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Newmont Corporation
Earnings Call Analysis
Q1-2024 Analysis
Newmont Corporation
Newmont delivered a solid financial performance in the first quarter, with revenues reaching $4 billion. The company benefited from strong production volumes and favorable metal prices, including an average realized gold price of $2,090 per ounce. Adjusted EBITDA was $1.7 billion, and adjusted net income came in at $0.55 per diluted share. These results included only two months of Newmont's equity investment in Lundin Gold.
The company faced a significant noncash loss of $485 million related to noncore assets held for sale, primarily the Coffee project. Additionally, a working capital reduction of $666 million was driven by a one-time payment of $291 million in stamp duty tax related to the Newcrest acquisition, and other build-ups in working capital items.
Newmont's Tier 1 portfolio produced 1.4 million ounces of gold at $1,378 per ounce and over 480,000 gold equivalent ounces from copper, silver, lead, and zinc. The company generated $776 million of cash flow from operating activities in Q1. Newmont remains on track to achieve its full-year guidance for production, costs, and capital expenditures, with production weighted towards the second half of the year.
The company is progressing well with its divestment strategy, aiming to sell six high-quality noncore assets. The goal is to utilize proceeds from these sales to optimize the balance sheet and return value to shareholders. Newmont also achieved $56 million in synergies in the first quarter, contributing to a total of $105 million since acquiring Newcrest. The company is on track to deliver a $500 million synergy run rate by January 2026.
Maintaining a strong balance sheet remains a priority for Newmont. The company ended the quarter with $6.7 billion in total liquidity and plans to allocate funds towards an approximate cash balance of $3 billion, followed by debt reduction up to $8 billion over the next few years. Newmont also declared a first-quarter dividend of $0.25 per share, emphasizing its commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
Looking forward, Newmont expects its major reclamation spending to ramp up, reaching around $700 million in 2025 before beginning to decline in 2026. The company's production is forecasted to increase in the latter half of the year, bolstered by strong grades at Penasquito and Tanami. Newmont's development capital investments will average $1.3 billion per year in high-return projects, with more details to be provided during its Capital Markets Day in the fourth quarter of 2024.
Newmont published its 20th Annual Sustainability Report, reinforcing its position as a leader in sustainability within the gold industry. The company detailed its values-driven approach to sustainability and economic contributions in the jurisdictions and communities where it operates.
The loss of three colleagues this year deeply impacted the Newmont family, accentuating the need for continued focus on safety. The company is committed to ensuring everyone working within its business goes home safely, updating safety systems, tools, and leadership activities.
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Good morning, and welcome to Newmont's First Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note, the event is being recorded.
I'd now like to turn the conference over to Tom Palmer, President and Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead.
Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining our call. Today, I'm joined by my executive leadership team, including Natascha Viljoen and Karyn Overman and will all be available to answer your questions at the end of the call. Can I please ask you to note our cautionary statement and refer to our SEC filings, which can be found on our website. .
Before we begin today, I'd like to take a moment to remember the 3 colleagues who sadly lost their lives working for Newmont this year. Mike Kabeda Morrison or Koby, as he was known to his friends and colleagues with a dedicated and hard-working member of our Ahafo North project team and a natural leader. Koby was a son, a husband, a father a dear friend to many and he'll be greatly missed.
Rosana was daughter, a wife and a father 2 young daughter. Civil engineer Rosana was part of the original team that developed Cerro Negro 11 years ago and had aspirations to soon become a part type pharma in Argentina. And Daniel a son, a father to 2 young boys, a partner and a brother. He has been described by his colleagues as a strong team member with ambitions to further develop his career in mining.
The investigations into these tragic incidents have been led by 2 of our managing directors from different business units. With the support of teams of subject matter experts, to ensure that we truly understand the cause of the incidents. Our response will include implementing both immediate measures from early observations from the investigations as well as taking a structured approach to reinvigorate our safety systems, tools and in-field leadership activities that will all have a heavy focus on the quality of application.
Sadly, these recent incidents are a stark reminder of the need to maintain discipline and a relentless focus on safety fundamentals. The loss of added Kennedy, Cole, Rosana and Daniel over the past 6 months has had a profound impact on the entire Newmont family, and it is with great humility and resolve that we will continue to challenge ourselves to ensure that everyone working in our business goes home safely to their loved ones.
Turning to our quarterly results. We are firmly on track to deliver our 2024 guidance. We are pleased with our operational performance in the first quarter and remain focused on delivering consistent results as guided over the remainder of this year and beyond. I also want to reiterate the 4 key commitments that we have made to our shareholders. We continue to make progress on these commitments, and I'd like to provide a brief update on our first quarter achievements.
Starting, we're strengthening Newmont's position as the gold industry is recognized sustainability leader. Last week, Newmont published our 20th Annual Sustainability Report along with our third annual taxes and royalties contribution report, both providing a detailed and transparent look at our values-driven approach to sustainability, and the economic contributions we made in the jurisdictions and communities that we operate in. With this sustainable foundation in place, we have created the industry's strongest portfolio of world-class gold and copper assets in the most favorable mining jurisdictions.
And from this portfolio, we produced 1.7 million ounces of gold at an all-in sustaining cost of $1,439 an ounce in the first quarter. We continue to expect these unit costs to improve throughout the year driven by both higher production in the second half and the delivery of synergies. I'd also note that in the first quarter, our go-forward Tier 1 portfolio produced 1.4 million ounces of gold at $1,378 an ounce.
Our Tier 1 portfolio also produced over 480,000 gold equivalent ounces from copper, silver, lead and zinc and included in this number is the 35,000 tonnes of copper that we produced and sold. We generated $776 million of cash flow from operating activities in Q1, including a $666 million reduction from working capital which Karyn will cover in a few minutes.
And when we exclude the $291 million onetime stamp duty payment we made in February in connection with our acquisition of Newcrest free cash flow for the quarter would have been $217 million. Our second quarter production and costs are expected to remain relatively consistent with the first quarter. And we continue to expect that our gold production will be weighted to around 53% in the second half of the year, remaining firmly on track to achieve our full year guidance on both production and cost basis.
In the first quarter, we also continued to progress the divestment of our 6 high-quality noncore assets this year. And this morning, we announced the sale of our London gold financing facilities, generating $330 million in cash proceeds and furthering our commitment to maximizing shareholder value by monetizing our noncore assets. We continue to maintain our exposure to Fruta del Norte through our equity interest in London Gold.
Underpinned by the industry's strongest portfolio of gold and copper assets, we remain committed to maintaining a disciplined and balanced approach to capital allocation. As part of this, we declared a first quarter dividend of $0.25 per share, demonstrating our ongoing commitment to returning capital to shareholders. We refinanced approximately $2 billion in debt related to the Newcrest acquisition. And we continue to advance our 4 key projects we have in execution, our second expansion at Tanami our new mine, North and at 2 new block caves at Cadia.
And finally, turning to synergies. We remain firmly on track to deliver on our commitments. In the first quarter, we achieved $56 million in synergies, bringing the total delivered to $105 million since we closed our acquisition of Newcrest in November last year and building solid momentum towards our commitment of delivering a $500 million synergy run rate by the 1st of January 2026.
We have identified a series of initiatives, each with action plans and dedicated resources in place that have us on track to achieve a $335 million run rate by the end of this year, representing 2/3 of our $500 million synergy commitment and well ahead of the run rate we estimated when we announced this commitment in May of last year. Beginning with the core of this value delivery, we are seeing great opportunities emerging from our full potential work and we are just getting started.
At we recently completed the first phase of full potential from which we have identified initiatives that will deliver more than $150 million of value close to double the synergy target we allocated to this new Tier 1 operation in our portfolio. I've just returned from and the key to extracting this value will be simplification following a very similar approach to the 1 we used at Penasquito 5 years ago. We have key members of our Newmont technical team on the ground in P&G supporting the site team to work on simplifying operations by focusing on the areas that would genuinely move the needle and stopping the nonvalue activities that have historically played this operation.
One example of this work is the work we are doing to debottleneck the materials handling and crushing circuits, which have been limited by the years different oil properties, resulting in downtime from spillage, block shoots and block crushes. From this initiative alone, we expect to improve mill throughput and generate over $50 million in annual cash flow improvements and the future waves of opportunities already identified at Lihir we remain very excited about the untapped potential at this Q1 operation.
We are also well into the first phase of our full potential work at Cadia, Red Chris and Brucejack and have already identified several high-value opportunities that we will progress in parallel with the initiatives now underway at Lihir. For our supply chain synergies we have already realized close to $30 million from negotiating more favorable terms and pricing for materials and equipment as well as first consolidating and then renegotiating service contracts. As we look ahead, we will continue to work closely with our key suppliers, leveraging our unmatched scale and global partnerships to seek improvements through negotiations and tenders over the course of the year.
Then turning to G&A. We have already achieved over 80% of the synergies that we committed to and we expect to exceed our $100 million G&A commitment by the end of this year. Most of our G&A synergies are coming from employee and contractor rationalization as we expected and to a lesser extent, from reductions in insurance premiums and other administrative fees. We look forward to realizing the significant production and cost benefits from our synergy work and we will continue to provide you with updates on our progress each quarter.
And with that, I'll now pass to Natascha and then Karyn for an update on our operational and financial performance for the quarter. Over to you, Natascha.
Thank you, Tom, and good morning, everyone. After the loss of our colleagues at Ahafo North and Cerro Negro, Tom and I have spent time at these 2 sites. And with the project operational and investigations teams to get a firsthand understanding of the incidents to inform our global response to address our safety performance. In addition to Ahafo North and Cerro Negro, I had the privilege of visiting 5 of our 6 managed Tier 1 operations and spend time with our colleagues at Burlington, Achim, Ahafo and Lihir as well as Yanacocha and Merian.
Our operations delivered a strong first quarter performance in line with our business plan and outlook for the year. With full potential underway at many of our sites, we remain confident in our ability to deliver safe and efficient production keeping us on track to deliver on the commitments Tom just described. I will cover the first quarter performance and outlook for our Tier 1 operations, starting with Tanami.
Tanami achieved planned production for the quarter and despite the heavy wet season in the Northern Territory that resulted in a 6-week closure of the Tanami track. In the first quarter, Tanami delivered higher tonnes mined from deeper underground and successfully completed its planned mold shutdown, positioning the site to deliver at least a 20% increase in gold production in the second quarter compared to the first.
At Boddington, the stripping of the current laybacks in both the North and South pits, continued to ramp up in the first quarter an investment that will bring forward stronger gold and copper grades starting in 2026. Total material moved increased over the fourth quarter due to improved tonnes mined and higher shovel productivity through the introduction of double-sided loading for our autonomous truck fleet, representing a major milestone for this ore fleet as the performance of this technology continues to go from strength to strength.
Penasquito delivered strong silver and lead production from Colorado that's in the first quarter, as wise stripping continues to progress in the Penasco pit as previously indicated. As a result and as planned, we continue to expect gold production to be around 60% weighted towards the second half of the year at this world-class polymetallic mine. As we return to mining ore from the Penasco pit towards the end of the year, we will have access to these higher gold in the fourth quarter and into next year.
At Ahafo, we continue to optimize the processing circuit in the first quarter achieving a 37% increase in mill throughput compared to the prior quarter. The newly fabricated gear for 1 of the 2 SAG mills has arrived on site and we remain on track replies this year in by of this year. Once the new is commissioned, we anticipate a 10- to 20-day ramp-up period to reach full processing rights resulting in even stronger production levels at Ahafo into the second half of the year. Galia continued to deliver strong gold and copper grades from the in the first quarter. However, as factored into our guidance, these growths are expected to gradually decline over the remainder of the year as we transition from mining this cave to Panel Cave 2 3. And the work we are doing on both tailings rectification and expansion at Cadia, as mentioned last quarter is progressing well.
Tom and I visited a year in early April, and we're impressed with the team's dedication and understanding and then implementing full potential work. As Tom said, this work will focus on simplifying the operation and being clear on the highest value option that will drive stability through the mining value chain. In addition, I want to flag that the largest of our 4 auto at Lihir will come down in quarter 3 for planned maintenance. This shutdown is included in our guidance. During the first quarter, we continued to progress the 4 key projects we currently have in execution. we are advancing the construction of the processing plant and mine service facilities, along with wide stripping activities to allow the mining of ore to commence towards the end of this year. We are diligently focused on progressing the project safely and efficiently and looking forward to delivering new low-cost ounces in the second half of 2025.
At the second expansion of Tanami our focus is on safely lining the lowest section of the shaft. And as you can see in the photo, we also continued to progress the construction of the underground infrastructure, including pouring the concrete foundation for the crusher chamber during the first quarter. The 2 block at Cadia are both progressing well. We are advancing cave development to bring production online at Panel 2 3, and we are progressing underground development work for Panel Cave 1 2.
With that, I'll turn it over to Karyn to cover our financial performance and capital allocation priorities for the remainder of the year. Thank you Natascha.
Let's get started with a review of the financial highlights for the quarter. Newmont delivered solid first quarter earnings, driven by strong production volumes and favorable metal prices. And as a reminder, results included only 2 months of our equity investment in Lundin Gold, which is accounted for 1 quarter in arrears.
In the first quarter, Newmont delivered $4 billion in revenue, at an average realized gold price of $2,090 per ounce and copper price of $3.72 per pound. Adjusted EBITDA of $1.7 billion, and adjusted net income of $0.55 per diluted share. The most notable adjustment to net income for the quarter was a $0.43 add-back related to noncash impairments, noncore assets that were classified as held for sale as of March 31.
Under U.S. GAAP, assets that are classified as held-for-sale require a specific evaluation and need to be recorded at the lower of the carrying value or fair value less cost to sell. As a result of this evaluation, Newmont realized a noncash loss on assets held for sale, including the associated tax impact, of $485 million, primarily related to the Coffee project as opposed to assets that are currently operational.
As I indicated on our previous call, we anticipated minimal free cash flow in the first quarter, primarily due to the timing of production and payments. We generated over $1.4 billion of cash flow from operations in the first quarter before a working capital reduction of $666 million. These changes in working capital included a onetime payment of $291 million related to stamp duty tax stemming from the acquisition of Newcrest, which was accrued for last year.
The building stockpiles primarily at our newly acquired sites of $193 million. a build in accounts receivable of $84 million, largely due to the ramp-up of operations at Penasquito in the first quarter and the timing of concentrate sales, and $59 million of reclamation spend primarily related to the construction of the Yanacocha water treatment facilities.
Yanacocha's ongoing closure advanced to the feasibility state at the end of last year and continues to address several complex closure issues, including water management, social impacts and tailings. This long-term water management solution will replace 5 existing water treatment facilities with 2. We commenced our construction of the Yanacocha water treatment plants as planned this quarter and expect spending to ramp up throughout the year and continue to adversely impact working capital.
Historically, Newmont's stand-alone reclamation spend averaged around $200 million to $300 million per annum, but we expect to spend around $600 million in 2024 and peak around $700 million in 2025 before beginning to decline in 2026. As previously mentioned, the first half of the year traditionally tends to produce adverse working capital changes. And this normal trend is expected to continue into the second quarter but with a slightly lower impact due to the regular timing of cash tax and interest payments.
Production also weighted toward the second half of the year, we anticipate that the majority of our cash flow after working capital will be realized in the third and fourth quarter. positioning Newmont for a stronger second half of the year from both an earnings and cash flow perspective as we continue to focus on operational delivery.
As Tom mentioned, we remain firmly on track to achieve our full year guidance for production, costs and capital spend. Production is expected to increase in the second half of the year. With the year's strongest performance anticipated in the fourth quarter, primarily driven by strong grades at Penasquito, and Tanami. And unit costs will be closely correlated to production with the added benefit of full potential improvements and additional synergies realized in the second half of the year. Capital discipline is a key focus area for us with our transformed portfolio.
As mentioned on our last call, we continue to expect to invest an average of $1.3 billion per year of development capital and projects that will generate the highest returns, which we plan to provide more information about during our Capital Markets Day in the fourth quarter of 2024. During the first quarter, we continued to execute our balanced capital allocation strategy, which focuses on maintaining a strong balance sheet, steadily funding cash-generative capital projects and returning capital to shareholders.
We maintained an investment-grade balance sheet and ended the quarter with $6.7 billion in total liquidity when including the cash reclassified to current assets held for sale. We reinvested $317 million of development capital as we continue to advance our highest return projects from our deep organic pipeline. And finally, we declared a fixed common first quarter dividend of $0.25 per share, in line with the dividend declared during the fourth quarter.
Looking ahead, our capital allocation priorities have not changed and the cash flows generated from our operations and the proceeds from divestments will be allocated first, to have an approximate cash balance of $3 billion and then to reduce debt up to $8 billion over the next few years. Additionally, once we have line of sight on meeting our balance sheet targets, we intend to repurchase shares as we see value in buying back our shares maintaining a disciplined and structured approach to capital allocation throughout the year, will better position Newmont to deliver value to our shareholders.
With that, I'll hand it to Tom for closing remarks. Back to you, Tom.
Thanks, Karyn. In closing, and as we look ahead to our priorities for the year, I'd like to reiterate our focus areas and key commitments. First, we will reinvigorate our established safety program and continue to strengthen Newmont's position as the gold industry's recognized sustainability leaders.
Second, we will continue operating the industry's strongest portfolio of world-class gold and copper assets in the most favorable mining jurisdictions. Third, over the next 2 years, we will deliver $500 million of annual synergies an additional $500 million in cost and productivity improvements and over $2 million in cash from portfolio optimization.
And finally, we will drive a disciplined, balanced approach to capital allocation, creating our resilient and returns-focused future for our organization and our shareholders. From our go-forward portfolio, focused on Tier 1 gold and copper operations, we are well positioned to deliver on these commitments and more routing an attractive value proposition to new and existing investors during this unique time in the gold industry.
And with that, I'll thank you for your time today and turn it over to the operator to open the line for questions.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Lawson Winder of Bank of America.
Very nice quarterly results, and thanks for the update today. Can I start off by asking about asset sales. First of all, congratulations on realizing value from the sale of the lending stream and offtake. But with respect to that, first of all, when you receive that, when would you receive that cash, first of all?
And then second of all, will it be applied entirely to debt repayment? And then just looking at the asset sales more broadly, we've seen public indications of interest, fairly substantial interest in a team in Telfer, how would you describe the interest in the other assets? And what is your time line currently on thinking to be able to announce some transactions on these assets.
I'll pick up the second part of your question and get Karyn to pick up the first in terms of the use of the proceeds from the London transaction. So 6 high-quality noncore assets that are now held for divestment. So we've moved into that accounting classification, as Karyn talked to.
We have started a formal process on every 1 of those assets. So we're in Phase 1 in each of those -- each and every one of those assets. So we're in the price discovery phase. And there is a high level of interest across all of those processes, when we classify as assets held for sale, we are laying out a program as we've committed to, that we will work to divest those assets for fair value over the next 12 months.
Our preference is on cash, and that's what we've been looking to optimize value and cash. But the process has started on all 6 of them, and there's a high degree of interest, clearly getting an asset out of a Newmont portfolio is attracting a lot of interest in the marketplace.
After Karyn, in terms of your question around the use of the proceeds, they're coming to tranches Karyn then where we pass.
Yes. In terms of the use of proceeds, so the first payment second quarter the second payment in the third quarter. Our capital allocation priorities are consistent with concerns I discussed in my prepared remarks. And as we've indicated through 2024, the beginning part of the year, we will be drawing that cash as we go through the year. And so the first proceeds would be used to kind of replenish those cash balances as we go forward.
Our next question comes from Tanya Jakusconek of Scotiabank.
a wanted to ask you just on the year on the GEO side, you gave us the 47-53 on the gold front. Can you give us some guidance on the other metals, maybe just on the GEOs, how they progress at the year and particularly at Penasquito, please.
Thank you for that question. I think starting off just broadly -- we will see -- we see higher contribution from Penasquito on GEO this year because we are with we are mining predominantly in the Chile Colorado pit that we know is higher in GEOs. If we look at our GEO production across the last 4 quarters, we will see that the GEO collection for silver would be around 9 million ounces a quarter in the order of about 28 million ounces or lead -- sorry, 29,000 tonnes and 58,000 tonnes of zinc across the 4 quarters.
Just chipping in there, Tanya the getting the sort of coming out of Chile Colorado for the fourth quarter and netback in pretty flat on silver and lead, probably is a little bit more zinc maybe in the fourth quarter.
Okay. No that's helpful.
Copper is pretty steady, Tanya, sorry.
And could I ask just still on the operational side, Natascha, you mentioned here maintenance in Q3. Are there any other big maintenance that we should be aware of in your portfolio, particularly Nevada Gold Mines, Pueblo Viecadia.
The only other areas would be South we will be replacing the growth year, as I mentioned in the prepared comments and that will happen now in the second quarter. And then after that, we should see a ramp up back to normal production levels for You might remember Tanya we did say that we've reduced production out of Ahafo to make sure that we see the 2 mill streams running, but that will then return to normal production rates after that shut.
Okay. That's very helpful. And then just finding on operations, and I'll leave it for someone else to ask. Just interested in as you -- the costs were quite good in Q1, even with the lower production level that you are going to expect better production going through the year. Anything on the inflationary front that you could flag for us any easing that you're seeing? Anything that you're seeing some benefits on.
We've certainly seen some easing in 3 areas. We've seen it in contractor costs, diesel and explosives. But then we've also seen some increase in our scalable cost related to steel price and being also cyanide costs. The other factor would probably energy in certain areas, we see a reduction in energy. That is, I think, quite surprising for us from 2023.
And just to remind cost is labor, and that's been pretty flat.
So just as I understood because it faded in and out, and I apologize for that. Just on where you're seeing reductions or easing is in contractor costs diesel and some consumables and energy? Is that a correct statement?
Explosives specifically. And then the overall labor cost staying flat for own labor, that's about 50% of our cost makeup.
Our next question comes from Josh Wolfson of RBC Capital Markets.
The team has painted a fairly rosy picture here on what the prospects are for asset dispositions -- and then also what the free cash flow outlook will look like absent some of these working capital headwinds. In that context, I'm wondering how flexible is the company's buyback policy -- and I'm noticing the stock being a lot higher today than it was when the plans were not for this -- at the fourth quarter results.
Thanks, Josh. Yes. As we go through the divestitures and as I've indicated, as our free cash flow picks up in the second half of the year. First priority is to ensure that we've got that -- our cash replenished on our balance sheet. And then there will be flexibility in terms of -- as long as we have line of sight in terms of debt reduction over the next 24 months, we would -- at that point in time, if we were in a position to start to think about executing on share buybacks.
As a reminder, Josh, we've got an approved $1 billion buyback ready to go if and when that scenario, Karyn maps out place.
Okay. And then just sort of to clarify, when I look at even what a flat quarter would look like at much higher gold prices today. And again, without some of the larger working capital challenges, even maybe 1 or 2 of these asset dispositions would put you in line of sight of that.
So is it fair to say that the prospects for this buyback could happen sooner than maybe what the initial criteria were outlined for the balance sheet requirements.
Yes. The expectations for the divestitures is that those will be executed within the next 12 months, hence, the conspiration on the balance sheet as assets held for sale. So expectation is through first quarter of 2025 that we will have executed or made decisions around the divestitures. And so the timing has continued upon that.
Okay. And then sorry, just 1 question, if I can sneak in. I noticed the book value for the assets that are held for sale is $5.7 billion, which is quite a large number as compared to the $2 billion targeted. Any sort of comments there on how we should think about pricing or what the targets are effectively?
No, not necessarily. I think from an accounting convention perspective and how they're reported from a GAAP perspective, will be obviously considered, I would assume by potential buyers, but in essence, the process of going through the commercial view of the assets and the value to the potential buyers that will produce something most likely different, whether it's up or down and associate versus what is recorded on our book from a GAAP perspective.
Our next question comes from Jackie Przybylowski of BMO Capital Markets.
Maybe I'll ask the first question on the full potential program. So I had the privilege of visiting Penasquito in March and Telfer and the team did a great job of outlining how the full potential program has benefited there. And I know you're working very hard on rolling that out in some of the newer acquired assets like Lihir. Can you talk a little bit about how that's going so far? And what you're seeing in terms of achievements or maybe potential for future achievements.
Yes. Jackie. I'll kick off and Natascha you might want to build on that a little bit degearing in the well, and I want to chip in as well. We're further most advanced Lihir and Lihir was the cyber sows the most opportunity, which is why we jumped into the entry on day 1, 3 main productivity and cost opportunities at Lihir. The 1 I mentioned in the prepared remarks, it's really around consistent for the so that you can manage and address materials handling.
So sure, you've got the right balance of different ores so that you've got managing convey belts and block shoots and block crushers just to allow a big plan to get a good consistency coming into it. It's a key value driver. Asset management and improving plant availability and other plant losses, a real opportunity at Lihir just the basics of wood quality work management reliability engineering with the strength of the team that we have to support Lihir.
And then the third 1 is down into the pit improving mine efficiency and mine productivity. Just getting back to the basics of blast, load haul through the mine. So very similar as we discussed at Penasquito in late February.
Move across to -- maybe just a touch on Cadia and Redis in particular. There's an enabler at Cadia, really important enabler in terms of resolving the tailings constraint, so understanding the work to rectify the tailings at Cadia and then expand those tailings to ensure you've got. The capacity to support productivity improvements from both the mine and the processing plant underground, it's unlocking panel development. We're clearly opening up PC 23, so progressing the opening up of the draw points over the next couple of years in PC 23, ensuring that you're bringing on the development work for PC 12.
And then there's a fine balance between the mine and the processing plant. So ensuring that as we're doing that work, we're also unlocking our processing capability. We're still in that first phase of full potential, but we do identify some early quick wins. And I would argue that we are specialists in high-pressure grinding rolls at Boddington. Over the last years, we have worked with those HPGRs and we have a very efficient way of operating and maintaining those -- that important crushing circuit such that we have regular visits to understand how we both operate and maintain those HPGRs. So the opportunity for us to quickly get across to the HPGRs at Cadia, understand the power draw, understand the process control logic and optimize those HPGrs, a really early quick wins that we're getting after even before we finished the diagnostic phase.
And then I'll maybe touch on Red Chris, that processing plant is going to be there through the end of the open-pit mine and as we ultimately move into the block cave. So really focusing on the opportunities to stabilize bill operations. Again, the basics around reliability and having uptime of that facility with consistent feed. And after stabilized and optimizing copper and gold recoveries and improving process controls so that you have a builders performing very well the remaining life of the bring on the ore from the block cave in future years. Natascha, anything to add.
No, I think that was a comprehensive answer.
Hopefully, Jackie, that gives you some sense of the excitement we have seen behind full potential and the confidence we have in that run rate through the end of this year, the run rate to the end of next year, why we've gone after the upside on top of that $500 million.
And that was a super helpful answer. And maybe if I can ask a second question. Just going back to your divestment strategy, I know you have a number of assets that you're looking to sell in Canada specifically, but also, I guess, globally as well. Can you comment at all? Like do you have a preference of selling that that's in groups or bundles? Or are they all expected to be sold individually to different buyers? I don't know if you can make any comments on how you're thinking about that.
Thanks, Jackie. As I mentioned answer the earlier question. The process has started in all 6 assets. So we have engaged banks and are starting to process on all 6 assets. and we're in the process of price discovery through Phase I, so an active interest. So we are getting a good feel for the level of interest in these assets and the competitive environment that we're hoping to enjoy.
And we're running 3 separate processes in terms of -- because they're in different locations. So there's a process for Telfer in the Australian context with a dedicated team looking after that. There's a process for a chin in the African organic context with a separate team looking after that. And there's a process for our North American assets, the 4 operations plus the Colby project and the team getting after that. Fall being led by Peter and Scott Langley, but up and running and very active, as I say, we're in Phase I, but -- and quite excited about the level of interest and the competitive environment, which we're presenting these assets to prospective buyers.
Our next question comes from Mike Parkin of National Bank.
Just looking for a bit of additional color with Yanacocha and the water treatment plants. This might be a bit old, but -- just looking for what's the main driver there doing the 2 new plants versus the 5 existing one? Is it capacity or just the old ones don't have the technology kind of need to have been commented there.
Mike, it is both capacity and technology. So just to paint a picture for you, we've been operating a mine in the oxide ore at for the better part of the last 30 years and disturbed at the top of the and an area that is equivalent of 3/4 of Manhattan to give you a sense of the scale of the disturbed land at the top of Andy's and is significant rainfall every year and a watershed right into both the Atlantic and the Pacific Oceans.
So there is a very significant amount of disturbed land, very significant amount of water at the top of the Andes. But that water is acidic. So every drop water that touched that disturbed land, we need to capture process, treat and then discharge to different qualities of some businesses to discharge needs to be drinking water quality and some instances to agricultural standards as defined by the permits we have from the regulatory authorities in Peru.
So as has been accrued for within our closure liability. We were moving -- we have been moving into the stage of closure for Yanacocha that involves the construction of 2 large order treatment plants over the next few years. That then will treat water in perpetuity for real. These plants are designed to be there processing water and discharge of water forever.
So we're in the building of the plant phase now for a set of facilities that we operate for 3 decades out in front of us. Just to is into perspective, size of those water treatment plants, we are treating -- we are designing and building these plants to treat 8,000 meters cubed per hour. That is a planned equivalent to treating the water required by a city the size of Seattle. So that's the size of the water treatment plants we're building up in.
And the cost of those, I get -- that's all kind of flowing through this year and next year. Is that in your capital budget? Or is that running through the income statement? You normally have...
Sorry, Mike, I'll build on this. Look in capital or a sustaining capital.
That's correct. It's accrued on our balance sheet as a liability. And you'll see that the $600 million that we expect to spend in 2024 is considered a current liability, but that you will not see that, as Tom indicated, flowing through sustaining or development capital.
Okay. So is it more working capital changes as the current liability.
Yes. Consistent with the first quarter, you'll see that flow through working capital.
Our next question comes from Anita Soni of CIBC.
Just a little bit of a follow-on to what Mike just asked. So with Yanacocha, originally, you guys took a provision of $2 billion, and it was basically the cost of treating this water in perpetuity. So at least that's what I -- that's what we understood or that you previously talked about.
So is this -- do we still have those costs as well? Or is this like once you've built this plant, you wouldn't have ongoing expenses in terms of the water treatment plant. Like I'm not quite sure if this is now additive to the original $2 billion.
So either in terms of the provisions that we've had in our closure liabilities. That's all been there. So no new information there that's fully accounted for in terms of our closure liabilities for Yanacocha. And as part of that, there's always been the spend to build the water treatment plants, which takes place over '24, '25 to '26. And then we -- then the cost to operate those water treatment plants. So they're looking at around $40 million to $50 million a year to operate these water treatment plants in perpetuity. The cost to both operate those plans and to construct those plans are included in our closure liability.
So what's that total liability now then.
For Yanacocha is sitting at -- just looking at my number, it is sitting at about $4.8 billion. But in the sorry, the liability pass across to Karyn to cover the liability rather than me balance sheet.
Yes. is Thomas referred to, the total reclamation and remediation liabilities is around $6.6 billion. But for Yanacocha, it is the $1.7 billion that has been accrued for on our balance sheet.
Yes, for the water treatment plant, Anita, that Yanacocha has a bunch of other closure activities. You've got to reshape the reshape leach pads and waste dumps and tailings facilities. So water treatment that is competitive that, the total enclosure liability for Yanacocha it's $4.8 billion.
Okay. Got it. And then you mentioned it's taking place at over '24, '25 and then '26. Can you tell us what the number that we would see in working capital outflow in '26 would be.
Yes. So as I indicated in my prepared remarks, the $600 million in terms of '24, peaking at $700 million in 2025 and then starting to come down from there in 2026.
Our final question comes from Daniel Major of UBS.
Sorry, I'll keep a quick on time. Two questions. One, just on following up on the working capital. and looking at your Slide 10 in the presentation, you've talked at length on the reclamation payments. But can you give us a sense of any other key moving parts we should expect in the coming quarters and where you would expect the net balance change year-on-year to be from a cash working capital perspective, including the stamp duty or excluding it whichever?
Sure. So the only additional stamp duty we'll have is in the third quarter of approximately $30 million. You'll see some additional seasonal changes as we head into second quarter as it relates to cash taxes as well as interest from a cash perspective, those will flow through in the second quarter as well and you'll see higher the reclamation liabilities, the cash outflow associated with that as we go through 2024.
And then in addition to that, you'll see the traditional timing as it relates to sales and inventory changes as we go through the year.
So if you stand now, what would you expect the net change to be over the full year, Bill, in terms of that build in working capital?
Yes. That really depends on the timing in terms of that as well as, of course, pricing as we go through 2024.
Okay. And then just second one, you talked detailed a lot of the progress you've made in the -- since the integration in Newcrest. And these kind of deals, I guess, there's always positives and negatives. What's was the toughest part, what's been the most challenging or most difficult part of the integration so far.
Pick that 1 up. The by far away, Daniel, is the tragic loss of at a Kennady's life at on the 20th of December last year. And as you reflect upon the integration, you reflect upon what things could we have done differently, what decisions could we have made differently that would have effect to Adam being that day at Brucejack.
I think, as you've said in some of our remarks as well, I think it's stepping back from the loss of Adam and safety are the 2 areas that we're working through diligently tailings facilities, and we've talked about Telia talked about Acadia and a little bit around -- so just bringing those tailing facilities into the Newmont standard and ensuring that we have the appropriate rigor and discipline around those to manage them here and now and ensuring that we ship at those going forward that they have the appropriate standard.
And then the third 1 would be bringing the ore body knowledge levels up to a Newmont standard so that we've got really robust orebody knowledge underpinning our mine plan. So that will be the 3 areas where there's been, I guess, the hard work. I think if I step back from that with the perspective of having lived through a similar integration and transaction 5 years ago. I think when I step back from those 3 areas, I think the integration has gone very well. And I think we had the benefit of being able to apply the lessons we learned from integrating the 5 Goldcorp assets back in 2019 to this exercise, and that's put us in good stead.
We've had a follow-up question from Anita Soni of CIBC.
Yes. Sorry, I got cut off there before the end of the question. But I was hoping -- I'm assuming that the 2026 spend for Yanacocha water treatment would be $400 million. I think you said it was $1.7 billion just for the buildup of those plants. So you're doing $600 million and then $700 million, so the remainder would be $400 million. Is that correct? .
Yes. The expectation is that this will be commissioned in 2027, and there'll be obviously some continued as Tom said, continued approximately around $50 million a year associated with that going forward.
So we certainly see the step up through those 3 years. And then back to -- as best you can predict that far in the future back to the sort of normal long-run levels for closure and reclamation activities.
Okay. I'm going to -- so the second question that I wanted to ask was about Cerro Negro. So definitely unfortunate that 2 people lost their lives. I did want to ask a little bit about -- does it have anything to do with long-term structural support there? I mean these guys were a gentleman and a lady were within the Mine Technical Services group. So not a little bit unexpected for that group for that to happen. So I was just trying to find out if you had any color on that.
Thanks, Anita. I'd ask Natascha to comment.
It's absolutely not structural. So from a geotechnical point of view and from a quality of asset point of view, very high quality and no material tech challenges for us this was procedural by nature. So definitely not linked to any long-term predictions.
And as we close out our investigation, we will share those lessons widely with the industry so as we opportune will.
This concludes the question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Tom Palmer for closing remarks.
Thank you, operator. Thank you all for your time, and please enjoy the rest of your day. Thanks, everyone.
The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.