Moog Inc
NYSE:MOG.A

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Moog Inc
NYSE:MOG.A
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Price: 222.56 USD 1.02% Market Closed
Market Cap: 7.2B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one MOG.A stock under the Base Case scenario is 159.44 USD. Compared to the current market price of 222.56 USD, Moog Inc is Overvalued by 28%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

MOG.A Intrinsic Value
159.44 USD
Overvaluation 28%
Intrinsic Value
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Moog Inc

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

Economic Moat
Moog Inc

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Business Breakdown

Moog Inc., a pioneering player in the aerospace and defense sectors, has spent over six decades establishing itself as a trusted provider of precision control systems and components. Founded in 1951, the company has leveraged its innovative engineering capabilities to deliver solutions that power everything from fighter jets and space exploration vehicles to industrial applications and medical devices. With a diverse portfolio that includes motion control technology, Moog exhibits resilience and adaptability in a rapidly changing technological landscape. This robust product offering not only caters to high-demand markets but also positions Moog to capitalize on emerging opportunities driven...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Moog Inc

Current Assets 2.2B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 50.6m
Receivables 1.2B
Other Current Assets 902.4m
Non-Current Assets 1.9B
PP&E 943.7m
Intangibles 893.7m
Other Non-Current Assets 57.9m
Current Liabilities 988.4m
Accounts Payable 266.3m
Accrued Liabilities 256.5m
Other Current Liabilities 465.6m
Non-Current Liabilities 1.3B
Long-Term Debt 1B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 244.5m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Moog Inc

Revenue
3.6B USD
Cost of Revenue
-2.6B USD
Gross Profit
995.3m USD
Operating Expenses
-613.7m USD
Operating Income
381.6m USD
Other Expenses
-177.8m USD
Net Income
203.8m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Moog Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

The company's fiscal year '23 guidance anticipates a sales increase of 7% to $3.3 billion, 9% when adjusted for divestitures and foreign currency movements. Strong sales growth across all sectors—particularly commercial aircraft and space and defense—are driving this performance. Adjusted earnings per share are expected to rise by 3% to $5.75. Operating margins are up, with Industrial Systems and Aircraft Controls seeing a 190 and 70 basis points increase respectively, driven by pricing initiatives. However, due to a third-quarter increase in physical inventories, the company now forecasts fiscal year '23 free cash flow at negative $60 million, a significant revision from the previous break-even expectation.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

MOG.A Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Moog Inc's profitability score is 51/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Positive 3-Years Revenue Growth
Positive Revenue Growth Forecast
Positive Free Cash Flow
51/100
Profitability
Score

Moog Inc's profitability score is 51/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

MOG.A Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Moog Inc's solvency score is 56/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Low D/E
Short-Term Solvency
Long-Term Solvency
56/100
Solvency
Score

Moog Inc's solvency score is 56/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

MOG.A Price Targets Summary
Moog Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast MOG.A stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MOG.A is 227.21 USD with a low forecast of 222.2 USD and a high forecast of 236.25 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
222.2 USD
0% Downside
Average
Price Target
227.21 USD
2% Upside
Highest
Price Target
236.25 USD
6% Upside
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Dividends

Dividend Yield
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Dividend Per Share
N/A
Growth 3Y
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Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
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0
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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for MOG.A is .

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Debt Paydown Yield
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Profile

Moog Inc Logo
Moog Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Aerospace & Defense

Market Cap

7.5B USD

Dividend Yield

0.5%

Description

Moog, Inc. is a designer, manufacturer, and systems integrator of precision motion and fluid controls and systems for applications in aerospace and defense and industrial markets. The company is headquartered in East Aurora, New York and currently employs 14,000 full-time employees. The firm operates through three segments: Aircraft Controls, Space and Defense Controls, and Industrial Systems. The Aircraft Controls segment designs, manufactures and integrates primary and secondary flight controls for military and commercial aircraft and provides aftermarket support. The Space and Defense Controls segment provides controls for satellites, space vehicles, launch vehicles, armored combat vehicles, tactical and strategic missiles, security and surveillance and other defense applications. The Industrial Systems segment provides customized machine performance components and systems utilizing electrohydraulic, electromechanical and control technologies in applications involving motion control, fluid control and power and data management across various markets.

Contact

NEW YORK
East Aurora
400 Jamison Road
+17166522000.0
www.moog.com

IPO

1981-05-22

Employees

14 000

Officers

President, CEO & Director
Mr. Patrick J. Roche
Executive VP & CFO
Ms. Jennifer Walter
Executive VP & COO
Mr. Mark Joseph Trabert
Executive VP & Chief Human Resources Officer
Mr. Paul Wilkinson
Corporate Controller & Principal Accounting Officer
Mr. Nicholas Hart
Director of Investor Relations
Mr. Aaron Astrachan
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Senior VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
Ms. Elwira Kelly
Vice President of Corporate Development
Paul DellaNeve
VP & President of Industrial Systems Segment
Mr. Stuart K. McLachlan
VP & President of Military Aircraft
Mr. Mark Graczyk
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What is the Intrinsic Value of one MOG.A stock?

The intrinsic value of one MOG.A stock under the Base Case scenario is 159.44 USD.

Is MOG.A stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 222.56 USD, Moog Inc is Overvalued by 28%.

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