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Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2021-Q2

from 0
Operator

Welcome to ITT's 2021 Second Quarter Conference Call. Today is Friday, August 6, 2021. Today's call is being recorded and will be available for replay beginning at 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time. At this time, all participants have been placed in a listen-only mode. And the floor will be open for your questions following the presentation. [Operator Instructions]

It is now my pleasure to turn the floor over to Mark Macaluso, Vice President, Investor Relations. You may begin.

M
Mark Macaluso
VP, IR

Thank you, Christen, and good morning. It's my pleasure to welcome you to ITT's second quarter 2021 earnings conference call. Joining me here this morning are Luca Savi, ITT's Chief Executive Officer and President; and Emmanuel Caprais, Chief Financial Officer.

Today's call will cover ITT’s financial results for the three-month period ending July 3, announced yesterday evening. Today's remarks may contain forward-looking statements including comments relating to company performance, strategic priorities, business mix, market conditions and the effects of COVID-19 on ITT, which are subject to certain risks and uncertainties. These statements are not guarantees of future performance or events and are based on management's current expectations. Actual results may vary materially due to among other items, the factors described in our 2020 Annual Report on Form 10-K and other recent SEC filings. ITT does not under any expressly disclaims any obligation to update forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Except where otherwise noted, the second quarter results we present this morning will be compared to the second quarter of prior year and based on non-GAAP financial measures. These adjusted results exclude certain non-operating and non-recurring items, including but not limited to asbestos-related charges, restructuring, asset impairment, acquisition related items and certain tax items. All adjustments in the quarter and expected for the full year 2021 are detailed along with the reconciliation of such measures to the most comparable GAAP figures in our press release and presentation, both of which are available on our website.

Before we begin, I'll provide a brief overview of our second quarter GAAP results. Revenue increased 34% to $692 million, segment operating income increased 206% to $114 million, which equates to segment operating margin of 16.5%.Reported earnings per share decreased 15% to $0.45, driven primarily by a $28 million after-tax loss on the divestiture of InTelCo Management LLC, formerly a wholly-owned subsidiary that holds legacy asbestos liabilities and related insurance assets, as well as prior your income tax benefits and increased corporate and environmental costs.

With that, it's my pleasure to turn the call over to Luca who will begin on Slide #3.

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Thank you, Mark. And good morning. I want to first thank you, our stakeholders for your continued support and investment in ITT. I also want to thank the nearly 10,000 employees at ITT that continue to demonstrate the resilience that makes ITT a trusted partner for our customers and the communities in which we operate. We are all focused on ensuring ITT delivers on its commitments, hour-after-hour was taking care of each other, our families and our customers. This has been a pivotal quarter for ITT. On July 1, with diversity the subsidiary that all of our legacy asbestos liabilities to portfolio company of Warburg Pincus. Importantly, ITT is indemnified from any further responsibility for all pending and future legacy asbestos claims. This transaction followed the successful transfer about a U.S. pension liability in October 2020. And will allow us to focus more on growing the core business organically and through acquisitions. We're now beginning the next chapter in ITTs history.

On the operational front, over the past few months, I've had the privilege of meeting our teams in person at our sites in Italy, California, the Netherlands and the Northeast. I continue to be encouraged by the progress we are making, by the opportunities that remain, and by the commitment and the passion I see from our workforce.

Before reviewing our results, let me talk a little bit about ITTs sustainability efforts. In the coming weeks, we will be releasing our 2021 sustainability report supplement, which will show our commitment to environmental, social and governance initiatives. It is clear that while we have made significant progress in 2020, despite the impact of the pandemic, there is still more that we can do.

Our employees’ efforts during the pandemic to take care of each other and our customers as transcend our resolve to continually improve our ESG practices. And this is what we will do.Some of our accomplishments, which you can soon read about it in the supplement into the 25% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions and a 25% reduction in workplace incidents. Further, we maintain an A rating for our ESG profile as measured by MSCI a recognized leader in global ESG assessment.

Now, let's review our results for the second quarter, beginning with sales. Friction continued to outperform global auto production growth. In fact, the outperformance we drove this quarter was significantly above our historical average. The auto businesses in MT grew organic revenue nearly 80% and MTs revenue exceeded pre-COVID levels from 2019 once again this quarter. More importantly, we continue to win key awards in both conventional vehicles and our new electric vehicle platforms which will fuel future outperformance. This quarter we were awarded content on 10 new electric vehicle platforms, seven of which were in China, and two on key strategic platforms in the growing North American market. We also continue to differentiate ourselves from the competition.

In July, Friction’s ceramic brake pads sold in the aftermarket were ranked the highest among five competitors according to ADAC Europe's largest Motoring Association based in Germany.Our brake pads have been knowledge for the outstanding safety and durability and receive the best-in-class ratings for weather resistance and braking distance. This is a testament to the supplier excellence and innovation of the Friction team.

Let's get back to the quarter. Building on the first quarter momentum, our connectors business in connecting control technologies grew sales by 17% organically after 8% organic in Q1. We saw continued strength in the North American distribution channel and sequentially industrial connectors in Q2 grew 6% versus Q1 due to distribution strength worldwide. We also drop 8% organic revenue growth in industrial process driven by strong pump project deliveries, which were up 52% organically in the quarter, due to strength in the chemical and oil and gas markets. We achieved this by remaining focused on serving our customers and ensuring we commissioned their projects on time, despite significant supply chain disruptions.

Turning to orders. I'm energized by the growth our commercial teams generated this quarter across all three segments. In total, we drove 47% organic orders growth across ITT with order levels, surpassing 2019 positioning as well for the second half of the year and for 2022. First, motion technologies grew orders by 76%, organically driven mainly by auto. And we also saw a strong performance your rail, which grew over 20% organically. Second industrial process, orders were up 18% organically and up 7% sequentially driven by continued recovery in our short-cycle business, while orders grew 24% across service. Upon project orders were relatively flat year-over-year. However, we are increasingly confident that project activity in the funnel is strengthening. And we expect to successfully leverage this momentum in the second half.

Finally, in CCT orders were up 47% organically driven largely by industrial connectors and aerospace components. As we mentioned last quarter, we saw some positive signs in commercial aerospace, which we expected was start to pick up in Q2. And we're seeing that momentum in orders today.

From a profitability perspective, despite increase in pressure from commodity costs, and supply chain disruptions, we deliver nearly 400 basis points of adjusted segment margin expansion with the triple-digit margin expansion in each segment. This was a result of the incredible growth in volumes I mentioned earlier. And the team's ability to generate productivity net of inflation was successfully navigated challenging market conditions. This was aided in part by the actions we took in 2020 to reduce our structural costs.

As a result of the revenue growth and margin expansion, ITT delivered adjusted earnings per share of $0.94 growing 65% and surpassing our pre-COVID adjusted EPS levels in Q2, 2019. Given the strong first half performance and our confidence in ITTs ability to outperform, we are again raising our outlook for 2021. We now anticipate organic revenue growth will be 8% to 10% for the year, a 300 basis point increase on both the low and high end of our already increased guidance from the first quarter. These will be driven by the strength in Friction and short-cycle orders growth in both IP and CCT.

The increased sales volume and strong productivity expected in 2021 will generate adjusted earnings per share in the range of $3.90 to $4.05 at the high end, which equates to 22% to 27% growth versus prior area. This is a $0.08 improvement at the midpoint after a $0.30 increase after the first quarter. And this with ITT on pace to comfortably surpass 2019 adjusted EPS despite significant inflationary pressure.

Let's turn to Slide 4 to talk further about the second quarter results. From a top line perspective, Motion Technologies delivered a solid performance driven by strong growth in the OE business and continued share gains despite the global chip shortage and supply chain disruptions. Our Friction and OE businesses grew over 60% organically.As they always do, this quarter I traveled to a number of our facilities, including our world class Frictionplant in Barge, Italy. Here, I saw the team's engineering expertise on full display, which will enable us to continue winning in size share of global EV platforms.

Our continued investment in automation in all our plants and hour-by-hour management allows us to continually meet customer demand, despite constant exchange in production schedules. And we continue to invest in and develop new technologies to address the needs of a new and more environmentally friendly automotive braking system. In CCT, we drove nearly 19% organic revenue growth in industrial connectors, mainly through distribution, continuing the momentum we saw in the first quarter.Demand in commercial aerospace is increasing exhibited by the nearly 70% growth in aerospace orders.The book-to-billion CCT was an impressive 1.18 for the quarter, which positions as well for the future.

Now moving to operating margins. Our focused on operational excellence produced 250 basis points of expansion in Q2 at ITT level. And 390 basis points at the segment level. By segment MT grew margin 660 basis points connecting controls 230 basis points with an incremental margin of 37% and industrial process grew margin 100 basis points to nearly 15% once again. The strong performance was a combination of higher sales volume, commercial actions and productivity offset by raw material inflation in a favorable mix given the growth in some projects, and continued investments for growth, which are critical to sustain ITTs outperformance.

Regarding raw materials inflation, the impact this quarter was approximately 240 basis points, which was higher than what we expected. And whilst we are deploying pricing actions with our customers, based on current prices for material purchases for the remainder of 2021, we expect these phenomena will have a significant impact in the second half.

Free cash flow for the quarter was impacted by the sale of our legacy asbestos liabilities. Excluding this one-time non-recurring item adjusted free cash flow was $131 million. The decline compared to prior year was the result of higher operating income generation in the segments, there was more than offset by strategic investments in working capital to support growing customer demand.

So wrapping up, ITTs around the world deliver another outstanding performance in Q2.Organic growth was strong across all three segments. And we converted the highest sales at good margins. We generated over 400 basis points of productivity while investing for future growth and successfully navigated challenging market conditions and are nearly 50% organic growth in orders position ITT for a strong second half.

Let me now turn the call over to Emmanuel on Slide 5 to discuss the segment performance in more detail.

E
Emmanuel Caprais
SVP & CFO

Thank you, Luca and good morning. Motion Technologies Q2 organic revenue growth of 64% was primarily driven by strength in auto. As you know, the second quarter of last year was down significantly due to the pandemic. However, Friction continues to outperform global auto production by a very wide margin. And from an operating standpoint, our OE business performed very well with 99% plus on time performance. This was a key reason, MTs revenue eclipsed pre-COVID levels in the second quarter of 2019 by 8%. The strong orders growth in MT this quarter was a combination of both auto and rail, where we continue to gain share. Segment margin expanded 660 basis points versus prior year to 18.8%, mainly due to higher volumes and productivity offset by the impact of higher raw material costs for steel, tin and copper.

As we indicated last year, MTs margins declined sequentially in the second quarter, given the increasing commodities pressure, however, MT delivered almost 30% incremental margin in spite of these headwinds, Wolverine sales growth was over 60% driven by OE shims in North America and Europe and in sealings, while KONI, grew by double-digits organically. Margins in Wolverine, KONI and Axton were all double-digits in the quarter.

For industrial process revenue was up 8% organically. This was driven partially by easy prior comparison, stemming from steep declines in project shipments, which resulted in over 50% revenue growth this quarter. We also saw minor short-cycle declines driven by lower service sales and flat growth in baseline pumps due to the materials shortage. As we have indicated, given the order trends we see across IP, we continue to expect the short-cycle businesses to accelerate in the second half. From an end-market perspective, growth was spread across general industrial, oil and gas and chemical market.

Turning to orders, IP grew 18% organically and 7% sequentially due to the short-cycle, namely parts, valve and service. Our daily order rates continue to be strong into the third quarter, orders in all product categories, except baseline pumps were above 2019 levels. And the month of June was our largest month of project orders since 2015. We believe these positions us well for the remainder of 2021. IPs margin expanded 100 basis points to 14.7% with an incremental margin of 24%. This was partially impacted by unfavorable mix given the higher proportion of project versus short-cycle sales. We expect the mix to improve from here as short-cycle continues to recover.

Lastly, in connecting control technologies, we turned to corner with incremental margins of 37% this quarter. This was the result of continued volume, leverage and strong productivity, despite inflationary headwinds and continued declines in commercial aerospace. While OE production continues to improve our largest aerospace customers, and managing through elevated inventory levels on key platforms, which will delay a significant recovery in aero components demand until 2022.

Similar to the rest of ITT orders growth was incredibly strong, driven by our connected business with continued North American distribution strength and growth in aerospace OE and aftermarket. The book-to-bill was largely above 1 and backlog was up 16% compared to year-end 2020, which again position us well heading into 2022.

Before we move on just a few additional comments on EPS for the quarter. As you can see on the Q2 adjusted EPS walk on Slide 11. The year-over-year comparisons were negatively impacted by prior benefits related to environmental temporary cost actions and CARES Act credits. Partially offsetting these items was a roughly $0.03 benefit from foreign currency consistent with our outlook and a roughly $0.01 benefit from a lower than plan effective tax rate of 21.5%.

Let's turn to Slide 6, to discuss our asbestos liabilities sell further. On July 1, ITT divested 100% of its equity of a subsidiary that holds legacy asbestos liabilities, and related insurance assets to Delticus a portfolio company of Warburg Pincus. At closing, ITT contributed $398 million in cash and Delticus has contributed $60 million in cash to InTelCo. As a result of the transaction, ITT removed all asbestos obligations, related insurance assets and associated deferred tax assets from our consolidated balance sheet as of the second quarter. The benefits of this transaction include indemnification for all legacy asbestos liabilities, and stronger free cash flow generation in the absence of asbestos related payments that we previously estimated at $20 million to $30 million per year on average over the next 10 years prior to the divestiture. Additionally, the transaction fees up management time and resources to focus more on growing the core business and executing other more strategic initiatives, including ESG and M&A.

Coupled with our successful U.S. pension plans transfer executed in October 2020,we are well positioned to grow with a flexible balance sheet, and without the risk and uncertainty of managing these legacy liabilities.

Let’s now turn to Slide 7 to discuss our end markets and the updates to our full year outlook. As we saw in Frictions results, global auto production is increasing, albeit constrained by the global semiconductor shortage, which is causing inventory levels to remain low. And while we expect demand will remain strong throughout 2021, the impact of higher raw material prices will weigh on margins and adjust EPS during the second half. The growth we're seeing in IP orders is mainly in short-cycle. On projects, however, we continue to expect the large project spend particularly in oil and gas will not fully recover until 2022. In the meantime, we're seeing continued momentum in weekly run rates in our short-cycle businesses in industrial process and connectors, which we believe will drive organic revenue growth to a new range of 8% to 10% for the year.

Our assumption regarding commercial aerospace is that a substantial recovery will not occur until early 2022. Given the level of inventory at our largest OE customers. However, we see encouraging signs in orders as production levels continue to increase. Our outlook for adjusted segment margin remains at approximately 17.1%. At the midpoint, we expect a pronounced impact from raw material inflation, mainly emotion technologies. However, our teams are driving commercial actions and additional productivity to minimize the impact. We're planning for raw materials to remain at these elevated levels throughout 2021. As you will see on Slide 7, our revised guidance they assume the incremental impact from this trend will be $0.09 at the high end for the remainder of 2021.

Our revised adjusted EPS guidance reflects a $0.08 improvement at the midpoint of our range, eclipsing 2019 levels and our previous high end. The net impact of all other items is roughly $0.01 benefit to full year adjusted EPS, including a slightly lower than planned effective tax rate. Foreign currency and other items will be a minor benefit compared to our previous guidance. And we continue to expect a 1% reduction in the weighted average share count, given our share repurchases to-date. Additionally, we're raising our adjusted free cash flow guidance by $5 million at the low and high end of our previous range to reflect the higher operating income generated in the first half offset by further working capital investments to further -- to support future growth, especially given the supply chain disruptions we are experiencing today.

In summary, we are again, raising our outlook for 2021 across self-earnings and free cash flow. And with this raise, we now expect to eclipse 2019 levels in terms of adjusted segment margin and adjusted earnings per share.

Let's turn to Slide 8. To quickly look at the components of our revised 2021 adjusted EPS guidance. As you can see, the majority of the improvement in adjusted earnings per share is operational in nature. The higher volumes will likely be partially offset by incremental headwinds from rising raw material cost, which we have already discussed. The remaining changes to outlook are rather immaterial.

Before I turn it back over to Luca, I want to share some details on what we're seeing thus far in the third quarter. From an end market perspective, the trends we saw in the second quarter have remained largely consistent throughout July. Auto and the short-cycle businesses in IP continue to perform well. And CCT remains comfortably on path to recovery from both a self and margin perspective. On the other hand, our outlook reflects increased commodity pressure, and we did not see any near-term improvements related to the supply chain.

Organic sales growth is expected to be in the mid-teens range, driven by growth across the portfolio, and led by MTs strong performance. IP and CCT should both improve to approximately high single-digit organic growth driven by short-cycle. Segment margin should be approximately flat sequentially to Q2 and above prior year even with the significant raw material headwinds we anticipate primarily in MT. This negative impact on MTs margin will largely be offset by margin improvements in CCT followed by industrial process. Despite the margin challenges in Q3, we still expect all three businesses to be up over 100 basis points for the full year which will eclipse ITTs segment margin for 2019. The combined impact of higher sales and strong productivity will drive adjusted earnings per share growth in the low to mid-teens.

With that, let me pass it back to Luca for closing remarks.

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Thanks, Emmanuel. ITT continues to execute on its strategic priorities to position the company for long-term success. The actions we took to eliminate our legacy asbestos liabilities will allow our teams to drive better growth in the core, and up our gain in capital deployment. We are now even more laser focused on growing ITT organically and through acquisitions, while funding high return growth investments, given our capital flexibility, and strengthen cash flow profile. We continue to outperform across all our businesses. And we see encouraging signs in our orders growth, which we position as well for the remainder of 2021, 2022 and beyond. And continue to drive strong cash generation through increased income and effective working capital management.

The second half of 2021 will be challenging, given the supply chain disruptions, commodities pressure and emergence of COVID variants around the world. However, I'm confident in ITTs ability to navigate these headwinds effectively, and drive growth and profitability, while leveraging our optimized cost structure and doing it all in a safe, sustainable and efficient manner. As ever, it has been my pleasure speaking with you all this morning, and we will happily take your questions now. Krystal please open the line for Q&A.

Operator

Thank you. The floor is now open for questions. [Operator Instructions]. Please limit your questions to one question and one follow up. Thank you. Your first question is coming from Jeff Hammond with KeyBanc Capital Markets.

J
Jeff Hammond
KeyBanc Capital Markets

Hey, good morning, guys.

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Good morning Jeff.

E
Emmanuel Caprais
SVP & CFO

Good morning Jeff.

M
Mark Macaluso
VP, IR

Good morning Jeff.

J
Jeff Hammond
KeyBanc Capital Markets

Yes, so just want to get a better feel for sequential margins in the segments, it sounds like MT maybe is under a little bit more pressure and then you get mixed benefits in the other two segments, is that the right way to think about it?

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

So, MT is being impacted by raw materials. And I think that if you look at between Q1 and what happened in Q2, there's definitely the impact of those raw materials inflation into Q2, and this is going to go in accelerating in Q3and in Q4, also, and the difference what we're going to see in the second half is we're going to see a ramp up of all the pricing and productivity actions that we're going to drive to compensate for those negative impacts.

J
Jeff Hammond
KeyBanc Capital Markets

Okay, and then just on the pricing, where are you specifically pushing price?

E
Emmanuel Caprais
SVP & CFO

So when -- hi, Jeff good morning. When you look at price, we have a positive price of impact in IP and in CCT. This is where we have the distribution. And this is where is, as always been done also, traditionally. A positive sign that we've seen in Q2 is also price has be neutral for motion technologies. And you know, the dynamic in auto and this is the first time ever the pricing is actually be neutral in Motion Technologies. Now we of course, we need to work harder to negotiate to stay at the table and negotiate with all our OEM customers, as the material cost base now is completely different level. So we are expecting to get pricing also at MT in the second half of the year.

J
Jeff Hammond
KeyBanc Capital Markets

Okay, great. And then just last one, if you look at the 3 point raise in organic growth, would you say that's fairly balanced between the segments? Or is that a heavier lean towards MT?

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

I would say that….

E
Emmanuel Caprais
SVP & CFO

I think Jeff….

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Go ahead Emmanuel, please.

E
Emmanuel Caprais
SVP & CFO

I think, Jeff, it's pretty balanced across all segments; all segments are growing versus our previous expectations. And this is really good news. And as we discussed, short-cycle has been really strong in terms of orders for IP and CCT. So I think that we're going to benefit from that. And then we continue to see really good momentum from an auto standpoint, even though volumes have been impacted by chip shortage.

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

And if I can add a point to that one Jeff and this is not only you see it in the volume and the revenue, but if you look forward, you see in the orders. So the orders are very good on the short-cycle, we have been signed on the project as well, that we sign on the connectors, we have good sign also now on the aero components and of course rail and auto. So these orders, we will feed it.

J
Jeff Hammond
KeyBanc Capital Markets

Okay, great. Appreciate it, guys.

E
Emmanuel Caprais
SVP & CFO

Thanks Jeff.

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Thank you, Jeff.

Operator

Your next question is from Andrew Obin with Bank of America.

A
Andrew Obin
Bank of America

Yes, good morning.

E
Emmanuel Caprais
SVP & CFO

Hey, Andrew.

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Good morning Andrew.

A
Andrew Obin
Bank of America

Just a bigger picture question, right? You guys have been very good at sort of managing the downturn, managing the upturn. But given the inflationary pressures both on labor and inputs? Are you guys changing sort of a way you're thinking about approach to costs, supply chain processes in a more structural wayi.e.do you think what's happening is more permanent in nature? And if so how are you guys adjusting the organization, because execution so far has been superb?

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Okay, so let me tell you a little bit about, from a labor from an input perspective. So when you look at from a labor perspective, there is inflation that we have seen, and but we haven't really -- we're not facing really any difficulties in terms of recruiting and finding the labor for our factories or for our businesses. So that on the labor front. When you look at our inflation from material point of view, we are really looking at the raw materials, the major impact is in MT, you're really looking at the tin, copper and steel. So there is limited thing that you can do on this point. One thing that I will say is radically changing Andrew would be one you're working on your products as you're moving -- we're moving all our break pad to copper free. So eventually we will be copper independent. And that would be a great feeling, I can tell you that. And also, the other thing is that changing the mindset and ensuring that Friction in Motion Technologies, we go to the table, and we work with our OEMs and with our customers, really to get price, we must get price in this condition. And this is a fundamental change. Did I answer your question, Andrew?

A
Andrew Obin
Bank of America

Sorry, I keep hitting the -- I haven't learned how to use the mute button till. Yes, I -- the question was, are you making any adjustments to your supply chain in the view of sort of supply chain disruptions? But it actually sounds you guys executing quite well, right? Is that a fair takeaway?

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Absolutely. Right. Of course, as you can imagine, not only were working with our commercial team on the sales front with our OEMs, but our supply chain team is working hour-by-hour for, of course, to find new sources. But today is particularly in terms of securing the supply, because of all the disruption that we have on the supply chain being one port or being with one supplier. So it's more the way that you're working, which is hour-by-hour, as we said in the prepared remarks, because this is exactly what's happening right now.

A
Andrew Obin
Bank of America

Got you. And just a little follow up, you said something about aero industry having inventory. And I'm just trying to understand, because I think some companies highlighted the fact that on defense side, there was some pull forward of activity at last year, as detailed supply chain, sort of working in this bad downturn. But we've also heard some companies talk about the fact that aero framers have pre-ordered some components last year to also sort of keep the supply chain what so to speak, is that what you're referring to in terms of inventory of your customers? Thank you.

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Yes, so for us, as we said, our aero customers are flushed with inventory. And, while they've been consuming some of the inventory, they told us earlier this quarter in April, that they had so much inventory that they weren't intending to order some of our components until next year and actually need them until 2022. So for us aerospace for the moment is -- our customers are full with inventory. We don't expect really that to change anytime soon. On a defense standpoint, I would say that our orders have been pretty good. And they've been not only good year-over-year, but they've been also good sequentially growing on several high profile programs. And so we expect for the year to be mid-single-digits up in terms of orders and revenue should also be okay.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Joe Giordano with Cowen.

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Hi, Joe.

J
Joseph Giordano

Hi. Good morning. Luca how are you? [technical difficulty].

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Hey, Joe, you're cutting in and out. And try one more time and if not, we'll come back to you.

J
Joseph Giordano

[technical difficulty] Better now.

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Yes, go ahead.

J
Joseph Giordano

[technical difficulty]right now.

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Joe, we're getting like every third word. So let's move on. And then just ping us when you're back. And we'll come back to your question when you have a better connection. Krystal, can you move to the next question, please?

Operator

Yes, sir. Your next question comes from Scott Davis with Melius Research.

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Hi, Scott.

S
Scott Davis
Melius Research

Good morning guys.

E
Emmanuel Caprais
SVP & CFO

Hey, Scott how are you?

M
Mark Macaluso
VP, IR

Good morning Scott.

S
Scott Davis
Melius Research

Use landline, I'm from old school as guys over -- do not use a cell phone anyways. I know…

Operator

I'm sorry, presenters. We have lost him. Your next question comes from the line of Vladimir Bystricky with Citigroup.

V
Vladimir Bystricky
Citigroup

Good morning, guys.

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Hey, how are you?

M
Mark Macaluso
VP, IR

Good morning, Vladimir.

V
Vladimir Bystricky
Citigroup

I am doing all right. Fingers crossed here that lasts for question or two.

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

We count on you Vlad, please. Stay on.

V
Vladimir Bystricky
Citigroup

So, nice quarter guys, obviously and particularly on the order side, so you've now had, I think 700 million plus in orders each of the past two quarters. So can you talk about sort of your confidence in sustaining these stronger order trends? And just given all of the supply chain and logistics challenges throughout the industrial economy? Are you seeing any pull forward or extra ordering from customers looking just to secure supply? Or do you think this is really sort of end market levels of demand that you're seeing on the order side?

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Okay, thank you Vlad. To -- let me answer the question straight and then give you some color. No, this is the strength of the demand, and is the strength of the performance and the way that we work with our customers. So what we've seen in terms of trends in Q1, have been confirmed in Q2 across all the businesses. We saw it in rail, the orders grew sequentially year-over-year and happen again, in Q2.We saw in auto with the award, across the wins the new awards in Europe, in China, North America, in the new awards in the electric vehicles. We saw it of course, in connectors, we've seen it. As a matter of fact, if you look at the distribution connectors order, in Q2 at roughly $46 million, this is the highest on record for ITT, and the inventory level at our distribution stays low. And then if we look at the short-cycle for IP a very solid and robust Q2 month-after-month. So let me add to that how we saw in the month of July, July, is really confirming all these trends. So it's not a buildup on the inventory, we don't see the inventory build up on the -- in the auto, we don't see the inventory build up on the connectors. So it's strength of demand, a strength of our performance.

A
A –EmmanuelCaprais

And Vlad, let me just ask -- add a couple of color on the -- couple of data on the customer inventory for auto specifically. So inventory -- our customers are very low. And this is especially true for North America, where inventory is around 40 days, which is much lower than prior much lower than prior quarter. And is not expected really to recover for the full year on the account of the chips shortage. So not only we were seeing strong orders, but there is strong customer demand pull from -- in order specifically. And that bodes well for the future.

V
Vladimir Bystricky
Citigroup

Okay, that's really helpful. And then just digging in, specifically on the IP side of the business. Can you talk a little more about sort of what you're seeing on the project side there obviously very strong shipments in the quarter sort of how long visibility to sort of those strong project shipments? And then what are you seeing in terms of new project activity are you starting to see activity ramp for quotes on newer projects going forward?

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

So when we look at this project, Vlad, this project usually have -- you expect to this project from everything between six months to two, three years. So if I think about our largest project recently, which was for more than three, so we have good visibility on the project for the next year a couple of years. Now, one thing which is interesting though, if you look at the backlog, the backlog for IP which usually was 60% project and 40% short-cycle as swap today, the short-cycle backlog is 55% of the total, while project is 45% and the short-cycle backlog that we have today is the highest since 2015. So now going to the second part of your question, which is, how do we feel about the projects? We said last quarter, they were warming up and they did they warmed up. If I look at the orders for projects in June, it was a very strong month and July it was a strong month as well. To build on that another dot for you is the funnel. The funnel of opportunities and we're talking about the funnel of projects continue to improve sequentially, Q2 over Q1 was up 11% and went up 2 percentage point in the month of July. Year-over-year, the funnel is still down. But if you take oil and gas out, the funnel year-over-year is up 22% and is up 37% sequentially versus Q1. All of these are good dots good sign, they makes us think that the projects will resurge towards the end of this year.

V
Vladimir Bystricky
Citigroup

That's really helpful color, guys. Thanks very much.

E
Emmanuel Caprais
SVP & CFO

Thanks Vlad.

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Thank you, Vlad.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your next question comes from the line of Joe Ritchie with Goldman Sachs.

J
Joseph Ritchie

Thanks. Good morning, everybody.

E
Emmanuel Caprais
SVP & CFO

Hey, Joe.

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Good morning Joe.

J
Joseph Ritchie

So that Vladimir comment was classic. Hopefully you don't lose me. I'm driving right now. But I think I heard Joe's earlier question I'm going to add to it. So he asked I think about the asbestos and why the impetus, I think, from a timing standpoint was now I think my question following on that is really, when you think about like what this opens up from a balance sheet perspective for M&A? I'd be curious how you're thinking about prioritization of dollars to grow inorganically?

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

So, let me frame a little bit the briefly our capital deployment during the last couple of years. If you look at the last couple of years, we continue to invest organically in our businesses. We may do two acquisition in 2019. We increase our dividends consistently and more aggressively in the last couple of years. We repurchase $73 million in 2020, the COVID year $50 million of share repurchases in 2021, we transferred the U.S. pension liability. And most importantly, we transferred on July 1, all our pending and future legacies asbestos obligation. Obviously, as you can imagine in the last period, we were on a blackout period. So this is just to tell you how we saw the capital deployment, it was really strategic to do all of these steps. And now we can really up our game even more focusing both on the organic, but on the M&A with much more flexibility. Our pipeline is good with -- while we were in blackout and previously, we were really working out to build the pipeline, and I can tell you its good and present opportunities across all the three businesses. One thing that we keep on reiterating Joe is that we will remain very diligent and very rigorous, both strategically and financially. Financially, the deals need to add value strategically and financially.

J
Joseph Ritchie

Got it. That's helpful, Luca. And then maybe my follow on, you guys, continue to keep us updated every quarter on all your EV platform getting some pretty good share, particularly in China. I'd be curious at this point like how big is your EV backlog? And how should we be thinking about that as a percentage of what we can see coming through from a growth standpoint in the coming years?

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Joe, when it comes to EV, this story today is still very much in award success story and the EV volumes that are still very low. We are projecting though our market share in EV to be substantially higher than our current market share in IC in 2023. So pretty early. Now these will not necessarily be very meaningful because also in 2023, they EV vehicles will not be that big number. But you can imagine as EV adoption accelerates in the next eight, nine years from 2023 to 2030. We will benefit tremendously from already is starting high market share in EV. So I don't know if this helps you to frame it.

J
Joseph Ritchie

Yes, that's perfect. Thank you. Have a great weekend.

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Thank you, Joe.

E
Emmanuel Caprais
SVP & CFO

Thanks Joe.

M
Mark Macaluso
VP, IR

Thank you.

Operator

Okay, we were able to reconnect and we have Scott Davis with Melius Research.

S
Scott Davis
Melius Research

Yes, I guess my landline comment was a little premature. I’ll try the cell phone next time and see if that works.

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

No, next time you will be in the room with us Scott.

S
Scott Davis
Melius Research

I think That's probably the safer bet. I'll just drive up to your office, it's not that far away. I had asked about on time deliveries, and I have no idea what he heard my question or not, but you were, you just mentioned 99% on Motion on OE, which is extremely high for the auto side. I mean, I don't know anybody that's anywhere close to that so far this quarter, but we would love to just get some color on, on where you're at in your other major businesses even if it's just ballpark?

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Sure. So have you see, this quarter, we had some impacts due to supply chain issues. And if you look at the impact of all the other businesses, it's probably something around a little bit more than $10 million that we weren't able to ship. Because we didn't have the raw material that was needed. A lot of it is in Wolverine. And that's specifically for steel. And then some of it is in IP and also CCT. So overall, not a very large impact. And we're working really hard with our suppliers to make sure that we correct us and arrive at the end of the year with a much better picture.

E
Emmanuel Caprais
SVP & CFO

And if I can build -- a couple of points that can build on that one Scott. First of all, all these backlog is monitored. So we are looking at the aging to ensure that this disruption doesn't impact the customer a lot, that first point. And the second point it was I want to recognize all the Friction plants, because the performance in the OE I was 99% plus in Barge, in Ostrava, all of them in this supply chain did terrific job to ensure 99% plus on time delivery.

S
Scott Davis
Melius Research

Okay, that's really helpful. And then just switching over gears to the to the EV side, because I think those questions are fairly relevant. You've had-- you don't have a lot of cars on the road, but you've got enough cars on the road, to see your performance your brakes and seeing how that after-market is evolving. Is it evolving, as you've kind of expected? Clearly, I think brake usage is a little bit less than an EV. But the brakes a little different. So help us understand at least what you're thinking on-- now that you've had some time in the space here, what you're thinking about the after-market potential?

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Sure, it's probably still a little bit too early Scott to draw a conclusion, because different OEMs are really adopting different approach. There are OEMs that are using these brake pads exactly in the same way, there are different OEMs that are really reducing the thickness of the pads. And therefore for them, the after-market probably will continue to persist. Is still probably too early to assess, is still at the embryonic stage has not been mature enough to know exactly how it's going to pan out. The after-market I mean.

S
Scott Davis
Melius Research

Okay, I'll keep asking. Appreciate it.

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Thanks Scott.

Operator

Your next question comes from Mike Halloran with Baird.

M
Michael Halloran

Hey, good morning, everyone.

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Good Morning, Mike.

M
Michael Halloran

So a lot of moving pieces on the Motion side. Specifically on the Friction side, I'm looking for maybe a little longer term view on how you think this shakes out next 12 to 18 kind of months. So inventory for your comments is low, a lot of inflation pricing actions, which is seems like a little bit of a change versus history and how frequently you're going and trying to get those supply chain challenges are pretty high. Are you going to see push outs on these numerous project awards that you -- platform awards that you keep getting? How does that timeframe work out? How do you think this whole thing kind of cadences out if you take a little longer lens than just the next six months?

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Okay, so thank you, Scott. Thank you, Mike. When you're talking about the supply chain disruption, Mike, we proceed these to continue for the foreseeable future. So this is exactly the state-of-mind and the mindset that we have in our plant and in our supply chain. So the management hour-by-hour that I was talking about, will continue for a while and therefore we -- it's important our supply chain, keep on working with our supplier closely and also find new supplier to reduce some of these disruptions that's on the supply chain disruption. We will -- from a platform that we want in terms of delays etcetera. If I look at the impact so far the SOP delays that we have seen there has been some. But to be honest, it's been immaterial when different regions have acted differently. But overall worldwide, we're talking an impact type of delay of roughly less than a $5 million for a year. So less than that. So is it -- I would say is rather immaterial. I think that what we have seen is that the OEMs have shifted their production to more profitable models to more profitable platforms. And in some region, like in North America, this probably has benefited us. And this is also why our outperformance of the market in North America has been very, very significant in this quarter.

M
Michael Halloran

Thanks for that. And then just on the connector side, maybe just a little bit thoughts on sustainability underlying trends here, the short-cycle pieces seem like they're doing well. How much of that is just kind of a catch up from a bottom versus what you think of is sustainable demand as we sit here across those specific end markets?

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

When I talked to some of our distributors, some of our rep council, some of the reps in connectors is really market demand. And this is confirmed by the lower level of inventory that we see in all our distributors on the connectors. They strength the connectors come on the defense on the industrial and we start seeing moving also in the aerospace industry, too. So it's really demand. The level -- the inventory level are low. Auto connectors is not a concern at all today.

M
Michael Halloran

Thank you, Luca. Appreciate it.

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Thank you, Mike.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Damian Karas with UBS.

D
Damian Karas
UBS

Hey, good morning, everyone.

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Hey, Damian. How are you?

E
Emmanuel Caprais
SVP & CFO

Hi, Damien.

D
Damian Karas
UBS

Doing well, thanks. So wanted to ask you a follow up question on Friction. Continue to see some really solid out performance there. But obviously, the market growth is quite high right now given the -- where we're coming off versus last year, just wondering based on some of your comments on EV, and where you see the business as -- the market growth rate for auto OE from ally, we should be thinking about Friction versus the market.

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

So Damian, is true, but don't forget that what we're talking always is a business here that is outperforming the market. So it's true that the market probably is going to grow in 2021 between 8% and 10% depending on who you're talking to. But if we look just at the market, I personally see some good tailwinds in the market, because the production today is not satisfying the demand that is out there. And you see it in talking to our customers and in -- trying to buy a car today for instance, if you go out there or talk even to the dealers. But then building on this one, as I said, we've always outperform every single year for the last nine years, roughly 900 basis points every year. Today in 2021, we will outperform the market even stronger. And because of these outperformance Damian, we expect to surpass 2019 levels this year at Friction while the market will probably hit 2019 level in 2023. So it's always the game of outperformance the market in the down and in the up.

D
Damian Karas
UBS

Okay, that's helpful. And then just a follow up on the raw materials inflation that you guys are seeing, just wondering if-- as the copper ,tin ,steel, these products that you alluded to where you're feeling that -- should they start subsiding next year, what would you see kind of a full offset on that or since it's mostly in MTs, should we kind of view that as some cost?

E
Emmanuel Caprais
SVP & CFO

So in terms of raw materials for the moment, there's no sign of abating the copper as flatten out as the high -- at the highest level. But still is really very much on an accelerating path. And so for us the game is to go back to customers and to really negotiate price recovery to offset those negative impacts. And that's what we're going to do. And that's what we're doing also already to some success in the second quarter.

D
Damian Karas
UBS

Okay, got it. Appreciate it. Thanks, guys. That’s all.

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Thanks, Damian.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of a Joe Giordano with Cowen.

J
Joseph Giordano

Hey, guys, can you hear me better now?

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

We can hear you? Great. Welcome back.

E
Emmanuel Caprais
SVP & CFO

It’s perfect. It’s perfect Joe. Thank you.

J
Joseph Giordano

Excellent. So just on the raw materials. I'm curious, like from a bigger picture standpoint, as you look at the markets, and you think about the future, like when do you start thinking, okay, this is something that's going to temporary increase that kind of goes back down cyclically or maybe we should think about redesigning certain of our products to use different types of materials or be lighter, or I know you guys are kind of going through that process in IP more broadly. But what was like that threshold where you begin to think about raw material costs on a more structural basis, rather than kind of cyclical changes.

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Okay, so this is a process that is already going on across all the businesses, Joe, is of course, you had mentioned IP, whether the BB 2pumps, but all the other family of pumps that we are redesigning in order to reduce metal, okay. This is something that is happening in IP. But this has happened for the last 10 years in the Motion Technologies. So think about all the copper free pads that we are producing now, there was zero a few years ago. Now, I would say probably between 35% to 45% of our production is that without copper, and reducing our copper dependence, and these we accelerate, and we are constantly reviewing our recipes. So that for instance, we are going to be even less relying on tin, because steel is another scarce resource whose price will keep on going up. So this is something that has happened constantly. On top, of course of all the supply chain initiatives that you have, when you're talking about from a time perspective, as Emmanuel said we don't see the pressure in terms of raw materials, inflation debating anytime soon.

J
Joseph Giordano

Right. Okay, that's helpful color there. I think you mentioned that Wolverine, KONI and Axtone were all at double-digit margins in the quarter, which is good to see what's like a realistic target for businesses like that over like one two year period from here?

E
Emmanuel Caprais
SVP & CFO

So, Joe, for us, there's no reason why we are not able to bring those three businesses in line with where Friction is today. That's going to require a lot of work. But we have definitely line of sight. And we're making both the improvement and the investments in terms of our production capability, but also in the way we manage our existing assets and our existing resources. We've seen some really nice progress, especially in Wolverine that had been impacted very much so by the tariffs. But we're very confident that we can bring those businesses to the level that Friction is at today in the next few years.

J
Joseph Giordano

Awesome, thanks. Thanks for let me jump back on.

E
Emmanuel Caprais
SVP & CFO

No problem, Joe.

Operator

Your next question is from Nathan Jones with Stifel.

N
Nathan Jones
Stifel

Good morning everyone.

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

Hey, Nathan,

E
Emmanuel Caprais
SVP & CFO

Good morning Nathan.

N
Nathan Jones
Stifel

I just wanted to follow up on price cost commentary on -- in the brake pad business. Historically, that businesses had a lot of fixed price contracts. And also historically, auto OEMs are not the easiest to renegotiate fixed price contracts with. I think Luca, you noted being price cost neutral in the second quarter and expecting to be price cost neutral in the back half on brake pads. Can you talk about how that's possible given that historical contract structure have been changed there? What's the mechanism that you're using to actually generate these pricing improvements given where the contracts have historically been structured?

E
Emmanuel Caprais
SVP & CFO

Nathan, just a quick rectification here. So in the quarter, what Luca said is that we were priced neutral on the price so we didn't give any price reductions to customers. Like we usually do, and usually it’s something like between 1% to 3%. So we didn't give any price reductions because we were able to get some price increases. And then so we were neutral in terms of margin from a price standpoint in the quarter the impact of commodities in the quarter were already high in Q2. And I would say that’s the price cost impact, this quarter was around 200 basis points, overall at ITT level or higher add Motion Technologies. And we expect that price cost impact to be around 200 basis points, as well, for the full year as the commodity pricing is ramping up, but it is offset by higher price negotiations or higher price impact from the negotiations with customer. And keep in mind that there is a timing component to it, where we're going to reach a much different picture by the end of Q4, than where we're going to be for instance in average in Q3.

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

And, Nathan, if I can build on what Emmanuel said regarding the process. There is no secret recipe here is really we need to work harder on pricing, sit down and negotiating with our customers a good and fair deal that reflect a completely different raw materials cost base. This is a must. This is what we have already started doing with some good results and some mixed results. We've been able to sit down with some customers and have constructive conversations. And we had some strong resistance from others. Now, on our side, Nathan, what helps is our quality track record. We are the best quality supplier in terms of break pad, and our on time performance at 99%. plus, during a period of market the other supply chain disruptions helps us in the negotiation for sure.

N
Nathan Jones
Stifel

You guys have also had -- you guys also generally have much, much higher margins in a brake pad business in the overall industry does. Most of the rest of the industry, I think makes about low single-digit kind of margins, which would mean that they're under significantly more pressure from raw materials than you guys are. Are you seeing that present you any additional opportunities to gain market share as some of these competitors might be struggling a bit more than they have over the last few years?

L
Luca Savi
CEO, President & Director

I think that if I look at the priority today, Nathan, I seen that we are already winning market share because of the performance we have, because of the differentiation we have in terms of our product. And because of the quality we're delivering those are the key criteria that how helping us to win market share. As of today, we are not envisioning really using price to win market share. Today, I think the effort would be really to use price to compensate some of the headwinds that we have because of the raw material cost. That would be the priority.

N
Nathan Jones
Stifel

And just one last one, I think you guys had signaled last quarter that you are anticipating a poor mix in industrial process with higher project shipments in the quarter. Clearly had short-cycle orders being stronger here. Are you expecting improvement in mix as we go through 3Q and 4Q and any comments you can give us on how that impacts margins in the back half?

E
Emmanuel Caprais
SVP & CFO

Nathan, this is Emmanuel. Yes, absolutely, we expecting an improving mix in Q3. And then to the point that in Q4, as well to the point that the mix impact for the full year will be substantially lower than what we have experienced in Q2. And this is on the back of really strong short-cycle growth. Obviously year-over-year, but also very much so from a from a sequential basis compared to Q1, we've seen really strong service and valves, order growth sequentially. And some pretty decent also activity from a baseline standpoint. So we expect these will contribute very positively to the mix in Q3 and Q4. And I would say we're happy with that. But this is not what we're using to really drive margin expansion at IP. For us fundamental -- progress on the fundamentals is much more important. We'll take some positive mix any day. But this is not the indicator of success for us.

Operator

We have reached the allotted time for questions. This does conclude today's conference call. Please disconnect your lines at this time. And have a wonderful day.