Morgan Stanley
NYSE:MS
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one MS stock under the Base Case scenario is 165.555 USD. Compared to the current market price of 135.505 USD, Morgan Stanley is Undervalued by 18%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Morgan Stanley
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Fundamental Analysis
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Morgan Stanley, a prominent player in the global financial landscape, has carved out a reputation as a leading investment bank, wealth management firm, and financial services provider. Founded in 1935, the company has navigated the complexities of financial markets through its commitment to innovation and client-centric solutions. With a diverse range of services, including investment banking, institutional securities, and wealth management, Morgan Stanley has established a formidable presence across different sectors. This allows the firm to serve a broad clientele, from corporations and governments to individual investors, all while leveraging cutting-edge technology to drive efficiency an...
Morgan Stanley, a prominent player in the global financial landscape, has carved out a reputation as a leading investment bank, wealth management firm, and financial services provider. Founded in 1935, the company has navigated the complexities of financial markets through its commitment to innovation and client-centric solutions. With a diverse range of services, including investment banking, institutional securities, and wealth management, Morgan Stanley has established a formidable presence across different sectors. This allows the firm to serve a broad clientele, from corporations and governments to individual investors, all while leveraging cutting-edge technology to drive efficiency and improved performance.
For investors, Morgan Stanley represents not just a multi-faceted financial institution but a strategic opportunity. The company's strong emphasis on risk management has positioned it favorably, particularly in volatile market conditions. Its wealth management division has seen consistent growth, driven by rising global wealth and a trend toward personalized financial advice. Additionally, Morgan Stanley has shown resilience through various economic cycles, making it a reliable partner for those seeking to navigate the complexities of financial investing. With a focus on responsible growth and a forward-thinking approach, Morgan Stanley is well-poised to capitalize on emerging market trends, making it an appealing option for investors looking for stability paired with growth potential.
Morgan Stanley operates through several core business segments, each contributing to the firm's overall revenue and strategic objectives. As of my last update in October 2023, the primary segments include:
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Institutional Securities:
- This segment encompasses the firm’s sales and trading operations in equity and fixed income markets. It includes underwriting, advisory services for mergers and acquisitions, and capital raising in the debt and equity markets. Morgan Stanley serves a diverse client base, including governments, corporations, and institutional investors.
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Wealth Management:
- Morgan Stanley’s Wealth Management division provides financial planning, investment management, and brokerage services to a wide range of clients, including individuals, families, and institutions. This segment focuses on delivering tailored investment strategies, financial advice, and access to a broad array of investment products.
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Investment Management:
- This segment offers a variety of investment management services to institutional and retail clients, including asset management, mutual funds, and private equity. Morgan Stanley’s Investment Management division is known for its diversified investment strategies across multiple asset classes, including equities, fixed income, and alternative investments.
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Global Capital Markets:
- While closely related to Institutional Securities, this segment specifically deals with the capital markets' operations, such as underwriting debt and equity offerings, and providing advisory services on capital structure and financing strategies.
Each segment plays a critical role in Morgan Stanley's overall strategy, enabling the firm to leverage its extensive expertise and client relationships in a diversified manner and respond flexibly to changing market conditions.
Morgan Stanley, as one of the leading global financial services firms, possesses several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals:
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Diverse Service Offerings: Morgan Stanley operates in three primary segments: Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. This diversified approach enables the firm to leverage cross-selling opportunities and provide a comprehensive suite of services to its clients.
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Strong Brand and Reputation: The firm has built a strong brand over the decades, recognized for its expertise and integrity in the financial services sector. A solid reputation can attract new clients and retain existing ones, particularly in wealth management and institutional services.
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Wealth Management Leadership: Morgan Stanley is one of the largest wealth management firms in the world. Its focus on wealth management has enabled it to capitalize on the growing demand for personalized financial advice and investment solutions, especially among high-net-worth individuals.
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Global Reach with Local Expertise: The firm boasts a significant global presence with offices in key financial cities around the world, combined with local market insights and expertise. This allows Morgan Stanley to serve multinational clients effectively while understanding regional nuances.
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Innovative Technology and Digital Platforms: Morgan Stanley has made substantial investments in technology to enhance client experience and operational efficiency. Their digital platforms facilitate seamless trading, data analysis, and communication, giving them an edge in an increasingly digital economy.
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Strong Research Capabilities: The firm has a well-respected research department that provides valuable insights into market trends, allowing clients to make informed investment decisions. This strong research foundation can differentiate Morgan Stanley from competitors who may lack similar capabilities.
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Strategic Partnerships and Alliances: Morgan Stanley often forms strategic partnerships and alliances, enhancing its service offerings and market access. Collaborations with fintech companies, for instance, contribute to a robust platform for innovation.
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Talent Acquisition and Retention: The firm attracts and retains top talent in the financial industry, benefiting from a strong company culture that emphasizes development and teamwork. High-quality talent can drive better client service and innovative solutions.
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Regulatory Expertise: With the complex landscape of financial regulations, Morgan Stanley’s expertise in navigating compliance and regulatory requirements can provide clients with additional confidence and security in their dealings with the firm.
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Focus on ESG and Sustainability: Morgan Stanley has committed to sustainable investing and environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors, catering to the growing interest in responsible investment options and appealing to socially conscious investors and institutions.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, Morgan Stanley is well-positioned to navigate the complexities of the financial services landscape and compete effectively against its peers.
Morgan Stanley, like other investment banks and financial institutions, faces a range of risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key considerations:
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Regulatory Risks: Stricter regulatory requirements post-financial crisis can impact Morgan Stanley's operations. Changes in regulations regarding capital requirements, compliance costs, and trading rules can affect profitability and operational flexibility.
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Economic Conditions: Fluctuations in the global economy, including inflation, interest rates, and GDP growth, can affect investment banking revenues and asset management performance. A recession or downturn in the economy could lead to decreased activity in capital markets.
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Market Volatility: High volatility in equity and fixed-income markets can impact trading revenues. While volatility can create opportunities, it also increases risks, as clients may become less willing to engage in trading activities during turbulent times.
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Competition: The financial services industry is highly competitive. Morgan Stanley faces competition from other investment banks, asset management firms, and fintech companies that can offer innovative products and services at lower costs.
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Technological Disruptions: The rise of fintech and digital banking could disrupt traditional business models in investment banking and wealth management. Morgan Stanley must invest in technology to innovate and remain competitive while managing the risks associated with cybersecurity threats and data breaches.
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Global Geopolitical Risks: Political instability, trade wars, and changes in international relations can affect market conditions. For instance, tensions between major economies like the US and China can impact global trade and investment flows.
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Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Factors: Increased focus on ESG issues can affect market sentiment and regulatory requirements. Morgan Stanley may face scrutiny over its investment practices and commitments to sustainability, which can influence its reputation and client relationships.
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Interest Rate Environment: As central banks adjust interest rates, changes can directly affect the profitability of trading and investment activities. A rising interest rate environment may slow down borrowing, impacting investment activities and M&A transactions.
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Talent Acquisition and Retention: Attracting and retaining top talent is crucial in a competitive financial services industry. The evolving work environment, including remote work preferences, can pose challenges for maintaining company culture and employee engagement.
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Client Behavior and Preferences: Shifts in client preferences for investment products and services can influence revenue generation. A move towards more passive investing or alternative investments could affect traditional investment banking and asset management models.
Morgan Stanley will need to navigate these challenges while leveraging its strengths, such as strong brand reputation, diversified business lines, and global reach, to maintain its competitive position.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Morgan Stanley
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Morgan Stanley
Current Assets | 178.9B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 90.2B |
Receivables | 88.7B |
Non-Current Assets | 1T |
Long-Term Investments | 756B |
Intangibles | 23.5B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 254.1B |
Current Liabilities | 642.8B |
Accounts Payable | 200.6B |
Accrued Liabilities | 5.3B |
Short-Term Debt | 431.6B |
Other Current Liabilities | 5.3B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 468.9B |
Long-Term Debt | 269.9B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 199B |
Earnings Waterfall
Morgan Stanley
Revenue
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105.2B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-50.6B
USD
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Gross Profit
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54.6B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-39.8B
USD
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Operating Income
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14.8B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-4.2B
USD
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Net Income
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10.6B
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Morgan Stanley
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q3, Morgan Stanley achieved revenues of $15.4 billion, with net income of $3 billion, and a return on tangible equity of 17.5%. The firm reported substantial organic growth in Wealth Management, now at $7.6 trillion in client assets, aiming for $10 trillion. Efficiency ratios improved by 300 basis points to 72%. Investment Banking revenues reached $1.5 billion, driven by underwriting and advisory activities. Looking ahead, net interest income is foreseen to modestly decline in Q4 due to lower rate expectations, while the firm plans to continue optimizing its capital allocation strategy.
What is Earnings Call?
MS Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Morgan Stanley's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Morgan Stanley's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
MS Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Morgan Stanley's solvency score is 12/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Morgan Stanley's solvency score is 12/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
MS Price Targets Summary
Morgan Stanley
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MS is 122.563 USD with a low forecast of 94.253 USD and a high forecast of 149.1 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for MS is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
MS Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Dividend Yield
Description
Morgan Stanley operates as a global financial services company. The company is headquartered in New York City, New York and currently employs 75,000 full-time employees. Through its subsidiaries, it provides a variety of products and services to a group of clients and customers, including corporations, governments, financial institutions and individuals. Its segments include Institutional Securities, Wealth Management and Investment Management. Its Institutional Securities segment provides investment banking, sales and trading, and other services to corporations, governments, financial institutions and high net worth clients. Its Wealth Management segment provides financial services and solutions to individual investors and small-to-medium sized businesses and institutions covering: brokerage and investment advisory services; financial and wealth planning services; workplace services; annuity and insurance products; residential real estate loans and other lending products; banking; and retirement plan services. Its Investment Management segment provides a range of investment strategies and products.
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one MS stock under the Base Case scenario is 165.555 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 135.505 USD, Morgan Stanley is Undervalued by 18%.