LCI Industries

NYSE:LCII

Earnings Call Transcript 2021-Q1

[Operator]

Welcome to the Q1 2021 LCI Industries Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]

I would now like to turn the call over to your speaker today, Chief Financial Officer, Brian Hall. Please go ahead.

[Brian Hall, executive]

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to LCI Industries First Quarter 2021 Conference Call. I am joined on the call today by Jason Lippert, President, CEO and Director. We will discuss the results for the quarter in just a moment.

But first, I would like to inform you that certain statements made in today's conference call regarding LCI Industries and its operations may be considered forward-looking statements under the securities laws and involve a number of risks and uncertainties. As a result, the company cautions you that there are a number of factors, many of which are beyond the company's control, which would cause actual results and events to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements. These factors are discussed in our earnings release and in our Form 10-K and other filings with the SEC. The company disclaims any obligation or undertaking to update forward-looking statements to reflect circumstances or events that occur after the date the forward-looking statements are made, except as required by law.

With that, I would like to turn the call over to Jason Lippert. Jason?

[Jason Lippert, executive]

Thank you, Brian. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to LCI Industries First Quarter 2021 Earnings Call. We are happy to announce that we delivered our best quarter ever to kick off the year. The growing number of RV enthusiasts has continued at a breakneck pace, driving retail demand to all-time highs. As a result, we have the largest number of RVs on the road, which has set us up for the most robust replacement cycle in the history of the industry.

Because we have been very intentional over the last 8 years around setting up a separate infrastructure to deal with the aftermarket, Lippert has uniquely positioned itself to capture this growth from both lifelong enthusiasts and those just entering the market.

Our proven operational expertise and best-in-class customer service will undoubtedly support continued success for many years to come.

During the quarter, we achieved an astounding $1 billion in revenue, up 52% year-over-year, which was led by double-digit growth across our RV OEM, Europe, adjacent markets and aftermarket segments. The strength of our non-RV OEM businesses underscores the success of the execution of our diversification strategy we set in motion just 11 years ago and has supported Lippert's continued outperformance.

We also have achieved solid content per-vehicle expansion, considering the current market demographics of record number of first-time buyers generally buying the entry level products. Additionally, we have gained some meaningful market share for this year due to some supplier's inability to execute during this challenging last 12 months, helping to solidify our position as a leading supplier to the RV and marine industries.

RV OEM sales increased 64% year-over-year to $566 million for the first quarter driven by unparalleled retail demand as new RVers flock to the lifestyle. Further, based on preliminary results, April trends reflect the continuation of that explosive growth.

While many in the industry have been faced with supply chain constraints, our team's ability to creatively navigate headwinds showcase our resiliency and strength of our operational leadership. Our supply chain and operations teams have been doing a fantastic job juggling one significant challenge after the next over the past several quarters.

The RV industry remains poised for sustained growth as the new generation of RV enthusiasts have converted a novel passion into a way of life that allows them to experience the outdoors, family and friends in an affordable and safe way, especially during the uncertainty of COVID. Underscoring our confidence in the industry, the RVIAs most recent report on 2021 demand shows 533,000 units for wholesale, which surpasses historic levels and surpasses last year's wholesale by 100,000 units.

With the largest survey population ever conducted by RVIA's recent report, data showed that RV has all of a sudden become popular due to the pandemic. In fact, the amount of RV owning household is up 85% to 11.2 million households from a survey taken in 2001. It also shows that Millennial and Gen Z owners control 22% of these 11.2 million RV-owning households with over 75% of Millennials and Gen-Zers surveyed saying they intend to buy an RV in the next 5 years. In total, the survey showed that 9 million households intend on buying an RV in the next 5 years.

Complementing these trends is the growing popularity and availability of peer-to-peer RV rental services that invite consumers to taste the RV lifestyle, further developing the foundational infrastructure for future growth. There are many new peer-to-peer digital rental platforms meeting record demand of potential RVers, who aren't ready to buy but do try the RV lifestyle out.

Many families aren't ready to travel through traditional ways, so we are very excited about peer-to-peer rental opportunity, giving families a very easy way to get away in an RV.

Despite the ongoing significant wholesale mix shift towards smaller entry-level products geared towards first-time buyers, we continue to content growth in both total units and motorhomes, a testament to the strength of the Lippert brand. Content per total RV increased 4% year-over-year to $3,476, while content per motorhome RV increased 9% to 2,525 year-over-year. Going forward, our market share opportunity remains strong, which is likely to drive further content increases.

Operationally, we have a strong foundation to build upon. Along with the 6 new facilities we announced in the last 2 quarters, we are committing to further expanding our production capacities by executing additional projects, resulting in over 2 million additional square feet of organic capacity altogether. Similarly, our efforts to jump-start a record number of continuous improvement projects, including some great automation projects this year continue to free up manufacturing space, enabling us to add capacity.

Additionally, we expanded our chassis facilities during the quarter, welcoming team members from WORLDPAC Chassis which allowed us to immediately increase our chassis production to meet heightened industry demand and market share gains. We have been gaining market share in chassis in the last year and needed this capacity to quickly bolt-on new customers.

Turning to our aftermarket segment. Total revenues grew to $184 million, another record for first quarter, up 45% year-over-year, supported by the strength in our CURT Group. CURT, which is running at record level, had strong organic growth across the business. The CURT teams powered through their growing backlog in the first quarter of 2021, which was more than triple what they started with the first quarter of 2020.

To accompany CURT in the truck accessories segment of their operations, we successfully executed a bolt-on acquisition of Ranch Hand, an automotive aftermarket supplier of custom bumpers, grill guards and steps in a roughly $5 billion truck accessory market. We are excited to welcome Ranch Hand's team members to the Lippert family and are eager to begin integrating their business into our CURT aftermarket business.

During the quarter, we saw an incredible number of used RVs under the repair and refurbishment cycle. With a surge in popularity and growing number of RVs on the road today, consumers will variably seek maintenance services, repairs and upgrades at a much higher level than in years past. As there are a record number of RVs entering their first replacement cycle, coupled with the millions that are already in replacement cycles makes for an incredible season coming for our aftermarket businesses. Lippert remains uniquely positioned to serve this growing community, not only through our aftermarket offerings, but by leveraging investments and enhancing the customers' experience.

The insight and candid feedback that our customer experience initiatives have received through initiatives such as Lippert Scouts, social media, brand ambassadors and our Campground Project, have proven to be invaluable in broadening our competitive advantage in the industry. From letting these customers know we care to making more customer service programs available, to listening and getting new product ideas, product feedback and suggestions for enhancing our products, this initiative has certainly helped us to become more reliable source for RVers everywhere.

We firmly believe helping to play a role in the change of the customer experience will be pivotal to our future success as we support all consumers engaged in the RV lifestyle and become one of the most well-known brands for customer care in the business.

Turning to our adjacent markets. Revenue for the first quarter increased 34% to $251 million, driven by strong performance in Marine, which continues to benefit from similar secular tailwinds, driving growth across ERP and the aftermarket. Marine remains a primary focus for our diversification strategy and has demonstrated in our recent acquisition of Veada Industries, one of the country's largest boat seat manufacturers.

Additionally, we have strengthened our presence in the Marine space by supporting the largest boat builder in the country, TRACKER Marine, who just launched a Missouri Marine division, not too far from the TRACKER campuses. We are encouraged by the marine industry's scorching growth trends in 2020 and are excited to be expanding our position in the space given the rapid influx of new boaters.

Outside of Marine, we are heavily focused on trailer axles and suspension systems and achieving great market share here along with other products we sell to trailer manufacturers. We are also focused on continuing to build a residential and housing window and door businesses, along with a glass solutions and other components for commercial vehicles, power sports vehicles and buses. Lippert is focused on driving content growth in all these areas as we further expand into additional markets.

Our international business has maintained its momentum with revenues increasing 50% year-over-year to $91 million. We are encouraged by the significant growth opportunity in our international RV OEM segment as our European pop-top and other new products hit the fastest-growing RV vehicle type in North America and Europe, the Class-B van market.

The various European countries in which we operate, including Germany, Italy, the Netherlands and the U.K., continue to fall closely behind the trailblazing recovery we saw in the U.S. RV and marine markets, indicating a bright outlook for 2021. Europe's ongoing heightened retail demand is strong as European customers turn toward the outdoor lifestyle. First quarter retail caravan registrations in Europe increased almost 20%.

Our international excitement continues as we see consistent positive trends of U.S. RV OEMs adopting our European design and manufactured components. This helps solidify Lippert's reputation with OEMs as an innovator with the ability to bring these products to the U.S. market on a regular basis. We remain confident in the ability of our leadership teams to continue to capture demand and drive new growth across the international businesses, thanks to the strong market leaders we have there.

In addition to the success of our RV business, we have seen great progress in our Marine and Rail components businesses in Europe. Both our Marine and Rail segments businesses, they are continue to gain momentum through market share and efficiency gains and look forward to the growth in these 2 segments in Europe.

All in all, we continue to reap the benefits of our diversification strategy. As we mentioned, we reached a significant milestone in 2020, surpassing more than 50% of our total sales from our adjacent markets, aftermarket and international business. And we are not stopping there. We expect organic and inorganic growth to continue in all these important areas outside of our RV business in the future.

We would be remiss not to state that the 10-year journey we have undergone with respect to our culture and leadership transformation is one of the main reasons we are joining the success we are having today.

As a result of this transformation and our values and the way we live and meet at work, our team members have made a more conscious decision to stay at Lippert for the long haul. And as a result of that, attrition has slowed, recruiting and retention have improved. And in general, when people get more content and excited about their work, home and family, they naturally bring more energy, passion and innovation to the workplace.

Having this base achievement or contentment has never been more important than when you go through big challenges or crisis like we've gone through in the last 12 months. Today, there is so much available work in our industries that many people who aren't happy with their company are leaving quickly because of higher compensation available to them. This is disruptive for companies as they end up losing large chunks of their workforce and ultimately creates efficiency, safety and quality-related issues.

Our culture and leadership movements have created significant stability in our workforce as our team members and divisions have been able to take on record demand and even significant market share gains in big product categories like windows, chassis, awnings and where some of our peers were shaken up with workforce-related problems.

Our success is also underpinned by our focus on innovation. We remain committed to providing the best experience for the consumers using our products, which includes leading the industry and the advancement of RV and marine component solution. One great example of this is our Tire Linc tire pressure and temperature management systems, helping to promote safety within the RV business. We are on track to be prepping thousands of RVs annually to provide for our aftermarket team the ability to offer this in the aftermarket easily.

We are prepping more and more RVs for all sorts of products, and it's easier for the RV OEMs to accept a prep than a full-priced product. And then from there, our aftermarket teams can figure out a way to sell that component in the aftermarket world. Safety products also will be a core focus for us over the next several years as we believe consumers will ultimately search for RVs to have the best safety story like they do automobiles.

Switching gears to capital allocation. We continue to remain receptive to strategic M&A opportunities, while remaining laser-focused on integrating our recent acquisitions and paying down debt. At the same time, we are investing in innovation and optimizing our manufacturing footprint to ensure we maintain the appropriate capacity to meet heightened demand for recreational products.

At current pace, we look to be close to a 1.5x leverage position at the end of the year, considering forecasts and no other acquisitions. We are happy about the way we manage our balance sheet and cash in such a challenging time, and we will continue to be diligent like we have in years past.

In closing, I'd like to thank the nearly 14,000 dependable and dedicated team members across the entire company that contributed to helping power Lippert through the first quarter of 2021 and all of 2020 for that matter, while at the same time cultivating a culture that supports individual team member growth and continuous improvement in all areas of the business.

There is no doubt that RVs are a popular way to vacation, even more popular in an era for social distancing and maintaining more control over your environment is important to so many during these times. We look forward to continuing our incredible momentum through 2021 and beyond as we further deliver value for all of our stakeholders.

I will now turn to Brian, our CFO, to discuss in more detail our first quarter financial results.

[Brian Hall, executive]

Thank you, Jason. Our consolidated net sales for the first quarter increased 52% to $1 billion compared to the prior year, with acquisitions contributing $41 million or 6% growth over the prior year and organic growth contributing the balance, driven by strong market performance, coupled with solid company execution.

Q1 2021 sales to RV OEMs increased 64% compared to the prior year due to the sustained record RV OEM retail demand. Sales to adjacent industries grew 34%. Aftermarket segment sales increased 45% and international sales increased 50% as consumers continue to turn towards outdoor leisure activities, driving strong demand in our markets across the board.

As Jason mentioned, demand in our core RV and Marine markets is at record level, which coupled with the significant inventory replenishment cycle is resulting in record production volumes. Current RV industry production rates would imply 2021 wholesale shipments of approximately 570,000 to 590,000 units, an all-time record for the industry. Growth rates in the Marine market are not significantly different as the industry is working feverishly to support demand.

We continue to advance along our diversification strategy with acquired revenues contributing $41 million across the business during the quarter, driven by the recent acquisitions of Challenger Doors and Veada. These acquisitions are split across RV OEM, $14 million; Marine OEM, $21 million; and adjacent industries $6 million.

Subsequent to quarter-end, we announced the closing of 2 transactions. First, Ranch Hand, our first bolt-on acquisition for the CURT Group. Ranch Hand represents $50 million of acquired net sales, all of which will be classified in our aftermarket segment. Last week, we announced the acquisition of Schaudt, which creates a strategic presence for us in Germany and represents $25 million of acquired net sales that will be classified in our OEM segment.

We have also driven further content growth in both towable units and motorhomes. Content per towable RV unit increased 4% to $3,476 and content per motorized unit increased 9% to $2,525 compared to the prior year, adjusted to remove the impact of Furrion sales from prior periods. The content increase in towables was primarily driven by organic growth, offset somewhat by the increased demand for entry-level products.

In addition, price reductions passed to our customers during the last 12 months, primarily due to commodity index pricing, have negatively impacted content growth, and we estimate significant volatility in OEM inventories during 2020 have negatively impacted content growth as well. Pro forma towable content growth is estimated to be approximately 7.5%.

We expanded operating margins by over 340 basis points from the prior year, primarily driven by the favorable impact of leveraging organic sales growth, along with the increase of operational efficiencies driven by increased automation and lean manufacturing initiatives, partially offset by increased labor expense to meet heightened production requirements and the increasing cost of steel, aluminum and freight.

We anticipate the current headwind from higher input cost to continue through the next quarter. As I mentioned last quarter, while the pricing for many of our products is indexed to steel and aluminum costs, there remains the traditional lag time and effectiveness of approximately 2 quarters.

GAAP net income in Q1 2021 was $74.1 million or $2.93 per diluted share compared to $28.2 million or $1.12 per diluted share in Q1 of 2020, primarily due to the strong growth in sales across all of our business segments. Adjusted EBITDA increased 68% to $125.9 million for the first quarter. Noncash depreciation and amortization was $24.5 million in the first quarter, while noncash stock-based compensation expense was $7.4 million for the quarter. We continue to anticipate depreciation and amortization in the range of $100 million to $110 million during the full year of 2021, primarily due to increases in capital investments for capacity and efficiencies.

For the 3 months ended March 31, 2021, cash generated from operating activities was $5 million, while $3 million was used for business acquisitions, $21 million for capital expenditures and $19 million was returned to our shareholders in the form of dividends. Total capital expenditures for the first quarter include 56% dedicated to maintenance, 18% in automation investments and 26% to new market share.

With RV retail demand at record levels through the first 3 months of 2021, the industry has faced challenges with supply chain constraints, rising material costs and tightened labor markets, especially in Northern Indiana. To address these challenges, we have strategically managed working capital, including intentionally building up levels of certain inventory items to avoid future shortages and have expanded our production capacity. This has allowed us to further cement our relationships with OEMs and grab market share from other suppliers that have experienced supply chain issues.

At the end of the first quarter, we had an outstanding net debt position of $730 million, 1.8x pro forma EBITDA adjusted to include LTM EBITDA of acquired businesses. We continue to prioritize maintaining a strong balance sheet and targeting long-term leverage of 1.0x to 1.5x net debt-to-EBITDA as we work to integrate recently-completed acquisitions, which we believe will contribute strong operating cash flow.

We continue to expect capital expenditures in the range of $130 million to $150 million for the full year 2021 as we focus on various smaller scale, continuous improvement and automation projects that support growth and continue to build capacity to support heightened production rates. With these incredible results, we remain confident in our ability to drive growth for LCI and deliver shareholder value over the long-term as we continue to execute on our proven growth strategy.

That is the end of our prepared remarks. Operator, we're ready to take questions. Thank you.

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Kathryn Thompson with Thompson Research.

[Kathryn Thompson, analyst]

First, focusing -- you've done a great job of managing inflation and supply chain in the quarter. As we look forward and really are looking down the barrel of additional costs going up and pricing actions, particularly with steel and aluminum, how are you able to manage those costs? And are there anything other than price increases that can help mitigate the impact of those cost increases?

[Jason Lippert, executive]

Yes, Kathryn. Specifically around steel, most of that raw material goes into our chassis products and almost 100% of our chassis products are indexed. So we've got a trailing 2-quarter lag. So I think the good news is the great results we've had shown a significant impact to steel to our bottom line where we won't really see the price increases on those products, the chassis-related products, until a quarter or 2 out. We can't see the steel prices going much higher because they're already at record levels, historical record levels. But if they do, they're -- we do have an index agreement with our large OEMs to cover us up there. And same with aluminum for the most part.

[Kathryn Thompson, analyst]

Okay. And as we -- you outlined a lot of -- several initiatives for growth and also for efficiency. But have you been able to put a number on efficiency gains that came through kind of this painful process of us going through COVID and having to rethink about how we approach the world? So it could be anything where, for instance, we're able to have the same output with 70% of the footprint or any type of metric, just to be able to better understand and quantify those productivity gains?

[Jason Lippert, executive]

I think it's -- I know Brian has got some comments, but I'll chime in just by saying that it's hard to anticipate what the total efficiency gains are with respect to all the ravaging that COVID had on our business over time is significant right now. We're trying to add capacity, like I mentioned in our opening remarks. That will add significant efficiency. But it's really hard to tell how fatigue and how inefficient the workforce is, given all the overtime we're putting in to keep up with the OEMs, but I know Brian's got some comments.

[Brian Hall, executive]

Right. And what I'd add to that, Kathryn, is from a financial perspective, if you went back to Q3 as we really started ramping up production volumes and trying to deal with the new COVID environment as you called out, we saw some of our best labor rates that we had seen in the last 10 years or so during that quarter. Now it certainly slipped some when we got into Q4, but it slowly started to improve from there, which I think is a -- we can credit a lot of that to the automation investments, the lean layouts that we have, the things that we've been investing in for a number of years now that are helping to minimize some of that impact that I think we would have seen had we not done a lot of that pre-COVID.

[Kathryn Thompson, analyst]

Okay. Great. And then final question is just around acquisition and M&A. Always have done historically, a good job with that. But the world is a little different. I know this that Marine is part of an important part of your strategy. But as you think about end markets or types of businesses where you are placing greater relative focus, how has that changed? And how should we think about your M&A strategy in terms of areas of growth going forward?

[Jason Lippert, executive]

I think a big piece of it is we're just getting more comfortable as we've done more acquisitions around aftermarket, around Europe in the international market, around adjacent markets and especially Marine. So if you go back 5 years ago, we weren't really doing any acquisitions in those spaces. And today, we're doing more and more there and getting more comfortable. We're getting to know those markets a lot better and getting to know the players a lot better so that we can have those conversations and look for the strategic fits, just like we did the RV business 10 or 15 years ago.

So I think we're getting that level of comfort with all these other markets, and that bodes well for us, and we're just going to be very careful and strategic about the fits with respect to leadership, product innovation and growth strategies that really are the foundation of what we use to decide what acquisitions we're going to make.

[Kathryn Thompson, analyst]

And just one quick clarification. Are you primarily focused on fleshing out the marine and/or kind of that, broadly speaking, recreation focused? Or would you be -- would you look even beyond kind of that core focus?

[Jason Lippert, executive]

I think Marine's being in the recreational segment, being a close #2 behind RV, it's always going to have significant opportunity there. But almost a close second our aftermarket and our adjacent markets in the Europe market, so -- for RVs and marine over there. So it feels like we've got 4 real strong buckets of opportunity outside of RV. And there's still opportunities in RV. So we're just trying to be real selective with the ones that we choose right now.

[Operator]

Your next question comes from the line of Daniel Moore with CGS Securities.

[Dan Moore, analyst]

Maybe just talk a little bit about the Schaudt acquisition. Any more detail in terms of growth rates, margin profile? And then does it set you up for more M&A in Germany? And any more detail on the European Caravan outlook, in general, would be great.

[Jason Lippert, executive]

Yes. The Caravan outlook is early there. As we mentioned in our opening remarks, I mean the wholesale looks like it's 25%, in that range right now. So it's starting to closely trail what we're seeing here in North America. It's important to have a German presence and we've been looking for a good German company to fit strategically with our business for -- since we've been doing business in Europe, and Schaudt's our first acquisition.

We've had an office in Germany with some German executives that are helping us work through the RV business over there. But I'd tell you that with respect to Schaudt's product, really the impetus there was just we wanted the ability to have the same kind of technology, head start, integrating smart technology with our products, control systems, things like that, that we do here in the U.S. It's been a huge advantage for us here in the U.S. to have smart technology integrated to all of our components where we can and just add the tech to our components that we've had traditionally in all of our new products, and we need the same thing there, and they were the best option for us to go forward.

And probably the biggest opportunity there is they've got a very limited customer base. And over there, we do business with every OEM like we do here. So we can easily move their products to -- through the distribution channels to other customers that they just don't have relationships right now. So we should be able to grow up pretty well and pretty quick.

[Brian Hall, executive]

And Dan, I'd add to that, as I said in my opening remarks, I think that about USD 25 million business, accretive EBITDA margins, pretty typical type purchase price from what we've seen in the past from a multiple perspective. So nothing really unusual there. So great synergies expected out of material savings and being able to cross-sell products, bring more of their products over here to North America because there really aren't products like theirs here. So those are some of the highlights, I'd say, from a financial perspective.

[Dan Moore, analyst]

Perfect. And then switching gears. April, obviously, got off to an extremely strong start for Q2. $365 million revenue, is that a reasonable run rate to think about given some of the supply chain constraints, et cetera?

[Jason Lippert, executive]

From my perspective, from our perspectives in the company, that's what it feels like. We're going to continue to grow as long as the retail demands there. OEMs are adding capacity. If you take the 4 months that we've got in the books in terms of run rate, and again, we supply one-to-one chassis just about every unit out there. The ones we don't supply, maybe 15% of the total business, we know what those manufacturers are running, so we can fill in the blanks pretty easy.

And if you look at the first 4 months and then take the run rate in the next 8 months, it's a 580,000 type run rate, which the industry is projecting 530,000. So we can -- we know the number is going to be easily in between those 2. It's just where is it going to wash out. But right now, supply chain hasn't held up the business, the RV business much. It's holding up the Marine business a little bit, but it hasn't held up the RV business much. And they are -- OEMs are adding capacity. So you put 2 and 2 together, you kind of figure that it's going to be north of $533,000 for sure.

[Dan Moore, analyst]

Indeed. That's really helpful. And then maybe last, the 1.5 million -- sorry, 1.5x leverage ratio that you kind of threw out at year-end, is that just kind of descriptive? Or is that kind of a goal should we think about more M&A opportunistically? Or are you kind of focused on debt pay down in the near term?

[Brian Hall, executive]

Yes, Dan, it's Brian. We typically target somewhere between 1x and 1.5x. But certainly, when the market is right and we get the right strategic opportunities, we would -- we certainly don't have an issue being up 2x or even north for the right opportunity. So that's more of our long-term target, but we'll see how things play out. And we've certainly invested a lot, as we mentioned, in working capital to be prepared and provide a bit of a buffer so that we don't have as many supply chain issues. And that, coupled with some acquisition opportunities, could certainly keep us north of that. But that's our long-term target.

[Operator]

Your next question comes from the line of Fred Wightman with Wolfe Research.

[Frederick Wightman, analyst]

I just wanted to touch base on that 570,000 to 590,000 run rate that you touched on and whether you think that that's appropriate. And then given the seasonality, that seems to imply a bit of a slowdown versus the 54,000 that the industry posted in March. So wondering if you could just sort of touch on longer term, if you think that's a good industry number. And then sort of more near term, how we should think about the posted wholesale numbers over the next few months given that drop?

[Jason Lippert, executive]

Yes. I think we just got to keep connecting the dots and looking at Camping World's release this morning, and they showed a deficit, a reduction of $339 million or so in inventory, new inventory. So as long as the inventory stay depressed, retail demand stays high. I mean, we're going to have this issue going. I mean, if you take April's run rate, I mean, we're at 605,000. You roll back 12 months, you're at 605,000 number on our calculation.

So I mean, the industry is running really strong right now and inventories don't seem to be improving much, and retail demand still seems very heavy. So until those 2 needle start moving the other direction, we're kind of locked in this range.

[Brian Hall, executive]

And Fred, I would add to that to be consistent with kind of how I've been describing it for a while. We've been trying to track as closely as we can the weekly production rates. So wholesale is one thing, as you know. And there can -- certainly, when we've had some supply chain disruption here or there, that can create a bit of a disconnect between wholesale shipments and production rates.

So I think we've been close to slow ramp up through the first 3 months of the year. And when we hit April, it's been somewhere, we'd estimate somewhere around 12,500 units and north per week. That was pretty consistent all through April. So I would anticipate that barring supply chain disruption that that rate would remain pretty consistent. And as Jason said, as new capacity comes online, likely even increase from there.

[Frederick Wightman, analyst]

That's really helpful. I guess just to shift to the margin front, Brian, last quarter, you talked about 100 to 200 basis points of sequential gross margin pressure and then sort of a high teens operating margin leverage figure. It looks like you sort of came in towards the higher end of that gross margin side, but a little bit light on the operating margin leverage. Could you sort of just walk through where the disconnect was? Was it just higher materials, some of the labor issues? And how we should think about those going forward?

[Brian Hall, executive]

Yes. I mean, a couple of things I would call out. One, I think the timing on some of the material, the inflated material costs pulling through our P&L was likely off a little bit. So I would temper your expectations, some for Q2, as that's likely what's happened as it's delayed the pull-through on that to Q2. We certainly have some additional price adjustments, as Jason mentioned, when indexes will continue to ramp up on steel and aluminum products when we get to Q3. So Q2, you might see a little bit more of that pull through. And then it was mainly offset then on -- we exceeded expectations on sales growth. So certainly, leveraging that sales growth on our fixed costs, definitely where we saw the offset in the margin.

[Operator]

Your next question comes from the line of Scott Stember with CL King.

[Scott Stember, analyst]

Just piggyback to the margins, Brian, you gave a pretty good walk through about the cadence. But where do you see -- assuming no further hiccups with regards to major increases in steel and aluminum, what kind of a run rate from an operating margin standpoint could we be looking at as we exit 2021 and heading into the final year?

[Brian Hall, executive]

Yes. I mean, I'd continue to say that as our aftermarket business grows, which is now -- it's been north of 20% of our business for the last couple of quarters, that's certainly the area that I would anticipate us long term continuing to see some margin appreciation there. From the OEM side of the business, it seems to kind of hover in this 8% to 10% type range. So I think that I would expect that pattern to continue through the remainder of the year and into 2022.

So like I said, I think that we could see, from a cadence perspective, maybe a little bit of a pullback as we continue to fight some of the inflation in steel and aluminum and the timing of those price adjustments, but then likely see that bounce right back up into this -- the range that we're seeing, at least for this quarter and as aftermarket continues to grow to maybe even see some further appreciation from there.

[Jason Lippert, executive]

I think it's really important, Scott, to understand that from a steel standpoint, being close to 30% of our total business on the chassis side or right around there, going from the $0.28 to $0.30 a pound mark upwards towards 70% historical highs, that's impacted us pretty significantly, pretty quick, and we won't recover that until a quarter or 2.

So that's a big piece. Our efficiency gains will continue to get better as we right size capacity. And then we've got other issues like Marine shrinking at 100% right now, closer to 70% because they're just allocated on certain products, including [ foam on seating, ] which is one of our big ones. So that's impacting everybody in the Marine side, and that will be back up to 100% toward the end of the month or north of 100% because they'd all like to run more boats than what they were running before the allocations hit.

[Scott Stember, analyst]

Yes. And essentially on some of the automation projects, could you just give us an update on the I-beam facility and the recent acquisition that you made to gain capacity? Are there any plans to take that chassis operations and integrated into the I-beam production lines?

[Jason Lippert, executive]

Yes. That's one of our plans. We want to continue to expand on automation. We've already started in chassis. It's the largest project by 5x that we've ever taken on. So it's a big project. It's taken a little bit longer to get where we want, but we're making progress every month and getting to a point where it's paying dividends.

I mean, we wouldn't be able to keep up with chassis capacity today if we didn't have it, given the fact that we've not only seen record demand on chassis, but we've taken a lot of market share there over the last handful of months.

And then we've got several -- we've had several window automation projects hit that are doing phenomenal. And we've got a 300,000 square foot facility we're implementing right now all for glass processing, everything from our current standard glass doors and windows on the RV side to motorhome windshield products and things like that, that will be coming later this year.

[Scott Stember, analyst]

And then just last question. Jason, could you just give us your views for retail in RVs for the full year?

[Jason Lippert, executive]

Man, you probably got a good handle on that as I do. Like I said earlier, we're looking at inventories and what the dealers are having to say about low inventories and kind of watching that and also looking at the dealer feedback regarding lot traffic and things like that. And it doesn't seem to be slowing down. So what we do know is that we'll get a little bit of notice when the lot traffic and retail sales start to ease up, but we don't see any of that in sight right now.

So you look at some of the reports at KOA and the RVIA Association did here recently, and you look at the feedback on people running to the outdoors to spend their leisure time right now, 10 million new camping households to KOA's report just this past year. Millennials surveyed, 85% millennials and Gen Z, saying that they would buy an RV in the next 5 years. 9 million households through the survey said that they'd buy in the next 5 years in total. And those are significant numbers. And I think that just alludes to the fact that people are looking to the outdoors for outdoor recreation for what it is that they're going to do with their free time. So I think that that's a good sign for our industry.

[Operator]

Your next question comes from the line of Bret Jordan with Jefferies.

[Bret Jordan, analyst]

This may have already been discussed, but just thinking about the net sales during April, can you maybe break out what portion of that is organic and what might due to some recent acquisitions?

[Brian Hall, executive]

I would tell you that, so for the first quarter, acquired revenues were $41 million, I believe. And that should be at least what we saw in April. About the only thing you'd have is a little bit of Ranch Hand, which is about a $50 million acquisition or $50 million of acquired sales. And then Schaudt now here at the end of the month, $25 million annual acquired sales. So we got a little bit of Ranch Hand's at $41 million, which represents the fourth quarter acquisitions that we did, plus now Ranch Hand and Schaudt will be adding to the business on a go-forward basis would be how I'd look at it.

[Bret Jordan, analyst]

And then just thinking about the aftermarket business, can you talk about what's really driving some of the strength there? I mean, is it broad-based strength you're seeing across all product categories? Or maybe is there certain product categories that are really outstanding right now?

[Jason Lippert, executive]

I think it's pretty broad in a lot of our replacement parts and repair parts. I mean, that's probably the strongest because the service bays are all full at all the dealerships. I mean, there's a lot of dealers adding capacity in service. So I mean, I'd say service in general, service and repair, warranty, it's pretty backed up across the industry because there's been so many units added to the food chain over the last couple of years.

So probably repair and service parts, but all of our upgrade parts from furniture and all the other accessories and bells and whistles that we have in the aftermarket are doing great. We're expanding our Marine aftermarket. We're really then focused there. It was somewhat of a focus, but we've kind of integrated that with our RV aftermarket team. So it's kind of a recreational aftermarket team now that services both areas and Marine is doing better, and we're finding more and more products to plug-in there.

One of the great things about aftermarket is, we don't have to supply the part on the OEM side. So we're out asking all of our aftermarket partners and customers what they need. And because of our size, we can go out and procure things pretty quickly and take the place of some of these smaller suppliers that are having problems and be in on sales on products this year that we weren't selling last year. So it's good across the board, and it's going to continue to grow.

[Brian Hall, executive]

I would definitely add to that CURT. I mean, CURT is definitely on the hedge side of the business. They've set a record every month for, I don't know, how many months now. So their business continues to grow substantially. I think a lot of that's driven by the demand that you see in all the outdoor recreational products, but as well as some restocking. I think a lot of the wholesale distributors depleted a lot of their inventories last year. And so they continue to restock their shelves as they're looking at increased demand as well.

[Jason Lippert, executive]

I'm glad Brian brought CURT up. It's been a tremendous acquisition for us. We've grown significantly to the tune of [ $150 kind of run rate million ] on what we bought it for. And just the short time that we've owned, I think we acquired it in January of 2020 -- December of '19, so. And since we've owned them, they've overtaken the #1 spot in hitches. So they've done really good.

[Operator]

Your next question comes from the line of Steve O'Hara with Sidoti.

[Stephen O'Hara, analyst]

Just maybe going to the acquisitions you guys made recently and -- I mean, CURT, obviously seems like a well-timed and well-executed acquisition, larger size than, I guess, any of recent memory. Just wondering how you think about the size of acquisition going forward? I mean, it would seem these smaller deals are maybe great from a return standpoint, but don't move the needle as much going forward now that you're at kind of $1 billion in sales for the quarter. How do you think about that? Or are you able to kind of grow these things much more quickly once they get into your system?

[Jason Lippert, executive]

Yes, I think you've hit the nail in the head. I mean, we're typically -- we're buying, say, the smaller companies from $20 million to $50 million. I mean, we're -- one of the big factors is just the rate at which we think we can grow them and the growth track that they're already on. So I mean, that's the most strategic part of the fit. We're looking for good leadership. That's always important, but that growth run rate is super important.

And we tend to find companies and acquire companies that have that great growth track where we can double them or triple the sales over the course of 5 years. And innovation is huge. So we're looking for companies that have innovative products in the pipeline or ideas to bring innovation -- innovative products to the market. So that's always important. We never look at the number. We don't look at the size. We look at the additive value that they can add once they become part of our family and how we can integrate and synergize the business.

But the big ones have come along. We've been looking at CURT for a long time prior to the time that we bought it, and it was just a good timing for both parties. And we're always looking at a few bigger ones. Taylor Made was a good-sized acquisition we made in 2018 on the Marine side, great brand, and I think it was $140 million in revenues at the time we purchased.

So we're looking at those, but it's got to fit the other pieces of the acquisition requirements for us, which is leadership, innovation and growth trajectory.

[Stephen O'Hara, analyst]

And then just maybe on your comments, I think in the press release, it seemed to imply that the upgrade cycle was starting to begin or had started already. Is that starting on the RV side? Or is that something that you're just kind of expecting to happen and will be a benefit?

[Jason Lippert, executive]

So there's already millions of RVs in the replacement cycle today. But you look at the last 3, 4 years of production, which we would consider the RVs coming into the replacement cycle now, it's the largest population of RVs that have ever entered the replacement cycle, and we're smack dab in the middle of repair parts, service-related activity and then upgrades for people that are maybe buying the used that are being traded in for all these new units.

So that's where the big growth in our aftermarket, the big organic growth in our aftermarket is right now is in all those areas. So -- and then you look at the -- you add to that the population of RVs that are being produced last year, this year, next year, probably, those are -- again, you're talking about doubling up what's coming in over the last 4 years. And that's -- I mean, it's a significant amount of units that are going to hit our business on the aftermarket side, and it's a good business for us.

[Brian Hall, executive]

Typically, about a 3 to 5-year cycle on that, Steve, is what we've at least historically seen.

[Stephen O'Hara, analyst]

Okay. And I mean, I guess, since -- I believe things have trended towards entry level, at least maybe in the last year or so. It would seem like that might be a big impact going forward. And maybe just on the inventory, maybe you mentioned this, but can you just talk about when you think the inventory normalizes, assuming kind of current thinking on retail and wholesale within RV and Marine?

[Brian Hall, executive]

Yes. I mean, we'll take a stab at it, but -- because it all comes down to retail. From a wholesale perspective, like we mentioned, you're probably on a 580-ish, 570,000 to 590,000 what we said if we're on that kind of pace, so barring any disruption from supply chain, et cetera.

I think retail is what it comes down to, I think that at the end of February, because most recent retail hasn't cut out yet. I think we're on a -- almost 525,000 unit retail rate on a trailing 12-month basis. I would anticipate that to climb here in the coming months, but then likely kind of level off as we hit some of those all-time record retail months that we saw late last year and likely inventories might disrupt that, at least the absence of inventory might disrupt that a little bit as well. But if that put you on a 525,000 we could be rebuilding inventories by 50,000 units or so during this year. And I think that -- I think they were depleted by 70,000 or 80,000 units last year. So we're still not there even at the end of this year. So that's why I think the expectation is that this still runs into 2022. Maybe the first half of the year is when you could maybe bridge the gap on that remaining inventory depletion that we experienced last year to fill that void.

[Jason Lippert, executive]

And we've got the same opportunity in Europe as well. They're significantly behind on dealer inventories, almost a year out to get product if you're on the retail side.

[Operator]

Our final question comes from the line of Shawn Collins with Citigroup Research.

[Shawn Collins, analyst]

My question is on the recent German acquisition in the international segment. Just wondering, is the European OEM market experiencing some of the same supply chain challenges being experienced here in the U.S.? And if so, to what extent?

[Jason Lippert, executive]

Yes. So the ones that we're aware of are pretty substantial. They've got some chassis-related issues from motorhomes that appear to be impacting like 10% to 15% of the total European production. So it's significant, but it's not crippling.

So all the rest of the supply chain seems to be able to manage and stay resilient and work around some of the daily issues that we experienced here over the last 12 months. So we -- as long as the chassis suppliers can get back healthy over there because their production is 60% motorhome. So over here, if motorhomes have an issue or opportunity, it's not that big of a staying. But over there, if motorhomes tick up, it's a bigger problem. But all in all, we feel that once they get passed the motorhome chassis, they can get past the supply chain-related issues.

They're running hot in terms of wholesale and increases there, but not nearly as hot as what the U.S. market seems to be, but still up pretty good.

[Shawn Collins, analyst]

That's helpful. And then just a follow-up on the same subject, the new German acquisition. I'm presuming it's a large supplier to own Erwin Hymer [ of door ] over there. Is that correct? And then second, with that, I'm thinking the margins on that German business are potentially lighter than the U.S. margins, which is in line with what we kind of see between Erwin Hymer and Doors U.S. business?

[Jason Lippert, executive]

Yes. So like Brian said earlier, the $25 million revenue business, and it's all tax-related. So typically, the tech margins are going to be a little bit higher than normal. So you might not look at it as compared to a normal widget, because it's in the tech field. And Erwin Hymer is their largest customer.

But in Europe, we do just as much business with the other large player over there Trigano as we do Hymer. So there's -- that's where the opportunity is for us is to introduce some to other customers like them that they're not doing any business with and jump their sales up pretty significantly, pretty quick because they've got capacity.

[Operator]

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I will now turn the call back over to Jason Lippert for closing remarks.

[Jason Lippert, executive]

Well, thanks for tuning in to listen to our great quarter. We're excited to report next quarter's earnings, and we'll talk to you guys all then. Thanks for tuning in. Bye-bye.

[Operator]

This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.