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Nutrien Ltd
NYSE:NTR

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Nutrien Ltd
NYSE:NTR
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Price: 48.3 USD 0.62% Market Closed
Market Cap: 23.9B USD
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Intrinsic Value

NTR's intrinsic value estimate is unreliable because it is based only on its multiples and doesn't use a DCF valuation.

The intrinsic value of one NTR stock under the Base Case scenario is 78.54 USD. Compared to the current market price of 48.3 USD, Nutrien Ltd is Undervalued by 38%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

NTR Intrinsic Value
78.54 USD
Undervaluation 38%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Worst Case
Base Case
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Nutrien Ltd

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

Nutrien Ltd. is a global leader in the agricultural sector, dedicated to supporting farmers around the world by providing essential crop nutrients and solutions. Established through the merger of Agrium and PotashCorp in 2018, Nutrien has quickly positioned itself as a one-stop shop for the agricultural needs of its clients. With operations spanning across North America and key international markets, the company produces a range of potash, nitrogen, and phosphate fertilizers, which are critical for enhancing crop yields and promoting sustainable farming practices. In addition to its core fertilizer business, Nutrien also offers a suite of digital platforms and agronomic services that empower...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Nutrien Ltd

Current Assets 15.1B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 1B
Receivables 8.1B
Other Current Assets 6B
Non-Current Assets 37.9B
Long-Term Investments 703m
PP&E 22.2B
Intangibles 14B
Other Non-Current Assets 996m
Current Liabilities 12B
Accounts Payable 9B
Short-Term Debt 1.6B
Other Current Liabilities 1.4B
Non-Current Liabilities 15.9B
Long-Term Debt 10.4B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 5.5B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Nutrien Ltd

Revenue
26.8B USD
Cost of Revenue
-19B USD
Gross Profit
7.8B USD
Operating Expenses
-5B USD
Operating Income
2.9B USD
Other Expenses
-2.1B USD
Net Income
790m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Nutrien Ltd

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

Nutrien delivered impressive financial results in the first half of 2024, generating an adjusted EBITDA of $3.3 billion, supported by strong crop input margins and robust potash demand, despite a challenging operating environment in Brazil. Potash production costs were reduced to $53 per tonne, and record sales volumes were achieved. The company revised its full-year global potash shipment forecast to 69-72 million tonnes. Retail adjusted EBITDA rose 17% to $1.2 billion. However, the Brazilian market posed persistent difficulties, leading Nutrien to implement strategic actions to stabilize operations. Capital expenditures were guided at $2.2-$2.3 billion, focusing on organic growth and operational improvements.

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Fundamental Scores

NTR Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Nutrien Ltd's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive 3-Year Average ROE
Positive Operating Income
52/100
Profitability
Score

Nutrien Ltd's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

NTR Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Nutrien Ltd's solvency score is 39/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
Low Altman Z-Score
39/100
Solvency
Score

Nutrien Ltd's solvency score is 39/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

NTR Price Targets Summary
Nutrien Ltd

Wall Street analysts forecast NTR stock price to drop over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NTR is 44.59 USD with a low forecast of 32.16 USD and a high forecast of 58.31 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
32.16 USD
33% Downside
Average
Price Target
44.59 USD
8% Downside
Highest
Price Target
58.31 USD
21% Upside
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Dividends

Dividend Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Dividend Per Share
N/A
Growth 3Y
Growth 5Y
Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
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Unsafe
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0
25
50
75
100
Previous Payment
-
Today
Next Payment
-
Today
Oct 18, 2024
Previous Payment
-
Next Payment
-
Ex-Dividend Date
-
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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for NTR is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
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Buyback Yield
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Debt Paydown Yield
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Profile

Nutrien Ltd

Country

Canada

Industry

Chemicals

Market Cap

23.9B USD

Dividend Yield

4.45%

Description

Nutrien Ltd. is a crop nutrient company, which engages in the production and distribution of products for agricultural, industrial, and feed customer. The company is headquartered in Saskatoon, Saskatchewan and currently employs 23,500 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2018-01-02. The firm operates through four segments: Retail Ag Solutions (Retail), Potash, Nitrogen and Phosphate. The Retail segment distributes crop nutrients, crop protection products, seed and merchandise and it provides services directly to growers through a network of farm centers in North America, South America and Australia. Its Retail business includes Nutrien Ag Solutions and Landmark Retail businesses. The company operates approximately 2,000 retail locations in seven countries. The Potash, Nitrogen and Phosphate segments are differentiated by the chemical nutrient contained in the products that each produce. The firm operates approximately two integrated phosphate mining and processing facilities in the United States of America. The firm also operates approximately 16 nitrogen facilities in Canada, Trinidad and United States of America.

Contact

SASKATCHEWAN
Saskatoon
211 19Th Street East, Suite 1700
+13069338500.0
www.nutrien.com

IPO

2018-01-02

Employees

23 500

Officers

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one NTR stock?

The intrinsic value of one NTR stock under the Base Case scenario is 78.54 USD.

Is NTR stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 48.3 USD, Nutrien Ltd is Undervalued by 38%.

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