Blue Owl Capital Inc

NYSE:OWL

Earnings Call Analysis

Blue Owl Continues Strong Growth Amid Strategic Acquisitions

Blue Owl Capital's second quarter of 2024 marked another record quarter with fee-related earnings (FRE) up 23% and distributable earnings (DE) up 19% year-over-year. The company continues its growth with the acquisition of Atalaya Capital Management, enhancing its alternative credit platform. Fundraising efforts raised $5.4 billion in the quarter and $19.2 billion over the last 12 months. With gross originations hitting a new high of $18.7 billion, Blue Owl's credit portfolio returned 3% in the quarter. The company projects a strong dividend growth rate in the low to mid-30% range for 2025.

Strong and Stable Growth

Blue Owl Capital has shown consistent growth, marking its 13th consecutive quarter of management fee and Fee-Related Earnings (FRE) growth. Management fees rose by 21% year-over-year, with 92% of these fees derived from permanent capital vehicles. FRE increased by 23%, while Distributable Earnings (DE) grew by 19%. This prolonged period of growth is a testament to the company's durable asset base and strong investor demand for its strategies.

Strategic Acquisitions

Blue Owl is expanding its business through strategic acquisitions. The most notable include the acquisitions of Prima Capital in June and Kuvare Asset Management in early July, adding approximately $11 billion and $20 billion to AUM, respectively. These acquisitions are expected to bring the company's total AUM to over $220 billion. These acquisitions broaden the company's capabilities in alternative credit and real estate credit, enhancing its overall growth potential.

Record Credit Originations

Blue Owl's credit platform had a record quarter, with gross originations surpassing $18.7 billion. This brings the last 12 months’ total to over $40 billion. The company's net funded deployment was $7.2 billion for the quarter. The credit portfolio yielded a return of 3% in the second quarter and 16.4% over the last 12 months. The portfolio maintains a high level of quality, with low Loan-to-Value (LTV) ratios.

Fundraising and Capital Deployment

The company raised $5.4 billion of equity in the second quarter and $19.2 billion over the last 12 months. Significant contributions came from diversified and first lien lending strategies as well as GP strategic capital and real estate products. Notably, the fundraising for the company's nontraded BDC, OCIC, doubled compared to the same quarter last year. Blue Owl also sees substantial embedded earnings, with AUM not yet paying fees amounting to $15.9 billion, representing a potential increase of $200 million in annual management fees once deployed.

Financial Performance and Guidance

For the second quarter of 2024, FRE stood at $0.21 per share with DE at $0.19 per share. The company declared a dividend of $0.18 per share. Blue Owl is projecting a dividend growth rate in the low to mid-30% range for 2025, aiming for a dividend CAGR of 30% since going public. While recent acquisitions might slightly compress margins below the 60% level in the short term, the company is confident about maintaining strong long-term growth.

Net Lease Growth

In the net lease segment, Blue Owl raised over $650 million, primarily in rent or perpetually offered net lease products. The company expects to be approximately 60% committed to Fund VI by the end of the year, indicating strong demand for its solutions. Real estate portfolio gross returns were 2.5% for the second quarter and 6.7% over the last 12 months.

Alternative Credit and Real Estate

The acquisition of Atalaya Capital Management aims to scale Blue Owl’s alternative credit capabilities. Atalaya brings deep expertise in asset-based finance, complementing Blue Owl’s leading position in direct lending. Despite being initially margin-dilutive, this acquisition is expected to be value-accretive over time, analogous to the successful integration of Oak Street.

Fee Structure and Long-Term Vision

Almost all of Blue Owl’s revenue comes from durable permanent capital with best-in-class fee rates. The company emphasizes that its earnings are entirely made up of fee-related earnings, ensuring a higher quality of earnings compared to peers. The business model is designed for strong and stable growth, reinforced by both organic and inorganic expansion strategies.

Earnings Call Transcript 2024-Q2

[Operator]

Good morning, and welcome to Blue Owl Capital Second Quarter 2024 earnings call. [Operator Instructions] I'd like to advise all parties that this conference call is being recorded.

I will now turn the call over to Ann Dai, Head of Investor Relations for Blue Owl.

[Ann Dai, executive]

Thanks, operator, and good morning to everyone. Joining me today are Marc Lipschultz, Co-Chief Executive Officer; and Alan Kirshenbaum, our Chief Financial Officer.

I'd like to remind our listeners that remarks made during the call may contain forward-looking statements, which are not a guarantee of future performance or results and involve a number of risks and uncertainties that are outside the company's control. Actual results may differ materially from those in forward-looking statements as a result of a number of factors, including those described from time to time in Blue Owl Capital's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The company assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement.

We'd also like to remind everyone that we'll refer to non-GAAP measures on the call, which are reconciled to GAAP figures in our earnings presentation available on the Investor Resources section of our website at blueowl.com. Please note that nothing on this call constitutes an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to purchase an interest in any Blue Owl fund.

This morning, we issued our financial results for the second quarter of 2024, recording fee-related earnings, or FRE, of $0.21 per share and distributable earnings, or DE, of $0.19 per share. We also declared a dividend of $0.18 per share for the second quarter, payable on August 30 to holders of record as of August 21. During the call today, we'll be referring to the earnings presentation, which we posted to our website this morning. So please have that on hand to follow along.

With that, I'd like to turn the call over to Marc.

[Marc S. Lipschultz, executive]

Great. Thank you very much, Ann. Blue Owl had a very active second quarter, reporting another record quarter of earnings and announcing highly strategic acquisitions that further diversify our business. Over the last 12 months, we have generated 23% fee-related earnings growth at 19% distributable earnings growth from the prior year period. And since becoming a public company, we have had 13 consecutive quarters of management fee and FRE growth, highlighting both the stability and strength of our business.

Our disciplined investment approach and compelling track record have appealed to a growing pool of investors looking for uncorrelated and income-driven returns. We continue to expand the types of financing solutions we offer making us an increasingly important counterparty and in conjunction, we continue to expand the range of strategies and product options we offer to our investors.

Recently, we announced our intention to acquire one of the leading alternative credit managers in the market today, Atalaya Capital Management, added substantial scale to Blue Owl's alternative credit capabilities and complementing our leading position in direct lending. Atalaya brings deep expertise in asset-based finance with a strong 18-year record through market cycles, and we believe our counterparties and clients will be very excited about the platform synergy opportunities will be able to create with the Atalaya team on board.

Alternative credit is a multitrillion dollar market where legacy participants are pulling back, and we think we have exactly the right team in place to become an increasingly significant player in the space.

Looking back to when we announced the Oak Street acquisition in 2021. Oak Street's AUM was roughly $12 billion. About 2.5 years later, we have more than $28 billion of AUM in triple net lease alone. And I think this is a great case study for what we hope to achieve with Atalaya. Alan will talk more about this in a few minutes.

More broadly, we now have added critical capabilities in alternative credit and real estate credit, further building out the waterfront of solutions we offer. Both are deeply disrupted markets with huge addressable opportunity sets. And with the acquisition of Kuvare Asset Management, we now offer a holistic asset management solution to insurance companies, broadening our potential investor base substantially. We expect integration of these businesses to go very smooth, given that there is generally very little overlap between Blue Owl's existing footprint and that of the businesses we are acquiring. The vast majority of the employees will see very little change in their day-to-day, with investment teams remaining focused on their areas of expertise and continuing to be led by their founders or existing senior management teams.

Our goal is to enhance what each firm is already doing well and create incremental opportunities for the combined entity. And critically, all of these were proprietary acquisitions not done through auctions. The leaders of these firms or the insurance partner in the case of Kuvare wanted to grow their businesses as a part of Blue Owl. They're not selling to Blue Owl but rather joining Blue Owl.

We plan to leverage Blue Owl's scale to benefit each of these businesses through our 700-plus sponsor relationships our leading wealth distribution platform, a global and growing institutional platform and greater efficiency and best-in-class corporate infrastructure. We're very excited about the collaborations we can create across the Blue Owl platform and look forward to sharing more about those in the quarters to come.

Moving on to the quarter. We continue to see good fundraising progress across the business. Gross flows into our perpetually distributed products reached $2.8 billion in the second quarter, over 30% higher than the first quarter and more than double what we raised in the second quarter of 2023.

Notably, redemptions in the perpetually offered products remain nominal despite upticks across the industry, totaling less than $325 million across all or under 20 basis points of our beginning AUM. That means we raised 9x more than what's left the system in these products. Total gross loans from private wealth were $3.2 billion.

Our incumbency position as one of the leaders in the private wealth channel as a result of the relationships and the level of trust we have built with distributors through thoughtful partnership, strong performance and high-touch service at every level of these organizations. What's remarkable about the opportunity in private wealth is the overall very modest amount of allocation to alternative products, which is in the low to mid-single digit percentages. We think we're in the very early innings of the adoption of all [indiscernible] individual investors as they begin to see the benefits of diversification and uncorrelated asset classes in their portfolios.

We also raised $2.2 billion from institutional investors across a number of strategies, including GP stakes, first lien lending, liquid credit, diversified lending and GP lending secondaries, complementing our robust flows in private wealth and reflecting the ongoing diversification of fundraising across our business.

To zoom out slightly, we have raised $32 billion across equity and debt over the past 12 months in an environment that most continue to describe as challenging. That's equivalent to over 20% of our AUM a year ago that we've raised in 12 months, a more than solid showing in our view, and we continue to bring new capabilities to market.

Turning to business performance. In credit, we had a record quarter of deployment with more than $18.7 billion of gross originations primarily across new deals, add-ons and refinancings where we decided to participate in the new law. Repayments were $6.9 billion, resulting in a higher quarter of net deployment. We continue to demonstrate that borrowers are drawn to the 3 Ps of direct lending: predictability, privacy and partnership. And that value proposition is compelling, whether the syndicated markets are active or not. The longer-term secular trend of sponsors gravitating more and more towards direct lending remains in place, and we see healthy sponsor appetite to deploy incremental capital and monetize existing investments over time.

Direct lending metrics remain strong. On average, underlying revenue growth was in the high single digits and EBITDA growth was in the mid-teens across the portfolio with no significant step-ups in nonaccruals or requests. As we think about the key to our success in direct lending, is a very straightforward formula we follow. One, start by limiting loan losses through rigorous underwriting and been highly selective. This is evident in our 7 basis points of annualized realized losses since inception.

And two, when there is a default to everything we can to ensure a higher recovery. I think we have demonstrated both of these tenants very successfully over the prior years. And more broadly, our portfolio companies continue to perform extremely well. We are pleased with what we're seeing across the business.

In our GP stakes business, our partner managers continue to benefit from 2 meaningful secular trends, growing allocations to alternatives and GP consolidation. Collectively, our partner managers now manage over $1.8 trillion, giving us an unparalleled view over the alternative asset management industry. The ongoing diversification and scale in the alt managers, the emergence and rapid growth of asset classes such as direct lending and alternative credit, the partnerships being formed in insurance asset management solutions and the expansion of opportunity in private wealth. These are all trends readily observable across our partner managers and one for which Blue Owl's business is well-positioned.

This past quarter, we have also observed an uptick in asset sales for some of the partner manager portfolios, which could reflect sponsors greater willingness to monetize assets in older vintage PE funds. During the second quarter, we made our first investment for our mid-cap GP stake strategy and have 2 additional investments agreed to, in principle, which we expect to close in the third quarter.

As for our large-cap GP stake strategy, we remain on track to have Fund V substantially committed by the third or fourth quarter of this year. We closed on an additional $1 billion for the latest vintage of the strategy during the second quarter and anticipate that fundraising in the third quarter could be similar based on current visibility.

But keep in mind, we're not focused on the timing of closes quarter-to-quarter. What is important is that we remain very focused and confident in our ability to achieve our $13 billion goal over the next 18 months.

In real estate, we continue to actively deploy capital at attractive cap rates behind our 4 major themes: digital infrastructure, onshoring, health care real estate and essential retail. The capital needs in each of these areas is very significant, and we are making good progress in deploying Fund VI, which we just finished fundraise in during the last quarter. We believe we'll be approximately 60% committed for this fund by year-end, which would put us ahead of expectations in deploying capital, demonstrating the strong demand for our net lease solutions.

Earlier, we spoke about the disruptive dynamics in alternative credit and real estate credit. The same dynamic applies to triple net lease, where we think we're seeing some of the very best risk reward this space has seen in a very long time. We are buying great properties at cap rates in the mid- to high 7s, facing generally investment-grade tenants and there are very few others doing what we do. That's a compelling proposition, and we are leaning into it.

We continue to see nice step functions upward in the fundraising for ORENT. Second quarter flows were 130% higher than a year ago, bucking the trends seen across competitor nontraded REIT products, and we continue to launch on additional distribution platforms.

To bring it all together, there's a lot of growth happening across Blue Owl organically and inorganically. But the big picture is very simple. We're an alternative asset manager with leading positions in our direct lending, GP stakes and triple net lease strategies. We have a leading position in private wealth distribution and an expanding global presence in institutional and insurance markets. We're adding scale alternative credit and real estate credit capabilities with teams that have generated strong track records over decades.

And our P&L model is very simple. Almost all of our revenue comes from durable permanent capital with best-in-class fee rates, and our earnings are made up entirely of fee-related earnings. We think this makes our business quite unique and compelling and well positioned for strong and stable growth to come.

With that, let me turn it to Alan to discuss our financial results.

[Alan Kirshenbaum, executive]

Thank you, Marc, and good morning, everyone. We're very pleased with the differentiated and strong results we continue to post quarter after quarter. As Marc mentioned earlier, we have been able to achieve 13 consecutive quarters of both management fee and FRE growth due to the durability of our asset base anchored by permanent capital and strong investor demand for the strategies we offer.

Let's go through some of our key highlights on an LTM year-over-year basis through June 30. Management fees are up 21% and 92% of these management fees are from permanent capital vehicles. FRE is up 23% and DE is up 19%. As you can see on Slide 12, we raised $5.4 billion of equity in the second quarter and $19.2 billion of equity for the last 12 months.

I'll break down the second quarter fundraising numbers across our strategies and products. In credit, we raised $3.4 billion, $2.4 billion was raised in our diversified and first lien lending strategies, of which $1.7 billion came from our nontraded EDC, OCIC, double what we raised in the second quarter of 2023. Inclusive of the July 1 close, we have now raised over $12 billion for OCIC since inception. The remainder was raised across software lending, liquid credit and strategic equity.

In GP strategic capital, we raised $1.3 billion across our large cap strategy and co-invest vehicles. And in real estate, we raised over $650 million, primarily in rent or perpetually offered net lease products. We're pleased with the increasing breadth of fundraising across strategies and products which will continue to expand with our new insurance solutions offering and the Prima [indiscernible] acquisition. Prima closed in June, adding approximately $11 billion to AUM. And in early July, our acquisition of Kuvare Asset Management also closed, adding approximately $20 billion to AUM for the third quarter. Pro forma for Atalaya closing, which is expected to add approximately $10 billion, our AUM will be over $220 billion.

As a reminder, we also have substantial embedded earnings in our business. AUM not-yet-paying fees was $15.9 billion as of the end of the second quarter, corresponding to roughly $200 million of incremental annual management fees once deployed. We also have approximately $135 million of incremental management fees that will turn on upon the listing of our remaining private BDCs over time. These 2 items alone would represent an increase of almost 20% and from our last 12-month FRE revenues. These aspects, combined with our business model of being virtually all permanent capital and 100% FRE, just gives us a higher quality of earnings than any of our peers in the industry.

Moving on to our credit platform. We had gross originations of more than $18.7 billion for the quarter, a record high and net funded deployment of $7.2 billion. This brings our gross originations for the last 12 months to over $40 billion with $15.5 billion of net funded deployment. Our credit portfolio returned 3% in the second quarter and 16.4% over the last 12 months. Weighted average LTVs remain in the high 30s across direct lending and in the low 30s specifically in our software lending portfolio.

For our GP strategic capital platform, total invested commitments for our fifth GP Stakes funds, including agreements in principle, are over $11.5 billion of capital with line of sight into over $3 billion of opportunities, which if all our signs, we bring us through the remaining capital available in Fund V. And performance across these funds remained strong with a net IRR of 24% for Fund III, 41% for Fund IV and 12% for Fund V.

And in our real estate platform, our pipeline continues to grow with nearly $10 billion of transaction volume on the letter of intent or contract to close. As Mark mentioned earlier, we think we could be roughly 60% committed to Fund VI by year-end, reflecting the strong demand we're seeing for our net lease solutions.

Many of these opportunities are build-to-suit arrangements, which are very capital efficient for the tenant and where we get a premium cap rate for providing a flexible balance sheet friendly solution to our parks. These can take between 18 and 24 months to fully deploy the capital we've committed. And as a reminder, we charge management fees mostly on invested capital, so we will earn incremental management fees as this capital is support.

With seeing such strong deployment opportunities, this could position us well to be out in the market with the next vintage of this strategy before the end of next year. With regards to performance, gross returns across our real estate portfolio were 2.5% for the second quarter and 6.7% for the last 12 months, comparing favorably to the broader real estate market over this time period. The net IRR across our fully realized funds has been 24% for investment-grade and credit-worthy tenant risk, reflecting the favorable value creation driven by our scale and solutions-based partnerships.

Okay. Let's wrap off with a few closing thoughts. We continue to track to be in or around our dollar per share goal for 2025. We've talked about the 4 things, now 3 things that needs to happen to be on track for this goal, which are: first, accretive acquisitions, which we achieved through Kuvare, Prima and the announcement of Atalaya, so check that. Three remaining things: one, continued strong fundraising levels for OCIC, OTIC and ORENT. We continue to see strong fund raise levels coming through for these products and especially in the case of ORENT, where we have seen a step function upwards with another step-up expected in the back half of this year. So overall, on this first one, we expect we are on track.

Two, a successful fund raise for our large-cap GP stake funds and we are pacing at a good level here. As we have noted previously, our expectation is this will be a little more back ended with more fund raise expected in 2025 than 2024. Overall, on the second one, we expect we are on track.

And three, the listing of some of our BDCs. We completed the listing of OBDE earlier this year. We continue to deploy capital in OTF II and for the BDC that remain private, we are focused on executing on the strategy we outlined during last year's BDC Investor Day. So overall, on the third one, we expect we are on track.

Bringing this all together, we feel good about being in or around our dollar per share dividend goal and reporting a very strong dividend growth rate for 2025 in the low to mid-30% range, resulting in a dividend CAGR of 30% since going public.

Now let's talk a little more about our Atalaya acquisition for a moment, where we think there is a meaningful opportunity akin to what we saw for Oak Street. Marc mentioned earlier that we have more than doubled Oak Street's AUM in just under 3 years. So let me put some color around how we've achieved that.

Since acquiring Oak Street, we have doubled the net lease team, including the addition of Jesse Holm as CIO of the platform. We have created new product offerings for the private wealth channel and are in the process of launching a European net lease product. And the investments have started to pay off, with ORENT out raising all of our peers on a net basis and Fund VI well exceeding its $5 billion [indiscernible].

Bringing it all together, we have been able to accomplish a great deal in a relatively short amount of time in our net lease business. We have more than doubled AUM. We have almost tripled permanent capital. We have triple FRE revenues, and we have grown our average management fee rate by over 30%. And most importantly, based on the increase in FRE that we have generated in our triple net lease platform we have created almost $1 billion of additional value for our shareholders in just a few years in a very tough environment to raise real estate funds.

We are equally excited about our Atalaya acquisition. The Atalaya team is one of, if not the best, in the alternative credit industry, and we have a lot of runway ahead of us to grow this business together. We have mentioned that this acquisition is modestly accretive in 2025 and we think much more accretive as we really ramp this business over the next number of years, similar to Oak Street. It is, however, margin dilutive for Blue Owl.

As we continue to do acquisitions, we won't always find businesses with the same FRE margins. The margins here are well below our levels. We believe we can increase them over time, but may not ultimately get up to 60% with each of our acquisitions. That's okay. We expect this deal will be very value accretive for us over time and fills a very strategic product area for us in a huge industry growth area. So as we go into the next year or so, we can see margins for the remainder of this year being slightly below the 60% level and for 2025 being 2% to 3% lower.

On the last note, we have led the alternative asset management industry and growth since we listed in 2021, and we have every intention on continuing to lead the industry for the foreseeable future and the key metrics that matter to all of us: management fees, FRE revenues, FRE and dividend growth; and we feel very confident we will accomplish these goals through continued organic and inorganic growth and reinvestment back into our business.

With that, I'd like to thank everyone who has joined us on the call today. Operator, can we please open the line for questions.

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Alex Blostein with Goldman Sachs.

[Alexander Blostein, analyst]

So first question maybe on the deployment opportunities in private credit and direct lending, very big step up in the quarter on gross originations and net as well. And that's obviously despite a fairly high level of syndicated market activity as well as higher refi volumes across the industry. So maybe talk a little bit about how broad-based was the deployment you saw this quarter? Anything in particularly kind of lumpy that you would call out? And I guess how would you characterize gross and net deployment backdrop for the rest of the year?

[Marc S. Lipschultz, executive]

Thanks, Alex. Look, it's a great environment for direct lending. And I actually think this quarter is very revealing about the power of the model. Given this is also a time where the syndicated market is as open as it's ever been, and PE activity remains actually, I think, by our collective measure tepid relative to the dry powder. That's the backdrop. And yet, as noted, it was by far our biggest origination quarter.

And I take those 3 together, and I would actually say, yes, that is meaningful, which is to say, no, there are not sort of special onetime items, if you will, in the ultimate net originations number. There's a lot of broad activity. We thankfully have a combination of add-ons which, of course, are proprietary. People that are assets that are being sold and were the incumbent, and that often gives pretty proprietary angle on things. And then, of course, just new investments and we are, I think, well positioned to continue to do very well in that marketplace.

So I look at this quarter as a pretty strong indicator going forward and every quarter will vary based on indeed the exact volume, what we choose to do. But I think what we can read from this is the continued demand for direct lending by users of capital is extremely strong even when the syndicated market is widely available. And I think that's actually a really meaningful data point because people have always sort of overread this idea that all it's when the market's close, then direct lending is a solution. I think what we're seeing is the extreme durability of having long-term capital to provide long-term solutions and deliver the 3Ps: predictability, privacy and partnership, to the users of the capital.

The part that I think gets us excited, and again, I'm not trying to time the moment this happens. But starting from what we just said, there are a few things going on. One, as I just said, there is the relatively tepid PE activity. That will pick up. There's a huge amount of dry powder as we all know. It will get deployed. And we can read from this quarter that whether the syndicated market is wide open or not, direct lending gets a big piece of that. Well, at some point, either we're going to have a less active syndicated market, that's escapable at some point, given the relative strength today. And we're going to have a more active PE market. So combine that with what we're seeing in this environment, that's a very robust outlook from our point of view.

And I want to add one more cherry to that, a slight moderation in interest rates, which seems to be forthcoming, we'll be good. I mean, really good for continued accelerated interest by people and doing financings and doing deals. So yes, we're feeling like it's a pretty good moment.

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Brian Mckenna with Citizens JMP.

[Brian Mckenna, analyst]

Okay. Great. So just a question on all the recent M&A you've done. Strategically, all these deals make sense and round out the capabilities across the firm. But how should we think about the incremental growth from these deals relative to the legacy Blue Owl growth rate? It would seem like the revenue opportunities for all of these are quite a bit better than their legacy historical growth rates similar to the outcome with Oak Street. So I'm just trying to figure out if these deals will ultimately be accreted to the termite growth rate of Blue Owl over time?

[Marc S. Lipschultz, executive]

So the acquisitions, of course, you observed, have been really important parts of our strategy. And I think it's important to make 2 core observations before we get into the sort of specifics of the actual underlying businesses. The acquisitions in the context of Blue Owl are really people not selling to us but joining us. And we said -- I said this in my remarks a moment ago, but it's really important framework when you think about what Blue Owl is doing.

What we have done before and are continuing to do is say, look, where there are best-of-breed investment capabilities and there's a great fit between that organization and ours and those leaders and our leadership group then we can make overly use 1 plus 1 equal -- I'm not going to use 3, I think it's 4 and 5. We're going to really try to combine not change the world-class investment capabilities, but be able to bring our infrastructure and kind of, if you will, the origination synergies, the intellectual capital synergies between the businesses. And it works.

Look at Oak Street. Oak Street, at the time we announced it had $12 billion of AUM, today, $28 billion of AUM. And we have dramatically increased the amount of permanent capital. We have created the wealth product. We've had a record -- the largest real estate fund ever completed last year was in our product suite.

So I think we've seen that we know how to bring these world-class capabilities together with the Blue Owl platform, and that's a winner for our LPs and a winner for our shareholders. So that's sort of, I think, key observation -- well, 2 observations really, which is joining, not selling. We are buying things in an auction and someone exits, they join us. We are so fortunate to have [ Mark Zohr ]. You can see it in the leadership of the firm and in the leadership of real estate. You -- we now have [ Ivan Zinn ] in joining us, leading Atalaya. I mean he is a superstar of the world of asset-based finance and it goes on.

So that's the way I would read the collection of assets. Now what does it mean for our business? And Alan, I'm sure will add to this. These are accretive acquisitions just on their face. And so we'll see the benefits of that, but they're kind of inconsequential if you will, in the scheme of the very near term, but they are critical for the long term. What we're doing now is setting the stage for the years beyond 2025. What we're doing is setting up products that have very large addressable markets where we have distinctive capabilities. That, again, distinctive capabilities is key.

So we look at things like alternative credit, asset-backed credit. The next 10 years look a lot like the last 10 years did in direct lending. When we came to direct lending with this notion of, hey, listen, what we're going to do is go offer private solutions. And we want to finance the best credits from the best users of capital, not lender of last resort and provide those 3 Ps that people value that certainty. We're going to do the same in asset-backed credit. It's a bigger market. It's a $7 trillion market. It's only 5% penetrated by private solutions today. And now Blue Owl combined with Atalaya. Atalaya, it's a great idea on Wall Street today, asset-backed, Atalaya has been doing it for nearly 20 years. 20 years with spectacular results.

So now you have the Blue Owl credit platform married with one of kind of the couple of best in the world probably in this business. And that gives us the legs we need for not even just next handful of years, but what we think can be the next decade version of direct lending.

Prima, our leg into real estate credit. You say real estate credit, everyone thinks, "Oh, my gosh, look at all the problems there". Prima has been doing this business for over 30 years. They've had 2 losses. Two losses in 32 years. So there are ways to go into each of these markets with exceptional talent and with very focused strategies that I will characterize as the boring inversions. We're very into doing boring products, products that deliver in and out, up and down through all markets.

And it turns out when you do that over and over and over again, that turns out to be pretty exciting. So that's where we bring Prima to the mix Prima. That's probably a $5 trillion addressable market in the case of real estate credit. So we are looking at these as critical pieces along with our insurance, now distribution. Remember, we're not getting the insurance business, but we've now created an insurance alternative management capability where we can package capabilities, no coincidence of things like Prima and asset-backed credit are perfect marriages with that delivery to the insurance channel. So all this really kind of comes together around setting the stage for what comes in the next 5 and 10 years for us.

[Alan Kirshenbaum, executive]

Brian, to broaden that a little bit, we -- I talked in my prepared remarks about the few things left for our -- in and around $1 a share goal. And now as Marc's talking about, now everything else, all the things we've talked about this year so far on the road when we're meeting with our investors are all growth initiatives beyond 2025. How do we keep this industry-leading growth level well, well beyond this in and around $1 a share goal? So you sprinkle in these acquisitions, very targeted focused acquisitions. We're going to continue to grow inorganically, but then you layer in the organic growth to talk about our credit products, our evergreen diversified lending strategy, our evergreen first lien fund strategy, our health care vertical, our GP-led secondary product.

And then you add in some real estate products or European triple net lease, which is getting really good traction are growing our real estate finance products and potentially gearing up, as I said, by the end of next year for our real estate Fund VII. And as Mark said, Fund VI, we had a record year with where we ended up with Fund VI. And then our new mid-market GP stakes product. So when you layer in the organic and inorganic growth. This is what we've been talking about all year. How do we really keep that industry-leading growth level well around 2025.

[Operator]

Next question comes from the line of Glen Schorr with Evercore ISI.

[Glenn Schorr, analyst]

So maybe another angle on the deal activity. So I agree, Oak Street seems to be textbook purchase integration and accelerated growth story. When you think about just -- you just did 3 deals in a reasonably short period of time, is something different in the deal environment that has brought these companies to your doorstep and why? So I want -- asking about what's going on with the deal environment?

And 2 is history hasn't been great in asset management land for companies to buy a bunch of other companies, half leaving alone, half levered them. It usually hurt margins. And eventually, you had some grew, some didn't. It's a bad -- it leaves a bad taste in investors' mouth. I think that the underlying growth of the alternatives backdrop is significantly better than what we're looking at. My question is, how do you make sure you integrate enough that you are one firm enough that you lever the brands and the best things and don't learn -- or do learn from the mistakes of the past -- of the traditional asset managers.

[Marc S. Lipschultz, executive]

Sure. So these coming together in this form, I think mostly we ought to look at as just a reflection of the right opportunity at the right time. These are businesses that came to us. These are one-off as we noted. So this is really about finding strong partnerships. And I think that does start to address this question of how do you get the best of both worlds. This is us working in tandem with the leadership team of Prima working in tandem with the leadership team of Atalaya continuing in our partnership, with Kuvare is remaining in the insurance business and remaining a strategic partner to us, we're providing asset management services.

So I think the key for us here is, these are one-off opportunities that are about joining us, and we assess that not just on, is it a good strategy? And is it a world-class team at investing, but is it a tremendous fit for our firm? And I can tell you the cultural assessment we go through when we think about something like a Prima or Atalaya is as important as the financial assessment. And I can tell you, by the way, it [indiscernible]. These are great people. And they are very much a part of the Blue Owl, as we talked about, everyone is going to wear the Blue Owl jersey. And that is how we work. This is not a constellation of activities. It's absolutely one firm. That's how we operate.

But what we don't change is the success of the investment strategies. And that's been the model for direct lending. It's been the model for GP States. It's been the model for Oak Street. So actually, it's been done multiple times for us here, how to get the best of investment performance with the full integration of the businesses into the firm. So I have to say we feel very good about the muscles we have built for that, and everything is moving along in the right direction.

So I would tell you we're feeling like we understand very much the questions, the caution, if you will, that you're noting in any M&A and M&A and financial services. But in this case, Oak Street to me, is a much better template to look at. In fact, because that's actually ours, actually a very analogous sized business, actually an analogous set of circumstances where the senior leadership team came and joined this firm to be a part of the leadership of Blue Owl then sell to this firm.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Patrick Davitt with Autonomous Research.

[Patrick Davitt, analyst]

I think the management fee trend in the quarter was probably a little disappointing relative to the very positive FP AUM inflow and AUM surprise. So were there any timing issues with like big deployments skewing later in the quarter that maybe aren't showing up in the full quarter? And if so, maybe to level set, do you know what the run rate for management fees would have been with the full quarter of all those, a full quarter of Prima, et cetera?

[Alan Kirshenbaum, executive]

Thanks, Patrick. I don't have the run rate on -- off the top of my head. I could tell you that we had some closings at the very end of the quarter, so didn't really have any time to accrete in for the quarter. And in 1Q, we had some small catch-up fees, both in real estate and in GP stakes that elevated just slightly 1Q's numbers.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Craig Siegenthaler with Bank of America.

[Craig Siegenthaler, analyst]

We wanted to come back to Alan's margin commentary near the end of the prepared remarks. So with the 2025 FRE margin now, at [ $0.50 ] to 58% longer term as you scale digest these mergers. Where do you see the long-term target? Is that still 60% or maybe a little higher? How should we think about that?

[Alan Kirshenbaum, executive]

[Audio Gap] potential growth numbers over the next few years, and it fits a very strategic area for us and a very big addressable market, as Marc was talking about. So let's talk for a minute about what are we creating here? When I look backwards just for a minute and I look at our management fee growth, for our real estate business. On an LTM basis, since we acquired the Oak Street business, we haven't had a quarter go by where we haven't had 50% growth on an LTM basis in management fees there.

And overall Blue Owl, we haven't had a quarter go by, that's been less than 20%. And when you take that up to the Blue Owl FRE revenues, we haven't had a quarter go by that's been lower than 25% revenues. And so that's looking backwards, what we've created.

Now looking forward, when you think about the things that we have out there, AUM not yet paying fees, GP stake 6 fundraise, the CIC and TIC fundraises over '24 and '25, and then the BDC step-ups in fees. That's another $1 billion of revenue from where we were at the end of 2023. So that's a 60% growth just from those few things, and that doesn't include all the other things that I just rattled through in a previous question about growth initiative beyond 2025.

When I think about fundraising, we think we're going to almost double our equity fund raise versus where we were last year. And so what we're doing, it's working. We're reinvesting back into our business. It's fueling industry-leading growth. and it's accelerating between now and the end of 2025. So when you think about that 25% revenue number we just posted on an LTM basis, that growth, we think, will accelerate to approaching 30% growth for this year and for next year. And again, I wouldn't change the longer-term 60% FRE margin.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Steven Chubak with Wolfe Research.

[Steven Chubak, analyst]

So I wanted to ask a question on Part 1 fees. Just given the expectation for rate cuts on the horizon, loan spreads tightening over the last 12 months, there's some concern that Part 1 fees could come under greater pressure as the higher-yielding back book begins to roll off. Recognizing there's going to be a meaningful offset from ramping deployment activity, and certainly, the comments there were quite constructive, but I was hoping to get just a mark-to-market for where current origination yields sit today relative to the back book? And maybe just speak to the ability to defend, I guess, what would now be a high 50s FRE margin in '25 amid deeper rate cuts and spread contraction?

[Alan Kirshenbaum, executive]

Sure. Thanks for your question, Steven. Look, we have a BDC business that continues to grow. And so yes, as rates come down, we will see some pressure on Part 1 fees. We also see, from a number of perspectives, Part 1 fees going up. So we still have our software lending to BDC that's not fully deployed as we continue to deploy that capital. Part 1 fees are going to continue to go up vis-a-vis the prior quarter and we still have some ways to go to fully deploy that capital.

We still have 2 BDCs, and we'll continue to have 2 BDCs, OCIC and OTIC, that are fundraising at very strong levels today, and we'll continue to for everything that we see on the go forward. So we will continue to see Part 1 fees stepping up quarter-over-quarter as it relates to our fundraising efforts and these continually offered products.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Crispin Love with Piper Sandler.

[Crispin Love, analyst]

Can you just give us an update on credit quality across the portfolio what you're seeing? Are you seeing any degradation in the portfolio? And then when you look at Pluralsight specifically, how confident are you that, that is a one-off in the portfolio versus the potential for other credit stress elsewhere?

[Marc S. Lipschultz, executive]

Yes. Credit quality is very good. This is a strong environment. Our portfolio on average, grew EBITDA in the teens, mid-teens. So we continue to see a very strong overall performance. We have not seen any material change in amendment requirements or requests or changes in demand for payment in kind, if they were cash paid before running down the revolvers. And look, we will always have one-off companies that have some -- their challenges, That's, of course, the nature of the beast. We fortunately, as I described, look, we have a pretty simple system in theory, very complicated in execution, which is to find through rigorous work great companies that are very likely to perform really well. And the handful of times, they don't perform well, make sure we get a strong recovery.

And so that actually leads us right to put overall credit quality continues to march on very, very steadily and very well. In terms of Pluralsight, look, Pluralsight, it's probably worth commenting on one thing. We care a lot about Pluralsight's performance and every credit and ultimately, every recovery. For the Blue Owl shareholder, again, let's remember, we're a fee-based business. So really, the underlying yields of the funds are not really directly a part of the Blue Owl business. We get fees, we don't have to carry. So I just want to put that again as a flag. Now we care a tremendous amount about the performance.

Also context, just let's -- for those of you who don't know. Pluralsight is an IT training business that was bought by [indiscernible] and that we led the financing of with several other private lenders. Very sorry, Vista, apologies. It is not a software business, just to make sure we're all clear on where it lands. But look, Vista is a great sponsor, make a lot of great investments, and we do a lot of business together. This one didn't work. I mean, obviously, that's disappointing to them. It's disappointing to us. It's not where we all like to be. At the end of the day, a small loan. It's a little over $300 million out of our almost $100 billion portfolio.

And now we'll end up owning it without lot of [indiscernible], again, it's not what Vista or we wanted to be the outcome. But actually, it's kind of a study in private lending working, which is here will be a smooth handoff I expect, and we'll carry on and supporting the management and the business and stay tuned for the next few years, and we'll find out what the exact recovery is. Do we get all our money back, do we get most of our money back? We'll all find that out together in the next few years. But that's the limit of the drama. It just doesn't really matter to our business. And no, I don't think you can extrapolate anything from it.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Brennan Hawken with UBS.

[Brennan Hawken, analyst]

Alan, I wanted to follow up on -- and apologies if you hit on this, my line cut out a bit during your response to the question on the margin outlook. But it seems as though the margin compression is impacted by some of the deals that you guys have recently done. And you also reiterated your confidence to be at or around the dollar dividend. And so is the bridge there better revenue growth? And can you just confirm whether or not some of the recent deals are really what's pulling down the margin have been anything beyond that, that would be [indiscernible]?

[Alan Kirshenbaum, executive]

Yes. That's right, Brennan. Thank you for the question. The -- in particular, the Atalaya transaction has the -- Atalaya as a business has roughly half the margin that we do. We know we can grow this over time. We just don't know yet whether we can get it up to the same margin as where we are today. And we're investing in these acquisitions.

So as I outlined what we did with Oak Street. So we could have some slight downward momentum before it swings back up, but we feel very confident and very strong about the long-term trajectory of keeping that 60% or higher margin over time. And it is driven by the acquisitions that we're making and the investment we're putting into these acquisitions.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Bill Katz from TD Cowen.

[William Katz, analyst]

I just want to unpack the dividend a little bit further. So you affirmed the $0.72 this year and you think you can grow that in the low- to mid-30% range year-on-year, and it does sound like top line driven. So if I take 35% as a reasonable proxy, it get about $0.97. And so as I look at the year-to-date dynamics between distributable earnings and the dividend, the payout rate has been about 100% round numbers. So I'm wondering if you could just talk about the algorithm in terms of capital allocation and the import on the dollar? And is there a broader argument here to potentially move away from a dividend growth story and think about a broader capital return opportunity?

[Alan Kirshenbaum, executive]

Sure. Thank you, Bill. So that's right. We're targeting a low to mid dividend growth for 2025 versus 2024. That low to mid will put us somewhere around the $0.96. That is a -- approaching, if not 100% dividend payout ratio, that's really what we've been communicating to investors, it's where we've seen this year will step up to a 90%, low 90s percent payout ratio. And then we would look to bring that back down over time as we get past 2025. So we've continued to keep our eye on that in and around the dividend in and around the $1 share dividend goal. And then over time, we'll bring that payout ratio back down a little bit.

[Audio Gap]

[Ann Dai, executive]

Patrick, I think you're on for a follow-up.

[Patrick Davitt, analyst]

Kuvare, just closed on July 1. Could you update us on how we should think about kind of the regular way annuity-type quarterly inflow you'll start to see from that given the kind of ongoing annuity issuance from the insurance partner there?

[Marc S. Lipschultz, executive]

Yes. The Kuvare acquisition is a very exciting one for us, and I want to reframe importantly what we did buy and what we didn't buy. So we bought the Kuvare Asset Management business. Getting paid fees to manage assets in fashions that are packaged delivered both in terms of abilities and structures for insurance companies. We did not buy the insurance operations. We are not in the insurance business. We don't have spread-related earnings concept. We continue to have fee-related earnings. That's very important to our business model.

So Kuvare remains very active in the insurance business and very successfully so. That is to say that they continue to be very successful in issuing annuities. They have been, in fact, for an insurance company their size, I think it's quite impressive what they've accomplished in terms of access, for example, to the Japanese market. In 2023, there was $5.6 billion of flows. The expected growth rate this year has been higher for them to total originations. They have had a good strong start to the year.

So we continue to expect -- again, that was 2023, and we're rising from there. So this is something that will be contributing over time done the way we expect it will, billions of dollars of flows for us on an annual basis and in fact, on a quarterly basis. So we are very happy to have this additional leg to our stool, along with being one of the key leaders in wealth. Remember there, we had $3.2 billion in the wealth channel; institutional, great continued growth in institutional and access to new accounts; and now we add insurance, where we have another set of flows, started off of this base of $20 billion of assets we just took.

And as you note in your question, as there are inflows, those come to us to manage. So this is yet another engine for us to continue to originate exactly what we want, which are long-dated, fee-paying assets. So the insurance addition married, as I mentioned, with these other capabilities that, by the way, not a coincidence, that's something like Prima and asset-backed lending are perfect strategies for insurance users. I think we're going to have something pretty special to offer out to the marketplace.

[Operator]

And our next question comes from the line of Brennan Hawken with UBS.

[Brennan Hawken, analyst]

I would just like to make sure I understand what -- make sure I'm putting together the pieces correctly here. It seems like what's happened is you guys have had some good deals come together. And you've done several deals rather quickly. You're realizing it's going to probably take a little bit longer to get all of these pieces put together. And so we're going to see some margin compression next year. You guys still feel good about the dividend and getting to the dividend, but you're kind of getting there via the higher payout ratio. And so it's more driven by that ratio rather than the earnings growth. Do I have that right? And -- or would you course correct me in anything there?

[Marc S. Lipschultz, executive]

Yes. Let me try to course correct a little bit, and Alan can add too. It's not that it's more complicated to integrate. It's not that it's anything unexpected, it's math. If you acquire at the time, a lower margin business, it's going to, for some short period of time, be an impact to margins until we complete as planned, the full integration and then continue to optimize across the whole integrated business. So it's -- I don't want to say anything about a change in expectations. But again, if I acquire something, which we do with a lower margin and integrate and then operationalize, will return, we expect fully to our 60% plus margin, but it will be essentially a near mathematical impossibility to buy something with a meaningful lower margin and not have it in the short term. impact the margin. So no, I think it's pretty transitory, but I also would emphasize.

From our point of view, and I would suggest from our investors' point of view, what you want to do is continue to encourage us and focus, we will on how do we continue to deliver very high predictable growth in FRE and dividend. And margin is -- it's obviously a measure of, obviously, the profitability, but we'd rather have more revenue and have more growth and more opportunity, whether that absolute -- what we want to do is drive absolute dollars.

It happens to be the case that here, we expect this to be, yes, a short-term dilution from acquisitions and return to the 60% plus. But I actually don't think that ought to particularly be the measure of success. The management [indiscernible], are we substantially growing our per share absolute FRE, DE and dividend, and that's exactly what these acquisitions are augmenting for us in the short term and absolutely positioning us for the long term.

[Alan Kirshenbaum, executive]

And I'll just add to that, Brennan, the guidance of low to mid-30s dividend growth is right on top of our in and about $1 a share that we've been talking about, obviously, well before we had our eye on, frankly, any of these acquisitions. And let's just pick 96, if 96 is the number. That's -- I made this comment in my prepared remarks, it's a 30% CAGR over 4.5 years for our dividend. So we feel fantastic about that. We feel really great about it, and we feel even better about what our future trajectory looks like for growth as we talked about well beyond 2025.

[Marc S. Lipschultz, executive]

I don't think we have any further questions. So look, we appreciate everyone's time. It was an exceptional quarter. I mean we are really pleased with where things stand. We're pleased, most importantly, with the returns for our LPs and all of our strategies. We're extremely pleased to be here telling you, the second versus same is the first, which is we keep delivering Marching forward our 13th straight quarter of increases. We see our continuing trajectory looking very bright.

With the acquisitions, we have set the stage, which, of course, we'll talk about in much more detail in the future, set the stage to continue our highly predictable and stable growth plan. And our very strong steady march on [ FRE ] and dividends. So we're very happy with where things stand. We think we've got very exciting opportunities had. So we look forward to keeping you all posted. And we think you'll all share our enthusiasm as you start to see us reveal the positives of what we can develop out of our continuing organic strategies and these inorganic additions.

[Alan Kirshenbaum, executive]

Thank you, everyone. Enjoy the rest of the summer.

[Operator]

The meeting has now concluded. You may now disconnect.