Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV
NYSE:KOF

Watchlist Manager
Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV Logo
Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV
NYSE:KOF
Watchlist
Price: 79.63 USD 1.25% Market Closed
Market Cap: 16.7B USD
Have any thoughts about
Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV?
Write Note

Earnings Call Analysis

Q3-2024 Analysis
Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV

Coca-Cola FEMSA's Growth Amid Challenges in Q3 2024

In Q3 2024, Coca-Cola FEMSA reported a 10.7% revenue increase to MXN 69.6 billion, driven by strong performance in Brazil and Central America, despite a 1.5% volume decline in Mexico. The operating income grew 13.9%, with margins slightly improving. The company is expanding capacity by 4% in 2024, addressing ongoing challenges like severe weather and rising operational costs. With digital orders exceeding 40% and customer base growth, the outlook remains positive, particularly in Guatemala, where volumes surged 7.5%. The focus on improving profitability and efficiency supports a steady recovery trajectory.

Resilience Amidst Challenges

Coca-Cola FEMSA's third quarter results showcase a resilient business model that continues to thrive despite unfavorable conditions in Mexico, where weather-related challenges and moderating consumer patterns affected volume growth. Although the company's volume increased modestly by 0.8% year-on-year, reaching 1.04 billion unit cases, the growth was propelled by double-digit gains in other territories, notably Brazil and Guatemala.

Revenue Growth and Margin Performance

The company's total revenues grew by 10.7% year-on-year to MXN 69.6 billion, thanks to strategic revenue management initiatives and favorable currency translations. Additionally, gross profit rose 11.3% to MXN 32.1 billion, leading to a slight gross margin expansion of 20 basis points to 46.1%. Operating income also increased by 13.9% to MXN 9.6 billion, with an operating margin improvement of 30 basis points to 13.8%.

Impact of Weather Conditions

The performance in Mexico saw a 1.5% decline in volumes, impacted by 50% more rainfall and lower temperatures compared to the previous year. This decline reflects broader trends in private consumption and economic activity within the region. In response, the company focused on initiatives aimed at stabilizing growth, especially through the introduction of innovative product offerings and enhancing customer acquisition efforts.

Strategic Initiatives and Digital Growth

Coca-Cola FEMSA is advancing its digital transformation with the Juntos+ platform, which now boasts 1.2 million active users. By the end of the quarter, 56% of the company's customer base were digital buyers, reflecting a 6% increase from the previous quarter. The loyalty program, Premier Juntos+, has also seen impressive growth, with a 21% year-on-year increase in enrolled clients, showcasing the effectiveness of digital engagement strategies.

Regional Highlights: Guatemala and Brazil

In Guatemala, volume increased 7.5%, driven by a young, urbanizing population and rising digital adoption. Meanwhile, Brazil continues to demonstrate robust growth, with sparkling beverage volumes increasing 6.3% year-on-year. The successful introduction of Coca-Cola Zero Sugar in Brazil has achieved a remarkable 59% growth year-over-year. The company's strategy to enhance service levels in Brazil is paying off, despite the temporary facility closures due to external disruptions.

Operational Capacity Expansion

Looking ahead, Coca-Cola FEMSA is committed to enhancing its operational capabilities, with a planned 4% increase in manufacturing capacity for 2024. The company is also expanding its distribution networks significantly, with over a 25% increase in pallet positions and plans for additional production lines in Guatemala to meet growing demand.

Guidance for Future Growth

Management expressed confidence in future growth driven by increasing disposable incomes, infrastructure projects, and strategic supply chain enhancements. The company aims for a strong rebound in volume performance, particularly in Brazil, aided by anticipated improvements in operational capacity within the coming quarters. Specifically, an ambitious target to improve multi-category revenues, excluding beer, to 5% over the coming years reflects the forward-looking optimism in navigating prevailing market challenges.

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2024-Q3

from 0
Operator

Hello, and welcome to Coca-Cola FEMSA Third Quarter 2024 Conference Call. My name is Melissa, and I will be your coordinator for today's event. Please note, this conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] I'll now turn the call over to Jorge Collazo, Investor Relations Director. Please go ahead.

J
Jorge Alejandro Pereda
executive

Thank you, Melissa. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to this webcast and conference call to review our Third quarter 2024 results. Joining me this morning are Ian Craig, our Chief Executive Officer; and Gerardo Cruz, our Chief Financial Officer. As usual, after prepared remarks, we will open the call for a question-and-answer session. Before we proceed, please allow me to remind all participants that this conference call may include forward-looking statements and should be considered as good faith estimates made by the company. These forward-looking statements reflect management's expectations and are based upon currently available data. Actual results are subject to future events and uncertainties that can materially impact the company's performance.

For more details on this, please refer to the disclaimer in the earnings release that went out earlier this morning. With that, let me turn the call over to our Chief Executive Officer, to begin our presentation. Ian, please go ahead.

I
Ian Marcel Craig GarcĂ­a
executive

Thank you, Jorge. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today. Our third quarter results reflect the resilience of our business and the ability of our team to execute our strategy with local focus. Despite facing unfavorable weather in Mexico and a tough comparison base from the previous year our revenues and operating income grew double digits year-on-year. Strategically, we continue implementing initiatives to grow our core business and our service levels. In digital, we continue progressing with Juntos+ reaching 1.2 million active users, while enhancing our user experience with the development of new features. By the end of the quarter, 56% of our customer base were digital buyers, 6 percentage points ahead of the previous quarter. We are also encouraged with the rapid adoption of Premier Juntos+, our loyalty program, which reached more than 920,000 enrolled clients, a 21% increase versus the prior quarter. Aligned with our strategic priorities, we remain committed to removing infrastructure bottlenecks to enable sustainable long-term growth. To this end, we are not only increasing CapEx investments, but also improving the efficiency of our bottling lines and optimizing the layout and density of our warehouses across our territories.

As with other parts of the world, weather events have increased in frequency and strength. In less than a year, the State of Guerrero in Southern Mexico is once again facing the consequences of a strong hurricane. With this in mind, we want to express our sincere support to all the people affected by Hurricane John. As part of our protocols, we have taken action to ensure the well-being of our collaborators and their families, as well as community actions undertaken together with FEMSA and our partners at the Coca-Cola Company.

As we usually do, I will begin this call by summarizing our consolidated results for the quarter. Then I will take a moment to dive deeper into key developments and highlights from our territories. At the close, I will hand over the call to Jerry, who will walk you through our division's performance. Now moving on to review our consolidated results for the third quarter. Despite double-digit volume growth in the previous year, we increased our consolidated volumes by 0.8% to reach 1.04 billion unit cases. This growth was driven mainly by Brazil, Guatemala and our Central America territories, offsetting volume declines in Mexico, Colombia and Uruguay. Sparkling beverage volumes outperformed, driven mainly by brand Coca-Cola's 2.8% growth. Still beverages grew 4.9% and bottled water remained flat, offsetting mid-single-digit declines in flavors and bulk water.

Despite the moderation in the pace of volume growth, total revenues for the quarter grew 10.7%, reaching MXN 69.6 billion, driven mainly by our revenue management initiatives and favorable mix effects. Unlike previous quarters, this quarter saw a more neutral currency translation impact with currency-neutral revenues increasing 11.3%. The positive translation effects from most operating currencies into Mexican pesos were balanced out by the depreciation of the Brazilian real and the Argentine peso.

Gross profit increased 11.3% to reach MXN 32.1 billion, leading to a margin expansion of 20 basis points to reach 46.1%. This increase was driven mainly by top line growth, easing raw material costs and favorable hedging strategies. However, these effects were partially offset by an increase in purchases of finished product in Brazil, higher fixed costs and the depreciation of the Argentine peso. Operating income increased 13.9% to reach MXN 9.6 billion, with operating margin expanding 30 basis points to reach 13.8%. The positive effect from top line growth and favorable mix, coupled with cost and expense efficiencies continues to mitigate margin pressures from higher operating expenses, such as labor, marketing, freight and maintenance.

Importantly, our operating income for the quarter includes a favorable effect of approximately MXN 340 million, driven by the recovery of insurance claims in Mexico, related to the impact of Hurricane Otis in Guerrero, which affected the region in October last year. Excluding this effect, our operating margin would have contracted 10 basis points to 13.4%. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter increased 18.4% to reach MXN 14 billion and adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 130 basis points to 20.1%. Finally, our majority net income increased 8.9% to reach MXN 5.9 billion. This increase was driven mainly by operating income growth which was partially offset by an increase in our comprehensive financial result and in income taxes.

Now expanding into our operations highlights. In Mexico, our volume declined 1.5% compared to double-digit growth last year. This quarter's performance was affected by 50% more rainfall and lower temperatures than the previous year. Additionally, consumption patents during the quarter moderated driven by a deceleration in private consumption growth and overall economic activity. Against this backdrop, we continued implementing initiatives aligned with our priority to grow our core business. For instance, the implementation of our revamped portfolio architecture enabled Bank Coca-Cola volumes to remain stable year-on-year, driven by 6% growth in multi-serve one-way presentations and 7% growth in Coke sugar, zero sugar. In stills, Growth was driven mainly by strong performance in brands Powerade, Fuse and Monster as well as our [ Sataclarada ] dairy portfolio. In line with these initiatives and our commercial prowess, our team has focused on expanding our customer base, successfully adding 70,000 new customers in Mexico year-to-date.

Furthermore, we continued advancing our digital transformation with Juntos+. This quarter, we added approximately 70,000 monthly active buyers to a wrap, reaching 405,000. Today, in Mexico, digital orders represent more than 40% of our total, supported by the rollout of our loyalty program with more than 260,000 customers redeeming points. Looking ahead, we are confident in the prospects for growth in our Mexico territory, driven by the continuation of consumption drivers such as increases in disposable income from real wage growth, social programs, infrastructure projects and near-shoring trends. Consequently, we remain committed to expanding our manufacturing capacity by 4% in 2024, including a third new bottling line that is expected to begin production next month.

In terms of our workhouse capacity, we are expanding pallet positions by more than 25% as compared to 2023, adding 4 new distribution centers coupled with layout optimizations and increased productivity. Notably, we have expanded our primary distribution fleet by 13% and secondary distribution fleet by 6%, strengthening our ability to meet growing demand in Mexico. Moving on to Central America. Volumes in Guatemala increased 7.5%. Our initiatives to grow that core business continue driving outstanding results in a market that enjoys a young and growing population, where consumers are moving from rural to urban areas. Guatemala consumers are looking for convenience and affordability while rapidly increasing digital adoption. All these factors are tailwinds for long-term growth. To maintain this rapid volume pace, we are focusing on capturing white spaces in the market and improving our service levels.

For instance, in 2024, we have increased our total customer base by 7% year-on-year, adding 9,000 customers, while our digital client base doubled as compared to the previous year. As we have mentioned in previous calls, Guatemala has doubled its volume since 2017. Therefore, we need to increase production, warehouse and route-to-market capacity to enable future growth. To this end, we have added two production lines in 2024, and we expect to add two more next year. Alongside these efforts, our supply chain team is increasing the number of routes by 17% in 2024 as compared to 2023.

Now moving on to our markets in South America. In Brazil, despite the suspension of our plant in Portalegre, we continue to deliver consistent volume growth, up 6.3% year-on-year on the back of favorable weather and improving macro fundamentals supported by positive consumption patterns. We have continued to improve our service levels versus the prior year. Reducing on availability as well as increasing our client count and visits, which have supported our positive results. Additionally, our robust 360-degree plants, together with the Coca-Cola Company, for Coca-Cola zero sugar have continued to accelerate its volume growth to reach 59% year-over-year. Regarding sports and energy drinks, brands powered and [indiscernible] have achieved double-digit volume growth of 52% and 15%, respectively, leveraging the Olympics, Copa America and Copa Libertadores, as well as capitalizing on other market opportunities.

Year-to-date, our multi-category revenues, excluding beer, grew 24%. This growth led our multi-category revenue mix without beer to reach 2% during the quarter, aligned with our ambition to reach 5% of revenues in the coming years. In Digital, half of our clients are placing orders on a weekly basis with Juntos+. Additionally, our loyalty plan continues to gain traction with more than 100,000 clients redeeming points year-to-date. We have also launched the pilot of our new sales force automation to Juntos+ advisers, which has already delivered promising results. Powered by advanced AI model, Juntos+ Advisors enhances our sales force capabilities, enabling us to support our clients to reach their full potential. This tool significantly complements our customers' omnichannel experience, offering a more seamless and personalized interaction across all touch points. We expect to gather learnings from this initiative and expand the rollout to the rest of Brazil and other markets in 2025. Finally, our recovery plan to reopen our facility in Porto Alegre is moving according to expectations. We have now resumed operations in our distribution center, initially at partial capacity, while bottling of production is expected to resume gradually in the upcoming months. We expect to operate at full plant capacity during the first half of 2025. In Colombia, as was the case during the second quarter, we continue to see a decline in consumer confidence and household expenditures. Consequently, our volumes for the quarter contracted 4% year-on-year. In this environment, our team implemented initiatives to provide affordability to our consumers in both single-serve and multi-serve refillable bottles. As a result, we have increased our refillable coverage, driving 6% volume growth in these presentations year-over-year. Additionally, our team in Colombia remains focused on expanding our customer base. As a result, we have added more than 22,000 customers, 6% ahead of year-end 2023. Despite softer top line growth in Colombia, our team's effort in driving cost and expense efficiencies is driving profitability improvements.

Finally, our quarterly performance in Argentina. Although the impact on consumption during the year was worse than expected. Macro indicators, such as monthly inflation have continued to gladly improve, basing the 4% monthly inflation figure. To best navigate this environment, our strategy is focused on maintaining our customer base and household penetration to be well positioned for the eventual economic recovery. This strategy has allowed us to maintain attractive price points as we offer convenience and promotions to our consumers. So far, this approach is working as we have been gradually recovering volumes throughout the year. Consequently, we are reporting stable volumes for the third quarter compared to the previous year. At the same time, our team continues leveraging rigorous cost and expense controls while accelerating digital as an labor.

Year-to-date, our digital client base has doubled and digital orders represent 30% of our total orders in the traditional trade. As we have mentioned in previous calls, we anticipate a gradual recovery in Argentina, as our team continues executing our playbook that is allowing us to outperform and emerge stronger. Reflecting on the first 9 months of the year, we have progressed along the three key drivers that have been a priority for the year, built on the growth momentum of our core business. Take Juntos+ version 4.0 to the next level with the deployment of advanced AI capabilities; and three, continue fostering a customer-centric and psychologically safe culture for Coca-Cola FEMSA. As we enter the final stretch of the year, we remain committed to our strategy and the implementation of our sustainable long-term growth model.

With that, I will hand the call over to Jerry.

G
Gerardo Celaya
executive

Thank you, Ian. Good morning, everyone. Summarizing our division's results for the third quarter. In Mexico and Central America, volumes declined 0.7%, reached 629 million unit cases. Volume growth in Guatemala and our Central America territories was offset by volume declines in Mexico. Revenues increased 9.6% to MXN 42.5 billion driven mainly by our revenue management initiatives and favorable currency translation into Mexican pesos. Gross profit increased 10.7% to reach MXN 20.7 billion, resulting in a gross margin of 48.6%, expanding 70 basis points year-on-year. Our top line growth, favorable hedging initiatives and improving sweetener and packaging costs were partially offset by higher fixed costs. Operating income increased 11.3% to MXN 6.7 billion, driven mainly by gross profit growth. Our operating margin expanded 30 basis points to 15.8%. As Ian mentioned, during the quarter, we recognized insurance claim payments in Mexico of approximately MXN 340 million related to the impact from Hurricane [ notice ] during the previous year.

These effects offset an operating foreign exchange loss and higher expenses, such as labor, marketing and freight. Finally, our adjusted EBITDA in Mexico and Central America grew 15%, leading to a 110 basis point margin expansion to 22.1%. Moving on to the South America division. Volumes increased 3.1% to 412.1 million unit cases. This increase was driven by the 6.3% growth achieved in Brazil and stable performance in Argentina, which offset volume contractions in Colombia and Uruguay. Our revenues in South America increased 13.6% to MXN 27.1 billion, driven mainly by volume growth and favorable mix.

These effects were partially offset by unfavorable currency translation effects into Mexican pesos, driven by the depreciation of the Argentine peso and the Brazilian real. On a currency neutral basis, total revenues in South America increased 19.5%. Gross profit in South America increased 12.2%, leading to a margin contraction of 60 basis points to 42.1%. This margin contraction was driven mainly by higher sweetener costs, purchases of finished product, and currency depreciation from most of our operating currencies as compared to the U.S. dollar. These effects were partially offset by declining packaging costs and favorable hedging initiatives.

Operating income for the division increased 20.6% to MXN 2.9 billion and operating margin expanded 60 basis points to 10.8%. This margin expansion was driven mainly by operating leverage, coupled with cost and expense controls across our operations. These effects were partially offset by margin pressures in Argentina, coupled with higher fixed costs and expenses, such as freight and labor. On a currency-neutral basis, operating income increased 25.7%.

Finally, adjusted EBITDA in South America increased 25.8% to MXN 4.6 billion, and adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 170 basis points to 17%. Moving on to our comprehensive financial result, which recorded an expense of MXN 823 million as compared to an expense of MXN 552 million during the same period of the previous year. In the third quarter, we registered an increase in our comprehensive financial result driven mainly by a lower foreign exchange gain as compared to the previous year, coupled with an increase in our interest expense net partially offset by a higher gain in inflationary subsidiaries as compared to the same period of 2023.

Finally, before opening the call to your questions, I want to take a moment to recognize our team's effort across all of Coca-Cola FEMSA to achieve the sustainability performance target related to our sustainability-linked bonds in Mexico. As we announced last September, because of our investments in water efficiency programs, we achieved the water use efficiency ratio of 1.36 liters per liter of beverage produced, a benchmark for the Coca-Cola system. This is a 21% improvement in water efficiency as compared to 2016.

Thank you all for joining us today in today's call. Operator, we are ready to open the call for questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Felipe Ucros with Scotiabank.

F
Felipe Ucros Nunez
analyst

Thanks, operator. Ian, Jerry and team, thanks for the space. So first, a question on Brazil. Coke has been posting very solid results there. But in recent conversations, you have mentioned that even with the help of enabling bottlers, you're still not being able to fully make demand from what I understand. And of course, it's costly getting products from third parties and for other regions. In my mind, that kind of means that you have easy comps in Southern Brazil next year as your plant ramps up. kind of meet the demand fully and your unit cost starts going down. Am I thinking of this correctly? And then my second question is about pilots and multi-category. Just wondering if you can give us an update on how the pilots are going under expectations for the next few quarters?

I
Ian Marcel Craig GarcĂ­a
executive

Hello, Felipe Yes, I think you would be correct. The impact on Brazil, this plant was about 10% of our capacity there. So in this low season, we have been able to be sourcing probably around 10 million unit cases from other bottlers. So it's a lot of volume that we have been sourcing from other bottlers, and we have been shipping from other regions in Coca-Cola FEMSA and this has helped in the volumes, but these cases are not really profitable cases at all, they're intended just to maintain our competitive position. So you're right that as our capacity comes back online, then there will be more favorable comps just because those cases will have much less freight and cost attached to them. Also in line with that, obviously, in the fourth quarter were in Brazil is high season, where it's going to be a lot more difficult to be sourcing those cases from other bottlers in the southern territories, because everyone is usually up to capacity.

So that's going to have an impact there. In terms of pilots and multi-category, I think we're moving along well, we're around 1 point for the total mix is around [ 1.6 ], I guess, 1.6%. We have markets such as Brazil at 2%. We have smaller markets, such as Uruguay and Panama, around 10%; Costa Rica almost reaching 3%. So I think we're comfortable with our guidance that our ambition is to reach 5% of revenues, excluding beer. It's going to be a long journey, though.

As you know, these are not -- it's not easy, for our partners to unwind or include as a part of their distribution structure, but everything is progressing according to our ambition, okay?

Operator

Our next question is from Alejandro Fuchs.

A
Alejandro Fuchs
analyst

The results. I have very 2 quick ones, if I may, first for [indiscernible]. On gross margin in South America, I wanted to see if you could give us a little bit more color on how to think about it going forward. I was a little bit surprised to see gross margin contraction year-over-year in South America, while Mexico expanded materially. So maybe if you can give us some color there would be helpful. And then the second, very quickly on Juntos+ advisers . I understand maybe a little bit soon to tell right now, but I wanted to see if you have any initial findings that you think are worth sharing maybe in terms of frequency or average ticket, that could help us.

I
Ian Marcel Craig GarcĂ­a
executive

Thank you, Alejandro. First, on the gross margin question in South America, we saw pressure mainly coming from increase in sweeteners versus the previous year in gross margin. We also had some promotional activity in Colombia. As Ian mentioned in the prepared remarks, Colombia has been facing a tougher consumer environment driven by disposable income contraction. So we have done a lot of work in terms of promotional activity to position ourselves better. I think those are the main explanations that we have affecting gross margin, also the effect of Argentina and the depreciation of the Argentine peso versus the dollar has put some pressure in gross margin. We think that the three effects that we're seeing in South America this quarter short-term effects, and we expect a more benign raw material environment and stable currency in Argentina as we move forward.

So we would expect that gross margin would improve as we move forward. Also, Alex, just moving on to to the second point. I mean, Juntos+ advisers just think of it this way. We had advanced very rapidly on the WhatsApp bot and advance very rapidly on our AI analytics. And what happened is both our bot runner app with our AI analytics, we could do customized promotions by client. And our sales force tool we were still on our legacy technology. So all of the activities and initiatives that we were filtering down via our salesperson had to be done by segments, not by client. So we were not utilizing the full potential of our AI tools. So what we're being able to do now with Juntos+ advisers is we leverage our analytics to the fullest. So all of the promotions and the guided missions go all the way down to the client level. And all of these are done by AI analytics. And the feedback from our sales force has been just phenomenal. They're very excited. They're accelerating the rollout of we're finding out very good things on the ground.

For example, we were curious visiting our client on why even though it was one of our key initiatives we were not promoting -- I think it was a Coke 2 liter promotion. And our team went there and visited that client, and he had enough stocks of Coke 2 liter. So the way these models work and they take into account the particular situation of each client with its history and our surrounding area is nothing short of amazing. They are also helping them -- the sales team has goals on combined coverages, many other initiatives, and they have total visibility on a client per client level without having to carry around 3 or 4 sheets of paper to see how things are going. So, we're very excited with it. Just think about it as putting our sales force on the same, footing, in terms of AI and the tools that they need as the clients have order digitally. Does that help, Alejandro?

Operator

Our next question is from Lucas Ferreira with JPMorgan.

L
Lucas Ferreira
analyst

I hope you can hear me -- my first question is on Brazil, the Portage plant closure. Last quarter, you gave the guidance of MXN 120 million impact on the results. wondering if you have some visibility of how much it was this quarter. And if you have any sort of expectations for the full year, some, you restart the plant fully, right, like you mentioned in the first -- we were starting now, but we'll be fully operating that plant next year. And how much you expect insurance to cover these losses. I believe it won't be fully covering, but why don't we have an expectation for how much that could cover. And second question, I want to get if you want to -- if you can dive a bit deeper into Colombia, what's the outlook there? After this quarter, which was more turbulence, if you expect a rebound soon in terms of readjusting go-to-market and pricing eventually and get Colombia sort of back on track?

Can you put it this way? So how to think about the numbers for Colombia in the next few quarters.

I
Ian Marcel Craig GarcĂ­a
executive

Thank you, Lucas. I'll start with the first one regarding Poa plant in Brazil. The impact that we recorded this quarter was for MXN 200 million, mainly for incremental freight, expenses, maintenance, all the cleaning process and labor expenses. We expect that the toughest impact we will face on additional expenses will be on the fourth quarter, mainly because of the higher volume that we have in high season that quarter. The insurance claim process, as you know, is a long one. We just talked about just having recorded the insurance claim payments this quarter from the workpiece hurricane in Mexico that happened last year. Gladly, the process has been working quite well. The coverages that we have and the relationship that we have with the insurance company works very, very well, a very positive dialogue and we expect that we should be covering most of these expenses as we move forward.

In the case of Colombia, Luca, I think the third quarter was our most challenging one. You've seen year-over-year growth in Colombia and start up very strong, almost 10% then 1% the second quarter then minus 4%. And I think given the comps in the fourth quarter, where we have the effects of the tax comparable from November and December. And just looking at the 2-year trend in Colombia, it's a lot more stable. So we will definitely expect a sequential improvement from the third quarter in the fourth quarter in Colombia, and in terms of profitability as well.

So it will be, let's say, a stabilization. So it will be -- we do expect -- sorry, it's an expectation. We do expect a sequential improvement from the third quarter. Which I think was a low point for Colombia for us. And we're no longer going to be cycling negative comps from the tax point of view.

Operator

Our next question is from Ben Theurer with Barclays.

B
Benjamin Theurer
analyst

Jerry. I wanted to follow up a little bit on the digital platform and how it helps you maybe on pricing of products versus promotioning et cetera? Because it feels like you had a very successful pricing kind of success in the in the quarter, right? Volumes in Mexico down, but revenue is actually nicely up. So just help us understand how the tools help you on your pricing architecture and your price policies within your different regions to deliver pricing that at least on paper looks like it was once again above like general inflation level. So really just around how you use the tools. That would be my first question as it relates to pricing. And then I have a quick follow-up.

G
Gerardo Celaya
executive

Sure. Ben, so just taking a step back, the general way that we think of pricing is we want to make sure we grow our relative competitive position in the market in terms of share of revenues. And the pricing that we can get is really a solver to that as long as we continue improving even marginally, but we want to keep improving our relative competitive position, and really price is a function of what we can do within that context and also taking into account particularity in areas that have been impacted by weather ends or something like that, we want to make sure we maintain our affordability. That's like the general overall strategy framework then. And really, what we have is the analytics team has developed very advanced RGM tools and price optimizer tools.

You know that, let us do like I mentioned before, we would have to review this monthly or quarterly segmented and now it's done by customers just with a lot more higher uplift in all of these strategies, much more targeted. So I credit this, not with the front-end digital tools, but really the back-end AI advanced auto ML models that we have developed, both on the pricing optimizer and RGM tools.

B
Benjamin Theurer
analyst

Okay. Perfect. And then as you think about rolling out the technology, and we've talked a lot in the past about Version 4.0 and like the different deteriorations as it goes beyond the recurrent statutes. What is like your thinking as well of rolling out these initiatives, some of the other markets, particularly Central America as it relates to just the digital platforms to really drive growth there as well?

I
Ian Marcel Craig GarcĂ­a
executive

Well, I mean, we're growing faster than we have planned at the end -- at the start of the year. So the only two countries that we will have left is Argentina and Uruguay, which will be rolled out in the first quarter. So Version 4.0 will be available in all of KOF. I mean the results are very good in Central America as well. The feedback is very positive. It's stable, it's growing quickly. So we have nothing to add on that. It's faster than scheduled and will be done by the first quarter. And I come back to Ben, what I mentioned to Alejandro from Itau, which is the adviser. That's something that's going to give us a big boost. Juntos+ advisor just think of it, we still have a large proportion of our sales that go through our pre-seller. And even as sales from our pre-seller mix go down in mix towards our digital tunnels. We're still going to keep our feet on the street.

And this tool allows it to drive all of these guided initiatives, guided missions that include execution missions new product introduction mission. So it's just going to be a big boost to the other 70% of our sales that went through other channels. So I think that's going to be a big uplift that we didn't have visibility on and it's surprising us to the upside in what we're rolling out in Brazil.

Operator

Our next question is from Fernando Olvera with Bank of America.

F
Fernando Olvera Espinosa de los Monteros
analyst

And the first one is related to Mexico. If you can comment more about the volume decline, that you registered during the quarter, and mainly in JokWater. And it would be great to hear your thoughts about consumption about consumption environment going forward? And my second question is related to Argentina. If you can expand on the recovery that you are seeing, because it seems that it's going faster than expected now? And what is your outlook for coming quarters. .

I
Ian Marcel Craig GarcĂ­a
executive

I think in Mexico, you have to think of it in two main drivers that it's very hard for us to quantify what comes from which of these two variables. But the first one is, I think our region in Mexico had a huge increase in rainfall and precipitation. So it was 50% higher than the same quarter of last year. Total precipitation as of September of 2024, was already 6% higher than precipitation for the full year of 2023. So I think we're very grateful that we received all of this rain because it's solved all of the water reservoir levels, which were low, and now they're all above 60-plus percent.

So we have very good water levels in the reservoirs in our region. But the downside of it is that it did have an impact on consumption. As you know, our consumption relates to precipitation very directly, and we had a lot of rainfall and it also complicated our Acapulco plant as well and our logistics in general. So that was one causese there, and that's probably going to be maybe a recurrent weather pattern with this new climate reality. These more extreme heat and rainfall. And then on the other part, you have a decrease in economic activity.

So I think there were quite a bit of payments and help that might have been advanced before elections, and we enjoy the benefits of that in consumption. But when you look at gross disposable income, the monthly economic activity indicator [ guy ], for August and September, and you see sequential declines versus what we had in since -- at the June levels. So it is true that Mexico has been slower, and we see this across categories. I think beverages is probably more impacted in our part of the country because of these hurricanes and -- tropical rains. So those are the two effects that we see. Like we mentioned in the [indiscernible] very positive in Mexico in general in the medium term, Fernando because -- we're going to be having many infrastructure projects in our corner of Mexico. Now it's going to be the Queretaro, Mexico City train line. The other projects continue on track with expansions as well.

Then we have announced -- the government has announced new also social programs. And all of these translate directly to increasing disposable income and consumption of our category. So I think our view on Mexico is positive on wages and positive on consumption for us. So that should be good in the medium term. And then we have Argentina, which I think we play -- we developed a good playbook there with the local team. We went in there knowing that there was going to be a very acute crisis, and we had to maintain or we wanted to maintain household penetration and customer base. And we took affordability very seriously, expanded it reduced our gap -- competitive GAAP versus the other competitors that were out there. And I think that playbook played out very nicely where we had flat volumes for this quarter. And hopefully, we can have positive volumes for the fourth quarter. It's going to be a very slow and gradual recovery because the crisis has been sharp.

But I think the government is taking many right actions. And gradually, we are recovering and the playbook that was laid out is working very, very well. So I think we're positive on Argentina, but we want to be cautious that it's not -- I don't think it's going to be a V-shaped recovery, but a gradual recovery there. And that's what we're seeing so far, so good.

Operator

Our next question is from Lucas Muse with Morgan Stanley.

U
Unknown Analyst

I have one on Mexico, particularly on margins. We finally started to see sugar prices behaving a little bit better on the margin. and translating into a better gross margin environment for Mexico. So what don't you hear our latest thoughts thinking about next year. How comfortable are you that sugar in Mexico could continue to be a tailwind for your margins, for costs. We know that a the Mexican prices are not necessarily correlated to international quotes, but there was a relevant recent uptick on international sugar prices. We also have a weaker Mexican peso. So just wanted to hear latest thoughts on how sustainable you think this tailwind can be for the Mexican division coming into 2025. And that's my first question.

My second question is also in Argentina. But if you could elaborate a little bit better as it pertains to your strategy. I think that it is safe to say that today, you have a strategy that is looking more tilted towards volume performance, maintaining volumes. And I think that the flattish performance is actually quite impressive, especially compared to other players that have operations in the region. But I wanted to know what about your margin perspective? Are you guys being able to perhaps offset a more conservative pricing environment with more efficiencies. So just wanted to hear our thoughts on margins in Argentina. That's it.

G
Gerardo Celaya
executive

Hi Lucas, and thank you for your question. I'll start with Mexico. Gross margin, we saw margins expanding this quarter, mainly on the back of things that you mentioned, better outlook or better situation in the sweeteners cost as well as packaging and also revenue management initiatives that allowed us to perform better in gross margin this quarter. As we move forward and looking at the general raw material environment, we do expect stability we do expect sugar to continue to be a tailwind locally in the Mexican market. But in general, we don't expect to see pressure. So that should continue to be something that will help the performance as we move on.

In terms of Argentina, the general strategy has been, as you mentioned, to favor volumes to gain relative scale. We have learned in many years that during tougher situations we usually come out stronger at the other end. So this is what we're favoring trying to position ourselves better in terms of affordability, understanding that consumers are at a complicated situation. And that has proven to be a good position for us.

I
Ian Marcel Craig GarcĂ­a
executive

I think if you think of it in terms of margins, we did have a contraction this year, both of the overall EBIT as well as in terms of margins. So this double-digit contraction in EBIT and I think we contracted 200-plus basis points on margins. I think on next year, for example, we should see the reverse of that. I mean high double-digit growth in EBIT, maybe 100-plus points on margin. So -- but it's a gradual recovery that's going to take its time Lucas.

Operator

Our next question is from Antonio Hernandez with Act Invest.

U
Unknown Analyst

[indiscernible] On the results. Just wanted to understand regarding you expanded both operating margin, gross margin and EBITDA margin, but seen that if look at the difference between the EBIT margin expansion on the EBITDA margin expansion and seeing that the MAM operating loan cash charges grew were higher than sales and higher than other metrics year-over-year. Could you elaborate a little bit more on that and the drivers of that growth of the million or operating noncash charges?

I
Ian Marcel Craig GarcĂ­a
executive

Thank you, Antonio. We would have had a better performance in EBIT margins similar to what we saw in EBITDA margins, but we had two virtual effects. two main virtual effects that affected EBIT margins more. The first one is the one that we've been talking about for the past few months, which is the depreciation of the Mexican peso and the noncash effect that, that has on dollar-denominated accounts payable. The second effect was a reclassification of guaranteed deposits that should have been in the balance sheet as accounts receivable and had been registered in the P&L. So we corrected that effect. But in terms of the full year, this effect is neutralized in full year numbers. This was for an amount of about MXN 220 million.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. And just a quick follow-up on what you mentioned weather headwinds and a lot of different challenges in terms of volumes in Mexico. If there was anything of that volume performance driven by [indiscernible]. Thanks. .

J
Jorge Alejandro Pereda
executive

Antonio, it's Jorge here. Yes, actually, we did have also an effect of stock-outs in Mexico, mainly at the beginning. So it's something that, as you know, we have been seeing in Mexico, and that's one thing that we think we're going to take advantage of next year because -- as Ian mentioned, we have been expanding capacity in Mexico. If you look at his prepared remarks, he expanded a lot not only on the bottling facilities that we are expanding on the capacity, but also in warehouse capacity in route to market in trucks and also in the primary distribution, secondary distribution. So we don't see that as a big of an impact going forward. But still in the third quarter at the beginning, we did see a little bit of an impact there from stock outs.

And I think it also explains and I will connect a little bit of the question from Fer because if you look at category performance in Mexico, actually, Brand Coca-Cola outperformed. But because of stock-outs, we did have an impact on flavors partly. So it explains that the stock out something.

Operator

Our next question comes from Tiago Cardium with Citi.

U
Unknown Analyst

Yes, Ian, Gerardo and Jorge. First, congrats on the results. I'd like to explore two topics here. The first one is focusing a bit more on Brazil. So just wondering here what you're seeing for the region, specifically in terms of profitability for next year. We understand here that there could be positive impacts first from operating leverage, right, as the [indiscernible] plant gets back online. And hopefully, we have some product mix from the Coca-Cola zero, right? And my second question would be, so continuing with the Coca-Cola zero. I understand it has a lot of potential. We've seen very good acceptance of the product here in Brazil. So just wondering maybe not specifically for Brazil, right, but for all the regions. What's the potential you're seeing here for this product in terms of like market penetration and specifically also profitability. So whatever information you can share with us will be -- will appreciate it here?

I
Ian Marcel Craig GarcĂ­a
executive

I'll start with the first one, Tiago. Regarding profitability in Brazil. As I mentioned, I think in one of the previous questions, fourth quarter in Brazil, we do expect to see higher pressure from the [indiscernible] deficit in capacity. As you know, we will be recovering that capacity mainly during the first quarter of next year. So we do expect the high season in Brazil to have a higher impact in freight and whatever we're being able to buy from other franchises, both from Coca-Cola FEMSA and others. Obviously, you know we sell at 0 profit to maintain a position in the region. So that will present a challenge in terms of profitability. We do expect demand to continue to perform. But in terms of supply, we will be limited so that will pose some pressure. As we move forward to next year, and I think we talked a little bit about this as well.

Next year with the plant coming back online and all of the things that we're doing there as a result of the disaster that we had, we do expect that, that will be a tailwind for 2025.

G
Gerardo Celaya
executive

Also, I think in terms of Coke, no sugar, Brazil has been an inspiration for all of the markets is doing very, very well, growing very high double digits. And the good thing that I can say is probably Mexico was the 1 market where we have been having a tougher time with Coke Zero a very small proportion of the mix, almost 3% compared to 20% in Brazil in Cola. So -- but what we have been seeing now in Mexico is it's finally starting to accelerate. So in this third quarter, we had high single-digit growth in Mexico. We're trying to emulate the Brazilian playbook, which is a 360-degree playbook with entry price points, the right packages influencers a 360-degree plan, properties such as music festivals, soccer and also in and out for the brand like [indiscernible] and other flavor varieties and the one bright spot that I would say outside is it's starting to accelerate in Mexico.

It's too early to say that this is sustainable. But if we can keep this up and emulate what we have done in Brazil in this other very large market could get very, very positive results.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question is from Ulises Argote with Santander.

U
Ulises Argote Bolio
analyst

[indiscernible].

Operator

Apologies Mr. Argote your line is a little bit we cannot hear you. Apologies to our host. We cannot Mr. Argote's line, perhaps -- he can submit his question. offline?

J
Jorge Alejandro Pereda
executive

Yes, maybe Ulises. Ulises.

Operator

Mr. Argote, you'd like to try 1 more time.

U
Ulises Argote Bolio
analyst

Apologies there. So the question was more around market share dynamics in Mexico. I was wondering if you could provide any color on how this has been evolving more recently, particularly given the volumes that we saw in Mexico are kind of declining for the third quarter. And in the sense, maybe how you're kind of tying this on your pricing versus volume strategy heading into next year?

J
Jorge Alejandro Pereda
executive

Yes, Ulises. I'm glad you managed to sort that out there with the audio. Yes, regarding market share in Mexico, I think what we have seen is a little bit of a mix performance because what we have been focusing on with the strategy, as you know, we have been discussing, is reversing the trend that we had in brand Coca-Cola. So with the current environment where we are in, we have been protecting share in brand Coca-Cola, but in hindsight and connecting that with stock outs as well as we mentioned in a previous question, we have had some share erosion in flavors. And as a result, there is a little bit of loss of share in this pipeline. Cola has been slightly -- just slightly down. [indiscernible] In supplying our customers.

U
Ulises Argote Bolio
analyst

Perfect. That's very clear. And any comments into how you're thinking on pricing volumes on this backdrop into next year?

I
Ian Marcel Craig GarcĂ­a
executive

Like I think I mentioned before, we want to make sure we recover our competitive position. We have plenty of points, almost 500 basis points of share that we need to recover in Mexico. So that's a big objective for us.

J
Jorge Alejandro Pereda
executive

Well, thank you, everyone, for your interest in today's call for joining us today. And as always, myself, the rest of the Investor Relations team, we are available for any remaining of your questions. And we look forward to seeing you very soon. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you very much. That concludes today's conference. We appreciate your participation. Have a wonderful weekend.