National Retail Properties Inc
NYSE:NNN
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one NNN stock under the Base Case scenario is 49.87 USD. Compared to the current market price of 42.08 USD, National Retail Properties Inc is Undervalued by 16%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
National Retail Properties Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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National Retail Properties Inc. (NNN) stands as a stalwart in the realm of real estate investment trusts (REITs), specializing in the acquisition, ownership, and management of retail properties across the United States. With a robust portfolio of properties comprising over 3,000 locations, NNN has strategically positioned itself in essential retail sectors, including convenience stores, drug stores, and dollar stores, which have proven resilient in economic fluctuations. By focusing on long-term leases with creditworthy tenants, the company not only generates a dependable stream of rental income but also plays a critical role in diversifying risks for investors. This focus on stability and t...
National Retail Properties Inc. (NNN) stands as a stalwart in the realm of real estate investment trusts (REITs), specializing in the acquisition, ownership, and management of retail properties across the United States. With a robust portfolio of properties comprising over 3,000 locations, NNN has strategically positioned itself in essential retail sectors, including convenience stores, drug stores, and dollar stores, which have proven resilient in economic fluctuations. By focusing on long-term leases with creditworthy tenants, the company not only generates a dependable stream of rental income but also plays a critical role in diversifying risks for investors. This focus on stability and the potential for capital appreciation makes NNN an attractive prospect for those looking to invest in real estate without the complexities of direct property management.
Investors are drawn to National Retail Properties not just for its solid fundamentals but also for its commitment to shareholder value. The company has a strong track record of delivering consistent dividend growth, often likened to a reliable income stream akin to a paycheck from a well-regarded employer. With a reputable management team at the helm, NNN continues to judiciously expand its portfolio, seeking properties in prime locations and nurturing relationships with high-quality tenants. For those looking to leverage income-producing assets within a resilient industry while benefiting from a company that has prioritized investor returns, National Retail Properties represents a compelling opportunity in the evolving retail landscape.
National Retail Properties Inc. (NNN) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on the acquisition and management of retail properties. The core business segments of National Retail Properties Inc. include:
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Investment Properties: This is the primary segment where NNN invests in single-tenant retail properties that are generally leased to retail operators on a long-term basis. Properties typically include convenience stores, restaurants, and retail outlets. The focus is on well-established companies with solid credit ratings.
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Real Estate Leasing: National Retail Properties generates a significant portion of its revenue from the leasing of its owned properties. The company enters into long-term net leases with its tenants, where the tenants are responsible for property expenses like maintenance, taxes, and insurance. This model results in a stable and predictable rental income stream.
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Property Management and Development: While NNN primarily focuses on acquiring existing properties, it may also engage in property management activities that include maintaining property value and tenant relations. This segment can also involve some level of development or redevelopment projects aimed at enhancing the value of certain properties.
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Diversification of Retail Sectors: Within its investment strategy, NNN diversifies its portfolio across various sectors of retail, including dining, convenience stores, and specialized service providers. This diversification helps mitigate risks associated with economic fluctuations affecting any particular retail segment.
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Capital Management: NNN manages its capital structure effectively to fund acquisitions and optimize returns. This involves securing debt financing, managing equity, and ensuring adequate cash flow to support ongoing operations and growth.
Through these core business segments, National Retail Properties Inc. aims to provide shareholders with a stable income and potential capital appreciation, adhering to a long-term investment approach consistent with the strategies advocated by Buffett and Munger.
National Retail Properties, Inc. (NNN) operates as a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) primarily involved in the acquisition and management of retail properties. Here are some unique competitive advantages that NNN might hold over its rivals:
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Long-Term Lease Structures: NNN typically engages in long-term leases (often 10-20 years) with its tenants. This stability of cash flows helps to minimize turnover and associated costs, providing reliability that is attractive to investors.
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Diversified Portfolio: NNN has a diverse portfolio that includes various types of retail establishments, such as convenience stores, fast-food restaurants, and casual dining locations. This diversification reduces risk as it is not overly reliant on any single sector of the retail market.
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Strong Tenant Relationships: By cultivating strong relationships with tenants, NNN can benefit from higher tenant retention rates and potentially negotiate favorable lease terms. A loyal tenant base may also lead to better long-term occupancy rates.
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Stable Dividend Payouts: As a REIT, NNN is required to distribute a significant portion of its income as dividends. NNN’s history of stable or increasing dividend payouts can attract income-focused investors, adding to the stock's desirability.
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Strategic Capital Deployment: NNN has a disciplined approach to capital allocation, often acquiring properties in need of redevelopment or undervalued properties. This focus on growth through smart acquisitions helps enhance returns and maintain competitive positioning.
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Long-Established Reputation: With decades of operation, NNN has built a strong brand and reputation in the real estate sector. This history can promote investor and tenant confidence, making it easier to attract capital and new tenants.
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Ability to Adapt to Market Conditions: NNN's management team is often adept at navigating changing market dynamics, whether through geographic diversification or by adjusting property types within the retail sector to reflect trends.
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Focus on Essential Retail: By investing in properties that focus on essential retail needs, NNN can maintain occupancy even during economic downturns, as these types of businesses tend to have consistent demand.
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Geographic Diversification: NNN’s properties are spread across multiple states, which helps mitigate regional economic risks, such as those caused by legislative changes or local economic downturns.
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Strong Capital Structure: NNN often maintains a solid balance sheet with manageable debt levels, providing financial flexibility and the capacity to pursue growth opportunities without overextending.
These competitive advantages contribute to NNN's ability to maintain a strong market position and generate reliable returns for investors.
National Retail Properties Inc. (NNN), a real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in retail properties, faces various risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key factors to consider:
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Economic Conditions: The overall health of the economy significantly impacts retail performance. A downturn could lead to reduced consumer spending, affecting the tenants of NNN's properties, resulting in lower rental income or increased vacancies.
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Changes in Retail Trends: The retail landscape is rapidly evolving due to e-commerce growth and changing consumer preferences. Traditional brick-and-mortar stores face increased competition, which could lead to tenant defaults or necessitate changes in NNN's property management strategy.
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Interest Rate Fluctuations: As interest rates rise, borrowing costs for real estate transactions and refinancing may increase. Higher rates can also make REITs, including NNN, less attractive to investors compared to fixed-income securities, affecting stock performance.
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Tenant Credit Risk: NNN relies on the creditworthiness of its tenants. If major tenants experience financial difficulties or go bankrupt, NNN could face significant rental income losses, impacting its profitability and ability to distribute dividends.
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Property Management and Maintenance Challenges: Managing a diverse portfolio of retail properties requires effective property management and maintenance. Increasing operational costs, labor shortages, or supply chain issues could pose challenges.
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Regulatory and Tax Risks: Changes in tax laws and regulations, including those affecting REITs, could impact profitability. Compliance with local zoning and environmental regulations is also crucial to avoid legal challenges.
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Geopolitical Risks: Factors such as trade tensions, foreign policy changes, and global economic instability can influence consumer confidence and behavior, indirectly impacting the performance of retail properties.
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Climate Change and Sustainability Pressures: Increasing awareness of climate change could lead to stricter regulations regarding energy efficiency and sustainability. NNN may need to invest in upgrades or face repercussions in terms of property desirability.
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Competition: The real estate market is competitive, with many REITs and private entities vying for retail space. NNN must strategically position itself to attract and retain quality tenants.
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Technological Disruption: Innovations in retail technology could change how customers shop and interact with retailers. NNN must adapt its properties and tenant offerings to remain relevant.
In summary, National Retail Properties Inc. must navigate a complex landscape of economic, technological, and regulatory challenges while effectively managing its portfolios to sustain growth and ensure tenant stability.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
National Retail Properties Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
National Retail Properties Inc
Current Assets | 175.8m |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 173.5m |
Receivables | 2.2m |
Non-Current Assets | 8.7B |
PP&E | 8.6B |
Intangibles | 35.2m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 87.2m |
Current Liabilities | 75.4m |
Accrued Liabilities | 75.4m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 4.5B |
Long-Term Debt | 4.4B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 107m |
Earnings Waterfall
National Retail Properties Inc
Revenue
|
1.1B
USD
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-36.6m
USD
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Gross Profit
|
1B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-365.9m
USD
|
Operating Income
|
680m
USD
|
Other Expenses
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-190.8m
USD
|
Net Income
|
489.2m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
National Retail Properties Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
NNN Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
National Retail Properties Inc's profitability score is 57/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
National Retail Properties Inc's profitability score is 57/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
NNN Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
National Retail Properties Inc's solvency score is 37/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
National Retail Properties Inc's solvency score is 37/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
NNN Price Targets Summary
National Retail Properties Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NNN is 49.18 USD with a low forecast of 44.44 USD and a high forecast of 55.65 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for NNN is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
National Retail Properties, Inc. is a real estate investment trust, which engages in investing in properties subject to long-term net leases. The company is headquartered in Orlando, Florida and currently employs 72 full-time employees. The company is primarily focused on real estate assets. The company acquires, owns, invests and develops properties that are leased primarily to retail tenants under long-term net leases and primarily held for investment (Properties, Property Portfolio). The company owns approximately 3,195 properties, with an aggregate gross leasable area of approximately 33,005,000 square feet, located in 48 states. Its property portfolio consist of 37 lines of trade. Its portfolio includes convenience stores; restaurants; automotive service; family entertainment centers; health and fitness; theaters; automotive services; recreational vehicle dealers, parts and accessories; restaurants; family entertainment centers; medical service providers; furniture; drug stores; consumer electronics; automobile auctions; wholesale and other. Its property portfolio is geographically concentrated in the south and southeast United States.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one NNN stock under the Base Case scenario is 49.87 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 42.08 USD, National Retail Properties Inc is Undervalued by 16%.