Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one KNX stock under the Base Case scenario is 52.27 USD. Compared to the current market price of 57.1 USD, Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc is Overvalued by 8%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. stands as a formidable player in the logistics and freight transportation sector, boasting a diverse suite of services that positions it favorably within this essential industry. Born from the merger of Knight Transportation and Swift Transportation in 2017, the company has expertly combined the strengths of its predecessors to create an expansive network well-equipped to meet the evolving demands of clients across North America. With a fleet exceeding 20,000 trucks and a robust logistics network, Knight-Swift demonstrates a commitment to efficient, reliable freight solutions that cater to a wide range of industries, ensuring that goods reach their d...
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. stands as a formidable player in the logistics and freight transportation sector, boasting a diverse suite of services that positions it favorably within this essential industry. Born from the merger of Knight Transportation and Swift Transportation in 2017, the company has expertly combined the strengths of its predecessors to create an expansive network well-equipped to meet the evolving demands of clients across North America. With a fleet exceeding 20,000 trucks and a robust logistics network, Knight-Swift demonstrates a commitment to efficient, reliable freight solutions that cater to a wide range of industries, ensuring that goods reach their destinations safely and on time. This strategic breadth not only enhances customer satisfaction but also provides a stable revenue stream, making it an attractive option for investors seeking exposure to the transport sector.
What sets Knight-Swift apart is its focus on technology and operational excellence, fostering an environment where innovation drives profitability. The company leverages cutting-edge logistics software and data analytics to optimize routes and improve fuel efficiency, resulting in cost savings that bolster margins and shareholder value. Furthermore, Knight-Swift's strategic acquisitions have fortified its market presence and expanded service offerings, positioning the company for continued growth in a competitive landscape. For investors, Knight-Swift represents a compelling opportunity—an organization with a strong track record, strategic vision, and the ability to adapt to market changes, encapsulating Buffett and Munger’s philosophy of investing in companies with solid fundamentals and potential for long-term success.
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. operates primarily in the transportation and logistics sector, and its core business segments are as follows:
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Truckload Transportation:
- This segment primarily includes long-haul trucking services. Knight-Swift provides full-truckload transportation solutions for a range of freight, leveraging a fleet of both company-owned and owner-operator trucks. Services may include dry van, temperature-sensitive (refrigerated), and flatbed freight.
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Logistics:
- The logistics segment focuses on freight brokerage and logistics management services. This includes coordinating shipments for customers by matching their freight needs with available carrier capacity. The logistics segment allows Knight-Swift to offer more comprehensive supply chain solutions, enhancing operational efficiency and flexibility for its clients.
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Dedicated Transportation:
- This segment involves providing dedicated truck transportation services for specific customers. Knight-Swift operates dedicated fleets that cater to the unique needs of clients, ensuring reliability and consistency in service. Dedicated transportation can be especially beneficial for businesses with predictable shipping volumes.
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Intermodal Transportation:
- Knight-Swift also participates in intermodal transportation, combining truck and rail services to move freight. This segment allows for more efficient movement of goods over long distances while optimizing costs and reducing carbon footprint compared to traditional truck-only solutions.
These segments collectively enable Knight-Swift to serve a diverse clientele across various industries, allowing for scalability and adaptation to changing market conditions. The company's integrated approach supports its growth strategy and enhances its competitive position in the transportation industry.
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc., as a major player in the North American transportation and logistics sector, possesses several unique competitive advantages over its rivals:
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Diversified Service Offerings: Knight-Swift operates a diverse range of services, encompassing both truckload and less-than-truckload (LTL) transportation, logistics management, and freight brokerage. This diversification allows them to meet various customer needs and capture a broader market share.
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Scale and Fleet Size: Knight-Swift has one of the largest fleets in the trucking industry. This scale enables the company to leverage economies of scale in operations, improve efficiency, and reduce per-mile costs, which can be passed on to customers in the form of competitive pricing.
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Technology Integration: The company has invested significantly in technology to improve operational efficiency, including fleet management systems, route optimization, and telematics. These innovations enhance their ability to monitor shipments in real-time, reduce downtime, and improve customer service.
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Robust Brokerage Capabilities: Knight-Swift has developed a strong freight brokerage division, which allows them to effectively match freight capacity with demand. This capability provides customers with additional flexibility and helps maximize asset utilization.
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Strong Financial Position: Knight-Swift’s financial stability, characterized by solid cash flow and lower debt levels compared to some competitors, gives it the flexibility to invest in growth opportunities, new technology, and fleet expansion without over-leveraging.
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Brand Recognition and Reputation: Over the years, Knight and Swift have built strong brand recognition and a reputation for reliability and service quality. A strong brand can lead to customer loyalty and help attract new business.
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Strategic Acquisitions: The company has a history of making strategic acquisitions that have allowed it to expand its capabilities and service offerings, integrate operational efficiencies, and gain access to new markets.
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Customer Relationships: Long-standing relationships with a diverse range of customers across various industries provide Knight-Swift with a stable revenue base and the ability to negotiate contracts that can ensure consistent business.
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Geographic Reach: The extensive network of terminals and service locations allows for better service coverage and more efficient route management, which is critical for timely deliveries and customer satisfaction.
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Talent and Experience: The company has accumulated a wealth of industry expertise and talent through its leadership and workforce, which enhances decision-making and operational effectiveness.
These competitive advantages collectively position Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. favorably in the competitive landscape of the transportation and logistics industry and enable it to maintain a leading market position.
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc., one of the largest transportation companies in North America, faces a variety of risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key considerations:
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Economic Cycles: The transportation industry is heavily influenced by the economic environment. A slowdown in economic activity can lead to reduced demand for freight services, affecting revenues and profitability.
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Fuel Prices: Fluctuating diesel fuel costs can significantly impact operating margins. While the company can hedge against some fuel cost increases, sustained high prices can strain profitability.
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Regulatory Changes: The transportation industry is subject to various regulations at federal, state, and local levels, including safety, environmental standards, and driver working conditions. Changes in regulations can lead to increased operational costs or require significant adjustments to business practices.
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Labor Shortages: The trucking industry faces an ongoing driver shortage, which can lead to increased recruitment and training costs, as well as operational inefficiencies due to a lack of available drivers.
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Technological Advancements: Keeping up with technological changes, such as automation and data analytics, is crucial for maintaining competitiveness. Failure to adopt new technologies could hinder operational efficiency and customer service.
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Competition: The logistics and transportation sectors are highly competitive. Knight-Swift must continuously innovate and optimize its services to retain customers and attract new business.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Ongoing supply chain issues, such as those exacerbated by recent global events (e.g., the COVID-19 pandemic), can lead to delays and increased costs, affecting service delivery and customer satisfaction.
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Interest Rates: Rising interest rates could increase borrowing costs for the company, thus affecting capital expenditure and expansion plans.
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Environmental Sustainability: Increasing pressure to adopt sustainable practices could necessitate investments in fuel-efficient technologies or alternative energy sources, impacting short-term costs but potentially benefiting long-term competitiveness.
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Geopolitical Risks: Political instability, trade tariffs, or international relations can affect cross-border transportation and trade, leading to potential disruptions in operations.
Knight-Swift will need to strategically navigate these challenges while leveraging its strengths to remain a leader in the transportation sector. Addressing these risks through effective management and forward-thinking strategies is essential for sustained growth and profitability.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc
Current Assets | 1.4B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 166.3m |
Receivables | 881.4m |
Other Current Assets | 389.8m |
Non-Current Assets | 11.4B |
PP&E | 5.2B |
Intangibles | 6B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 173.9m |
Current Liabilities | 1.4B |
Accounts Payable | 293.2m |
Accrued Liabilities | 527.9m |
Other Current Liabilities | 608.4m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 4.3B |
Long-Term Debt | 2.7B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 1.7B |
Earnings Waterfall
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc
Revenue
|
7.5B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-2.6B
USD
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Gross Profit
|
4.8B
USD
|
Operating Expenses
|
-4.6B
USD
|
Operating Income
|
186.6m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-149.2m
USD
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Net Income
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37.5m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
KNX Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc's profitability score is 51/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc's profitability score is 51/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
KNX Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc's solvency score is 37/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc's solvency score is 37/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
KNX Price Targets Summary
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for KNX is 56.89 USD with a low forecast of 44.44 USD and a high forecast of 75.6 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for KNX is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings, Inc. engages in the provision of multiple truckload transportation and logistics services. The company is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona and currently employs 27,400 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2010-12-16. The firm provides multiple full truckload transportation, less-than-truckload (LTL), intermodal and logistics services through a nationwide network of business units and terminals in the United States and Mexico to serve customers throughout North America. In addition to its full truckload and LTL services, the Company also contracts with third-party capacity providers to provide a range of shipping solutions to its customers while creating driving jobs for its driving associates and business opportunities for independent contractors. The company has four segments: Truckload, Logistics, LTL and Intermodal. Its truckload segment’s services include irregular route and dedicated, refrigerated, expedited, flatbed, and cross-border transportation of various products, goods, and materials for its diverse customer base.
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Officers
The intrinsic value of one KNX stock under the Base Case scenario is 52.27 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 57.1 USD, Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc is Overvalued by 8%.