On Holding AG
NYSE:ONON
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one ONON stock under the Base Case scenario is 27.91 USD. Compared to the current market price of 58.13 USD, On Holding AG is Overvalued by 52%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
On Holding AG
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Fundamental Analysis
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On Holding AG, a Swiss athletic footwear and apparel company, emerged from the vision of three passionate athletes in 2010, aiming to revolutionize the running experience. With its innovative CloudTec technology, the company rapidly distinguished itself in the crowded sportswear market by offering extraordinary cushioning and performance benefits, appealing not only to hardcore runners but also to casual athletes and fitness enthusiasts. This unique blend of function and style has enabled On to forge a strong brand identity, leading to significant growth and a loyal customer base around the world. In just over a decade, On has expanded its product line beyond running shoes to include a varie...
On Holding AG, a Swiss athletic footwear and apparel company, emerged from the vision of three passionate athletes in 2010, aiming to revolutionize the running experience. With its innovative CloudTec technology, the company rapidly distinguished itself in the crowded sportswear market by offering extraordinary cushioning and performance benefits, appealing not only to hardcore runners but also to casual athletes and fitness enthusiasts. This unique blend of function and style has enabled On to forge a strong brand identity, leading to significant growth and a loyal customer base around the world. In just over a decade, On has expanded its product line beyond running shoes to include a variety of athletic apparel, all while maintaining a commitment to sustainability and performance.
As On Holding AG continues to capture market share, its IPO in 2021 marked a pivotal moment, signaling investor confidence in the brand's potential. The company has strategically focused on expanding its global footprint, particularly in North America, where it sees tremendous growth opportunities. With its dedication to innovation, quality, and community engagement, On is well-positioned to capitalize on the ongoing trends of health and wellness, drawing in more consumers looking for premium performance gear. For investors, On represents a compelling opportunity in the ever-evolving sports industry, blending robust financial performance with a forward-thinking approach that resonates with modern consumers. As the brand continues to scale, it holds the promise of sustainable growth and enhanced shareholder value in the competitive landscape of athletic wear.
On Holding AG, commonly known as On, is a Swiss athletic footwear and apparel company known for its innovative running shoes. As of my last update, the core business segments of On include the following:
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Footwear: This is the primary segment of On’s business, encompassing a wide range of running shoes designed for various types of runners, including performance athletes, casual runners, and everyday consumers. The footwear line includes categories such as road running, trail running, and lifestyle shoes.
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Apparel: On also manufactures a selection of athletic apparel that complements its footwear offerings. This segment includes performance wear such as running shirts, shorts, jackets, and other accessories aimed at enhancing the running experience.
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Accessories: This segment consists of various products designed to enhance the running experience, including socks, bags, hydration products, and other gear that supports runners and athletes.
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Collaborations and Limited Editions: On frequently engages in collaborations with designers and other brands to create limited-edition collections, thereby expanding its reach and appeal in the fashion and lifestyle markets.
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eCommerce and Retail: On has a strong online presence with its eCommerce platform, as well as physical retail stores. The direct-to-consumer model has become increasingly significant, allowing On to build customer relationships and gather data to improve its product offerings.
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International Markets: While originally based in Switzerland, On has expanded its operations globally. Its business segments may be segmented further by region, with an emphasis on growing markets in North America, Europe, and Asia.
These core segments allow On to capitalize on trends in health, fitness, and lifestyle apparel, while leveraging its strong brand identity and innovative technology to differentiate itself in the competitive sportswear market.
On Holding AG, known for its innovative running shoe technology, possesses several unique competitive advantages that distinguish it from its rivals:
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Proprietary Technology: On CloudTec® technology, utilizing lightweight materials and a unique cushioning system, offers consumers a distinct running experience. This technology is designed to provide both comfort and performance, appealing to serious runners and casual athletes alike.
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Design Aesthetic: On's distinctive design and branding resonate with a lifestyle-oriented consumer base. The sleek, modern look of their shoes appeals to not only athletes but also fashion-conscious individuals, expanding their market reach.
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Direct-to-Consumer Model: On has successfully implemented a direct-to-consumer distribution model, which allows them to establish a direct relationship with their customers, better understand their needs, and provide personalized experiences. This approach often results in higher margins compared to traditional retail models.
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Strong Brand Community: On has built a loyal community around its brand, leveraging its engagement with athletes and influencers. The brand's presence in local running communities and events helps foster customer loyalty and word-of-mouth marketing.
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Sustainability Initiatives: On places a significant emphasis on sustainability, using eco-friendly materials and practices in their production processes. As consumer preferences shift toward sustainable products, this commitment can provide a critical competitive advantage.
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Global Reach with Local Adaptation: While On has a strong global brand presence, it effectively adapts its marketing and product offerings to fit local markets, allowing for more personalized engagement and sales strategies.
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Innovative Collaborations and Partnerships: With collaborations in various sports and lifestyle sectors, On continuously enhances its product offerings and brand visibility, driving innovation and appealing to diverse consumer segments.
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Effective Use of Data and Technology: On utilizes data analytics for market research and product development, enabling them to anticipate consumer preferences and respond quickly to trends, which enhances their competitiveness.
These advantages contribute to On Holding AG's strong position in the athletic footwear market, helping it to differentiate itself in a competitive landscape dominated by larger players such as Nike and Adidas.
On Holding AG, like any other company, faces various risks and challenges that could impact its performance in the near future. Here are some potential factors to consider:
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Market Competition: The athletic footwear and apparel market is highly competitive, with major players like Nike, Adidas, and emerging brands. Increased competition can pressure market share and profit margins.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain issues, especially those caused by geopolitical tensions, pandemics, or natural disasters, could affect the availability of materials and production timelines.
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Consumer Behavior Changes: Shifts in consumer preferences, such as a move toward sustainability or changes in fashion trends, can impact sales. Understanding and adapting to these changes is crucial.
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Economic Downturns: Economic recessions can lead to reduced consumer spending on discretionary items like athletic footwear. On Holding AG could see a decline in sales if consumer confidence wanes.
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Brand Reputation Risks: As a growing brand, On Holding AG must maintain its reputation. Any negative publicity or problems related to product quality, labor practices, or environmental impact could harm consumer trust.
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Regulatory Challenges: Compliance with various regulations concerning labor, manufacturing, and environmental standards can be complex and costly. Changes in regulations can also impact operating costs.
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Technological Changes: The rapid pace of technological advancements in manufacturing and retail, including e-commerce, requires ongoing investment and adaptation. Failure to keep up could result in lost opportunities.
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Global Expansion Risks: While international expansion can drive growth, it also comes with risks, such as cultural misalignment, lawful restrictions in foreign markets, and varying consumer preferences.
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Dependence on Key Partnerships: On Holding AG relies on third-party manufacturers and retailers. Disruptions in these relationships could affect product availability and market reach.
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Monetary Policies and Inflation: Changes in interest rates and inflation can impact consumer spending and operational costs. Inflationary pressures can affect profit margins.
To navigate these challenges, On Holding AG may need to focus on strategic planning, enhancing brand loyalty, diversifying its supply chain, and adapting to changing market conditions. Keeping a close eye on consumer trends and maintaining financial prudence will also be vital.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
On Holding AG
Balance Sheet Decomposition
On Holding AG
Current Assets | 1.5B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 690.6m |
Receivables | 350.3m |
Other Current Assets | 460.6m |
Non-Current Assets | 544.3m |
PP&E | 430.8m |
Intangibles | 61.7m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 51.8m |
Current Liabilities | 504.1m |
Accounts Payable | 148.2m |
Accrued Liabilities | 173.8m |
Other Current Liabilities | 182.1m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 310.7m |
Long-Term Debt | 288.1m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 22.6m |
Earnings Waterfall
On Holding AG
Revenue
|
2.2B
CHF
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-859.7m
CHF
|
Gross Profit
|
1.3B
CHF
|
Operating Expenses
|
-1.1B
CHF
|
Operating Income
|
199.1m
CHF
|
Other Expenses
|
-73.1m
CHF
|
Net Income
|
126m
CHF
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
On Holding AG
CHF | |
Free Cash Flow | CHF |
On Holdings achieved a record net sales of CHF 636 million in Q3, marking a remarkable 33% growth year-over-year. The company attributes this success to increased brand awareness and the strength of its direct-to-consumer (D2C) channel, which grew 50% to CHF 246.7 million. For Q4 2024, On Holdings raised its net sales growth forecast from 30% to at least 32%, anticipating total sales of CHF 2.29 billion. Gross profit margin is projected to be around 60.5%, an increase from previous expectations, underscoring a strong operational performance despite currency headwinds.
What is Earnings Call?
ONON Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
On Holding AG's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
On Holding AG's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
ONON Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
On Holding AG's solvency score is 81/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
On Holding AG's solvency score is 81/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
ONON Price Targets Summary
On Holding AG
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ONON is 60.32 USD with a low forecast of 50.5 USD and a high forecast of 70.78 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for ONON is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
On Holding AG engages in the development and distribution of sports products. The company is headquartered in Zurich, Zuerich and currently employs 1,158 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2021-09-15. The firm provides footwear and sports apparel and is engaged in developing and distributing performance sports products, through independent retailers and global distributors. The firm sells its products trough the internet and its own stores.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one ONON stock under the Base Case scenario is 27.91 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 58.13 USD, On Holding AG is Overvalued by 52%.