Southwest Airlines Co
NYSE:LUV

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Southwest Airlines Co Logo
Southwest Airlines Co
NYSE:LUV
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Price: 31.97 USD 0.57% Market Closed
Market Cap: 19.2B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one LUV stock under the Base Case scenario is 32.88 USD. Compared to the current market price of 31.97 USD, Southwest Airlines Co is Undervalued by 3%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

LUV Intrinsic Value
32.88 USD
Undervaluation 3%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Southwest Airlines Co

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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for Southwest Airlines Co with those of its competitors based on recent analyst estimates.

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of Southwest Airlines Co and its key competitors using the latest financial data.

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of Southwest Airlines Co against its competitors.

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(gross, operating, and net) of Southwest Airlines Co compared to its peers.

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Business Breakdown

Southwest Airlines Co., founded in 1967, has transformed air travel with its unique business model and commitment to low fares and exceptional customer service. As the nation’s largest domestic airline by passenger numbers, Southwest has built a reputation for reliability and efficiency, operating a point-to-point route network that enables it to serve numerous destinations without the complexities of traditional hub-and-spoke systems. The airline's use of a single aircraft type, the Boeing 737, streamlines operations, reduces maintenance costs, and allows for quicker turnarounds, contributing to its ability to offer lower fares. From its legendary free checked baggage policy to a no-frills...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Southwest Airlines Co

Current Assets 11.9B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 9.4B
Receivables 1.2B
Other Current Assets 1.4B
Non-Current Assets 22.9B
PP&E 20.9B
Intangibles 970m
Other Non-Current Assets 1.1B
Current Liabilities 13.5B
Accounts Payable 1.5B
Accrued Liabilities 2.3B
Other Current Liabilities 9.7B
Non-Current Liabilities 10.9B
Long-Term Debt 5.1B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 5.9B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Southwest Airlines Co

Revenue
27.4B USD
Cost of Revenue
-8.2B USD
Gross Profit
19.2B USD
Operating Expenses
-19.6B USD
Operating Income
-361m USD
Other Expenses
312m USD
Net Income
-49m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Southwest Airlines Co

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In its Q3 earnings call, Southwest Airlines highlighted progress on its transformation plan, achieving 99.3% completion factor during hurricane disruptions. Revenue surged nearly $7 billion, with unit revenue up 2.8% year-over-year, as tactical initiatives improved operations. Despite increased costs (CASM-X up 11.6%), guidance anticipates ongoing pressures, expecting CASM-X to rise 11%-13% in Q4. The airline projects a 3.5%-5.5% increase in revenue per available seat mile (RASM). Over the next few years, Southwest aims for a 15% return on invested capital (ROIC) alongside a $4 billion EBIT boost from strategic changes by 2027.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

LUV Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Southwest Airlines Co's profitability score is 49/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
Positive Revenue Growth Forecast
Positive 1-Year Revenue Growth
49/100
Profitability
Score

Southwest Airlines Co's profitability score is 49/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

LUV Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Southwest Airlines Co's solvency score is 52/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Low D/E
Negative Net Debt
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
52/100
Solvency
Score

Southwest Airlines Co's solvency score is 52/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

LUV Price Targets Summary
Southwest Airlines Co

Wall Street analysts forecast LUV stock price to drop over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LUV is 30.09 USD with a low forecast of 19.19 USD and a high forecast of 37.8 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
19.19 USD
40% Downside
Average
Price Target
30.09 USD
6% Downside
Highest
Price Target
37.8 USD
18% Upside
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Dividends

Dividend Yield
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Dividend Per Share
N/A
Growth 3Y
Growth 5Y
Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
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0
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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for LUV is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
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Buyback Yield
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Debt Paydown Yield
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Ownership

LUV Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

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Period Sold Bought Net
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Profile

Southwest Airlines Co Logo
Southwest Airlines Co

Country

United States of America

Industry

Airlines

Market Cap

19.2B USD

Dividend Yield

2.25%

Description

Southwest Airlines Co. engages in the operation and management of a passenger airline. The company is headquartered in Dallas, Texas and currently employs 55,100 full-time employees. The firm provides point-to-point service. The firm offers ancillary services, such as Southwest's EarlyBird Check-In, upgraded boarding, and transportation of pets and unaccompanied minors, in accordance with Southwest's respective policies. EarlyBird Check-In provides customers with automatic check-in and an assigned boarding position before general boarding positions become available. The company offers its fare products directly to customers through its Internet Website, Southwest.com. The company has approximately 728 Boeing 737 aircraft in its fleet and 121 destinations in 42 states, the District of Columbia, the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, and ten near-international countries, such as Mexico, Jamaica, The Bahamas, Aruba, Dominican Republic, Costa Rica, Belize, Cuba, the Cayman Islands, and Turks and Caicos.

Contact

TEXAS
Dallas
PO Box 36611, 2702 Love Field Dr
+12147924000.0
www.southwest.com

IPO

1977-06-27

Employees

55 100

Officers

Executive Chairman
Mr. Gary C. Kelly
President, CEO & Vice Chairman of the Board
Mr. Robert E. Jordan
Executive VP & CFO
Ms. Tammy Romo
Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Andrew M. Watterson
Managing Director of Accounting & Financial Reporting
Mr. Ray Schuster
VP of Technology ? Infrastructure & Services and CTO
Mr. Thomas Merritt
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Senior VP of Technology & Chief Information Officer
Ms. Lauren Woods
Chief Administrative Officer
Ms. Linda Burke Rutherford
Vice President of Investor Relations
Ms. Julia Landrum
Senior VP & Chief Communications Officer
Ms. Whitney Eichinger
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See Also

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What is the Intrinsic Value of one LUV stock?

The intrinsic value of one LUV stock under the Base Case scenario is 32.88 USD.

Is LUV stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 31.97 USD, Southwest Airlines Co is Undervalued by 3%.

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