Hess Midstream LP

NYSE:HESM

Earnings Call Transcript 2019-Q2

[Operator]

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Second Quarter 2019 Hess Midstream Partners Conference Call. My name is Kevin, and I will be your operator for today. At this time all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later we will conduct a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded for replay purposes.

I would now like to turn the conference over to Jennifer Gordon, Director of Investor Relations. Please proceed.

[Jennifer Gordon, Director of Investor Relations]

Thank you, Kevin. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for participating in our second quarter earnings conference call. Our earnings release was issued this morning and appears on our website, www.hessmidstream.com. Today's conference call contains projections and other forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws.

These statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ from those expressed or implied in such statements. These risks include those set forth in the Risk Factor section of Hess Midstream's filings with the SEC. Also on today's conference call, we may discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of the differences between these non-GAAP financial measures and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures can be found in the earnings release. With me today are John Gatling, Chief Operating Officer; and Jonathan Stein, Chief Financial Officer.

I'll now turn the call over to John Gatling.

[John Gatling, Chief Operating Officer]

Thanks, Jennifer. Good afternoon everyone and welcome to Hess Midstream’s second quarter 2019 conference call. Today, I'll review our operating performance and recent highlights as we continue to execute our strategy and look forward to an exciting second half of 2019 for Hess Midstream. I'll also discuss Hess Corporation's latest results and outlook for the Bakken. Jonathan will then review our financial results.

As we reached the halfway point in the year, we're poised for significant volume growth through the balance of 2019. Target resources have completed construction of the Little Missouri 4 gas processing plant. The startup process for LM4 has been initiated with the introduction of first gas into the plant. We expect to begin delivering Hess' volume to LM4 in the next several days. The startup of LM4 is an important milestone for Hess Midstream adding 200 million cubic foot per day of gross processing capacity of which Hess Midstream has at least 100 million cubic foot per day of committed capacity to meet basin demand. With LM4 online, Hess Midstream’s North Dakota gas processing nameplate capacity increases to 350 million cubic foot per day. We plan to further expand or increase our capacity to 500 million cubic foot per day in mid 2021 with the 150 million cubic foot per day expansion of the Tioga Gas Plant.

Turning to the near-term, I'd like to discuss how we're planning to increase gas throughputs for the balance of 2019 as a startup of LM4 provides visibility to a robust growth trajectory. To date in 2019, we continue to operate TGP close to its nameplate capacity. In the second quarter, gas processing volumes were negatively impacted by extended third-party export pipeline maintenance and an unseasonably wet April and May.

Going forward, we expect to use LM4 capacity primarily to process Hess’ gas production south of the Missouri River increasing gas capture in the region and simultaneously freeing up capacity north of the river at TGP. In the third quarter, we expect to begin redirecting Hess' gas production south of the river from TGP to LM4 as the plant ramps in the quarter.

Based on the ramp up, we anticipate an approximate 10% increase in our gas processing volumes in the third quarter as compared to the second quarter. We expect to build towards full utilization of our 100 million cubic foot per day share of LM4 in the fourth quarter. As gas production is redirected to LM4, we expect to fill TGP capacity with increasing production north of river from Hess and additional third-party throughputs from existing contracted customers, who are already connected to our system and have additional gas available for gathering and processing.

Over the long-term, we continue to expect third-parties to comprise approximately 30% of our total gas processing volumes, underlying our strategically advantaged infrastructure in the basin supporting Hess and third-party customers. In summary, we have significant additional Hess and third-party gas contracted and connected to our assets, which gives us confidence in exiting 2019 approaching our 350 million cubic foot per day gas processing system capacity, representing an increase of approximately 40% in processing volumes compared to the second quarter.

Given our growth outlook, we're reaffirming our previously announced throughput guidance – throughput and financial guidance for the full year. For full year 2019, gas gathering volumes are forecast to be between 280 million and 290 million cubic foot per day and gas processing volumes are anticipated to be between 265 million and 275 million cubic foot per day. For our crude oil business, second quarter crude terminaling volumes of 123,000 barrels of oil per day were relatively flat compared to the first quarter as Hess and third-party throughputs were lower than anticipated due to unseasonal weather.

We anticipate throughputs increasing in the second half of 2019 as Hess continues to execute its six rig drilling program and we continue to grow third-party throughputs, which now account for approximately 15% of our total crude oil volumes. Unchanged from prior guidance, full year 2019 crude gathering volumes are forecast to be between 105,000 and 115,000 barrels of oil per day and crude terminaling volumes are anticipated to be between 120,000 and 130,000 barrels of oil per day.

Now turning to Hess upstream highlights. Earlier today, Hess reported second quarter 2019 production from the Bakken of 140,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, which represents an increase of more than 23% over the year ago quarter despite weather related road closures impacting operations in the quarter. Hess’ strong second quarter results continue to demonstrate the quality of its position in the basin and the success of the new plug-and-perf completion design.

For full year 2019, Hess now forecast that Bakken production will average between 140,000 and 145,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day at the upper end of the previous guidance range. As previously announced, Hess plans to maintain a six rig program through 2020 and grow production to approximately 200,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day by 2021, representing a 20% compound annual growth rate. This production trajectory is a key driver to sustain throughput growth through our advantage infrastructure position.

Now turning to Hess Midstream’s capital program. Through the first half of 2019, we've made significant progress on executing our program, focusing on continued expansion of gas compression capacity, completion and commissioning of the LM4 gas plant and associated infrastructure and engineering and procurement for the planned TGP expansion. We also completed the acquisition of Summit's Tioga Gathering assets, which have been successfully integrated into our existing operations, extending our gathering footprint.

Our development program is on schedule and our full-year capital guidance remains unchanged. 2019 consolidated capital expenditures, including equity investments for our JV gas plant and excluding acquisition capital, were expected to be between $275 million and $300 million, all of which generate a competitive return based on our best-in-class contract structure. Furthermore, approximately $265 million to $285 million of our 2019 capital program is allocated to expansion activities and an estimated $10 million to $15 million is allocated to maintenance expenditures.

I'll now provide additional color on our expansion program beginning with the continued expansion of our compression capacity, which comprises approximately $120 million to $130 million of our 2019 capital spend. In the first half of 2019, we completed and brought online the first and second phases of the Blue Buttes Compressor Station providing an additional 52 million cubic foot per day of capacity in the southern portion of the field. Blue Buttes was executed safely ahead of schedule and below budget adding to our track record of strong project execution.

In addition, we completed a 13 million cubic foot per day expansion of the Willard compressor station in the northwestern portion of the field, again ahead of schedule and below budget, further enhancing our capability to gather additional Hess and third-party gas. Activities for the rest of 2019 include construction and commissioning of additional compression facilities and associated infrastructure and engineering for further expansion opportunities.

Now turning to our gas processing capacity expansion. Engineering and procurement continue for our planned 150 million cubic foot per day expansion of the Tioga Gas Plant, expected to start up in mid-2021 at a cost of approximately $150 million. The project remains on schedule to begin civil and fabrication activities this year and major construction commencing in 2020. Total 2019 expenditures for gas processing expansion activities including our equity investment in LM4 are expected to be between $55 million and $65 million.

And finally, we continue our Hess and third-party well connect program, tying new wells into our integrated gathering system, which totals approximately $90 million of our expansion capital for the full year 2019. Together these investments support Hess' long-term production growth, enabling the delivery of increased volumes from our facilities and enhancing our ability to attract additional third-party business from our growing infrastructure. In summary, we're excited by our growth outlook in the second half of 2019 and we remain focused on executing our strategy of capitalizing on continued portfolio growth opportunities.

I'll now turn the call over to Jonathan to review our financial results.

[Jonathan Stein, Chief Financial Officer]

Thanks, John, and good afternoon everyone. As you heard from John, the startup of LM4 is an operational milestone for Hess Midstream and is also a financial catalyst as the expected ramp up in gas volumes for the rest of the year will drive continued growth in our revenues, EBITDA and coverage. As a result, we are reiterating our full year 2019 guidance including net income guidance of $415 million to $440 million, consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $550 million to $575 million and adjusted EBITDA attributable to Hess Midstream in the range of $108 million to $113 million.

With maintenance capital and cash interest attributable to Hess Midstream projected to total approximately $5 million for the full year, our distributable cash flow guidance for 2019 also remains unchanged as expected to be in the range of $103 million to $108 million. Highlighting our expected strong growth on an annual basis in 2019 we expect to deliver 15% distribution growth with at least a 1.1 times coverage with revenues that are 85% protected by MVCs and a competitive EBITDA margin consistent with our historical margin of greater than 75%.

Completing our full year guidance, we anticipate expansion capital attributable to Hess Midstream for 2019 including equity investments related to the LM4 gas plant and excluding acquisition capital to be approximately $53 million to $57 million, again unchanged from prior guidance. Turning to second quarter result, I'll compare results on the second quarter to the first quarter. For the second quarter 2019, consolidated net income was $91 million compared to $95 million for the first quarter. Consolidated adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter was $126 million compared to $128 million for the first quarter.

The change in consolidated adjusted EBITDA relative to the first quarter was primarily attributable to the following. Revenues for our gathering and processing segment increased by approximately $2 million, primarily from higher gas volume offset by extended maintenance on a third-party export pipeline and low volumes from unseasonal weather in April and May. Total operating expenses including G&A, but excluding depreciation and amortization and rail transportation pass-through costs were higher, decreasing EBITDA by approximately $4 million including seasonally higher maintenance activity during the period of approximately $3 million and higher charges of Hess under our omnibus and employee secondment agreement of approximately $1 million.

Second quarter 2019 maintenance capital expenditures attributable to Hess Midstream were $0.6 million and cash interest was $0.3 million. The result was that the distributable cash flow was $23.3 million for the second quarter 2019 covering our distribution by 1.02 times. On July 25th, we announced that the Board of Directors of our general partner approved our second quarter distribution that increased 3.6% quarter-on-quarter and 15% year-on-year consistent with our distribution growth target.

Had expansion capital expenditures of $80 million growth or $16 million attributable to Hess Midstream in the second quarter. Highlighting our ability to grow by primarily self funding both our distributions and expansion capital program we finished the quarter with our $300 million credit facility undrawn. Looking forward to the rest of the year as John described, we expect increasing revenues as we ramp-up gas processing at LM4. This revenue growth is expected to accelerate into the fourth quarter as we move towards increasing throughput LM4 and TGP.

As a result, we expect to see increasing coverage to the rest of the year relative to the second quarter with fourth quarter coverage of at least 1.2 times. For the third quarter we expect higher revenues driven by an increase of approximately 10% in gas processing volumes as John described, partially offset by higher operating costs as we increase these maintenance activity. We expect net income attributable to Hess Midstream to be approximately $18.5 million to $20 million and adjusted EBITDA attributable to Hess Midstream to approximately $25.5 million to $27 million and approximate 8.5% increase in EBITDA at the midpoint relative to the second quarter.

In addition, DCF is expected to be approximately $24 million to $25.5 million with a Hess Midstream share of depreciation and amortization and interest expense of $7 million and maintenance capital and cash interest expense of $1.5 million. As we bring LM4 online and grow our gas processing capacity to 350 million cubic feet per day, we are excited about our visible growth to the rest of 2019 and beyond.

With the announced TGP expansion expected to be online mid-2021 underpinning our next phase of growth and supported by unique contract structure and self-funding financial strategy, we can look forward with confidence to our ability to continue to deliver strong EBIT growth and meet our 15% annualized targeted distribution growth.

This concludes my remarks. We'll be happy to answer any questions. I will now turn the call over to the operator.

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Jeremy Tonet with JPMorgan.

[Jeremy Tonet, JPMorgan]

Hi, good afternoon here. Just wanted to touch base on the Bakken as far as gas takeaway is concerned in general. I'm just seeing – if you could share your thoughts as far as how tight the market is right now? And could that kind of impede basin growth or affect any of your plans in anyway?

[John Gatling, Chief Operating Officer]

Thanks for the question, Jeremy. Thanks for the question, Jeremy. From our perspective, no, we've got the planned export sorted out, and we're managing through that both from a crude, NGL and residue takeaway perspective. I mean, as you're aware, Oneok is in the process of completing its Elk Creek system. The southern portion of that system is now complete. The portion from the Bakken down to that southern connection point is still in progress and is expected to be completed in the fourth quarter.

So from our perspective, as we ramp up our processing capacity, we've got interim solutions in place to manage the volume as LM4 ramps up. And in the longer term, when Elk Creek comes on later this year, we're well positioned to manage the additional processing capacity coming out of LM4, but also as we look longer term towards the expansion of TGP as well.

[Jeremy Tonet, JPMorgan]

That’s helpful, thanks. And also on the natural gas takeaway side, is there any concerns about constraints there beyond the NGL picture?

[John Gatling, Chief Operating Officer]

No. We're feeling good about the residue gas takeaway as well.

[Jeremy Tonet, JPMorgan]

Great. And then just wondering, might have missed it in the remarks there, but as far as third-party business mix, how that shook out this quarter versus the last quarter. What opportunities do you see there?

[John Gatling, Chief Operating Officer]

Sure. We've continued to see a lot of opportunity on the third-party side. So third parties were down slightly in the second quarter as a result of gathering more Hess volume as you heard. Hess' production continued to increase. It was primarily driven by additional gas capture in the basin as we brought on infrastructure and have been able to redirect that gas to the Tioga Gas Plant. And we're operating at near nameplate capacity at TGP, so as a result of that, we did have to push some of those uncommitted, unfirm contract volumes out of TGP as a result of bringing the Hess volumes in.

But we have – and we've continued to work with our third parties, and they're obviously anxious to get back in the system and kind of manage through that. So we're feeling really good for the long term. And then just to – again, to reiterate our long-term view of third-party from a gas perspective, we continue to see that in that kind of 30% range. So again, there's a lot of opportunity out there for us and we feel really good about the long term, but things are continuing to progress very well in the basin.

[Jeremy Tonet, JPMorgan]

That's very helpful. Thanks, and one last one, with LM4, just wondering if you could provide a bit more color on how quickly you see that plant being able to ramp there?

[John Gatling, Chief Operating Officer]

Yes. So the plan right now is that the ramp will primarily happen in the third quarter. So again, I mean, the startup has just begun. Gas has been introduced into the plant, it's still very early days. We're very optimistic around getting the plant up and growing, but we are planning to ramp in the third quarter. And then the plan would be is towards fourth quarter is when we would start to see getting towards our – near our total capacity of the 350 million in total processing.

[Jonathan Stein, Chief Financial Officer]

And Jeremy, just I think we can't emphasize enough how much, not only operationally but also I think financially, what an inflection point this is with LM4 starting up. It's just – as we went through in the comments, the 10% increase in Q3 processing volumes will expect to drive an 8.5% increase in EBITDA at the midpoint, a 40% increase relative to Q2. In Q4, we expect to have coverage of at least 1.2 times and that’s really just 2018.

As we look beyond, as you know, all of our systems have more than 15% volume growth and you can see that through our MVCs through 2021. And then with the TGP expansion coming on in mid-2021, that really even – sets the stage for long-term organic growth even beyond that. So really, this is an exciting milestone, as John highlighted. The transparency that we have towards the ramp up that John described in his comments and just now really gives us confidence not only in our ability to achieve our financial metric this year but even beyond.

[John Gatling, Chief Operating Officer]

And I would say – let me just add to that, too, I think that's a great point from Jonathan, is the volume that is being delivered into our system is available now. It's essentially behind pipe, it's connected, it's contracted. We're ready to introduce that additional gas into system as soon as the processing is available to us. So again, we've – we're really excited to get the plant online, see it run. And we'll obviously bring that gas in as quickly as we possibly can.

[Jeremy Tonet, JPMorgan]

Great. That’s very helpful Thank you.

[John Gatling, Chief Operating Officer]

Thank you.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from Spiro Dounis with Credit Suisse.

[Spiro Dounis, Credit Suisse]

Hey, good afternoon gentlemen. Just looking for some updated thoughts around the appetite to maybe get more involved in Bakken takeaway pipelines as an equity owner. I think we had a few announcements here since the last call just around the crude side of things. So just curious if Hess or HESM can bring anything to the table to maybe help you acquire an interest somewhere?

[John Gatling, Chief Operating Officer]

Sure. I mean, our relationship both on that Hess side and the Hess Midstream side is very strong with the export capacity that's coming out of the basin. We continue to talk to those providers and we're – as we've said before, and our strategy has not changed at all, where investments make sense, we're definitely interested in it.

So we're continuing to evaluate those opportunities, and when they make themselves available to us, we're definitely working through that. So I think that takeaway out of the Bakken is definitely something that Hess Midstream would be interested in participating it. But again, it's got to be the right opportunity and it's got to tie into our system properly and just kind of meet all of the objectives we've outlined previously.

[Spiro Dounis, Credit Suisse]

Got it. That’s fair. And then just on the potential for third-party acquisitions, seems to be a fair amount of assets for sale out there, especially with some E&Ps looking to maybe monetize their midstream assets. So are those asset packages coming your way? And can you guys make the math work? Especially when you think about capital needing to compete with your current return on capital program, which is obviously pretty healthy, and when you think about where some M&A would sit, is at the HIP level or could you do it through HESM?

[John Gatling, Chief Operating Officer]

Yes. No, I think it's another really good question. And again just to reiterate, I mean, we're definitely evaluating all of the opportunities available to us in the basin and even some outside of the basin. There are assets that are natural integrations into our existing infrastructure that we would be – we'd really like to have. But again, it's got to be the right price. Just if – and I know you know this, but in the contract structure we have in place and the way our system is set up, we're really – we're not chasing growth.

Growth is built into our existing plan. But where we can acquire those assets and where we can integrate them into our strategic footprint, we're absolutely evaluating those and looking at those. And yes, we do get opportunities presented to us. We also are actively looking at opportunities as well outside of even formal presentations to us. So we continue to evaluate that. But again, it's got to make sense. It’s got to integrate in with our system. And it – and our preference, as we talked about before, that it would integrate into our contract structure and have the same sort of stability that we've got in our existing plan.

[Jonathan Stein, Chief Financial Officer]

And then I guess the second half to your question in terms of funding HIP or by HESM, I think as we've demonstrated actually over the past year, as we've done, executed different types of acquisitions and JVs, the great thing about our capital structure is that we have the ability to do that in different ways. So for example, water was acquired at the HIP level. But if you look at, for example Summit, that was done at the operating level and therefore was split 20% by Hess Midstream partners and 80% by HIP. So we have a lot of flexibility in the capital structure, and I think that's one of the advantages that we bring to the table.

[Spiro Dounis, Credit Suisse]

Yes, very helpful. Thanks John. Thanks Jonathan.

[John Gatling, Chief Operating Officer]

Thank you.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from Mirek Zak with Citigroup.

[Mirek Zak, Citigroup]

Hi, good morning guys. Just a quick one for me. So the downtime on the Alliance Pipeline late in the quarter, is that an issue that's now resolved? Or is that, in your view, a sign of a potential longer downtime for maintenance maybe in the second half of the year? Or it's something that you would need to compensate for?

[John Gatling, Chief Operating Officer]

No. From our perspective, it was part of a planned maintenance activity. And once they started getting into that maintenance, there were additional things that needed to be addressed. There was some weather. They also had some weather challenges as well that ended up extending it. We don't anticipate any issues long term as a result of that. They were able to complete the maintenance activities and we're back flowing, no problems.

[Mirek Zak, Citigroup]

Okay. Great. That’s helpful for me.

[John Gatling, Chief Operating Officer]

Okay. Thank you.

[Operator]

Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude the Q&A portion of today's conference call. Thank you very much for your participation. This concludes today’s conference. You may all disconnect and have a great day.