ArcelorMittal SA
NYSE:MT
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one MT stock under the Base Case scenario is 50.38 USD. Compared to the current market price of 24.34 USD, ArcelorMittal SA is Undervalued by 52%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
ArcelorMittal SA
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Fundamental Analysis
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ArcelorMittal SA, the world's largest steel and mining company, weaves a compelling narrative of innovation and resilience in the global industrial landscape. Established in 2006 through the merger of Arcelor and Mittal Steel, this Luxembourg-based giant operates in over 60 countries and boasts a diverse portfolio that includes flat carbon, long carbon, and stainless steel products, along with iron ore and coal mining. With a strong focus on sustainability and technological advancement, ArcelorMittal is not just a manufacturer but a pioneer, aiming to reduce its carbon footprint significantly by investing in cleaner steel production technologies. As the demand for steel continues to rise, dr...
ArcelorMittal SA, the world's largest steel and mining company, weaves a compelling narrative of innovation and resilience in the global industrial landscape. Established in 2006 through the merger of Arcelor and Mittal Steel, this Luxembourg-based giant operates in over 60 countries and boasts a diverse portfolio that includes flat carbon, long carbon, and stainless steel products, along with iron ore and coal mining. With a strong focus on sustainability and technological advancement, ArcelorMittal is not just a manufacturer but a pioneer, aiming to reduce its carbon footprint significantly by investing in cleaner steel production technologies. As the demand for steel continues to rise, driven by urbanization and infrastructure projects globally, the company is strategically positioned to capitalize on these trends while offering an attractive value proposition for investors.
At the heart of ArcelorMittal's growth story lies its commitment to operational excellence and cost leadership. The company has consistently improved its production processes, resulting in stable margins even amidst fluctuating market conditions. Its disciplined capital allocation strategy, combined with a solid balance sheet, gives it a competitive edge—allowing it to weather economic cycles and seize acquisition opportunities when they arise. Furthermore, with growing interest in transitioning to a low-carbon economy, ArcelorMittal’s initiatives in sustainability could bolster its long-term viability, enhancing its appeal to environmentally-conscious investors. In essence, ArcelorMittal stands at the intersection of traditional industry and modern innovation, making it a compelling consideration for those looking to invest in a foundational player within the global economy.
ArcelorMittal SA, one of the largest steel manufacturing companies in the world, operates through several core business segments. Here’s an overview of those segments:
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Flat Carbon Steel: This segment includes the production of flat steel products, primarily used in automotive, appliance, and construction industries. It involves manufacturing hot and cold-rolled sheets and plates, as well as coated and extra-thin products.
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Long Carbon Steel: Focused on long products, this segment produces beams, rods, rebar, wire, and other long steel products that are largely used in construction and infrastructure development. This includes products used in residential and commercial construction projects.
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Global Steel Solutions: This division works on providing advanced materials and solutions for industrial applications. It emphasizes innovation and collaboration with customers to develop tailored steel solutions that meet specific operational needs.
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Mining: ArcelorMittal is also involved in the extraction and production of iron ore and coal, essential raw materials for steel manufacturing. Its mining segment ensures a steady supply of these critical resources to support its steel production operations.
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Other Segments: This includes a variety of related operations, such as distribution, services, and the production of stainless steel products. The segment also encompasses activities related to research and development, focusing on new technologies and sustainable practices.
Overall, ArcelorMittal’s core business segments work collaboratively to ensure it can serve diverse market needs, maintain competitive pricing, and focus on sustainability in steel production. These segments allow the company to operate globally, catering to various markets across different industries.
ArcelorMittal SA, as the world’s leading steel and mining company, has several unique competitive advantages over its rivals:
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Integrated Operations: ArcelorMittal operates across the entire steel production chain, from iron ore extraction to steel manufacturing and distribution. This vertical integration allows for greater control over costs, quality, and supply chain efficiency.
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Global Presence: With operations in over 60 countries, ArcelorMittal benefits from economies of scale and access to diverse markets. Their geographical diversity helps mitigate risks related to regional economic downturns or fluctuations in local demand.
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Strong Brand Recognition: Being a market leader, ArcelorMittal has established a strong brand associated with quality and reliability. This reputation helps attract and retain customers, particularly in competitive industries.
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Diverse Product Portfolio: The company offers a wide range of steel products tailored for various industries, including automotive, construction, and packaging. This diversity reduces dependency on a single market segment and enhances resilience against market volatility.
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Innovation and R&D: ArcelorMittal invests heavily in research and development, focusing on developing advanced products and more sustainable production processes. This commitment to innovation can lead to differentiated products and lower environmental impact, crucial for long-term competitiveness.
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Sustainability Initiatives: The company is actively pursuing eco-friendly practices and reducing carbon emissions. By aligning with global sustainability trends, ArcelorMittal can attract customers and investors who prioritize environmental responsibility.
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Cost Leadership: Due to its scale and operational efficiencies, ArcelorMittal often benefits from lower production costs compared to smaller competitors. This allows the company to compete effectively on price, particularly in price-sensitive markets.
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Access to Raw Materials: The firm has significant control over its own iron ore and coal resources, reducing reliance on external suppliers. This not only stabilizes input costs but also enhances supply chain security.
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Strong Financial Position: ArcelorMittal's substantial market capitalization, liquidity, and access to capital markets provide a financial buffer that can be leveraged for strategic investments during downturns or for expansion opportunities.
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Experienced Management Team: The company is backed by a seasoned management team with expertise across global markets, allowing for effective strategic decision-making and the ability to respond to changing market conditions swiftly.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, ArcelorMittal maintains a leadership position in the steel industry and is well-equipped to navigate challenges and capitalize on opportunities within the market.
ArcelorMittal SA, like any large multinational steel and mining corporation, faces several risks and challenges that could impact its operations and financial performance in the near future:
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Economic Cycles: The steel industry is heavily influenced by global economic cycles. A downturn in economic growth, especially in key markets like China, the EU, and the US, could lead to decreased demand for steel.
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Commodity Price Volatility: Changes in the prices of raw materials (iron ore, coal, etc.) can significantly affect operating costs and profit margins. Increased prices can squeeze margins if the company cannot pass costs onto consumers.
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Trade Policy and Tariffs: Trade tensions and tariffs can impact the competitive landscape. Changes in trade policy can lead to increased costs or reduced access to key markets.
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Regulatory Challenges: Stricter environmental regulations are being implemented globally. Compliance with these regulations can require significant investment and lead to increased operational costs.
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Technological Disruption: The steel industry is evolving with advances in technology. Companies that fail to adapt to new manufacturing processes or more efficient materials may fall behind competitors.
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Sustainability Pressures: There is increasing pressure for sustainability and lower carbon emissions in industries like steel manufacturing. Adapting to this demand may require substantial investment in new technology and processes.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Geopolitical tensions, natural disasters, or pandemics can disrupt supply chains, affecting production capacities and lead times.
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Labor Relations: As a global employer, ArcelorMittal faces the risk of labor disputes and strikes that can disrupt operations, particularly in regions with strong labor unions.
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Debt Levels and Financial Risks: High levels of debt can pose risks, especially if market conditions deteriorate. Fluctuations in interest rates can impact financing costs.
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Competition: The steel industry is competitive, and new entrants could disrupt market share. Competitors from countries with lower production costs may create pricing pressures.
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Currency Fluctuations: As a multinational corporation, ArcelorMittal is exposed to foreign exchange risks, which can affect profitability when revenue generated in foreign currencies is translated back to the Euro or other reporting currencies.
In addressing these risks, ArcelorMittal will need to adopt effective risk management strategies, diversify its product offerings, and invest in sustainability and technological innovation to maintain its competitive edge.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
ArcelorMittal SA
Balance Sheet Decomposition
ArcelorMittal SA
Current Assets | 31B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 5.9B |
Receivables | 4.2B |
Other Current Assets | 20.9B |
Non-Current Assets | 59.8B |
Long-Term Investments | 10.2B |
PP&E | 33.1B |
Intangibles | 4.9B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 11.6B |
Current Liabilities | 20.3B |
Accounts Payable | 12.5B |
Accrued Liabilities | 5.5B |
Other Current Liabilities | 2.4B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 18.3B |
Long-Term Debt | 8.8B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 9.6B |
Earnings Waterfall
ArcelorMittal SA
Revenue
|
63.7B
USD
|
Operating Expenses
|
-63.8B
USD
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Operating Income
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-64m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-531m
USD
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Net Income
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-595m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
ArcelorMittal SA
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
MT Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
ArcelorMittal SA's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
ArcelorMittal SA's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
MT Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
ArcelorMittal SA's solvency score is 54/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
ArcelorMittal SA's solvency score is 54/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
MT Price Targets Summary
ArcelorMittal SA
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MT is 31.43 USD with a low forecast of 22.96 USD and a high forecast of 43.18 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for MT is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
ArcelorMittal SA is a holding company, which engages in steelmaking and mining activities. The Company, via its subsidiaries, owns and operates steel, iron ore manufacturing and coal mining facilities in Europe, North and South America, Asia, and Africa. The firm is organized in five operating segments: NAFTA; Brazil; Europe; Africa and Commonwealth of Independent States (ACIS), and Mining. The NAFTA, Brazil, Europe, and ACIS segments produce flat, long, and tubular products including slabs, hot-rolled coil, cold-rolled coil, coated steel products, among others. The Mining segment provides steel operations and comprises all mines owned by the Company in the Americas, Europe, Africa, and countries of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS).
Contact
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one MT stock under the Base Case scenario is 50.38 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 24.34 USD, ArcelorMittal SA is Undervalued by 52%.