Progressive Corp
NYSE:PGR

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Progressive Corp Logo
Progressive Corp
NYSE:PGR
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Price: 266.06 USD 0.99% Market Closed
Market Cap: 155.9B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one PGR stock under the Base Case scenario is 280.35 USD. Compared to the current market price of 266.06 USD, Progressive Corp is Undervalued by 5%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

PGR Intrinsic Value
280.35 USD
Undervaluation 5%
Intrinsic Value
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Progressive Corp

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

Progressive Corp. is a powerhouse in the American insurance industry, renowned for redefining the way consumers interact with auto insurance. Founded in 1937, the company has grown to become the third-largest auto insurer in the United States, serving millions of customers with a dynamic mix of insurance products, including home, renters, and commercial insurance. Progressive has carved a niche by leveraging technology and data analytics, offering innovative solutions such as its popular "Name Your Price" tool that empowers customers to find coverage options that fit their budgets. The company’s commitment to transparency and customer satisfaction has not only enhanced its brand reputation b...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Progressive Corp

Cash & Short-Term Investments 136.1m
Insurance Receivable 15.1B
Deferred Policy Acquisition Cost 2B
PP&E 688.8m
Long-Term Investments 79.4B
Other Assets 7.8B
Insurance Policy Liabilities 62.8B
Long Term Debt 6.9B
Other Liabilities 8.3B
Earnings Calls

In Q3 2024, Progressive reported exceptional demand in Personal Lines, adding 1.6 million policies, a record for any quarter. Significant media spending correlated with strong application growth, now boosted by competitive pricing. They achieved a robust year-to-date combined ratio of 78.5%, despite the impact of Hurricanes Milton and Helene. Progressive's profit margins are encouraging, positioning them for further growth. Looking ahead, they maintain optimism for 2025, with a projected increase in new application growth of 117% in direct channels and 98% in agency channels. They recognize the need for risk adjustments and plan continuous improvements in their product segmentation strategy.

What is Earnings Call?

Wall St
Price Targets

PGR Price Targets Summary
Progressive Corp

Wall Street analysts forecast PGR stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PGR is 283.05 USD with a low forecast of 163.62 USD and a high forecast of 351.75 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
163.62 USD
39% Downside
Average
Price Target
283.05 USD
6% Upside
Highest
Price Target
351.75 USD
32% Upside
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Dividends

Dividend Yield
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Growth 5Y
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Dividend Safety Score
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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for PGR is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
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Buyback Yield
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Ownership

PGR Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
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PGR News

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Profile

Progressive Corp Logo
Progressive Corp

Country

United States of America

Industry

Insurance

Market Cap

155.9B USD

Dividend Yield

0.47%

Description

Progressive Corp. is an insurance holding company. The company is headquartered in Village Of Mayfield, Ohio and currently employs 49,000 full-time employees. The Company’s segments include Personal Lines, Commercial Lines and Property. The Personal Lines segment writes insurance for personal autos and recreational vehicles. Its Personal Lines segment products are sold through both the agency and direct channels. The Commercial Lines segment writes auto-related liability and physical damage insurance, workers’ compensation insurance primarily for the transportation industry, and business-related general liability and property insurance, predominately for small businesses. The Commercial Lines segment offers its auto products in all states. The Property segment writes residential property and renters insurance in virtually all states, primarily in the independent agency channel and through select agents. The Company’s non-insurance subsidiaries generally support its insurance and investment operations. The firm operates throughout the United States.

Contact

OHIO
Village of Mayfield
6300 Wilson Mills Rd
+14404615000.0
www.progressive.com

IPO

1987-01-06

Employees

49 000

Officers

President, CEO & Director
Ms. Susan Patricia Griffith
VP & CFO
Mr. John Peter Sauerland
President of Personal Lines
Mr. Patrick K. Callahan
President of Claims
Mr. John Joseph Murphy
President of Commercial Lines
Ms. Karen Barone Bailo
Chief Investment Officer
Mr. Jonathan S. Bauer
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VP, Chief Accounting Officer & Assistant Secretary
Ms. Mariann Wojtkun Marshall
Chief Information Officer
Mr. Steven Anthony Broz
Director of Investor Relations
Douglas S. Constantine
VP, Secretary & Chief Legal Officer
David M. Stringer
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one PGR stock?

The intrinsic value of one PGR stock under the Base Case scenario is 280.35 USD.

Is PGR stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 266.06 USD, Progressive Corp is Undervalued by 5%.

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