Onto Innovation Inc
NYSE:ONTO
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one ONTO stock under the Base Case scenario is 141.222 USD. Compared to the current market price of 164.835 USD, Onto Innovation Inc is Overvalued by 14%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Onto Innovation Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Onto Innovation Inc. stands at the forefront of the semiconductor industry, crafting cutting-edge equipment and software solutions that drive the production of advanced integrated circuits. Founded in 2020 through the merger of two established companies, Onto Innovation has quickly positioned itself as a key player in the ongoing tech revolution. With a focus on process control, wafer inspection, and metrology, the company caters to the needs of semiconductor manufacturers aiming to enhance yields and reduce costs. As the demand for chips proliferates across multiple sectors, including mobile devices, automotive, and artificial intelligence, Onto Innovation is strategically poised to benefit...
Onto Innovation Inc. stands at the forefront of the semiconductor industry, crafting cutting-edge equipment and software solutions that drive the production of advanced integrated circuits. Founded in 2020 through the merger of two established companies, Onto Innovation has quickly positioned itself as a key player in the ongoing tech revolution. With a focus on process control, wafer inspection, and metrology, the company caters to the needs of semiconductor manufacturers aiming to enhance yields and reduce costs. As the demand for chips proliferates across multiple sectors, including mobile devices, automotive, and artificial intelligence, Onto Innovation is strategically poised to benefit from this accelerating growth, making it an attractive prospect for savvy investors.
The company's robust portfolio encompasses a range of patented technologies that enhance the reliability and efficiency of semiconductor manufacturing processes. With a commitment to innovation, Onto Innovation invests heavily in research and development, enabling the company to stay ahead of industry trends and anticipate the needs of its customers. The growing emphasis on advanced manufacturing techniques and the rise of next-generation technologies create a fertile landscape for Onto Innovation's offerings. For investors, the combination of a solid market position, a proven track record of innovation, and a visionary approach to growth highlights Onto Innovation Inc. as an exciting opportunity within the ever-evolving technology ecosystem.
Onto Innovation Inc. is primarily focused on providing advanced technology solutions for the semiconductor and related industries. The company operates through several core business segments that cater to different aspects of semiconductor manufacturing and inspection. The primary segments include:
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Lithography Systems: This segment involves the production of advanced lithography equipment critical for the semiconductor manufacturing process. Lithography is essential for transferring circuit patterns onto semiconductor wafers, and Onto Innovation develops technologies that enhance precision and efficiency in this area.
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Metrology and Inspection: This segment focuses on the development of metrology and inspection tools that ensure the quality and reliability of semiconductor devices. These tools help manufacturers measure and analyze various parameters of wafers and chips, enabling them to detect defects and optimize production processes.
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Packaging Solutions: Onto Innovation also offers solutions for semiconductor packaging, which is vital for integrating chips into electronic devices. This segment addresses the growing need for advanced packaging techniques to improve performance, reduce size, and enhance reliability.
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Software and Services: The company provides software solutions that support the automation and optimization of manufacturing processes. This includes data analytics, machine learning, and process control tools that help customers streamline their operations and improve yields.
By focusing on these core segments, Onto Innovation aims to support the semiconductor industry's ongoing evolution, particularly in light of the increasing demand for advanced technology in electronics, automotive, and other sectors. The company's commitment to innovation and quality positions it well to capitalize on market trends and technological advancements.
Onto Innovation Inc. operates in the semiconductor equipment industry, providing advanced equipment and process solutions for various applications in the semiconductor manufacturing chain. Its competitive advantages can be analyzed through several lenses:
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Technological Innovation: Onto Innovation has a strong focus on R&D, leading to a portfolio of advanced technologies in areas such as lithography, inspection, and metrology. This constant innovation allows the company to offer cutting-edge solutions that meet the evolving demands of semiconductor manufacturers.
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Diverse Product Offering: The company provides a wide range of products for different stages of semiconductor fabrication, allowing it to attract a broad customer base. This diversity helps mitigate risks associated with dependency on a single product line or market segment.
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Strong Customer Relationships: Onto Innovation has developed long-term relationships with major semiconductor manufacturers. These relationships are built on trust, consistent product performance, and excellent customer service, which can result in repeat business and customer loyalty.
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Intellectual Property: The company holds a significant portfolio of patents and proprietary technologies, giving it a competitive edge and barriers to entry for competitors. This intellectual property can enhance product performance and efficiency.
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Focus on High-Growth Markets: Onto Innovation has positioned itself in sectors with high growth potential, such as AI, 5G, and IoT. By aligning its product development with these fast-growing technologies, the company can capitalize on market trends and demands.
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Operational Efficiency: The company emphasizes operational excellence and lean manufacturing processes. This allows Onto Innovation to maintain cost competitiveness and deliver products quickly, enhancing customer satisfaction.
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Global Reach with Local Expertise: Onto Innovation has a presence in key semiconductor markets around the world. Its ability to operate globally while providing localized support gives it an edge in understanding and responding to regional market demands.
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Strategic Acquisitions: The company has a history of strategically acquiring complementary businesses and technologies. These acquisitions can enhance its product offerings and expand its market reach.
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Strong Financial Position: A solid financial foundation allows Onto Innovation to invest in R&D, weather market fluctuations, and pursue growth opportunities more effectively than less capitalized competitors.
Overall, Onto Innovation's competitive advantages stem from its combination of technological prowess, strong client relationships, diverse product offerings, and strategic positioning in a rapidly evolving industry. These factors collectively enhance its ability to compete and thrive in the semiconductor equipment landscape.
Onto Innovation Inc., a semiconductor equipment company, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. These include:
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Market Volatility: The semiconductor industry is subject to cyclical demand, and fluctuations can impact Onto’s sales and revenues.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Ongoing global supply chain issues, exacerbated by geopolitical tensions and the COVID-19 pandemic, could affect the availability of materials and components necessary for production.
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Technological Advancements: Rapid changes in technology require continuous innovation. Failure to keep pace with advancements could render Onto's products obsolete.
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Competition: The semiconductor equipment market is highly competitive, with a few dominant players. Increased competition can lead to pricing pressure and reduced market share.
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Regulatory Challenges: Changes in trade policies, tariffs, and regulations related to technology export can impact Onto’s ability to operate in certain markets or affect its cost structure.
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Customer Concentration: Dependence on a small number of customers for a significant portion of revenue could pose a risk if any major client reduces orders or faces its own challenges.
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Economic Slowdown: A potential downturn in the global economy could reduce capital spending by semiconductor companies, negatively impacting Onto's business.
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Environmental and Social Governance (ESG): Increasing pressure to comply with environmental regulations and sustainability practices can lead to higher operating costs.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As with many technology companies, Onto is at risk of cybersecurity breaches, which can compromise sensitive data and disrupt operations.
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Talent Acquisition and Retention: The tech industry is facing a tight labor market, making it challenging to attract and retain skilled employees necessary for innovation and growth.
Addressing these risks effectively will be crucial for Onto Innovation Inc. to maintain its competitive edge and continue its growth trajectory in the semiconductor market.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Onto Innovation Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Onto Innovation Inc
Current Assets | 1.5B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 855.4m |
Receivables | 253.7m |
Other Current Assets | 348.8m |
Non-Current Assets | 615.4m |
PP&E | 135.1m |
Intangibles | 443.9m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 36.4m |
Current Liabilities | 144.7m |
Accounts Payable | 48m |
Accrued Liabilities | 56m |
Other Current Liabilities | 40.8m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 25.1m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 25.1m |
Earnings Waterfall
Onto Innovation Inc
Revenue
|
942.2m
USD
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-444.1m
USD
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Gross Profit
|
498.2m
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-318m
USD
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Operating Income
|
180.2m
USD
|
Other Expenses
|
3m
USD
|
Net Income
|
183.2m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Onto Innovation Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
Onto Innovation achieved a record $252 million in revenue for Q3, marking a 22% year-over-year growth. The company expects its inspection revenue to nearly double this year, driven by strong demand in specialty devices and advanced packaging, particularly AI packaging. Gross margins improved to 54.5%, while operating margins reached 28%. Looking forward, Q4 revenues are projected between $253 million and $267 million, with margins steady at 54-55%. Recent acquisitions are anticipated to add $100 million in revenue in three years. Continued growth in advanced nodes and metrology is expected as key markets recover, establishing a positive outlook for 2025.
What is Earnings Call?
ONTO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Onto Innovation Inc's profitability score is 62/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Onto Innovation Inc's profitability score is 62/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
ONTO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Onto Innovation Inc's solvency score is 81/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Onto Innovation Inc's solvency score is 81/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
ONTO Price Targets Summary
Onto Innovation Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ONTO is 260.227 USD with a low forecast of 232.3 USD and a high forecast of 294 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for ONTO is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
ONTO Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Description
Onto Innovation, Inc. engages in designing, developing and manufacturing process control systems. The company is headquartered in Wilmington, Massachusetts and currently employs 1,411 full-time employees. Its products include automated metrology systems, integrated metrology systems, silicon wafer all-surface inspection/characterization, macro defect inspection, automated defect classification and pattern analysis, yield analysis, opaque film metrology, probe card test and analysis, advanced packaging lithography, process control software and yield management software. Its products are also used for process control in several other technology markets, including manufacturing of light emitting diodes, vertical-cavity surface-emitting lasers, micro-electromechanical systems, data storage, and industrial and scientific applications.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one ONTO stock under the Base Case scenario is 141.222 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 164.835 USD, Onto Innovation Inc is Overvalued by 14%.