Marathon Oil Corp
NYSE:MRO

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Marathon Oil Corp Logo
Marathon Oil Corp
NYSE:MRO
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Price: 28.32 USD -1.05% Market Closed
Market Cap: 15.8B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one MRO stock under the Base Case scenario is 34.68 USD. Compared to the current market price of 28.32 USD, Marathon Oil Corp is Undervalued by 18%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

MRO Intrinsic Value
34.68 USD
Undervaluation 18%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Base Case
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Marathon Oil Corp

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

Marathon Oil Corporation is an independent exploration and production company that stands as a significant player in the North American energy landscape. With a strong focus on the United States, particularly in areas such as the Permian Basin and the Eagle Ford Shale, Marathon Oil is strategically positioned to leverage the growing demand for energy resources. The company operates with a commitment to sustainable practices while maximizing shareholder value through a balanced production portfolio. Investors are attracted to its disciplined capital allocation, demonstrating a robust financial profile marked by consistent cash flow generation, a solid balance sheet, and a history of sharehold...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Marathon Oil Corp

Current Assets 1.5B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 134m
Receivables 1.1B
Other Current Assets 214m
Non-Current Assets 17.9B
Long-Term Investments 432m
PP&E 17.2B
Other Non-Current Assets 286m
Current Liabilities 2.2B
Accounts Payable 1.4B
Accrued Liabilities 96m
Short-Term Debt 180m
Other Current Liabilities 500m
Non-Current Liabilities 5.8B
Long-Term Debt 4.6B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 1.2B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Marathon Oil Corp

Revenue
6.7B USD
Cost of Revenue
-881m USD
Gross Profit
5.8B USD
Operating Expenses
-3.8B USD
Operating Income
2B USD
Other Expenses
-683m USD
Net Income
1.3B USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Marathon Oil Corp

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In Q1 2024, Marathon Oil reported strong financial and operational performance, underpinned by efficient capital execution and a return of $350 million to shareholders, representing 41% of cash flow from operations. With oil production at 181,000 barrels per day and expectations for increased production in Q2, the company reaffirmed its annual guidance. Marathon also highlighted the success of its extended lateral drilling program and refracs, anticipating sustainable financial growth with projected $2.2 billion in free cash flow for 2024, yielding mid-teens percentages. Moreover, the company continued advancing its E.G. Gas Mega Hub, benefiting from global LNG pricing shifts and forecasted EBITDAX of $550-$600 million.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

MRO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Marathon Oil Corp's profitability score is 68/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive Gross Profit
Positive Operating Income
Positive Net Income
68/100
Profitability
Score

Marathon Oil Corp's profitability score is 68/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

MRO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Marathon Oil Corp's solvency score is 46/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Average Altman Z-Score
Short-Term Solvency
46/100
Solvency
Score

Marathon Oil Corp's solvency score is 46/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

MRO Price Targets Summary
Marathon Oil Corp

Wall Street analysts forecast MRO stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MRO is 32.29 USD with a low forecast of 27.27 USD and a high forecast of 44.1 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
27.27 USD
4% Downside
Average
Price Target
32.29 USD
14% Upside
Highest
Price Target
44.1 USD
56% Upside
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Dividends

Dividend Yield
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Dividend Per Share
N/A
Growth 3Y
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Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
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Previous Payment
-
Today
Next Payment
-
Today
Nov 13, 2024
Previous Payment
-
Next Payment
-
Ex-Dividend Date
-
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for MRO is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
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Buyback Yield
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Ownership

MRO Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
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Profile

Marathon Oil Corp Logo
Marathon Oil Corp

Country

United States of America

Industry

Energy

Market Cap

15.8B USD

Dividend Yield

1.55%

Description

Marathon Oil Corp. engages in the exploration, production, and marketing of liquid hydrocarbons and natural gas. The company is headquartered in Houston, Texas and currently employs 1,531 full-time employees. The firm is focused on the United States resource plays, which includes the Eagle Ford in Texas, the Bakken in North Dakota, Sooner Trend Anadarko Basin Canadian and Kingfisher Counties (STACK) and South-Central Oklahoma Oil Province (SCOOP) in Oklahoma and Northern Delaware in New Mexico. The firm operates through two segments: United States and International. The United States segment explores, produces and markets crude oil and condensate, natural gas liquids (NGLs) and natural gas in the United States. The International segment explores, produces and markets crude oil and condensate, NGLs and natural gas outside of the United States as well as produces and markets products manufactured from natural gas, such as liquefied natural gas (LNG) and methanol, in Equatorial Guinea (E.G.). Its subsidiaries include Alba Associates LLC, Alba Equatorial Guinea Partnership, L.P., Alba Plant LLC and AMPCO Marketing, L.L.C.

Contact

TEXAS
Houston
PO Box 3128
+17136296600.0
www.marathonoil.com

IPO

1965-11-26

Employees

1 531

Officers

Chairman, President & CEO
Mr. Lee M. Tillman
Executive Vice President of Operations
Mr. Michael A. Henderson
Executive VP, General Counsel & Secretary
Ms. Kimberly O. Warnica
Executive Vice President of Corporate Development & Strategy
Mr. Patrick J. Wagner
Executive VP & CFO
Mr. Rob L. White
VP, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer
Mr. Zach B. Dailey
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Senior VP of Technology & Innovation and Chief Information Officer
Mr. Bruce A. McCullough
Vice President of Investor Relations
Mr. Guy Allen Baber IV, CPA
Senior Vice President of Human Resources
Ms. Jill Ramshaw
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one MRO stock?

The intrinsic value of one MRO stock under the Base Case scenario is 34.68 USD.

Is MRO stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 28.32 USD, Marathon Oil Corp is Undervalued by 18%.

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