ProPetro Holding Corp

NYSE:PUMP

Earnings Call Analysis

ProPetro Forecasts Stable Growth and Returns

ProPetro reported its intention to reduce full-year capital expenditure to just above $300 million, a decrease from the previous $365 million, with expectations for further reduction in 2024. The company retains a solid balance sheet, marked by around $54 million in cash and $45 million in borrowings, foreseeing increased liquidity and capital returns. The share repurchase program has been fruitful, witnessing nearly 4% of shares retired since its May 2023 inception. ProPetro underscored its low-to-no growth environment, readying 2/3 of their fleet with next-gen capabilities by mid-2024 amidst robust demand. The management projects slight fleet count growth in 2024, supported by strategic customer engagement and advancements in service offerings.

Fleet Modernization and Strong Quarterly Performance

ProPetro demonstrated another robust quarter, building on a solid momentum with a focus on reducing capital expenditures (CapEx), which fell significantly and resulted in markedly improved free cash flow. The company successfully transitioned a substantial portion of its hydraulic fracturing fleet to more efficient and lower emission equipment. By the end of the year, ProPetro's total investment in modernizing its fleet will have reached nearly $1 billion, positioning the company to fully reap the benefits of its transformation.

Strategic Expansion and M&A Activities

ProPetro took delivery and deployed its first electric fleet as part of its Force offering, supplementing its existing seven Tier 4 DGB dual fuel fleets, with strong demand for these next-generation services. Following the successful integration of the Silvertip acquisition, ProPetro is actively pursuing further strategic acquisitions to expand and enhance its service capabilities, particularly within its cementing business, which is expected to contribute to scale and earnings power.

Disciplined Capital Allocation and Share Repurchase Program

The company is executing a strategic share repurchase program, leveraging its stock as a high-return investment, reflecting confidence in ProPetro's financial and operational prospects. The delivery of solid earnings and a disciplined approach to capital expenditure have driven the share repurchase initiative, emphasizing a commitment to long-term value creation.

Challenges Ahead and Long-Term Opportunistic Outlook

ProPetro anticipates challenges in the fourth quarter due to seasonal factors and budget exhaustion among customers, which has been exacerbated by increased efficiencies in service delivery. Nonetheless, the company is proactive in its customer engagements and expects a modest decline. Looking forward, ProPetro envisages the first half of 2024 to show improvement over the latter half of 2023, underpinned by the normalization of oil prices and increased rig activity. The company's strategic positioning favors long-term value creation for its customers and shareholders even in a low-growth industry environment.

Prudent Financial Management and Enhanced Shareholder Returns

With a strong liquidity position, ProPetro has significantly reduced its capital spending from $365 million in 2022 to slightly above $300 million, and anticipates a further reduction in 2024. The company has actioned a robust share repurchase program while maintaining financial strength and flexibility. ProPetro's balance sheet and disciplined capital deployment strategy enable the company to invest in its business and pursue mergers and acquisitions strategically, thereby accelerating free cash flow performance and delivering shareholder value.

Commitment to Sustainability and Strategic Priorities

Emphasizing its dedication to sustainability, ProPetro published its inaugural sustainability report, showcasing its commitment to producing hydrocarbons in a safe, efficient, and environmentally friendly manner. By continuing to optimize operations and extending its fleet transition with a capital-light approach, the company is poised for momentum and value growth, aligning with long-term markets and optimizing capital returns to shareholders.

Earnings Call Transcript 2023-Q3

[Operator]

Good day, and welcome to the ProPetro Holding Corp, third Quarter 2020 Conference Call. Please note, this event is being recorded.I would now like to turn the call over to Matt Augustin, Director of Corporate Development and Investor Relations for ProPetro Holding Corp.

[Matt Augustine, executive]

Thank you, and good morning. We appreciate your participation in today's call. With me today is Chief Executive Officer, Sam Sledge, Chief Financial Officer, David Schorlemer; and President and Chief Operating Officer, Adam Munoz. This morning, we released our earnings results for the third quarter of 2023. Please note that any comments we make on today's call regarding projections or our expectations for future events are forward-looking statements covered by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act. Forward-looking statements are subject to several risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control. These risks and uncertainties can cause actual results to differ materially from our current expectations.We advise listeners to review our earnings release and risk factors discussed in our filings with the SEC. Also during today's call, we will reference certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures are included in our earnings release. Finally, after our prepared remarks, we will hold a question-and-answer session. With that, I would like to turn the call over to Sam.

[Sam Sledge, executive]

Thanks, Matt, and good morning, everyone. Building on our strong momentum, ProPetro is pleased to report another solid quarter as we continue to execute on our strategy. We've been squarely focused on generating robust earnings, increasing free cash flow and building towards enhanced shareholder returns and value distribution. I'm glad to report that in the third quarter, we achieved a decrease in our CapEx spend, coupled with continuing strong profitability and activity that resulted in much improved free cash flow. Importantly, we expect these trends will continue as supported by 3 primary factors.First is our ongoing transition from legacy equipment to next-generation assets. Over the past 2 years, we have made significant progress transitioning our hydraulic fracturing assets to more efficient and lower emissions equipment, and we expect our total investment to reach nearly $1 billion by the end of the year as we bring additional state-of-the-art technologies and services to ProPetro. With these investments largely behind us, we are poised to begin fully realizing the benefits of our fleet transformation going forward.In the third quarter, we took delivery and deployed our first electric fleet as part of our Force offering. We now have 7 Tier 4 DGB dual fuel fleets and 1 force electric fleet operating. And the demand for our next-generation services remain strong. We've already seen fantastic results in the first 2 months that our electric fleet has been in the field with high efficiencies and strong customer satisfaction. We expect to begin to take delivery and deploy our second force electric fleet over the next month with the following 2 electric fleets expected to be delivered and deployed in the first half of 2024. This is a clear testament to the differentiated demand that this equipment garners.The second area that's supporting our results is our Silvertip wireline business. As you know, we made our first entry into wireline services through our acquisition of Silvertip in November of 2022, and it continues to be a strong tailwind for our earnings power and free cash flow leverage. We're thrilled with the success of this acquisition, and we'll continue to evaluate and pursue strategic transactions to accelerate value creation as a part of our balanced approach to capital allocation. On that same note, we've also recently executed a nonbinding letter of intent for a small bolt-on acquisition that helps us expand our cementing business. We expect to close that transaction before year-end and are excited to add additional scale in this operating segment. Another core element of our capital allocation philosophy is our share repurchase program, which is the area of focus aligned with our strategy to create value for shareholders. We continue to execute on the $100 million program that our Board authorized last May. Our strong earnings results thus far in 2023 demonstrate the significant value of our strategy and our ability to execute. Despite the recent headwinds, which I will cover more in detail in a moment, we remain confident in the company's current and future financial and operational performance, and we believe that our stock prevents a unique, high return investment opportunity due to the substantial discrepancy between our equity value and our financial results. David will give more specifics on the repurchase program soon.As I've mentioned previously, we side lined on fleet during the third quarter to avoid running it at sub-economic levels. We strongly believe in this disciplined approach and are committed to only running fleets that are a full cycle of cash-on-cash return. Despite running on fewer fleet, we were able to achieve an effective utilization of 15.5 fleets in the quarter as compared to 15.9 fleets effectively utilized fleets the previous quarter. This strong utilization is a testament to our highly desirable equipment, industry-leading field performance, dedicated fleet strategy and the hard work and dedication of our team. This high level of service we provide every day is what our customers have come to expect.I'd now like to move on to address ProPetro's longer-term opportunities. We remain bullish on North American onshore service potential over the next several years. We believe we are still in the early stages of a sustainable up cycle that will be supported by the industrialization of the North American oil and gas industry. Looking ahead, we are confident in our company's ability to continue to advance our strategy and encourage our shareholders to focus on the long-term value potential of our business. David will talk more about our guidance in a moment, but I would like to comment that we expect our fourth quarter to be challenged by normal seasonality, holidays and budget exhaustion.It is important to note that we believe budget exhaustion this year is more correlated to the increased efficiencies in service providers such as ourselves who provide to our customers. We are proactively working with our customers to mitigate the impact, but anticipate a modest decline. As it pertains to 2024, we believe the first half of the year will be an improvement over the second half of 2023 as a result of the normalization of oil prices and more rigs coming back online in the first half of 2024. On a broader note, we believe the upstream E&P industry is in a slow to no-growth environment where the appetite for capacity expansion throughout the hydrocarbon value chain is low.However, we think this benefits sophisticated service providers like ProPetro, and we are confident we have the right strategy in place to continue creating value for our customers and our shareholders. Moreover, the recent transactions in the E&P space reinforce that our disciplined approach to capital deployment is the right strategy for ProPetro. We offer outstanding service quality, next-generation equipment and have a terrific customer portfolio and advantaged operational density in the Permian, all of which insulate us from some of the market volatility outside the Permian and in the spot market. Our goal in this regard is to deliver the most value-enhancing services at the lowest risk to our E&P-based consolidators. Our fleet conversion and our service line expansion with Silvertip is an illustration of that value-enhancing strategy. Lastly, one of our top priorities in positioning the company for long-term success is maintaining a strong balance sheet. This will enable ProPetro to achieve its goal to remain resilient through market conditions while also allowing the company to be opportunistic on value-accretive M&A transactions that will further accelerate free cash flow generation as well as shareholder returns. Now I'll turn the call over to David to discuss our third quarter financial results. David?

[David Schorlemer, executive]

Thanks, Sam, and good morning, everyone. Just like last quarter, we have some great news to discuss today regarding our financial performance and progress in our strategic initiatives. The third quarter represented ProPetro's fifth consecutive quarter of net income. We also achieved a breakout quarter in terms of our free cash flow generation as noted in our earnings release of $27 million, which we believe to be strong and sustainable going forward. Adjusted EBITDA less incurred CapEx is $49 million this quarter compared to negative $2 million last quarter. So the cadence and significance of cash flow is progressing as we had expected.As part of our commitment to shareholder returns, we also retired approximately 1.9 million shares during the quarter for the third quarter for $19 million in repurchases. We are pleased that our share price has increased by approximately 50% since the inception of the repurchase program. It's clear that investors are beginning to appreciate the longevity of this cycle and the value proposition we have created through the dramatic reconfiguration of ProPetro. On top of the share repurchases, we also paid down $15 million of our ABL during the quarter. Moving on to our third quarter financial results. The company generated $424 million of revenue, net income of $35 million and adjusted EBITDA of $108 million. Notably, we generated these strong results despite lower activity in our hydraulic fracturing and wireline businesses. Of note, our cementing business recorded record revenues and profitability during the quarter. As Sam mentioned earlier, our effective frac fleet utilization of 15.5 fleets exceeded our guidance of 14 to 15 fleets. Consistent with our disciplined asset deployment strategy and the fourth quarter headwinds, our fourth quarter 2023 guidance for frac fleet utilization is 13 to 14 fleets. Moving on to more details of our capital structure. We reported $59 million of incurred CapEx in the third quarter, which we believe has begun to normalize. Further, we expect our incurred CapEx for the full year to be slightly above $300 million, reduced from $365 million in 2022, and we expect capital spending to step down further in 2024. Our balance sheet and liquidity position remains strong to support the execution of our strategy.As of quarter end, total cash was $54 million, and our borrowings under the ABL credit facility were $45 million with total liquidity of $180 million. With the continued decline in capital spend, we expect liquidity to continue to improve into 2024, thereby enabling greater allocations to our capital return strategy. Including M&A, as Sam mentioned before, where our Silvertip acquisition is generating 80% EBITDA to free cash flow conversion ratios. This strategy and subsequent investments in our business are beginning to drive more durable performance and stronger returns.Returning to our share repurchase program for a moment. We have taken an aggressive approach to opportunistically repurchasing shares, and it has been a huge success. Since the inception of the share repurchase program, we have retired approximately 4.2 million shares, which equates to nearly 4% of shares outstanding as of the inception of the program in May of 2023, returning approximately $36 million to shareholders. It's important to note that in addition to our share repurchases, our liquidity position remains strong. We have simultaneously invested in our business and paid down debt, and we have enhanced our ability to be opportunistic in the M&A market. We believe that ProPetro trades at a discount relative to its intrinsic value, and we remain committed to what we believe is an excellent investment opportunity through the share repurchase program.Additionally, as I have noted over the last few quarters, the company's balance sheet remains strong and we remain committed to disciplined capital deployment for the long term. This strategy has enabled us to develop and install our capital-light long-term lease agreement for the Force electric-powered frac fleets. This lease agreement reduces our capital requirements and improves our operating cost profile while enabling ProPetro to accelerate the transformation of our frac fleets to emissions friendly assets that are in high demand in the market. Our capital-light long-term lease agreement and our proven M&A architecture will strengthen ProPetro's strategic capabilities and accelerate our free cash flow performance.Lastly, and as Sam touched on, we do believe we are in a low to no growth industrializing environment with customers that are disciplined in our capital spending. Our strategy is designed for the current market environment, and we are confident ProPetro will continue to deliver for our customers and shareholders through all phases of the market cycle. I'll now turn the call back to Sam for some closing remarks.

[Sam Sledge, executive]

Thanks, David. Before we turn it over to Q&A, I'd like to summarize ProPetro's value proposition and why we remain as confident as ever in our strategy and our long-term future. We are proud of the unmatched bifurcation that we offer, including having 2/3 of our fleet equipped with next-generation capabilities by the end of the first half of 2024, and we expect continued strong demand for both our new and legacy assets as well as our other services moving forward. It is important to note that we believe our commercial architecture is best in class.Our sophisticated pricing model supports our asset deployment decisions and accordingly, we will not sacrifice our fleet at the expense of pricing concessions. We believe this mind set and commitment positions ProPetro for strong performance in 2024 and beyond. Given recent E&P consolidation, we believe there are great opportunities ahead for ProPetro to be the service provider of choice for large cap consolidators. Perpetua is an ideal position to combine service integration with the deployment of industrial technologies like our force electric offering, and we are working to enhance our partnerships with the large Permian producers.To summarize, our key priorities are optimizing our operations and industrializing our business to unlock free cash flow, continuing to transition our fleet in a capital-light way and pursuing opportunistic value-accretive transactions while returning capital to shareholders. We believe if we continue to execute on our priorities, ProPetro will continue to build on its momentum and generate enhanced value for shareholders. We also recently published our first inaugural ProPetro, Pro Energy, Pro People Sustainability Report.This report tells the story of our approach to operating in a sustainable way by embracing our Pro Energy and Pro People perspectives. Our desire to be part of improving human flourishing in our world requires our best efforts at ProPetro to help our customers produce hydrocarbons safely, efficiently and environmentally friendly way that we will continue to execute our strategy to the end. I would encourage everyone to download the report from our website at propetroservices.com.I'd like to close by thanking the entire ProPetro team for their outstanding and safe performance this quarter and enabling our management team to move forward confidently with this strategy. It's due to their hard work and dedication that we're taking important strides forward for the benefit of our customers, ProPetro and the environment through the integral role we play in the success of the Permian Basin and the overall energy system.With that, we can now open the line-up for questions. Operator?

[Operator]

OPERATORWe will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator instructions] And our first question comes from Derek Podhaizer from Barclays.

[Derek Podhaizer, analyst]

I just wanted to get some more detail around the seasonality that you guys discussed led by the budget exhaustion due to efficiencies. Maybe can you expand on that? What's the main driver? Is it completion design, logistics, equipment type? Just some more colour on what's driving that substantial pickup in efficiencies because this is really the first time we're hearing of budget exhaustion due to efficiencies.

[Sam Sledge, executive]

I think this has been something that's been at play for a few years now that we're just trying to be honest about. As we continue to push the envelope ourselves and other large competitors of ours around how many hours we're pumping a day, how many feet we're completing a day. I feel like, it sounds like a broken record, I get on here every quarter and say, “Just when I think we're going to plateau we're up, and to the right again.†That continues to happen. So if you extrapolate that out through our customers' plans and the wells and footage that they want to get through on an annual basis, you just finish up, maybe a little bit more quicker than you expected. And that affects everybody a little bit differently, but definitely a bit of the activity drawback we'll see in fourth quarter is due to exactly that.

[Derek Podhaizer, analyst]

I mean, was there anything specific as far as like just logistics getting to the well site faster or maybe just some of your new equipment like I know you could specifically point to?

[Sam Sledge, executive]

It's probably a little bit of everything really. Also the success of our next-generation offering, our dual fuel on our electric offering really hitting the ground running in a really good way, but really a little bit of everything.

[Derek Podhaizer, analyst]

And then just your comments around first half of next year improving over the back half of this year, maybe just how do you expect that to unfold? What gives you your confidence in that statement? Is it just the commodity backdrop? Are you having specific conversations with your customers about returning to work and maybe a preliminary outlook as far as your fleet count? Do you expect to return that idle fleet in the first part of next year?

[Sam Sledge, executive]

Yes. I think leading the way in that outlook is direct conversations with our customers. That's, to us, is always the most powerful variable in the activity equation is what our customers are planning and how they're involving us and their plans moving forward. So I'd say that's number one. Number two is that I think us and our customers are viewing the commodity outlook fairly positively, which kind of bolsters the first thing that I mentioned. And look, we think we provide a very high-quality service that is in demand with next-generation technologies, and I think that's keeping us at the front of the line or front of mind with most of our customers. The fleet that we parked earlier in the quarter, third quarter, we would expect to come back first part of next year. And I think just year-over-year, I think you could see our overall average fleet count to be slightly up year-over-year in '24. And we’ll be, as we deploy the remainder of our force electric fleets, I think we'll be deliberating on how much of that is replacement? How much of that is additive given what other opportunities there are in the market?

[David Schorlemer, executive]

Just to add to that. We talk about the market industrializing. This is a consequence of exactly that. What you're seeing, particularly for the companies that have a bifurcated service offering like ProPetro is lower amplitude in the movements of the market, but also not the same level of amplitude when things turn around. So I think overall, that means that we have more durable and repeatable results. I think that's attractive to investors’ long term. And I think we like it that way. It's easier to manage a business where you have more expectations of demand. And that's what we're building in the business for is that long-term repeatability and durability in earnings.

[Operator]

And our next question comes from Luke Lemoine from Piper Sandler.

[Luke Lemoine, analyst]

Sam, you gave us the cadence for the upcoming force fleet deployments. But could you maybe provide some commentary on Force Fleet One operations and how it's been going? And then maybe provide a contracting update on FC2, 3 and 4?

[Sam Sledge, executive]

Yes. Fleet number 1 has been at work for a couple of months now. We started out as kind of a hybrid half electric half dual fuel fleet, and we've since I think each additional pad added more and more equipment, and we're basically running very close to the full electric fleet, if not a full electric fleet on that location right now. The main data point for us is that the customer is very satisfied. And the initial deployment has probably gone better than expected for us and our customers. So that's really strong for us in terms of how we move forward into 2, 3 and 4. Number two should hit the ground here, start hitting the ground here in the next few weeks. And I think it's safe to say that the contract for that one is basically imminent. We're basically on the 1 yard line I don't have anything tangible to announce today, but very positive in terms of where we sit on number two. The demand for 3 and 4 is very strong. Is it going to go to work under a contract? It's going to be who? Is it going to go to work under contract for? So we're being deliberate and picky about how we move forward with 3 and 4, but we feel really, really good about where we sit commercially with those.

[Luke Lemoine, analyst]

And David, thanks for the fleet count for 4Q. But could you talk about any variances in EBITDA per fleet you see for 4Q? Or should this be fairly unchanged with most of the delta coming from the fleet count move?

[David Schorlemer, executive]

Well, I think that the seasonality will end up seeing some contraction in fleet performance. As we mentioned in our guidance, we do expect activity to be less robust than what we saw in the third quarter. So I think you should expect some contraction there. In addition to that, we talked about how we have this operating lease. Those lease costs will show up in our cost of services. So that will impair a little bit on the EBITDA per fleet performance, but we are incorporating the capital charge in there, which we think is overall a great return on capital, but something to keep in mind in your modelling.

[Operator]

And our next question comes from Arun Jayaram from JPMorgan Chase.

[Arun Jayaram, analyst]

Sam and team, Sam, in your backyard, we've seen a tremendous amount of consolidation of the resource base with companies such as Concho, Parsley and Pioneer effectively in the hands of the majors. What do you think this means for pump long term? And talk about how you've adjusted your marketing approach to adapt to this kind of new market reality.

[Sam Sledge, executive]

Yes. Great question. You're exactly right. There's been quite a bit of consolidation in the E&P space this year, and we wouldn't be surprised if it continues in the next year at almost a similar pace. I think if you look back historically, it's safe to say that most of us having grown up here and been in the oilfield service industry for a while now. Big consolidation like that for the oilfield service space might have been kind of scary and created some uncertainty. But if you look at it kind of through the industrialization that we keep talking about and how ProPetro is positioned within that, I can confidently say, I think we welcome it. I think everyone on our team does knowing the quality of service we provide with the technology that we bring and the commercial architecture that we bring to the party and how it positions us with the larger operators that are making these acquisitions, doing these mergers with more of a long-term tilt to their kind of planning and mindset. And that really to us plays exactly to our model. So it's always interesting to see who it is and how it plays out. But overall, I think we feel really well about how we're positioned within kind of that changing --

[Arun Jayaram, analyst]

And just a follow-up, Sam, I was wondering if you could maybe help us quantify or think about the magnitude of frac efficiency gains that ProPetro has been able to deliver over time. I'd love to hear about maybe hours pumped per fleet on a monthly basis. Just to maybe allow us to think about the impact of those efficiency gains on future demand. You characterize this and we agree with this as a low to no growth kind of operating environment with E&P is kind of focused on efficiency gains. And maybe the question is, you mentioned that you employ a very sophisticated pricing model. How do you adapt that pricing model to take advantage of, if you deliver strong efficiency gains where you can get paid for that efficiency gains and value delivered to the E&P.

[Sam Sledge, executive]

I think the last part of that question is really important. It's a great question. And look, some of that gets into kind of competitive things from a pricing standpoint. But I can tell you, we're very interested in making a return on the amount of assets we deploy and how hard we work with them. Those are some of the main drivers in how we think about pricing and returns. And look, when I find myself talking about efficiencies, I probably have this conversation with you, Arun. It's kind of fun to look back to prior peak, like 2019 and you look at what we were doing then. And if we had a fleet that was continually pumping, say, 15 hours a day on a regular basis, that fleet was highly celebrated.Now it's why isn't every fleet pumping over 20 hours a day. That's kind of how we look at our portfolio and we know that we have competitors that might look at it similarly. That's kind of the general bar water mark right now. But as you look at our daily operational metrics, it's not uncommon to have a single fleet pump over 23 hours for multiple days at a time. So you get to a point where there's only 24 hours in a day. So the engineering upstream of us as it pertains to things like simul-frac and all the different ways you can complete a pad, probably is part of the next frontier that is a much longer transition and maybe as a part of bigger, broader E&P consolidation, I don't know, but we'll see.But the surface efficiencies and what we're doing, what our team is doing at the well site is really just unbelievable. So you can imagine if you have average a fleet that earlier in the year was pumping 19 hours a day is now pumping 22 hours a day that kind of plays in my answer with that earlier question about efficiencies, creating budget exhaustion in a way because that might have been unforeseen for our customer in terms of how they plan to execute on their acreage. So lots of interesting stuff going on in that arena, all of which we're heavily participating in and continuing to try and push the envelope from an efficiency standpoint and while at the same time, make sure that we're paid for doing so.

[David Schorlemer, executive]

Just to interject at one point. I mean the way we're looking at this today is that we have 13, 14, 15 mobile plants, and when you think about the things that kind of go on at a plant, the level of scrutiny of activities, the efficiencies that you're looking for, that's how we're doing this internally and applying various techniques like lean manufacturing and other principles to help us improve our efficiencies, bringing industrialized equipment to the application like our electric fleets is certainly one of those areas, but it's a comprehensive approach and it's something that we'll continue to look at, which we think we can enhance going forward. Part of our first leg of the stool in our strategy is optimizing our business, and we're continuing to work on that.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from Scott Gruber from Citi.

[Scott Gruber, analyst]

I just want to understand a bit better how the lease expense will impact per fleet profitability. I think the lease expense will be about $12 million per fleet per year. I'm just not sure what to subtract the $12 from. Should we subtract that $12 million from the $28 million in annualized EBITDA that you posted in 3Q? Or is the starting point higher on these fleets given the fuel savings that they can create for customers.

[David Schorlemer, executive]

I think when we're looking at it, we're looking at it across the entire fleet in the business. It's a capital cost for this particular asset deployment, but it's really something that we're utilizing to facilitate the acceleration of the transition of our fleet. So you got the number right in terms of lease expense is going to be $10 million to $12 million per year. That will be in cost of services. But overall, that will impair our margin in total at the company, but we still believe we'll be in well into the mid-20s to upper 20s in terms of EBITDA per fleet for the company.

[Scott Gruber, analyst]

And then you mentioned that CapEx should be down next year following the big investment in the Tier 4 upgrades this year. How should we think about base maintenance per fleet? And do you anticipate any additional investment, whether it's in more DGB or e-frac next year?

[David Schorlemer, executive]

So as we mentioned in our incurred CapEx in 2022 was $365 million. That number is going to be a little over $300 million this year. We do believe that we'll see a similar cadence in decline next year. We're still working on that capital budget in our 2024 budgeting process. I think right now, we're guiding to $5 million to $7 million maintenance CapEx per fleet. I think as we continue to blend in the industrialized equipment like this electric equipment that will begin to decrease that number as we go as well as impacting OpEx in our estimates, approximately 30% to 40%, and that's excluding the lease expense. But just to give you a sense of the cadence.And when you look at our recent CapEx cadence, we've been in the $100 million or even over $100 million from an incurred CapEx perspective over the last several quarters, that number got down to 59%. We see that number going lower in the fourth quarter. So I think our investment, we talked about, we show a slide in our IR deck where we've invested close to $1 billion over the last 2 years. That is really beginning to play out in our numbers and our reduced CapEx spend going forward.

[Scott Gruber, analyst]

So the force fleets have, if I heard you correctly, about 30% to 40% lower OpEx per fleet? And do you have a number on the CapEx side? I just imagine it's pretty de minimis in the first couple of years.

[David Schorlemer, executive]

Yes. Just think of it from a perspective of taking an internal combustion engine out of the picture and replacing it with a transformer and variable frequency drive box that has low to no touch required. It's a pretty significant change in your overall maintenance and ongoing capital spend there. We'll give you some more information as we build that fleet out and we garner more internal information. I think on the next call, we'll have a full quarter of operations with our fleet. So we can give you some more guidance going forward then.

[Operator]

[Operator instructions]. And our next question comes from John Daniel from Daniel Energy Partners.

[John Daniel, analyst]

Just equipment questions for you. I guess the first is just on the fleet mix 7 Tier 4 DGB soon for electric in a couple of quarters, at least whatever 4, 5, call it other. What's the plan for those? Is it transition to Tier 4 dual fuel, keep it Tier 2 or go electric?

[Sam Sledge, executive]

I think wait and see is the plan. I think when to preserve optionality with that equipment, look, it's very highly functioning and profitable and active in the market today. Speaking of our diesel fleets. And if the market remains strong, then some of that all diesel equipment might linger around a little bit longer if the market is weaker, then you can look for things like our electric fleets to be more replacement of legacy assets. So I think as we sit here today, we're just trying to preserve that optionality. Our capital allocation priorities or allocate more capital to things like electric and less capital to diesel only equipment.

[John Daniel, analyst]

Keeping with the equipment theme, one of the comments made from one of the OEMs on their earnings call was just the supply chain headaches of electric components for electric fleets. I'm curious, given lead times there, would you be willing to say if you've gone to order the necessary component parts for Fleet 5 on the electric side?

[Sam Sledge, executive]

We've not placed any specific orders for anything additional. But we've got a very close collaborative relationship with our supplier on the electric side. So if demand continues, if we continue to deploy these assets successfully and execute on some of these contractual opportunities, it would be a really good thing in our opinion, if we're moving on more e-fleets next year.

[John Daniel, analyst]

When you look at the component parts right now, engines, transmissions, et cetera, the availability is -- well, there's more of it, frankly, than where we were a year ago. And given your balance sheet and given a belief that the market inflects higher next year, does it make sense to proactively building some inventory of those key component parts now, just so you don't get stuck in the queue down the road?

[Sam Sledge, executive]

No, I don't think we feel motivated to do that yet. I think part of that is due to what priority we feel like we have with many of our suppliers. So I think we'll --to kind of my prior answer, keep our optionality and our flexibility there. And look, I mean, this kind of is also -- I don't have a chance to talk about it on the call yet, but makes me think of just our broader capital allocation strategy as well. I mean we're announcing an LOI on a small cementing business. We've been buying back our stock. We're bringing new equipment into the equation and into our offering. We're doing all of those at once, all the meanwhile, basically debt-free. We're really proud to be able to be balancing all of those things and building the bones is something that's going to be really value producing into the future. So I know your questions are more equipment related, but that's kind of just one part of our capital allocation strategy as we're kind of balancing all 3 of those things, M&A, shareholder returns and equipment transition.

[John Daniel, analyst]

If you just on the LOI on the cementing business. What, if anything, can you elaborate on that transaction?

[Sam Sledge, executive]

Yes. We're just given where we are in that process, there's just not much more we can say. We wanted to share what we have to this point because we're excited about it and our cementing business and the team that runs that business has been performing really well. We're working to continue to equip them with the right tools and scale to continue to compete in a big way.

[Operator]

We have a question now from Stephen Gengaro from Stifel.

[Stephen Gengaro, analyst]

So you've asked a lot here. So just 2 things for me. First, on the Silvertip acquisition, can you just talk a little bit about the efficiencies it has brought and maybe compare and contrast assets that are utilizing those services versus those that are not?

[Sam Sledge, executive]

Yes. It's pretty straightforward. I think both Silvertip wireline units and ProPetro frac crews are mutual beneficiaries of each other. A big reason why we were so positive on doing the transaction with Silvertip was because of their stellar and consistent operational performance. And having -- even before the deal a bit of customer overlap with them, it was very evident to us their performance being beneficiary to our core business. We've made a few inroads on integrating more wireline units with more frac fleets, but that's not something that we're really trying to push it force to market on. But when we have the opportunity to do so, there are some efficiency benefits.And that's been a good reason why we've seen Silvertip execute as consistently as we expected them to is because we've kind of continued with that integration. So more to come there. We think as part of our strategy, more integration is coming to our sector, not less. And so we're proud to have a great leg of the stool in our Silvertip online business to help us with that.

[Stephen Gengaro, analyst]

And then just on the pricing side, can you just talk a little bit about what you're seeing and kind of what you're assuming as you think about the first half of next year and your outlook and sort of suggesting a recovery? And it sounds like, clearly, you're just kind of curious where pricing stands in that mix.

[Sam Sledge, executive]

It seems kind of flat right now, Stephen. We're still working through a few things planning with our customers into next year. But for the most part, it feels pretty flattish.

[Operator]

And this concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Sam Sledge, for any final comments, please.

[Sam Sledge, executive]

Thank you. Thanks, everybody, for joining today. We enjoyed updating you on our business, and we look forward to talking with you again soon. Everybody, have a great day.

[Operator]

And this concludes the conference. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect. Have a good day.