdue receivable we referred to on the last earnings call.

Finally, our EBITDA of $72 million was higher than the $60 million guidance we gave primarily due to timing of spend related to moving stacked rigs to lower-cost locations.

Moving on to the balance sheet. As always, there are a number of moving parts here, and I'm just going to draw out the main ones.

In current assets, the 5% movement mainly reflects lower operating cash flow for the quarter, a reduction in restricted cash following a $32 million payment to settle PIK interest, a decrease in marketable securities related to the carrying value of Seadrill Partners common units and the mark-to-market valuation of our interest rate caps. The main movements in noncurrent assets are the normal depreciation on our drilling units and a decrease in investments in associated companies primarily related to the amortization of basis differences.

Moving on to the liabilities side. Current debt increased primarily due to 2 items: firstly, the tender offer for the senior secured notes; and secondly, the scheduled amortization payments on our secured bank debt. You will recall, during the quarter, we launched a consent solicitation process to amend the senior secured notes indenture, which included a subsequent tender offer to purchase $311 million of principal amount outstanding. As a result of this process, the $311 million being purchased was reclassified as a current liability. The $67 million of secured bank debt that became current relates to amortization payments scheduled in 1Q 2020, which we have the ability to defer under the terms of our bank financing agreements.

Finally, the decrease in noncurrent liabilities reflects the corresponding movement of long-term debt to current debt of the 2 items I've just explained.

Okay. We've shown this slide from the -- the last few quarters to remind everyone that we have 4 other material investments which we believe represent material value. As you can see, between them, they have a combined backlog in excess of $3.5 billion and EBITDA for Q1 of $244 million of which we will benefit from our economic share.

Just reconciling the main movements over the quarter on these investments. On Seamex, debt reduced by $95 million -- or by $59 million, sorry, reflecting repayments of the RCF loan grown in quarter 4 for working capital purposes and normal quarterly [ operation ] of around $18 million. On Seabras, the buildup of cash is mainly attributable to amortization payments being semiannual and this not being a quarter in which such payments are made.

Turning to financing and liquidity.

We continue to have strong liquidity with $1.9 billion in cash and no near-term debt maturities. Restricted cash stands at around $428 million. Our $5.7 billion of bank debt -- of bank loans mature between 2022 and 2024, and there is no amortization until 2021 if we elect to use the $500 million amortization conversion election facility.

Reducing leverage continued to be a priority for us, so let's just highlight what we've done so far. The original $880 million of senior secured notes had the benefit of a security package covering our nonconsolidated entity interests, an escrow account that has approximately $230 million of cash and a pledge-over account that received distribution and loan repayments and sales proceeds related to our nonconsolidated entities. Monies in these accounts are effectively ring-fenced, to the benefit of the noteholders, and generally cannot be used elsewhere in the company. There has been and will continue to be a buildup of cash in these accounts that we will regularly use to retire the notes or to settle PIK at par. The recent amendments to the indenture make it easier for us to retire the notes and specifically allowed us to use the $230 million of escrow monies as part of the tender offer. The outstanding balance has been reduced from $880 million to around $458 million currently. We will continue to prioritize retiring the notes to reduce leverage and release the remaining collateral that we believe have significant value.

And now finally, turning to our guidance for the second quarter.

EBITDA is expected to be slightly lower for quarter 2 at around $55 million, reflecting the nonrepeat of the overdue receivable, partially offset by the West Castor operating for a full quarter and startup costs for the West Carina which were incurred in Q1.

And with that, I'll quickly hand back to Anton.

[Anton Dibowitz, executive]

Before we open up for Q&A, I wanted to add just one more item.

As many of you on the call will be aware, Mark will be leaving us in the middle of the year, and as a result, this will be his last quarterly earnings call or at least at Seadrill. I'd like to take this opportunity to thank Mark for his significant contribution to Seadrill over the past 4 years. He's been a valued member of the team, instrumental in our restructuring. And without a doubt, he leaves Seadrill a much better place than when he joined us. And we all wish him well on his future endeavors.

With respect to his replacement, we have selected a candidate and are in the final stages of getting him on board, and we look forward to sharing that with you in the next few weeks.

John?

[John Roche, executive]

Great. [Operator Instructions] So why don't I turn it over to the operator to assemble the queue?

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions] The first question comes from Lukas Daul with ABG.

[Lukas Daul, analyst]

On -- Anton, a question on the market. I think that the fundamentals are certainly moving in the right direction, although it is not being appreciated by the equity markets as of now. But could you sort of at least walk us through your thoughts on how you see the sort of recovery developing in terms of utilization and rates? Because I think that one of the reasons is that expectations are maybe not aligned with the dynamics of the industry. So if you could share some of your thoughts on that, I think it would be greatly appreciated.

[Anton Dibowitz, executive]

Yes. Well, I'll start with some general comments about the market and -- maybe, and then I'll let Matt turn over to kind of what we're seeing in the specific markets. I think overall, looking at where the market is quarter-to-quarter can be a little bit deceiving. This is a longer-term gain that we see playing out. And what we can see is that obviously it is a -- quarter-over-quarter and 6 months over 6 months, it is improving. What we have seen, from where we were 6 months ago, most importantly is, as I mentioned, the tone of our customer conversations, the discussions about mobilization and CapEx.

And what we're seeing in the forward market, and we've seen it from fixtures that have been made public as well as the conversations we're having with customers, is day rates that are clearly in contango. The spot market is what it is but there is a general acknowledgment from contractors and from our customers that a contract starting next year or the year after needs to be at a significantly higher price. We can't control. There are a lot of external factors that are going to affect how the market recovers; trade disputes, geopolitical, GDP growth. What we do know is that the fundamentals are there, that the offshore barrels are needed, that exploration is coming back. And that all points to a continued improvement year-over-year as we go toward the next few years. Matt, do you want to address some of the regional markets?

[Matt Lyne, executive]

I think if you break it down by the asset classes, the harsh environment has always been very positive for us, and you can see the balance there. The jack-up market, if you look back to January '17, on the marketed utilization, we're up over 10% now, which is obviously a positive sign. And that's largely driven by obviously the long-term stacking and unwillingness to reactivate assets. But also the demand in the Middle East, which is really important for the high-spec premium fleet owners like ourselves.

In the floater market, you're -- we've sort of had a subdued reaction in the recovery by the Golden Triangle. We now see increased activity in both Africa and South America. Although it's taking a little time for those rates to materialize, it's certainly looking a lot more warm and fuzzy for 2020 and beyond. And I think probably the biggest factor is we're starting to see longer-term development opportunities materialize, which really help us with the supply/demand curve.

[Anton Dibowitz, executive]

I'll just add one more thing to your question. What's important for the recovery in the market is having disciplined action from the players in the market. And I think we've been extremely public about how we see the market going forward. An 80% marketed utilization is very close to what historically have been those inflection points, and we can already see that happening. And that -- but that remains dependent on continued discipline, and we're certainly going to do it on our part, from market players who are not bringing cold stacked rigs back into the market and adding supply before there is a significant strength.

If there is discipline in the market, then the speed and the pace of the recovery is going to get underway fairly quickly. If there is a continued lack of discipline from market players and supply continues to get added back into the market, then it will be a different story. We can only control what we do, but we're certainly going to play our part in that.

[Lukas Daul, analyst]

Okay. And then an unrelated follow-up, maybe to Mark, but when it comes to monetization of some of your strategic stakes or the stakes that you have in other companies, how are you looking at it in terms of opportunities and in terms of timing? Is that something which is on the table?

[Mark Morris, executive]

Yes. I mean I don't think it's any great trade secret that we have a number of co-investments, which we would expect to keep and flourish. There's other drilling investments that we have in Seamex and Seadrill Partners. And then there are businesses that are noncore to us, but they're still good businesses. Archer was of course a spin-out from Seadrill originally and of course, the joint venture we have with Sapura Energy in Seabras.

And when we think about how we look at continuing to delever the senior secured notes, there are a number of things that we can do. And some of that can come from realizing some of those sales of noncore assets. On timing, I think that we're not going to be rushed to do something. It's all about ensuring that we achieve value, but that is sort of one of the thought processes, as well as obviously potentially doing some refinancing within Seamex, which could realize a particular credit note that we have there that -- if refinancing goes on that. So there's a number of activities that are ongoing, and we will continue to look at those and make decisions based on timing and the values we can receive with -- as and when you retire them or sell them.

[Lukas Daul, analyst]

Mark, good luck in the future.

[Mark Morris, executive]

Thank you very much, Lukas.

[Operator]

The next question comes from Patrick Fitzgerald with Baird.

[Patrick John Fitzgerald, analyst]

So one question, one follow-up. Could you remind us just what the contracts activity when the Seabras Sapura vessels come off contract and what contracting activity is looking like for those vessels that come off contract in terms of getting new contracts?

[Anton Dibowitz, executive]

So we have 2 of the vessels that will be rolling in 2019. We're just going to see -- have to see how that plays out. There are some opportunities down in Brazil. And we're hopeful about the opportunities to extend those, but we'll just have to see how that plays out. The remainder of the vessels are on long-term contracts.

[Patrick John Fitzgerald, analyst]

Okay. And to the extent that there is a dividend or refinancing like you talked about, that -- just to be clear, that cash would be restricted cash that could be used to retire the secured notes, right?

[Mark Morris, executive]

Yes. Well, I think you need to be careful with the terms restricted and nonrestricted because they can apply to slightly different silos of operations. So the way to think about it at the high level is we've got what I'd call our operating cash that relates to our rigs that we would normally refer to as RigCo. And then we have money that really relates to the benefits of the senior secured noteholders. And generally, distribution is only loan repayments, as they come in, go into various accounts that are pledged to the senior secured notes.

And depending on which account it is within the secured notes, it tells you what we can or can't do with it. But in essence it's always related to either paying down PIK interest or paying down principal. It's not that, that money can go into -- straight into RigCo, the main operating company. There are certain circumstances under which some monies can, without getting into sort of technical details here, but generally the way you think about it is that money sort of lives in its own universe generally. And so distributions and dividends coming in effectively gross up until such time as we net down the senior secured notes.

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Michael Alsford with Citi.

[Michael Alsford, analyst]

I've just got one, please. I just wondered whether you could help guide on what the investment levels will be in terms of CapEx for this year for the company, for the group as a whole.

[Mark Morris, executive]

In total CapEx for the full year?

[Michael Alsford, analyst]

Yes, exactly, yes, please.

[Mark Morris, executive]

Yes, we would -- I mean that -- I mean I think they’re very [ instinctively done ]. We don't normally break that number out specifically, but I think if you were talking in the 150 to 250 is sort of probably what we would have budget, that sort of range.

[Michael Alsford, analyst]

Okay. And so that would incorporate any sort of incremental spend on rigs plus some maintenance on the ships essentially.

[Mark Morris, executive]

Yes, all a part of the CapEx, yes.

[Operator]

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to John Roche for any closing remarks.

[John Roche, executive]

Thank you. And thanks to everyone for joining us today. This concludes our first quarter conference call. Speak to you all in about 3 months time.

[Operator]

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.