Rio Tinto PLC
NYSE:RIO
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one RIO stock under the Base Case scenario is 101.27 USD. Compared to the current market price of 61.2 USD, Rio Tinto PLC is Undervalued by 40%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Rio Tinto PLC
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Fundamental Analysis
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Rio Tinto PLC is a global mining powerhouse rooted in a rich history that dates back to 1873. Headquartered in London, the company specializes in the extraction and processing of a diverse range of minerals, including aluminum, copper, diamonds, gold, and iron ore. With operations spanning across six continents, Rio Tinto has established itself as a key player in the mining industry, leveraging cutting-edge technology and sustainable practices to meet the rising global demand for raw materials. The company's strong commitment to environmental responsibility and community engagement positions it favorably in a world increasingly focused on sustainable growth. For investors, Rio Tinto present...
Rio Tinto PLC is a global mining powerhouse rooted in a rich history that dates back to 1873. Headquartered in London, the company specializes in the extraction and processing of a diverse range of minerals, including aluminum, copper, diamonds, gold, and iron ore. With operations spanning across six continents, Rio Tinto has established itself as a key player in the mining industry, leveraging cutting-edge technology and sustainable practices to meet the rising global demand for raw materials. The company's strong commitment to environmental responsibility and community engagement positions it favorably in a world increasingly focused on sustainable growth.
For investors, Rio Tinto presents an attractive opportunity in the commodity market, with a robust financial track record driven by sound management and strategic investments in high-demand resources. The company benefits from its low-cost production capabilities, enabling it to maintain profitability even during periods of fluctuating commodity prices. With a solid dividend policy and a focus on enhancing shareholder value, Rio Tinto remains poised for long-term growth. As industries pivot towards greener alternatives and the global economy rebounds, Rio Tinto is strategically positioned to capitalize on emerging trends, making it a compelling choice for investors seeking stability and growth in the dynamic mining sector.
Rio Tinto PLC is one of the largest mining companies in the world, and its operations are primarily divided into several core business segments. As of my last knowledge update in October 2023, the core business segments of Rio Tinto include:
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Iron Ore: This is the largest segment for Rio Tinto, primarily focused on the production and export of iron ore. The company has significant operations in the Pilbara region of Western Australia.
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Aluminum: Rio Tinto is involved in the production of aluminum from bauxite, refining it into alumina, and producing aluminum metal. The company has a global presence in this segment, with operations in various countries.
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Copper: This segment includes the mining and production of copper, which is essential for electrical wiring and various industrial applications. Rio Tinto has significant copper mining operations, including those in Chile and the United States.
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Diamonds and Minerals: This segment encompasses the extraction and production of diamonds and other minerals. Rio Tinto has diamond operations in Canada and Australia, along with a portfolio of minerals including titanium dioxide, borates, and others.
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Energy: Although less prominent in recent years due to strategic shifts, Rio Tinto has historically been involved in the production of coal and uranium. The company has been divesting some of its fossil fuel assets in response to environmental sustainability concerns.
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R&D and Innovation: While not strictly a segment in terms of production, Rio Tinto invests in research and development to improve mining methods, sustainability practices, and operational efficiency.
These segments reflect Rio Tinto's diversified approach to mining and its efforts to meet global demand for metals and minerals, while also navigating the complexity of environmental regulations and sustainability challenges. The company is known for its focus on operational efficiency, technology integration, and fostering a strong safety culture across its operations.
For the most current and specific details regarding Rio Tinto's business segments, please refer to the company’s latest annual report or official filings.
Rio Tinto PLC possesses several unique competitive advantages over its rivals in the mining and metals industry, which contribute to its strong market position and profitability. These advantages include:
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Diversification of Minerals and Geographic Reach: Rio Tinto has a diverse portfolio of mined products, including iron ore, aluminum, copper, diamonds, and minerals. This diversification allows the company to leverage different market cycles and reduce dependence on a single commodity. Their substantial international operations spread across various countries also mitigate geopolitical risks.
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Operational Efficiency and Scale: As one of the largest mining companies in the world, Rio Tinto benefits from economies of scale. This allows the company to spread fixed costs over a larger output volume, improving its overall cost structure and enabling competitive pricing.
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Technological Innovation: Rio Tinto has invested significantly in technology and innovation, including automation and data analytics in its operations. This focus on technology helps improve efficiency, reduce costs, and enhance safety in mining operations.
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Strong Balance Sheet: The company has maintained a solid financial position with strong cash flow generation. This financial stability allows Rio Tinto to invest in new projects, acquire assets, and return value to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, further solidifying its market position.
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Sustainability and ESG Practices: Increasingly, investors and customers are valuing sustainability and environmental, social, and governance (ESG) practices. Rio Tinto has committed to reducing its carbon footprint and investing in sustainable mining practices, which can enhance its reputation and appeal to socially responsible investors.
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Long-Life Assets: Many of Rio Tinto's mining operations contain long-life resources that can provide stable production over extended periods. This longevity reduces the risk of depletion and offers consistent revenue streams.
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Strong Relationships with Stakeholders: Rio Tinto has established solid relationships with government bodies, local communities, and other stakeholders. These relationships can facilitate smoother operations, granting Rio Tinto a strategic advantage, especially in regions with complex regulatory environments.
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Experienced Management Team: The company benefits from a seasoned management team with extensive experience in the mining sector, which aids in making informed strategic decisions and navigating market fluctuations effectively.
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Robust Supply Chain Management: Rio Tinto has developed a sophisticated supply chain network and logistics capabilities that enable it to efficiently transport its products to market, enhancing its ability to respond to customer demands quickly.
By capitalizing on these competitive advantages, Rio Tinto is well-positioned to navigate industry challenges and leverage opportunities for growth in the mining sector.
Rio Tinto PLC, one of the world's largest mining companies, faces several risks and challenges in the near future, including:
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Commodity Price Volatility: The prices of essential commodities such as iron ore, aluminum, copper, and gold can be highly volatile. Any significant fluctuations in global demand and supply, especially from major consumers like China, can adversely affect revenues.
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Regulatory and Environmental Compliance: Increasingly stringent environmental regulations, particularly related to carbon emissions and sustainability objectives, pose significant operational challenges. Non-compliance could lead to substantial fines, increased operating costs, and potential project delays.
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Geopolitical Risks: Operating in multiple countries exposes Rio Tinto to geopolitical risks, including trade tensions, sanctions, and political instability, particularly in regions rich in mineral resources.
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Operational Challenges: Mining operations face inherent risks such as accidents, equipment failures, labor disputes, and site-specific geological challenges. These can disrupt operations and increase costs.
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Sustainability and ESG Pressure: Investors and stakeholders are increasingly focused on Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) factors. This pressure may impact Rio Tinto's operations and strategies, requiring investments in sustainable practices and technologies.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted vulnerabilities in global supply chains. Ongoing disruptions, whether from further pandemic waves or geopolitical tensions, could impact product delivery and raw material sourcing.
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Technological Disruptions: The mining industry is experiencing rapid technological advancements. Failing to adopt new technologies or keep pace with innovations could lead to inefficiencies and reduced competitiveness.
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Market Demand Shifts: Changes in consumer preferences, particularly towards renewable energy and electric vehicles, can shift demand for certain metals. Rio Tinto needs to adapt proactively to these evolving market dynamics.
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Indigenous Rights and Community Relations: Issues surrounding land rights and relations with indigenous communities can pose significant reputational risks and lead to legal challenges or project delays.
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Climate Change Adaptation: Mining operations are susceptible to climate change impacts, including extreme weather events. Adapting operations and mitigating risks associated with changing climates will be crucial.
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Labor Relations: As with many industries, labor relations can be a challenge. Strikes, work stoppages, or dissatisfaction among employees can disrupt operations.
By addressing these risks through proactive management and strategic planning, Rio Tinto can better position itself for sustainable growth in a challenging environment.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Rio Tinto PLC
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Rio Tinto PLC
Current Assets | 21.5B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 10.8B |
Receivables | 4.1B |
Other Current Assets | 6.7B |
Non-Current Assets | 82B |
Long-Term Investments | 4.9B |
PP&E | 66.5B |
Intangibles | 5.2B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 5.5B |
Current Liabilities | 12.7B |
Accounts Payable | 8.2B |
Accrued Liabilities | 637m |
Other Current Liabilities | 3.9B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 36.2B |
Long-Term Debt | 13.2B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 23B |
Earnings Waterfall
Rio Tinto PLC
Revenue
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54.2B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-38.6B
USD
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Operating Income
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15.6B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-4.8B
USD
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Net Income
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10.7B
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Rio Tinto PLC
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In H1 2023, Rio Tinto delivered solid earnings, with $5.7 billion in underlying earnings, free cash flow of $3.8 billion, and a return on capital employed at 20%. Production increased by 5%, and despite an unchanged net debt of around $4 billion, the company is set to return $2.9 billion in dividends, adhering to a 50% payout policy. The market, however, presented challenges with soft demand leading to a 14% drop in iron ore prices and declines in copper and aluminum prices. The company incurred an $800 million impairment for its alumina refineries, due largely to regulatory costs of carbon credits and market conditions. Despite a 25% EBITDA decline to $11.7 billion, driven by lower prices and cost increases, Rio Tinto is investing in low-carbon technology expansion and recycling, and advancing significant projects like Simandou.
What is Earnings Call?
RIO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Rio Tinto PLC's profitability score is 59/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Rio Tinto PLC's profitability score is 59/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
RIO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Rio Tinto PLC's solvency score is 72/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Rio Tinto PLC's solvency score is 72/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
RIO Price Targets Summary
Rio Tinto PLC
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for RIO is 78.08 USD with a low forecast of 49.16 USD and a high forecast of 100.29 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for RIO is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
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Description
Rio Tinto Plc engages in the exploration, mining, and processing of mineral resources. The firm is principally engaged in the production of materials essential to human progress. The firm's segments include Iron Ore, Aluminium, Copper and Minerals. The firm operates an integrated portfolio of Iron Ore assets, which includes a network of 17 mines, four independent port terminals, and a rail network spanning approximately 2,000 kilometers. The Aluminium business includes bauxite mines, alumina refineries and aluminum smelters. Its bauxite mines are located in Australia, Brazil and Guinea. The Copper segment is engaged in mining and refining copper, gold, silver, molybdenum and other by-products; exploration activities together with the Simandou iron ore project. The Minerals segment includes businesses with products, such as borates, titanium dioxide feedstock together with the Iron Ore Company of Canada. The company also includes diamond mining, sorting and marketing, and lithium exploration.
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The intrinsic value of one RIO stock under the Base Case scenario is 101.27 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 61.2 USD, Rio Tinto PLC is Undervalued by 40%.