Kroger Co
NYSE:KR
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one KR stock under the Base Case scenario is 74.4 USD. Compared to the current market price of 59.22 USD, Kroger Co is Undervalued by 20%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Kroger Co
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Fundamental Analysis
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Kroger Co., one of America’s largest and most enduring grocery chains, has a rich history that dates back to 1883 when it was founded by Barney Kroger in Cincinnati, Ohio. Initially starting as a small corner grocery store, the company has grown into a retail powerhouse, operating over 2,700 stores across numerous states under various banners, including Ralphs, Fred Meyer, and Smith’s. This expansive footprint allows Kroger to serve millions of customers each week, offering a diverse range of products from fresh produce and groceries to pharmacy services and household goods. The company's commitment to high-quality products at competitive prices, coupled with a strong focus on customer satis...
Kroger Co., one of America’s largest and most enduring grocery chains, has a rich history that dates back to 1883 when it was founded by Barney Kroger in Cincinnati, Ohio. Initially starting as a small corner grocery store, the company has grown into a retail powerhouse, operating over 2,700 stores across numerous states under various banners, including Ralphs, Fred Meyer, and Smith’s. This expansive footprint allows Kroger to serve millions of customers each week, offering a diverse range of products from fresh produce and groceries to pharmacy services and household goods. The company's commitment to high-quality products at competitive prices, coupled with a strong focus on customer satisfaction, has helped cement its place as a staple in American retail.
For investors, Kroger represents a stable yet dynamic opportunity in the retail sector. The company has successfully navigated the challenges of an evolving market landscape, including rising competition from online grocery providers. By heavily investing in technology, such as its advanced supply chain systems and e-commerce platforms, Kroger has enhanced its operational efficiency and customer engagement. Additionally, its strategic focus on private label products has driven margins, while its ongoing commitment to expanding delivery services positions the company well for future growth. As a stock with a consistent dividend history and strong market presence, Kroger stands out to investors looking for resilience and steady returns in the increasingly competitive grocery landscape.
Kroger Co., one of the largest grocery store chains in the United States, operates through several core business segments. Understanding these segments provides insight into their operations and strategic focus. Here are the main core business segments of Kroger:
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Supermarkets: This is Kroger's primary segment, encompassing a wide range of retail grocery stores. They offer fresh produce, meat, dairy, bakery items, and grocery essentials. Most stores operate under the Kroger brand, but the company also includes a variety of regional banners (e.g., Ralphs, Fred Meyer, King Soopers) that appeal to different local markets.
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Pharmacy Services: Kroger operates pharmacies within many of its supermarket locations, offering prescription medications, over-the-counter products, and health-related services. This segment has been expanding its footprint as a vital healthcare provider, especially with the increased focus on accessible health services.
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Fuel Centers: Many Kroger stores are accompanied by fuel centers that sell gasoline at competitive prices. These fuel stations often provide discounts to loyalty program members, generating customer retention and additional revenue.
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Kroger Health: This segment focuses on pharmacy care and wellness solutions, including telehealth services, health assessments, and partnerships with healthcare providers. It emphasizes the integration of pharmacy and wellness services to enhance the overall customer health experience.
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Private Label Products: Kroger has a significant portfolio of private label brands, which account for a substantial portion of their sales. These products often offer higher margins compared to national brands, contributing to the company's overall profitability.
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E-commerce and Digital Solutions: Recognizing the growing trend toward online shopping, Kroger has invested significantly in its e-commerce platform. This includes grocery delivery, click-and-collect options, and digital marketing initiatives designed to enhance customer engagement and convenience.
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Wholesale and Distribution: Aside from retail, Kroger has a wholesale business that distributes food and non-food products to other retailers. This segment helps diversify revenue streams and optimize supply chain efficiencies.
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Prepared Foods and Deli: Many Kroger stores offer a wide range of prepared foods, deli items, and catering services. This segment caters to on-the-go consumers looking for convenient meal solutions.
By leveraging these core business segments, Kroger Co. has been able to maintain a competitive edge in the grocery retail market while addressing the diverse needs of its customer base.
Kroger Co. has several unique competitive advantages that distinguish it from its rivals in the grocery industry:
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Scale and Bargaining Power: As one of the largest supermarket chains in the United States, Kroger benefits from economies of scale. This allows Kroger to negotiate better terms with suppliers, leading to lower costs for products, which can then be passed on to customers through competitive pricing.
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Diverse Store Formats: Kroger operates a variety of store formats, including supermarkets, hypermarkets, and convenience stores. This diversification allows it to cater to different customer needs and preferences across various demographics and locations.
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Extensive Private Label Offerings: Kroger has developed a strong range of private label products under brands such as Kroger, Simple Truth, and Private Selection. These products not only enhance customer loyalty but also tend to offer higher margins compared to national brands.
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Innovative Technology Integration: Kroger has invested significantly in technology, implementing advanced data analytics, online ordering systems, and personalized marketing. Their e-commerce capabilities, including curbside pickup and home delivery, compete effectively with other retailers, enhancing customer convenience.
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Robust Loyalty Program: The Kroger Rewards program incentivizes customer spending by offering discounts and personalized offers based on shopping behavior. This loyalty program helps retain customers and enhances customer lifetime value.
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Geographic Footprint: Kroger has a strong presence in many regions, particularly in the Midwest and Southeast, which allows it to build customer loyalty in local markets and leverage regional supply chains more effectively than many of its competitors.
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Focus on Fresh Foods: Kroger emphasizes fresh produce, meat, and other perishable items, striving to provide high-quality options which attract health-conscious consumers. This focus can differentiate Kroger from competitors that might emphasize non-perishable goods.
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Sustainability Initiatives: Kroger has committed to sustainability practices, such as reducing plastic waste and promoting healthier food options. These initiatives resonate with a growing segment of environmentally and health-conscious consumers, helping to build brand loyalty.
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Strong Financial Position: Kroger's operational efficiency and solid financial management provide the company with the flexibility to invest in growth opportunities, whether through technology, new store formats, or acquisitions, ensuring long-term competitiveness.
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Partnerships and Collaborations: Through strategic partnerships with companies for delivery services, technology enhancements, and even health services, Kroger has been able to expand its offerings and enhance customer service.
In summary, Kroger's competitive advantages stem from its scale, innovative strategies, strong branding, and customer-centric approach, positioning it well against its competitors in the dynamic grocery retail landscape.
Kroger Co., as one of the largest supermarket chains in the U.S., faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key considerations:
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E-Commerce Competition: The surge in online grocery shopping due to changing consumer preferences presents a strong competitive challenge. Rivals like Amazon (with its Whole Foods acquisition) and Walmart are investing heavily in their e-commerce capabilities, which may pressure Kroger to either enhance its online offerings or face reduced market share.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Ongoing supply chain challenges, exacerbated by global events (such as the COVID-19 pandemic), can affect product availability, increase costs, and impact overall customer satisfaction. Fluctuating fuel prices and logistics issues also contribute to this risk.
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Inflation and Cost Management: Rising inflation can lead to increased operational costs, including labor, transportation, and raw materials. Although Kroger has some pricing power, there is a risk that it will need to absorb some of these costs, which could impact profit margins.
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Labor Issues: The retail sector is experiencing a tightening labor market, leading to challenges in hiring and retaining employees. Labor disputes, wage pressures, and changes in employment regulations could disrupt operations.
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Changing Consumer Habits: Shifts in consumer preferences, including a growing emphasis on health and sustainability, may require Kroger to adapt its product offerings and sourcing strategies more rapidly than anticipated.
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Technological Adaptation: As technological innovation accelerates, Kroger must continually invest in new technologies, from checkout automation and inventory management to data analytics and customer engagement tools, to remain competitive.
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Regulatory Challenges: Changes in regulations related to food safety, labor laws, and environmental policies could impose additional costs or operational complexities.
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Market Saturation: The grocery retail market is highly competitive and can be saturated, especially in certain regions. Finding growth opportunities may become increasingly challenging.
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Health Crises and Pandemics: Future public health concerns can significantly influence shopping behaviors, supply chain stability, and operational protocols, potentially impacting sales and customer traffic.
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Debt Levels and Financial Management: Kroger has significant debt, and managing this in a rising interest rate environment while maintaining operational performance will be crucial.
Addressing these risks effectively will require strategic planning and investment from Kroger, along with an adaptable business model to navigate the continuously evolving grocery retail landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Kroger Co
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Kroger Co
Current Assets | 14.1B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 2.8B |
Receivables | 2.1B |
Other Current Assets | 9.1B |
Non-Current Assets | 37.4B |
PP&E | 32.5B |
Intangibles | 3.5B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 1.3B |
Current Liabilities | 16.1B |
Accounts Payable | 10.3B |
Accrued Liabilities | 1.9B |
Other Current Liabilities | 3.9B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 22.8B |
Long-Term Debt | 12B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 10.8B |
Earnings Waterfall
Kroger Co
Revenue
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150.2B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-116.5B
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Gross Profit
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33.7B
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Operating Expenses
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-29.5B
USD
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Operating Income
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4.2B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-1.4B
USD
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Net Income
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2.8B
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Kroger Co
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
Kroger's second quarter of 2024 showcased its resilient business model amid economic pressures. Identical sales without fuel grew by 1.2%, with digital sales seeing a 17% boost in delivery and 10% in pickup. Despite higher theft-related shrink costs, the company maintained strong profitability with an adjusted EPS of $0.93. Investments in associate wages and productivity, alongside improved customer loyalty through personalized promotions and a robust Our Brands portfolio, drove positive results. Kroger raised its full-year CapEx guidance to between $3.6 billion and $3.8 billion and expects identical sales growth without fuel in the range of 0.75% to 1.75%.
What is Earnings Call?
KR Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Kroger Co's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Kroger Co's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
KR Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Kroger Co's solvency score is 54/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Kroger Co's solvency score is 54/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
KR Price Targets Summary
Kroger Co
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for KR is 60.95 USD with a low forecast of 52.52 USD and a high forecast of 73.5 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for KR is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
KR Insider Trading
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Profile
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Description
The Kroger Co. engages in the operation of supermarkets and multi-department stores. The company is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio and currently employs 420,000 full-time employees. The firm manufactures and processes some of the food for sale in its supermarkets. The firm operates approximately 2,800 owned or leased supermarkets, distribution warehouses and food production plants through divisions, subsidiaries, or affiliates. These facilities are located throughout the United States. The firm also owns store equipment, fixtures, and leasehold improvements, as well as processing and food production equipment. The firm offers personalized, order online, pick up at the store services and also provides home delivery services. In addition, the Company also retails products online. The firm's brands include Private Selection, The Kroger, Big K, Check This Out, Heritage Farm, Simple Truth and Simple Truth Organic.
Contact
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Officers
The intrinsic value of one KR stock under the Base Case scenario is 74.4 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 59.22 USD, Kroger Co is Undervalued by 20%.