Warrior Met Coal Inc
NYSE:HCC

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Warrior Met Coal Inc
NYSE:HCC
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Price: 48.86 USD -2.63% Market Closed
Market Cap: 2.6B USD

Relative Value

The Relative Value of one HCC stock under the Base Case scenario is 61.75 USD. Compared to the current market price of 48.86 USD, Warrior Met Coal Inc is Undervalued by 21%.

Relative Value is the estimated value of a stock based on various valuation multiples like P/E and EV/EBIT ratios. It offers a quick snapshot of a stock's valuation in relation to its peers and historical norms.

HCC Relative Value
Base Case
61.75 USD
Undervaluation 21%
Relative Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Multiples

vs History
23
vs Industry
53
Median 3Y
1.5
Median 5Y
1.3
Industry
1.8
Forward
1.7
vs History
7
vs Industry
20
Median 3Y
5.8
Median 5Y
5.1
Industry
15.7
Forward
21.9
vs History
11
vs Industry
21
Median 3Y
4.5
Median 5Y
4.6
Industry
9.6
vs History
vs Industry
10
Median 3Y
3.3
Median 5Y
3.7
Industry
16.1
vs History
57
vs Industry
47
Median 3Y
1.4
Median 5Y
1.4
Industry
1.5
vs History
25
vs Industry
57
Median 3Y
1.4
Median 5Y
1.3
Industry
2.1
Forward
1.5
vs History
31
vs Industry
49
Median 3Y
2.9
Median 5Y
3.7
Industry
7.1
vs History
26
vs Industry
24
Median 3Y
3.1
Median 5Y
4.1
Industry
10.2
Forward
6.2
vs History
12
vs Industry
20
Median 3Y
3.9
Median 5Y
3.7
Industry
13.2
Forward
6.8
vs History
20
vs Industry
25
Median 3Y
3.8
Median 5Y
4.2
Industry
11
vs History
vs Industry
5
Median 3Y
4.7
Median 5Y
4.7
Industry
14.5
vs History
52
vs Industry
46
Median 3Y
1.3
Median 5Y
1.1
Industry
1.3

Multiples Across Competitors

HCC Competitors Multiples
Warrior Met Coal Inc Competitors

Market Cap P/S P/E EV/EBITDA EV/EBIT
US
Warrior Met Coal Inc
NYSE:HCC
2.6B USD 1.7 10.2 5.4 8.7
ZA
Kumba Iron Ore Ltd
JSE:KIO
103B Zac 0 0 0 0
BR
Vale SA
BOVESPA:VALE3
229.9B BRL 1.1 7.3 3.9 5
AU
Fortescue Metals Group Ltd
ASX:FMG
47.7B AUD 1.9 7.8 5.4 5.4
AU
Fortescue Ltd
XMUN:FVJ
26.4B EUR 1.8 7.7 5.3 5.3
IN
JSW Steel Ltd
NSE:JSWSTEEL
2.5T INR 1.5 76 14 22.7
US
Nucor Corp
NYSE:NUE
27.1B USD 0.9 13.4 6.7 9.7
LU
ArcelorMittal SA
AEX:MT
22.1B EUR 0.4 18.8 4.4 7.5
JP
Nippon Steel Corp
TSE:5401
3.1T JPY 0.4 6.6 4.9 8.1
IN
Tata Steel Ltd
NSE:TATASTEEL
1.7T INR 0.8 63.4 9.3 15.5
CN
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co Ltd
SSE:600019
146B CNY 0.4 15.4 16.4 16.4
EV/EBITDA Multiple
EBITDA Growth EV/EBITDA to Growth
US
Warrior Met Coal Inc
NYSE:HCC
Average EV/EBITDA: 7.6
5.4
22%
0.2
ZA
K
Kumba Iron Ore Ltd
JSE:KIO
Not Available
14%
N/A
BR
Vale SA
BOVESPA:VALE3
3.9
10%
0.4
AU
Fortescue Metals Group Ltd
ASX:FMG
5.4
-9%
N/A
AU
F
Fortescue Ltd
XMUN:FVJ
5.3
-9%
N/A
IN
JSW Steel Ltd
NSE:JSWSTEEL
14
13%
1.1
US
Nucor Corp
NYSE:NUE
6.7
9%
0.7
LU
ArcelorMittal SA
AEX:MT
4.4
12%
0.4
JP
Nippon Steel Corp
TSE:5401
4.9
7%
0.7
IN
Tata Steel Ltd
NSE:TATASTEEL
9.3
20%
0.5
CN
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co Ltd
SSE:600019
16.4
44%
0.4
EV/EBIT Multiple
EBIT Growth EV/EBIT to Growth
US
Warrior Met Coal Inc
NYSE:HCC
Average EV/EBIT: 10.4
8.7
40%
0.2
ZA
K
Kumba Iron Ore Ltd
JSE:KIO
Not Available
0%
N/A
BR
Vale SA
BOVESPA:VALE3
5
5%
1
AU
Fortescue Metals Group Ltd
ASX:FMG
5.4
-23%
N/A
AU
F
Fortescue Ltd
XMUN:FVJ
5.3
-23%
N/A
IN
JSW Steel Ltd
NSE:JSWSTEEL
22.7
14%
1.6
US
Nucor Corp
NYSE:NUE
9.7
13%
0.7
LU
ArcelorMittal SA
AEX:MT
7.5
13%
0.6
JP
Nippon Steel Corp
TSE:5401
8.1
N/A N/A
IN
Tata Steel Ltd
NSE:TATASTEEL
15.5
32%
0.5
CN
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co Ltd
SSE:600019
16.4
10%
1.6