Kinetik Holdings Inc
NYSE:KNTK
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one KNTK stock under the Base Case scenario is 39.52 USD. Compared to the current market price of 61.65 USD, Kinetik Holdings Inc is Overvalued by 36%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Kinetik Holdings Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
Economic Moat
Kinetik Holdings Inc
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Kinetik Holdings Inc. is a burgeoning player in the energy sector, focused on developing and optimizing midstream natural gas infrastructure. The company’s core operations are centered around the processing, transportation, and storage of natural gas, positioning it strategically to capitalize on the increasing global demand for cleaner energy sources. With an extensive network of pipelines and processing plants, Kinetik is not just facilitating the flow of energy; it is contributing to a more sustainable energy ecosystem. The company's innovative approach to technology and its commitment to operational efficiency have set it apart in a competitive landscape, attracting attention from invest...
Kinetik Holdings Inc. is a burgeoning player in the energy sector, focused on developing and optimizing midstream natural gas infrastructure. The company’s core operations are centered around the processing, transportation, and storage of natural gas, positioning it strategically to capitalize on the increasing global demand for cleaner energy sources. With an extensive network of pipelines and processing plants, Kinetik is not just facilitating the flow of energy; it is contributing to a more sustainable energy ecosystem. The company's innovative approach to technology and its commitment to operational efficiency have set it apart in a competitive landscape, attracting attention from investors seeking long-term growth in a sector poised for transformative change.
As the world shifts towards decarbonization, Kinetik Holdings is uniquely positioned to benefit from trends favoring natural gas as a transitional fuel. By expanding its footprint in key geographic areas, particularly in resource-rich regions, Kinetik aims to enhance its market share and revenue streams. Moreover, the company's solid financial foundation, characterized by prudent capital management and steady cash flow generation, inspires confidence among stakeholders. For investors looking for a company that combines traditional energy expertise with a forward-looking vision, Kinetik Holdings presents a compelling narrative of growth, resilience, and alignment with global energy trends. The company's commitment to sustainability, along with its strategic initiatives, positions it as a noteworthy contender in the energy sector for years to come.
As of my last knowledge update in October 2023, Kinetik Holdings Inc. operates primarily in the energy sector, focusing on natural gas infrastructure and midstream services. Below are the core business segments typically associated with Kinetik Holdings Inc.:
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Midstream Services: This segment involves the transportation, processing, and storage of natural gas. Kinetik Holdings provides infrastructure such as pipelines, compression stations, and processing plants, facilitating the movement of natural gas from production sites to end-users.
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Natural Gas Processing: This includes the operations of gas processing facilities that extract valuable hydrocarbons, such as natural gas liquids (NGLs), from raw natural gas. This segment aims to enhance the value of the natural gas produced and ensure compliance with quality specifications.
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Logistics and Transportation: Kinetik often engages in the logistics of moving natural gas and related products. This may involve contracts with other energy companies to transport their materials, ensuring an efficient supply chain.
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Infrastructure Development: This segment focuses on building and maintaining the necessary infrastructure to support the midstream operations. This could include new pipeline construction, expansions of existing pipelines, and upgrades to processing facilities.
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Sustainability and Environmental Services: With an increasing focus on sustainability in the energy sector, Kinetik may also engage in projects aimed at reducing the environmental impact of natural gas operations, including emissions reduction and monitoring services.
It's important to check the latest financial reports and company announcements for the most current and detailed information about Kinetik Holdings Inc.'s business segments, as the company's strategy and focus areas may evolve.
To assess the unique competitive advantages of Kinetik Holdings Inc over its rivals, it's important to consider several factors that typically contribute to a company's competitive positioning. Since I don't have specific data on Kinetik Holdings, I'll outline some potential advantages based on general industry analysis:
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Technological Innovation: If Kinetik Holdings has developed proprietary technology or advanced systems that enhance efficiency, reduce costs, or improve service delivery, this could serve as a significant competitive edge.
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Strong Brand Recognition: A well-established brand can create customer loyalty and trust, allowing Kinetik to attract and retain customers more effectively than less known competitors.
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Economies of Scale: If Kinetik Holdings operates on a larger scale than its competitors, it may enjoy lower per-unit costs, enabling better pricing strategies and increased profit margins.
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Diverse Product/Service Offerings: A broader range of services or products can help Kinetik cater to a wider audience and meet varied customer needs, creating a one-stop-shop experience.
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Strategic Partnerships and Alliances: Collaborations with other companies can strengthen Kinetik's position, providing access to new markets or technologies that competitors may lack.
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Customer-Centric Approach: A strong focus on customer service and satisfaction can lead to higher retention rates, positive referrals, and ultimately, a stronger market presence.
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Financial Strength: A solid financial position allows for greater investment in growth opportunities, R&D, marketing, and the ability to weather economic downturns better than competitors.
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Regulatory Expertise: In heavily regulated industries, understanding and navigating regulatory requirements can be a significant advantage, helping to ensure compliance and reduce risks that other firms may face.
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Sustainability Practices: A commitment to sustainability and corporate responsibility can appeal to consumers and investors, differentiating Kinetik from competitors that may not prioritize these values.
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Data Analytics and Insights: Leveraging big data and analytics to understand market trends and customer behaviors can allow Kinetik to make informed strategic decisions that enhance its competitive position.
To gain a clearer understanding of Kinetik Holdings' specific advantages, a thorough market analysis comparing the company’s offerings, customer feedback, financial performance, and operational capabilities against its competitors is needed.
To evaluate the potential risks and challenges that Kinetik Holdings Inc. might face in the near future, we can consider various typical factors that affect companies in their industry. Even without specific internal or proprietary data, here are possible risks based on general market trends and business operations:
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Market Volatility: Kinetik operates in a sector that may be susceptible to economic fluctuations, commodity price changes, or shifts in demand. This volatility can affect revenue stability.
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Regulatory Changes: Depending on the industry (such as energy or transportation), regulatory changes can impose new compliance requirements or increase operational costs.
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Technological Innovation: Rapid technological advancements can make existing products or services obsolete. Kinetik must continually innovate to remain competitive.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain issues can lead to delays, increased costs, and operational inefficiencies. The reliance on third-party suppliers poses risks.
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Environmental and Social Concerns: Increasing scrutiny on environmental practices and social responsibilities can lead to reputational risks and the need for additional investments in sustainable practices.
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Competition: Increased competition, including from new entrants or alternative technologies, can pressure margins and market share.
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Geopolitical Risks: Political instability in operational regions or international trade tensions can impact market access and cost structures.
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Financial Stability: The company may face challenges if there are changes in interest rates, credit availability, or fluctuations in their capital structure.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As companies digitize operations, they become more vulnerable to cyber-attacks, which could compromise sensitive information or disrupt operations.
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Workforce Challenges: Labor shortages, union disputes, or shifts in employee expectations can impact operations and productivity.
By monitoring these potential risks and developing strategies to mitigate them, Kinetik Holdings Inc. can better position itself to navigate the challenges ahead. It's also essential for the company to engage in robust risk management practices and maintain transparency with stakeholders to build trust and resilience.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Kinetik Holdings Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Kinetik Holdings Inc
Current Assets | 285.9m |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 20.4m |
Receivables | 215.6m |
Other Current Assets | 49.8m |
Non-Current Assets | 6.6B |
Long-Term Investments | 2.1B |
PP&E | 3.3B |
Intangibles | 883.2m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 284.4m |
Current Liabilities | 398.7m |
Accounts Payable | 17.2m |
Accrued Liabilities | 197m |
Short-Term Debt | 150m |
Other Current Liabilities | 34.5m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 8.2B |
Long-Term Debt | 3.3B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 4.9B |
Earnings Waterfall
Kinetik Holdings Inc
Revenue
|
1.8B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-771.5m
USD
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Gross Profit
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1B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-765.7m
USD
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Operating Income
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250.3m
USD
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Other Expenses
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61m
USD
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Net Income
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311.3m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Kinetik Holdings Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q3 2024, Kinetik achieved record adjusted EBITDA of $266 million, a 23% increase year-over-year, driven by processed gas volumes growing 15% to 1.71 billion cubic feet per day. Strategic moves included acquiring a further stake in EPIC Crude, enhancing its position in the pipeline market. The company raised its 2024 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $970 million - $1 billion, projecting nearly 20% growth. Capital expenditures were refined to $270 million - $290 million. Recent EPA approvals for CO2 capturing will add economic benefits starting in 2025, supporting sustainability goals. A new pipeline project is set to enhance operational flexibility and capacity, positioning Kinetik for significant future growth.
What is Earnings Call?
KNTK Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Kinetik Holdings Inc's profitability score is 56/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Kinetik Holdings Inc's profitability score is 56/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
KNTK Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Kinetik Holdings Inc's solvency score is 27/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Kinetik Holdings Inc's solvency score is 27/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
KNTK Price Targets Summary
Kinetik Holdings Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for KNTK is 52.73 USD with a low forecast of 44.67 USD and a high forecast of 60.9 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for KNTK is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
KNTK Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Dividend Yield
Description
Kinetik Holdings, Inc. provides oil and gas production and distribution services. The company is headquartered in Houston, Texas. The company went IPO on 2017-04-04. The firm provides gathering, transportation, compression, processing, and treating services for companies that produce natural gas, natural gas liquids, crude oil and water. The firm has no independent operations or material assets outside its ownership interest in Altus Midstream. The firm Midscream assets included approximately 182 miles of in-service natural gas gathering pipelines, 46 miles of residue gas pipelines with four market connections and 38 miles of natural gas liquids (NGL) pipelines. Three cryogenic processing trains, each with nameplate capacity of 200 one million cubic feet per day (MMcf/d). Its other assets include an NGL truck loading terminal with six lease automatic custody transfer units and eight NGL bullet tanks with approximately 90,000-gallon capacity per tank.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one KNTK stock under the Base Case scenario is 39.52 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 61.65 USD, Kinetik Holdings Inc is Overvalued by 36%.