Matson Inc

NYSE:MATX

Earnings Call Transcript 2020-Q2

[Operator]

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Second Quarter 2020 Financial Results Conference Call.

[Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference call may be recorded.

I would now like to turn the conference over to your host today, Mr. Lee Fishman, Director of Investor Relations. Sir, the floor is yours.

[Lee Fishman, executive]

Thank you, Joanna.

Joining me on the call today are Matt Cox, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Joel Wine, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.

Slides from this presentation are available for download at our website, www.matson.com, under the Investors tab.

Before we begin, I would like to remind you that during the course of this call, we will make forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws regarding expectations, predictions, projections or future events. We believe that our expectations and assumptions are reasonable. We caution you to consider the risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements in the press release, the presentation slides and this conference call. These risk factors are described in our press release and presentation and are more fully detailed under the caption Risk Factors on Pages 24 to 34 of our Form 10-Q filed on May 5, 2020, and in our subsequent filings with the SEC. Please also note that the date of this conference call is August 5, 2020, and any forward-looking statements that we make today are based on assumptions as of this date. We undertake no obligation to update these forward-looking statements.

I will now turn the call over to Matt.

[Matthew Cox, executive]

Thanks, Lee, and thanks for those on the call today.

I'd like to start with a quick recap of our second quarter results before I walk through our response to the COVID-19 environment and our current priorities. So please turn to Slide 3.

Matson's business has performed well despite the challenges from the COVID-19 pandemic and related economic effects. Ocean Transportation had a very good quarter and was led primarily by strength in our China service, including 7 voyages in our supplemental service we call CLX+ as well as year-over-year volume improvement in our regular CLX service. In our Hawaii service, we had better-than-expected volume as we carried a portion of Pasha's volume due to a dry-docking of one of its vessels. And Alaska volume was better-than-expected as the local economy gradually reopened in the latter half of May and into June, which led to improved freight demand.

In Logistics, some of the business lines continue to be challenged by the COVID-19 pandemic. The decline in operating income was led by lower contributions from transportation brokerage and freight forwarding, both of which saw lower retail-related volumes because of the COVID-19 environment.

Please turn to Slide 4. On the first quarterly earnings call, I discussed how Matson was responding to managing the business through this pandemic and period of economic uncertainty. I want to spend a few minutes revisiting those actions and where we stand today.

The operational and financial actions we've undertaken in the last few months helped during this difficult period and led to opportunities. One such opportunity, the introduction of CLX+ service, principally drove the year-over-year increase in the second quarter consolidated operating income. Other initiatives executed during the second quarter, including shifting the Daniel K. Inouye, one of our newest and largest vessels, to the regular CLX service in late June; reducing the frequency of port calls in our Hawaii neighbor island barge service; reducing maintenance spend and vendor costs; reducing or eliminating discretionary costs; and instituting a higher freeze and salary reduction plan.

We still have a number of initiatives under evaluation or in process, including the consolidation of our Seattle terminal operations into our Tacoma terminal, which we expect to complete in the third quarter. We also have additional cost and revenue opportunities we're evaluating as this period of uncertainty continues to evolve.

Bottom line is that we remain on track with all the operational and management initiatives we highlighted on the May 5 earnings call and we are actively pursuing additional opportunities for operating results improvement. All taken together, we expect to exceed the high end of the $40 million to $50 million range of operating results improvement.

Lastly, for the third quarter of 2020, we expect consolidated operating income, net income, diluted EPS and EBITDA to exceed the results achieved in the third quarter of last year.

Please turn to Slide 5 for a summary of our current priorities. We remain vigilant in safeguarding the health and safety of our employees throughout the organization, guided by the processes on PPE, disinfecting and social distancing put forth by the Coast Guard, CDC and other government agencies. We're also maintaining our position on working from home for those whose job functions allow them to do so.

Our second and closely related priority is ensuring the consistency of our Ocean Transportation services. This means arriving at the terminal on time, making sure the cargo is available to our customers as quickly as possible. For the lifeline communities we serve and our international customers with critical freight for U.S. West Coast, it's imperative that we maintain our best-in-class on-time performance, particularly during these challenging times. We also want to continue to deliver exceptional service for our Matson Logistics customers as supply and demand conditions remain volatile.

Our third priority is maintaining cost and capital discipline in preparation for an extended downturn. While the U.S. economy has improved from the depths of the second quarter, the trajectory remains highly uncertain. As such, we remain intensely focused on generating free cash flow and paying down debt. We're continuing to defer or eliminate all capital spending not considered essential or previously committed. These include -- these committed capital projects, which I'll briefly go through in a moment, include the Hawaii vessel renewal program, the first phase of Sand Island terminal upgrade and the 6-vessel scrubber program.

Our fourth priority is to complete the final vessel in the 4-vessel new build program for Hawaii service. We christened Matsonia on July 2 at the NASSCO shipyard in San Diego. And the vessel remains on track for delivery in the fourth quarter of this year.

Our fifth priority is to complete the first phase of the Sand Island terminal project. We remain on track to complete the first phase later this year with the final modifications to the 3 existing older cranes that we plan to use in our regular service as well as the demolition of the last of our 4 end-of-life cranes.

Our last priority is to complete the scrubber program. The fifth vessel in the 6-vessel program is currently in dry-dock. The program remains on track for completion in the fourth quarter of this year. All 4 of the installed scrubbers are in service and working well.

I'll now go through the second quarter performance and provide commentary on current business trends. Please turn to Slide 6. Hawaii container volume for the second quarter decreased 4% year-over-year. The freight volume decline was primarily due to near-zero tourism and the temporary closure of retail stores because of the state's COVID-19 mitigation efforts. Partially offsetting this decline was volume from Pasha due in part to the dry-docking of one of its vessels. The westbound container market in the second quarter was down approximately 15% on a year-over-year basis.

As you may recall, the state announced several orders in March to mitigate the spread of COVID-19 on the islands. The 14-day quarantine order carried forward through the second quarter and materially affected tourism and led to a precipitous decline in economic activity with unemployment hitting a historic high. The second quarter presented a difficult environment for tourism-related businesses and many of them remain closed throughout the quarter.

I'll now go through current business trends in our Hawaii service, so please turn to Slide 7. The Hawaii economy remains challenged by the near-zero tourism due to the continuation of the COVID-19 mitigation efforts. This date has extended its 14-day quarantine for visitors through August 31 and it would not surprise us to see the state further extend the opening date. This is a very difficult environment for tourism-related businesses, particularly hotels, where the majority of the top 270 hotels across the islands remain closed. The unemployment rate remains elevated at 13.9%, although well down from the historic high of 23.5% in May. The state's economic recovery will be highly dependent on the reopening of tourism and the trajectory of tourism post reopening as COVID-19 mitigation efforts evolve.

To give you a sense of the volume trends in the third quarter, our westbound container volume in July declined approximately 2.4% year-over-year, and that was pretty consistent week-to-week in the month. The westbound volume were largely consisted of sustenance goods, but also included a modest amount of retail goods as some businesses have reopened. We didn't carry any Pasha volume in July and we don't expect to carry any volume for Pasha beyond the second quarter.

Moving to our China service on Slide 8. Matson's volume in the second quarter of 2020 was 68.1% higher year-over-year. The increase in the quarter was primarily due to the introduction of the supplemental CLX+ service with 7 charter voyages. We also saw an increase in volume on our regular CLX service with these vessels sailing at capacity.

We continued to see dislocation in the air freight market lead to strong demand for Matson's expedited service. Demand was so exceptionally strong in May that we embarked on the CLX+ opportunity, which I'll come back to in a few moments. Demand for CLX and CLX+ was driven by PPE, e-commerce, working from home electronics and other high-demand goods. We also saw a modest rebound in retail goods as the U.S. West Coast gradually reopened after the shelter-in-place.

As previously mentioned, we moved the Daniel K. Inouye into the regular CLX service at quarter end to better position capacity to demand. This vessel will add roughly 400 to 500 additional containers per trip when fully utilized.

Please turn to Slide 9. I want to spend a few minutes on why Matson introduced the CLX+ service in the second quarter. As many of you know, we've been in the transpacific expedited ocean freight market for 15 years. Over this time frame, our CLX service has demonstrated a best-in-class on-time freight availability. Through this relentless focus on reliability, we've developed a strong long-standing relationship with customers where our service has been integral in their growth.

During the quarter, a unique set of conditions provided Matson an opportunity to start a regular chartered vessel service running in concert with our regular CLX service. Our CLX customers saw increased demand in the COVID-19 environment for a variety of goods and they were looking for an additional expedited ocean capacity, particularly given the disruption in the transpacific air freight and secondarily the ocean freight markets. We also saw demand from new customers that had traditionally relied on air freight service. Due to the decline in global economic activity as a result of the pandemic, vessel charter rates fell to very low levels and fuel costs were significantly lower than pre-COVID levels.

What started as a week-to-week opportunity, became a multi-month opportunity for Matson. We now plan to offer the weekly CLX+ business through peak season, which is late October, or potentially longer as our customers' needs dictate. Our goal is to make the CLX+ service a permanent one, pending our customers' needs and the trajectory of the business and operating conditions.

Please turn to Slide 10. For the third quarter, we expect continued disruption and a loss of capacity in the transpacific air cargo and ocean freight markets. As a result, we expect continued demand from e-commerce and other high-demand goods customers, necessitating a reliable expedited ocean service. We also expect a rebound in retail-related goods such as garments and apparel to continue as COVID-19 litigation efforts ease and inventories begin to build for the holiday season. We expect the CLX and CLX+ vessels to be at capacity in the third quarter. To give you a sense of the current volume trend, our eastbound container volume in July increased 125.6% year-over-year, led by the CLX+ volume, but also higher volume on CLX due to the Daniel K. Inouye and the second of the Aloha Class vessels with Kaimana Hila operating in the CLX service.

Turning to Slide 11. In Guam, Matson's container volume in the second quarter 2020 decreased 12.5% year-over-year. The volume decline was primarily result of lower demand for retail-related goods as COVID-19 mitigation measures remained in effect. To a lesser extent, lower tourism to the islands had a modest negative impact on the consumption of goods and freight demand.

For the month of July, our westbound container volume increased 8% year-over-year, but it's important to note that July 2019 was an unusually soft month for the service. During July 2020, we saw an improvement in the retail-related environment versus what we were experiencing in the second quarter as businesses reopened with easing of COVID-19 mitigation measures. In the near term, we expect to see continued modest improvement in the retail environment, but we also expect tourism to remain challenged by COVID-19 and have a negative impact on freight demand.

Moving now to Slide 12. In Alaska, Matson's container volume for the second quarter decreased 9%. We saw lower year-over-year northbound volume due to lower demand for retail-related goods as an effect of the state's COVID-19 mitigation efforts plus one less sailing compared to the year-ago period. We also saw modestly lower southbound volume. Northbound volume came in better-than-expected versus our expectations in the first quarter earnings call due to the gradual reopening of the local economy in late May and early June, which led to improved freight demand.

Turning to Slide 13. I'll provide some thoughts on the current business trends in Alaska. Despite the gradual reopening of the economy ahead of our other trade lanes, the residual negative effects from COVID-19 pandemic remain. In addition, the negative effects of significantly reduced tourism is expected to impact the local economy during the summer season, which we expect will impact freight demand.

Business activity in the state remains well below pre-COVID-19 levels. The unemployment rate in June was 12.4%, down from its high this year -- in this year in April of 13.5%. And the low oil price environment remains, which presents challenges to oil exploration and production budgets in the near term.

As such, we expect our northbound volume to be negatively impacted in the third quarter. For the month of July, our northbound container volume declined 5.1% year-over-year.

I'd also like to point out that the seafood season this summer is in the off season in its natural 2-year cycle. As a result, we expect southbound volume to be lower year-over-year.

So while Alaska is further along than most states in its reopening plans, we expect the Alaska economy to be challenged in the near term with too much uncertainty regarding the trajectory of a local economic recovery.

Our terminal joint venture, SSAT, contributed $3.7 million in the second quarter 2020 compared to $900,000 in the prior year period. The year-over-year improvement was primarily due to the absence of additional expense related to the early adoption of the lease accounting standard in the second quarter of last year, partially offset by lower lift volume. The lower lift volume is due to the significant number of transpacific blank sailings during the quarter as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic.

We expect an improvement in SSAT lift volume from the second quarter with some transpacific ocean capacity reinstated this quarter, but total active capacity remains below normal levels. As we've said before, we expect the recovery in lift volumes at SSAT to be closely tied to the speed and recovery of the U.S. economy, both of which remain unclear at the moment. We also expect no further impacts to SSAT's results this year related to the lease accounting standard adopted last year.

Turning now to Logistics on Slide 15. Operating income in the second quarter came in at $8.9 million or $2.4 million lower than the results in the year-ago period. The decrease was primarily due to lower contributions from transportation brokerage and freight forwarding, both of which continue to be impacted by lower retail-related volumes as a result of COVID-19 mitigation efforts and related economic effects.

Within transportation brokerage, lower year-over-year import volume on the U.S. Coast -- U.S. West Coast impacted our intermodal business and the temporary closure of retail stores negatively impacted our highway business. Our freight forwarding business to Alaska was negatively impacted in the first half of the quarter by the temporary closure of retail stores under COVID-19 mitigation efforts, but with the gradual reopening of the local economy in late May to early June, we saw a pickup in volume. In the near term, we expect COVID-19 pandemic to continue to negatively impact transportation brokerage and freight forwarding on a year-over-year basis, particularly as it relates to retail-related volume.

However, many of our businesses are seeing improving conditions since late May, and I'll give you a little color on this. Within transportation brokerage, intermodal volume picked up in June and has been steady through July, in line with the improving trend in the U.S. West Coast import volume. Most recently, we've seen chaotic conditions for intermodal and highway in Southern California due to congestion on the rails, which is driving significantly higher trucking rates. These truck conditions are likely to remain volatile in the near term. Historically, our transportation brokerage business have performed well in volatile environments such as this.

At Span Alaska, our freight forwarding business, the weakness we saw in April and early May due to COVID-19 mitigation efforts reversed course in late May as businesses reopened in Alaska. Throughout July, Span Alaska's businesses has remained relatively steady, although lower than last July -- I'm sorry, the July of last year.

Lastly, we continue to see steady business activity in warehousing and supply chain services, on par with the activity we saw in the first 2 quarters of the year.

I will now turn the call over to my partner, Joel, for a review of our financial performance and recent capital structure updates. Joel?

[Joel M. Wine, executive]

Thanks, Matt. Now onto our second quarter financial results on Slide 16.

Ocean Transportation operating income for the second quarter increased $22.6 million year-over-year to $42.3 million. The increase was primarily due to a higher contribution from the China service, including the contribution from the CLX+ service; lower operating -- lower vessel operating costs, including the impact of one less vessel operating in Hawaii service and the timing of fuel surcharge-related collections, partially offset by a lower contribution from the Hawaii service.

The company's SSAT terminal joint venture investment contributed $3.7 million or $2.8 million more than the prior year period. The increase was primarily due to the absence of additional expense related to the early adoption of the lease accounting standard in the second quarter of 2019, partially offset by the lower lift volume due to canceled transpacific sailings during the second quarter of this year that Matt mentioned.

Logistics operating income for the quarter was $8.9 million or $2.4 million lower than the prior year period. The decrease was due primarily to lower contributions from transportation brokerage and freight forwarding.

EBITDA for the quarter increased $21.3 million year-over-year to $86.2 million due to higher consolidated operating income of $20.2 million, higher other income of $0.7 million and $0.4 million of higher depreciation and amortization, which includes dry-dock amortization.

Interest expense for the quarter was $8.2 million or $0.4 million lower than the first quarter of 2020. I will comment further on our interest expense run rate later in the presentation.

Lastly, the effective tax rate in the quarter was 26.3%.

On a year-to-date basis, Ocean Transportation operating income increased $21.1 million year-over-year to $50.2 million. The increase was primarily due to a higher contribution from the China service, including the contribution from the CLX+ service; and lower vessel operating costs, including the impact of one less vessel operating in the Hawaii service, partially offset by a lower contribution from the Hawaii service.

The company's SSAT terminal joint venture investment contributed $7.7 million or $1.7 million less than the prior year period. The decrease was largely attributable to lower lift volume.

Logistics operating income on a year-to-date basis was $14 million or $5.4 million lower than the prior year period. The decrease was due primarily to lower contributions from transportation brokerage and freight forwarding.

Slide 17 shows how we allocated our trailing 12 months of cash flow generation. For the LTM period, we generated cash flow from operations of $281.2 million, borrowed $45.5 million on a net basis and received $14.3 million from sale leasebacks, from which we used $86.8 million on maintenance CapEx; $205 million on new vessel CapEx, including capitalized interest and owner's items; and $21.2 million on other cash outflows, including $18.5 million in financing costs related to the 2 Title XI transactions and amendments to the debt agreements in the first half of 2020; while returning overall $38.1 million to shareholders via dividends.

Please turn to the next slide on 18. I want to spend a few moments on cash flow generation in the second quarter. Our LTM cash flow from operations remained strong with second quarter cash flow from operations of $72 million.

On our first quarter call, I mentioned that under the CARES Act, we would be able to reclaim the remaining amount of our AMT receivable. In the second quarter, we did indeed receive the full $22.9 million of our AMT tax receivable, which can be found in the prepaid expenses and other assets line item in our cash flow statement.

The chart on this slide shows the bridge from LTM EBITDA to LTM cash flow from operations. And on an LTM basis, EBITDA and cash flow from operations were approximately equal with the AMT tax receivable inflow of $22.9 million, a meaningfully positive contributor in the LTM period.

Turning to Slide 19 for a summary of our balance sheet. You will note that our total debt at the end of the quarter was $890 million and our total debt, net of cash and cash equivalents, was $870.5 million. In accordance with GAAP accounting rules, deferred loan fees related to the new Title XI debt and recent private placement debt and revolving credit facility amendments are shown as a reduction to long-term debt on the balance sheet, as noted in the footnote on this slide. Deferred loan fees include approximately $15.7 million in guarantee and other payments we made as part of the 2 Title XI transactions we executed during the quarter. Going forward though, we plan to continue to show in the earnings release, the earnings presentation and in the notes to our financial statements a line representing total debt, excluding the deferred loan fee balance, to make that clear to investors.

I also want to spend a few moments on our capital structure and leverage on Slide 20 as there were a number of important capital structure changes that took place during the quarter. First off, we executed 2 successful Title XI transactions for approximately $325 million in aggregate at a weighted cash interest rate of approximately 1.28%. Each tranche has a 25-year final maturity date and has a straight-line amortization schedule over that period. Secondly, 2 of our higher coupon private notes which mature in 2044 and 2045 were redeemed for approximately $170 million and 1 private note matured for $3.5 million. And third, we reduced our revolver borrowings by $179 million from cash flow generation and proceeds from the Title XI transactions.

Net of these capital structure actions, we reduced our total debt by $34.9 million and significantly lowered the weighted average interest rate on debt outstanding. Based on the outstanding principal amount of debt at the end of the second quarter, the weighted average interest rate is now approximately 2.7% or a full 100 basis points lower than it was at the end of the first quarter, assuming a rate of 3.25% on the revolving credit facility on June 30. The annualized cash interest expense based on the interest rates and outstanding principal at the end of the second quarter is approximately $2 million per month or $24 million annually, which is approximately $10 million less on an annual basis than our interest run rate at the end of the first quarter this year. So overall, we made substantial progress this quarter in reducing our interest expense run rate.

Significant progress was also made on the leverage ratio, which was 3.03x at quarter end compared to 3.04x at the end of the first quarter per our amended debt agreements. The available borrowings to the allowable leverage ratio of 4.5x at quarter end was approximately $433 million compared to approximately $164 million at the end of the first quarter. As a reminder, the EBITDA we report in our press release and this presentation is different and lower than the EBITDA calculated under our debt agreements.

As Matt mentioned previously, one of our current priorities is to reduce our leverage ratio in preparation for an extended downturn. Over the last couple of years, we have said that we want to reduce our leverage ratio to the low 2s following our nearly $1 billion new vessel build program. Given the uncertainty of the environment we are in, we want to reiterate that reducing our leverage ratio to the low 2s remains an important priority.

Moving to Slide 21. On our first quarter earnings call, I walked through the Title XI transaction that we executed in April on the Daniel K. Inouye. This slide lists some of the details of that transaction and also the second Title XI transaction we executed in the quarter on the Kaimana Hila.

Turning to Slide 22 for a review of our new vessel payments. For the second quarter, we had new vessel cash capital expenditures of $5.7 million and capitalized interest of $1.7 million for a total capitalized vessel construction expenditures of $7.4 million.

The table on the right-hand side of the slide shows the cumulative and remaining new vessel progress payments as of June 30. Following the quarter close, we paid a $35.3 million milestone payment in July after the launch of the Matsonia. So as of today, we have only one milestone payment remaining upon the delivery of the vessel in the fourth quarter for approximately $25.3 million.

The picture on this slide is of the Matsonia at its christening on July 2 at the NASSCO shipyard in San Diego. And the Matsonia is currently 91% complete.

With that, I'll now turn the call back over to Matt.

[Matthew Cox, executive]

Thanks, Joel.

Every day, we're reminded by the uncertainty this pandemic has presented us. There's uncertainty in the timing and staging of reopening plans in each of the local economies we operate in as mitigation efforts evolve. It's difficult to know what's going to happen with the broader economy, the recovery trajectory and the ultimate impact it may have on our businesses. There's also a lot of political uncertainty as we head towards election day in the U.S.

Despite the sea of uncertainty surrounding us, Matson's goal is simple: Remain focused on exceptional customer service and on-time delivery to meet our customers' needs. We're also focused on finding new businesses and opportunities like our CLX+ service to build new relationships and drive current and future lines of profitable business as the pandemic evolves.

Our strategy since public inception in 2012 has been to broaden the portfolio of businesses and diversify the revenue streams across geographies and services, which has helped de-risk our cash flows to weather times like these while also providing a strong foundation to grow. And make no mistake, we will look for opportunities created by the recession that we're now in the middle of. I'm proud of the work our company has achieved year-to-date in managing in this challenging environment, but there continues to be a lot more work ahead of us to navigate through this unprecedented time.

And with that, I will turn the call back to the operator and ask for your questions.

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions] We have our first question. It's coming from the line of Steve O'Hara from Sidoti & Company.

[Stephen O'Hara, analyst]

Just, I guess, on CLX+, can you just talk about -- I know you said you're committed to, I think, through peak season in October and then kind of see what happens at that point. How quickly can you pivot in this business to -- if you make a decision in October and continue going forward, how quickly can you scale that back if things don't pan out? And then maybe can you talk about if this is different than kind of the CLX2 that you used to have in place years ago?

[Matthew Cox, executive]

Yes. Good questions. I would say to the first part -- the first question you asked, basically, what we have from a vessel, we've chartered 6 vessels to operate this service and we've also leased additional equipment from traditional equipment lessors and have accelerated some of our CapEx spending for our regular container purchases to allow for us to ramp up effectively a doubling or more than a doubling of our China service. That's all happened fairly easily.

If -- and let me also be clear, I said it in my comments, but I think bears repeating. Our goal is to continue the CLX+ if we're able to do it. And that means if our customers continue to see value and book cargo to our vessel, our desire is to make this a permanent fixture. But the -- some of the fundamental economics of vessel chartering and fuel and, most importantly, whether our customers will continue to support us in potentially a different market environment will dictate whether we continue it.

But having said that, we've chartered these 6 vessels. They're relatively short duration, so unwinding these vessels will be relatively simple if we choose to do that. Secondarily, we have the ability to off-hire leased equipment. And the worst thing that happens on our CapEx is that we're really just pulling forward some of our normal CapEx that we would spend as replacement capital anyway over time. So the exit costs are really low and sensible. And again, that's not where our head is at, but it's a relatively straightforward exit.

And the second question around CLX2, which for those who were not part of -- investors in Matson at the time, a number of years ago after we started CLX, which cover Central China, Shanghai, Ningbo and Xiamen at the time, we tried to create a second service into South China, Hong Kong, Yantian. And the service was also chartered vessels, but it was a time in which we saw effectively an economic collapse relatively shortly after driving consumer demand down.

I think -- so Steve, the way I would say it is there are some similarities and there are some differences. The differences as we see them now are, first of all, this is in our core market. So it's -- we are, first of all, now 15 years into it. We are recognized as the service leader, Shanghai, Ningbo, Xiamen. This is in the same market that exists today. And we also know that a significant amount of the freight that is coming onto this service is dislocated air freight. IATA, the International Air Transport Association, for example, last week, expected not a recovery from Shanghai air market into the United States until 2024, mostly owing to the lack of passenger air travel likely to recover to normal, for which about half of the air freight that comes out of that market exists. So there are reasons to believe that this has legs.

The other factor that's of interest is that I don't think -- that's different than happened at the last economic cycle that -- around CLX2 is the international ocean carriers are significantly more consolidated than they were at the time that CLX was -- or CLX2 service was introduced in that there has been a remarkable discipline by the alliances for which the remaining carriers operate in adding service or blanking sailings to manage the vessel capacity to that which the market demands, and as a result of that, have been able to keep freight rates up in the international ocean side at levels that we have, frankly, not seen in decades. In fact, the Shanghai international freight index, the SCFI, which is measuring cargo out of Shanghai to various global destinations, last week hit a 10-year high. And so the underpinnings that caused some of CLX2 to require us to pull out we think are different this time. We're not declaring victory. We're going to wait and see how the market unfolds. But again, we will remain focused if the customers require us to do so and, of course, would like to do so. So I've totally over-answered your question, Steve, but...

[Stephen O'Hara, analyst]

No, that's very helpful. That's good color. And maybe just as a follow-up, if you look at your other markets today -- and I understand this is maybe a sensitive topic. But do all of your markets still make sense in a post-COVID world longer term, do you think?

[Matthew Cox, executive]

Yes. I mean it's a good question. And I think it's a good time for every business operator to look at their portfolio of businesses to see whether they make sense. And the short answer is yes. All of them are making money. All of them are poised for recovery, whenever that occurs.

From a planning standpoint, Steve, we're trying to be relatively conservative on how quickly some of the core Jones Act markets are going to come back. And frankly, we are not depending on a quick recovery in those markets to allow Matson to continue to thrive. It was partly the reason why we took advantage of the market opportunity as we saw the significant dislocation in the China freight markets, but that's allowed us to stand up the CLX service.

But I think all of our businesses are good. They're solid. We've got -- we've done what we needed to do and taken our medicine on resizing our networks and overtime hours and all kinds -- hundreds and hundreds of individual projects to size our businesses for the new environment. But we feel each is fundamentally sound and part of our portfolio. And frankly, we're on the lookout for more businesses, Steve.

[Operator]

Your next question is from Jack Atkins from Stephens.

[Jack Atkins, analyst]

Guys, congratulations on a phenomenal quarter given all the volatility that you faced, so great job executing.

[Matthew Cox, executive]

Yes. Thanks, Jack.

[Jack Atkins, analyst]

So I guess just to kind of go back to CLX+ for a moment, and I do have some other things I'd like to talk about, but I think that, to me, is the most exciting thing when we kind of look forward into 2021 and beyond. I guess can you kind of walk through the decision tree over the course of the next couple of months as you sort of think about making that service more permanent? I mean what do you need to see, whether it's in terms of market rates or customer commitments, to commit to that service into 2021? Because, I mean, I would imagine that the air freight shortage will be around for a while.

[Matthew Cox, executive]

Yes. I mean I think, Jack, the way we're thinking about it is that it's a business that was desperately needed. There was so much friction around who was going to get on our core CLX service that when we stood up the second chartered service, they immediately got full. So part of this, we understood was an opportunity to get started.

But what we're seeing now from the -- even just from when we started the service, Jack, we saw, as you can imagine, lots of PPE and lots of -- a lot of governments around the world were caught flat-footed on PPE and other supplies. And so there was a big chunk of demand initially. But that has given way to lots of other businesses like customers reducing their air freight spend in the middle of a recession, the boon and acceleration in e-commerce that requires an expedited product. And so we've seen more and more and new and different slices of customers that, for various economic reasons, make sense to move it on Matson's expedited service.

So I think, as we move forward, what we do expect is, of course, we're in the middle of peak season now. So our vessels are full. This is our -- everyone's traditional peak season, although we're in, again, times that are difficult to forecast. We expect after peak season, there's less market demand for all product. Matson, as you know, has managed to remain relatively full in our CLX service all year round even after peak season. But without going into the economics and how we look at it at the margin, we are willing to tolerate less profitable times during the slower months and expect this business to make less of a contribution in the fourth and first quarters and then position itself for very busy second and third quarter. So -- but the point and what we're going to find out is can we tolerate a lower level of profitability in the slower months, and what is that level of profitability and what's the level of support in freight. But if the freight is there, we're going to keep this business going.

[Jack Atkins, analyst]

Okay. That's great. I think that would be fantastic for the longer-term story, if that were the case. So that's great to hear.

Can we shift gears and maybe talk about Hawaii for a moment? I thought the July update was pretty encouraging given the fact that there's still no tourism going on in the state. Do you feel like the down low single-digit westbound level of activity, is that reflective of the current economic outlook? Or do you think there's some sort of inventory restocking that's happening in Hawaii? Just how do we think about the July run rate relative to sort of what's happening there from an economic level?

[Matthew Cox, executive]

Yes. I mean I'll speculate a little bit. I think what -- and I mentioned this in my prepared notes. There's been a more recent outbreak in Hawaii to over 100 cases a day of -- new reported cases, which is causing the Governor and the Mayors to consider reimposing some further restrictions to limit activity. And so we think it's unlikely that we're going to see a September 1 reopening. In fact, they haven't made any announcements. And I'm speculating, I don't have any inside knowledge, but our expectation is that they're going to be very cautious about opening the market while they're dealing with the mini outbreak that exists today.

But having said that, I think our view is, at least our thinking is that as the economy will open up at least for travel within the state or as businesses have reopened partially, that this sort of high single-digit down market feels about right to us. It could be 10%, but 7% to 10%. There was a tiny bump at the end of July around the people stock up for the hurricane season, but I doubt that was more than 1% or 2%. So there may be an element of that, but I think 7% to 10% feels right for us while we're in this phase. And I think we'll be in this phase for a while is kind of our thinking now in Hawaii.

[Jack Atkins, analyst]

Okay, okay, okay. That's helpful. Well, I guess, one last question and then I'll jump back in queue. But the $40 million to $50 million in sort of cost and operating initiatives, and you guys have done a great job executing on that, how do we think about how that $40 million to $50 million breaks out in terms of -- I guess, 2 different ways to slice it: How much of that is related, if any, to the CLX+ service? And then how much of that is really tied to temporary versus more permanent cost reductions across the business?

[Joel M. Wine, executive]

Jack, it's Joel. So the first thing on the $40 million to $50 million, we reiterate that we think we'll exceed that. CLX+ was included in that. So it's not just cost initiatives. It also is revenue and growth initiatives. It's things that we've all done to respond to the COVID world that we're in. The CLX+ is the biggest piece, but there are many, many other pieces to it as well. Also -- and we believe a lot of those on the cost side can be permanent. Some of those are a reflection of lower volumes coming through our network and our businesses. And so we're able to, without impacting customers in a negative way, reduce some of our cargo handling costs. And when volumes come back, we'll have to reintroduce some of those costs as we expand our gate hours and terminal hours and things like that. But a number of them can be permanent as well, but the CLX+ is the biggest piece of all of that. We also have compensation numbers in there, too. So depending on how comp plays out and other G&A categories that are more formulaic, those will go up and down as the business perform. So it's a mixed bag of whether those costs are going to be permanent or not, and that's one thing that we'll give updates as we head into the end of this year and next year on some of those items.

[Jack Atkins, analyst]

Okay. Great. Maybe if I could sneak in one last quick question, Joel, for you on CapEx for second half of the year. I know you guided to $62 million in progress payments related to vessels. I think a slug of that's already been paid in July. But what's your total CapEx outlook for the second half of the year?

[Joel M. Wine, executive]

We're not giving outlook, Jack. We've drawn that, as you know, but the CapEx for the first 6 months was $34 million. And I think the 2 big projects that we've talked about, besides the vessels that will continue, that are committed, are the scrubber projects and the Sand Island projects. So those will continue. Those are significant. The overall 6 scrubber program is $10 million per scrubber, so about half of that will fall into the calendar year this year. And so far, only about 1/3 of it is in the $34 million of CapEx this year. So you're going to see the number, just because of the scrubbers and because of the Sand Island items we've talked about, be in the neighborhood of what we had for the first 6 months.

The other thing though that Matt alluded to that we're evaluating is because of the growth in our volumes in the China and the CLX+ service, we may need more equipment. And we typically -- we're always buying equipment throughout the year. And we may accelerate some of the equipment that we would have bought in 2021 to allow for us to be well positioned from an equipment perspective for the CLX+ service. So if you see a little bit of uptick in our CapEx from Q3 and Q4, it would only be because of related growth initiatives, but the rest of it will be what you've seen so far this year, the continuation of the scrubber program and the Sand Island infrastructure program.

[Operator]

Your next question is from Ben Nolan of Stifel.

[Benjamin Nolan, analyst]

So I -- most of -- I have a lot. Maybe I'll have to get back in queue. It seems like that's the formula for today, a lot going on. But I'll start with the CLX+. I know -- I believe APL and ZIM have both also introduced sort of expedited China to West Coast services. Can you maybe compare and contrast from a service perspective what you guys do versus what they do?

[Matthew Cox, executive]

Yes, sure. I mean I think the -- first of all, APL has had an expedited service for 3 or 4 years. So this is a service that they've competed against us out of Central China, Shanghai, Ningbo markets. And they have, in connection with seeing the same dislocated expedited air market, had upsized some of their vessels to be able to provide additional capacity. So they've been a participant in the market. And ZIM, who is operating an expedited service out of South China, Hong Kong, Yantian to LA, so it's not directly in competition with Matson's service. We drew some freight from the South China market onto our CLX or CLX+ service, but it's nominal, the amount of impact. And so what I would -- my understanding is that ZIM is relatively full in South China. And my understanding is that APL is also relatively full.

Where the differences come in, Ben, is they can charter ships. They can run them at higher speeds, and that's that part. What they can't do is, when it gets to the LA Long Beach area, move their cargo through their terminals as quickly as we can and make them available at this bonded facility that shippers transport. That -- and so there are days of advantage in service associated with -- from shipping full availability, and some of those are focused on the Southern California port complex where we have an untouchable service as it relates to that, that creates transit advantages.

So the way I think about this is when Matson's ships are full, then they call APL, and that's kind of been the way it's been. I don't mean to be too unflattering to a competitor. But -- and based on -- they've done a good job, but -- and then they continue to be full, but there continue to be advantages. And there may be others. The market is expedited. But we have 15 years of a track record. We have a brand in China where people -- if something needs to move in the markets, whether it's a late order, whether it's a rush shipment, whether it's in e-commerce or whatever, they know, after 15 years, to call Matson. And so we're the first choice in this market.

[Benjamin Nolan, analyst]

Okay. That -- and days difference, I guess, 2, 3, whatever. But that kind of gets to my next question. Obviously, the competitive advantage here for a primary competitive advantage is infrastructure that you have that nobody else has or even could have. The same could be said about Oakland, for instance, or Seattle. In the long term, big picture, is there -- do you think any opportunities to maybe replicate what you're doing currently in the CLX+ plus into other geographies where you have a distinct competitive advantage?

[Matthew Cox, executive]

Yes. It's a good question. The answer -- the short -- in the long run, anything is possible. But the warehouse infrastructure, the trucking rail capacity infrastructure, the local market wants to go to LA. That's where this cargo wants to go, that's where the air freight infrastructure is, that's where the forwarders are, that's where the millions and millions of square feet of distribution centers are. If -- there's a fraction of those in Seattle, Tacoma or in Oakland. And so there could be some individual customers that want to set their infrastructure, but the market is in Southern California because that's where it all wants to go.

[Benjamin Nolan, analyst]

Okay. Well, and just sort of to flip that, I mean, would you think about -- or is it possible to add maybe more port calls in, I don't know, Southern China or Korea, Japan, anything like that?

[Matthew Cox, executive]

Well -- okay. So today, what we see is a lot of cargo that's on our CLX and CLX+ service is actually cargo that originates in Thailand, in Vietnam and in Japan and Korea and other places that will either go by air into Shanghai to be put on our vessel, so-called sea-air program, or are on -- in fact, we have customers -- a large brand name electronics company that is moving car -- just as an example, that is moving cargo out of Thailand, that team truck across the China border to our CLX service in Shanghai or -- and CLX+. So there is lots of that cargo that has found its way to us over the last 15 years that are part of their sea-air or truck-air programs.

And so would we look at an additional port? We could, but what we want to do is remain focused on providing an outstanding service to the Shanghai and Ningbo market. And Ningbo has exploded with e-commerce. And it's just phenomenal, the growth we've seen in the larger region for which the Port of Ningbo serves that is focused on e-commerce. So we could. I don't -- our current thinking is we don't have to. And our current focus is keeping our service simple, so the reliability and the speed is there. I probably over-answered your question, Ben, but...

[Benjamin Nolan, analyst]

No, no. Right, that's helpful. And then lastly for me and I'll turn it over and maybe get back in, but when thinking about -- over the course of last quarter and even currently, air freight obviously spilled out into the sea and air freight pricing just went crazy, although it's come in a lot. When you guys are pricing your freight -- and I appreciate you don't break it out specifically, what have you. But when you're pricing your freight, has there been any fluctuation in sort of how you're pricing it? Or is this here's the price and it's all about just extra volume that you're able to get out of it?

[Matthew Cox, executive]

Yes. I mean it's clear that, as you point out, Ben, that the initial standard of the CLX+ was just because of the huge amount of dislocated freight. There was just no air freight capacity or it was so significantly curtailed, and that which was available was reserved by national governments because they were caught with their pants down on PPE around the world. So there really wasn't much available. That market has become more orderly now. Air freight rates, as you pointed out, were astronomical. They've come back a month ago to more historic norms, but over the last month, we've seen air freight rates on the rise again.

And on the margin, I think what it does is to -- so one of the factors for us is we're not unmindful of the air freight rate market. We're also not unmindful of where the ocean freight markets are because we're this hybrid product and -- but we have shown our ability to produce pricing that allows us to fill our ship, but week by week, we continue to have more cargo, even with the CLX+ capacity, then we have the capacity to carry it. And so obviously, we'll take advantage of that in terms of pricing and market adjustment factors and other things to price -- that allows us to earn a good return, especially in very busy times.

[Benjamin Nolan, analyst]

Okay. So maybe put it another way. I think you'd said in July, your CLX was up 125% or so. We should not expect that, on an aggregate basis or a specific basis, that as air freight pricing came in, that 125% should be materially less from a pricing perspective and some of the pricing you were able to experience in the second quarter?

[Matthew Cox, executive]

I wouldn't say that. I would say -- we said we expect to make more money in this third quarter than we did in the third quarter of last year. And I would say we've seen healthy freight rates and continuing to see healthy freight rates.

[Operator]

Guys, we have another question from Jack Atkins of Stephens.

[Jack Atkins, analyst]

So I just kind of wanted to go back. I think you guys have said a couple of different times through the course of this call that you guys are evaluating other opportunities to maybe take advantage of dislocations in markets. And I know you want to be sensitive in talking about that on a public conference call, and I know your competitors are listening to this call as well, but perhaps if you could maybe give us some broad strokes on sort of maybe -- a little bit more detail what you're talking about there. Are these organic opportunities, maybe acquisition opportunities? Are these in -- for Jones Act claims? Are these maybe in other parts of Asia to the United States? I know Ben was asking about that to some degree, but just maybe a little bit more color on what you mean by some of those references you were making earlier, I think it would be very helpful.

[Matthew Cox, executive]

Okay. Yes. And I want to say at this point, Jack, that we -- Matson has traditionally been a pretty strong cash flow producer. We're, I think, managing ourselves reasonably well so far through the recession. We're paying down our debt. But we're also positioning ourselves for what I think is the coming pain in this economic cycle, which we haven't seen yet. And traditionally, Matson has been able to find investments in down markets at reasonably priced valuations that are businesses that are consistent with our service delivery model that would allow us to continue to grow into markets that we are in.

So what is that, okay? What traditionally has that been? And if you've looked at us since we separated from Alexander & Baldwin, what have we done? We've grown into adjacent markets organically. We have done acquisitions of Jones Act and other businesses. And so -- and we've, again, taken advantage of opportunities. And I do think there is going to be a coming cycle. There's going to be opportunities. I can't say exactly what they are, but we are not jumping in our foxhole, putting our helmets on and waiting until the end of this recession. I mean we needed to take our medicine on costs and our service initiatives, and I think we've done that. We're on a good trajectory toward paying down our debt. And we now want to have -- and we want to be on the lookout for those kinds of deals. And I'm going to ask Joel to comment as well.

[Joel M. Wine, executive]

Yes. That's exactly right, Jack. And one way -- one also way to think about it and we communicated about it is we love to grow with our customers. I mean what we did with CLX+ is grow with our customers. We had customers who want to get in on our ship and we were oversubscribed. So we're always looking for ways to grow with our customers in existing markets or new markets.

And then, of course, we're a network business. So the other piece of it is we're constantly looking at our network and where we go today and how we can leverage off our network into new adjacent markets that really leverage our infrastructure and what we do.

So that's kind of 2 dimensions: Growth with customers and leveraging our existing network. Majority of what we look at, not everything, but the majority of what we look at falls into those categories. And they do fall into organic opportunities and what you would call traditional M&A opportunities.

[Jack Atkins, analyst]

Okay. No -- yes. No, it totally does. I appreciate that. Last question for me is on the Logistics segment. I think when we sort of think about the trajectory of the brokerage market, I guess, in the U.S. here over the course of the next several quarters, I would anticipate, after a pretty tough July, things are going to be getting incrementally better in August and September. And obviously, the trucking anecdotes continue to be extremely positive in the third quarter.

How do you guys see the next several quarters playing out with regard to your truckload and intermodal brokerage businesses? I know it's a smaller piece of the pie, but obviously, there's a cycle inflection that appears to be happening. I would just be curious to get your take on that.

[Matthew Cox, executive]

Yes, Jack, I think our feeling in our domestic Logistics businesses so -- and if you look at our warehousing unit, albeit small, it has been a consistent earner. If you look at the brokerage businesses, they have been off, but your comments about truck pricing improving, we're seeing the same thing. And so I think we're feeling like we're well placed. And of course, what the -- what happens in the pandemic and what happens with the broader economy and the stimulus and all of the other uncertainties that we've talked about, hard to predict. But we do see -- feel -- see things getting sequentially better in our Logistics businesses. So we're encouraged by that. It's really tough to declare a victory because you know, who the heck knows what's going to happen. But we are encouraged by some of the trends that you pointed out in your question.

[Operator]

Speakers, I am showing no further questions at this time. I would like to turn the conference back to Mr. Matt Cox, CEO. Sir, please go ahead.

[Matthew Cox, executive]

Okay. Well, thanks, everybody, for listening in. I hope everyone is staying safe and well. And we look forward to catching up with you on the third quarter call. Thanks.

[Operator]

Thank you, speakers. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.