Molina Healthcare Inc
NYSE:MOH
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one MOH stock under the Base Case scenario is 505.312 USD. Compared to the current market price of 288.625 USD, Molina Healthcare Inc is Undervalued by 43%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Molina Healthcare Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Molina Healthcare Inc. stands out as a pivotal player in the managed care sector, dedicated to providing vital health services to underserved populations. Established in 1980, the company has steadily expanded its footprint across the United States, focusing on Medicaid and Medicare programs. With a mission rooted in improving health outcomes, Molina has developed a comprehensive suite of health plans that not only cover medical necessities but also emphasize preventive care and integrated services. The company's strategic emphasis on high-quality care enables it to cater effectively to diverse communities, positioning itself as a champion for those who often slip through the cracks of the t...
Molina Healthcare Inc. stands out as a pivotal player in the managed care sector, dedicated to providing vital health services to underserved populations. Established in 1980, the company has steadily expanded its footprint across the United States, focusing on Medicaid and Medicare programs. With a mission rooted in improving health outcomes, Molina has developed a comprehensive suite of health plans that not only cover medical necessities but also emphasize preventive care and integrated services. The company's strategic emphasis on high-quality care enables it to cater effectively to diverse communities, positioning itself as a champion for those who often slip through the cracks of the traditional healthcare system.
Investors should take note of Molina’s strong financial trajectory, highlighted by robust revenue growth driven by an increasing demand for affordable healthcare solutions amidst ongoing policy shifts and demographic changes. The company's recent expansions into new markets and enhanced capabilities in technology and data analytics signal its commitment to improving operational efficiency and patient engagement. Molina’s track record of effective cost management and its focus on value-based care position it for resilience amid industry challenges. With a clear roadmap for sustainable growth and a mission that resonates deeply, Molina Healthcare represents a compelling investment opportunity for those looking to engage with a company that not only seeks profitability but also strides towards meaningful social impact.
Molina Healthcare, Inc. is a managed care organization that provides healthcare services to individuals who qualify for government-sponsored programs. The core business segments of Molina Healthcare are primarily focused on different areas of the U.S. healthcare market. Here's an overview of their key segments:
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Medicaid: This is the largest segment for Molina Healthcare, where the company provides health plans to low-income individuals and families who qualify for Medicaid. Molina operates in various states, managing the administrative aspects of the program while ensuring that members receive access to necessary healthcare services.
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Medicare: Molina also offers Medicare Advantage plans to eligible seniors. This segment focuses on providing health insurance to individuals aged 65 and older, including various health services that may not be covered under traditional Medicare.
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Marketplace Plans: This segment includes plans that are offered through Health Insurance Marketplaces established under the Affordable Care Act (ACA). Molina provides health insurance options to individuals and families who do not qualify for Medicaid or Medicare but still need affordable healthcare solutions.
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Long-Term Care and Specialty Services: Molina offers additional services aimed at individuals with special needs or chronic conditions. This can include care coordination, behavioral health services, and other specialized programs designed to support members with complex health requirements.
These segments allow Molina Healthcare to tailor its services to meet the diverse needs of its members while focusing on cost-effective healthcare delivery and improving health outcomes. The company's emphasis on serving the underserved populations and maintaining a strong operational focus on Medicaid makes it a key player in the managed care sector.
Molina Healthcare, Inc. operates in the healthcare sector, primarily providing health insurance to individuals and families covered by government programs such as Medicaid and Medicare. Here are several unique competitive advantages that Molina Healthcare holds over its rivals:
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Focus on Underserved Markets: Molina has a strong focus on low-income populations and underserved communities, allowing it to cater to a demographic often overlooked by other insurers. This specialization can lead to a more tailored approach to care and services.
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Integrated Care Model: Molina emphasizes an integrated care approach that combines health insurance with medical services. This helps in better managing patient care and can lead to improved health outcomes, which is a significant selling point in the competitive healthcare market.
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Strong Relationships with Provider Networks: Molina has developed strong partnerships and collaborations with healthcare providers, which enhances its service delivery and helps create a more effective network of care. This can contribute to better patient outcomes and lower costs over time.
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Experience and Track Record: With decades in the industry, Molina has a proven track record in managing healthcare programs, particularly in Medicaid and Medicare markets. This experience can engender trust with both members and regulators.
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Localized Approach: Molina operates in various states with tailored strategies that reflect local market needs, regulatory requirements, and community health issues. This localized understanding can provide a competitive edge in terms of member engagement and satisfaction.
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Technology and Data Utilization: Molina continuously invests in technology to improve healthcare management, streamline operations, and enhance customer service. Leveraging data analytics enables Molina to better predict health trends and tailor services accordingly.
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Cost Leadership: Molina tends to offer competitive pricing structures, which can attract members in price-sensitive segments, especially within Medicaid and Medicare populations.
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Advocacy and Community Engagement: Molina actively engages in community outreach and advocacy, improving its reputation and brand presence in the locations it serves. This connection to the community can foster customer loyalty.
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Diverse Product Offerings: Molina provides a range of plans and services beyond basic insurance coverage, including behavioral health and pharmacy management, making it a more comprehensive option for potential members.
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Regulatory Adaptability: Molina's historical experience with government-regulated programs allows it to adapt swiftly to changes in healthcare policies, positioning it favorably compared to competitors that might struggle with compliance.
In summary, Molina Healthcare's focus on underserved markets, integrated care models, strong provider relationships, localized strategies, technology investments, and a commitment to community engagement collectively give the company a distinct competitive advantage in the healthcare insurance landscape.
Molina Healthcare Inc, like many companies in the healthcare sector, faces various risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key factors to consider:
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Regulatory Changes: The healthcare industry is highly regulated, and changes in laws or policies, including those related to Medicaid and the Affordable Care Act (ACA), could impact Molina's operations and financial performance.
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Reimbursement Rates: Molina primarily serves low-income individuals and families through government programs. Changes in reimbursement rates from Medicaid and Medicare could affect profitability.
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Competitive Pressure: The healthcare market is competitive, with various players vying for market share. New entrants and existing competitors can influence Molina’s ability to retain members and provide services efficiently.
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Operational Challenges: Growing enrollment can strain operational capabilities, leading to issues in claims processing, customer service, and care management. Operational inefficiencies could affect member satisfaction and retention.
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Economic Conditions: Economic downturns can lead to increased unemployment, which may affect Molina’s membership base and revenue streams. Additionally, rising healthcare costs can place pressure on Medicaid budgets.
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Technological Disruptions: The healthcare industry is increasingly being affected by technological innovations. Molina must invest in technology to improve services, data analytics, and patient care, which can be costly and time-consuming.
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Public Health Crises: Events like the COVID-19 pandemic can strain resources and alter healthcare utilization patterns. While Molina may have seen increased demand for certain services during such times, the long-term financial implications can be uncertain.
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Member Health Trends: Changes in the health status and needs of Molina’s member base could lead to increased healthcare costs. Managing chronic diseases and preventive care will be critical.
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Data Privacy and Security: As a healthcare provider, Molina handles sensitive patient data. Ensuring data security and compliance with regulations like HIPAA is crucial, as breaches can lead to legal repercussions and loss of trust.
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Integration of Acquisitions: If Molina pursues acquisitions to grow its business, integrating new entities effectively presents its own set of risks, including cultural fit, systems integration, and operational alignment.
Addressing these risks will require proactive management strategies, continuous monitoring of the healthcare landscape, and agility to adapt to changing conditions.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Molina Healthcare Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Molina Healthcare Inc
Current Assets | 12.9B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 9.2B |
Receivables | 3.3B |
Other Current Assets | 408m |
Non-Current Assets | 2.9B |
PP&E | 306m |
Intangibles | 1.9B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 648m |
Current Liabilities | 8.3B |
Accounts Payable | 1.2B |
Other Current Liabilities | 7.1B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 2.7B |
Long-Term Debt | 2.5B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 122m |
Earnings Waterfall
Molina Healthcare Inc
Revenue
|
39.2B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-32.9B
USD
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Gross Profit
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6.3B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-4.7B
USD
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Operating Income
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1.6B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-502m
USD
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Net Income
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1.1B
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Molina Healthcare Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
Molina Healthcare reported third-quarter adjusted earnings per share of $6.01 and reaffirmed 2024 premium revenue guidance at $38 billion, with EPS projected to reach at least $23.50. Their Medicaid Medical Care Ratio (MCR) rose to 90.5%, primarily due to higher medical costs, but is expected to improve to 89% in the fourth quarter. Additionally, favorable rate updates are anticipated to offset costs, contributing to a full-year MCR projection of 90%. The company’s embedded earnings per share are now noted at $5.75, underpinning a stable path for long-term growth.
What is Earnings Call?
MOH Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Molina Healthcare Inc's profitability score is 60/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Molina Healthcare Inc's profitability score is 60/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
MOH Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Molina Healthcare Inc's solvency score is 67/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Molina Healthcare Inc's solvency score is 67/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
MOH Price Targets Summary
Molina Healthcare Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MOH is 374.64 USD with a low forecast of 312.09 USD and a high forecast of 426.3 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for MOH is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
MOH Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Dividend Yield
Description
Molina Healthcare, Inc. engages in the provision of health care services. The company is headquartered in Long Beach, California and currently employs 14,000 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2003-07-02. The firm operates through four segments: Medicaid, Medicare, Marketplace, and Other. The Medicaid, Medicare, and Marketplace segments represent the government-funded or sponsored programs under which the Company offers managed healthcare services. Medicaid provides healthcare and long-term care services and support to low-income Americans. Medicare is a federal program that provides eligible persons aged 65 and over and some disabled persons with a variety of hospital, medical insurance, and prescription drug benefits. Marketplace insurance exchanges allows individuals and small groups to purchase federally subsidized health insurance. The firm arranges healthcare services for its members through contracts with a network of providers, including independent physicians and physician groups, hospitals, and ancillary providers.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one MOH stock under the Base Case scenario is 505.312 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 288.625 USD, Molina Healthcare Inc is Undervalued by 43%.