Warrior Met Coal Inc
NYSE:HCC

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Warrior Met Coal Inc
NYSE:HCC
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Price: 54.32 USD -1.04% Market Closed
Market Cap: 2.8B USD
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Relative Value

The Relative Value of one HCC stock under the Base Case scenario is 45.13 USD. Compared to the current market price of 54.32 USD, Warrior Met Coal Inc is Overvalued by 17%.

Relative Value is the estimated value of a stock based on various valuation multiples like P/E and EV/EBIT ratios. It offers a quick snapshot of a stock's valuation in relation to its peers and historical norms.

HCC Relative Value
Base Case
45.13 USD
Overvaluation 17%
Relative Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Multiples

vs History
0
vs Industry
48
Median 3Y
1.4
Median 5Y
1.2
Industry
1.7
Forward
1.8
vs History
6
vs Industry
23
Median 3Y
5.7
Median 5Y
3.4
Industry
15.4
Forward
10.2
vs History
7
vs Industry
22
Median 3Y
4.3
Median 5Y
4.4
Industry
9.1
vs History
0
vs Industry
10
Median 3Y
3.7
Median 5Y
4.2
Industry
15
vs History
1
vs Industry
34
Median 3Y
1.5
Median 5Y
1.4
Industry
1.4
vs History
0
vs Industry
52
Median 3Y
1.3
Median 5Y
1.2
Industry
2.1
Forward
1.6
vs History
17
vs Industry
50
Median 3Y
2.8
Median 5Y
3.3
Industry
7.2
vs History
22
vs Industry
25
Median 3Y
3
Median 5Y
3.6
Industry
9.9
Forward
5.1
vs History
12
vs Industry
23
Median 3Y
3.9
Median 5Y
3.2
Industry
12.6
Forward
8.2
vs History
17
vs Industry
26
Median 3Y
3.7
Median 5Y
4
Industry
10.3
vs History
0
vs Industry
5
Median 3Y
5.6
Median 5Y
5.1
Industry
13
vs History
1
vs Industry
31
Median 3Y
1.3
Median 5Y
1.1
Industry
1.3

Multiples Across Competitors

HCC Competitors Multiples
Warrior Met Coal Inc Competitors

All Multiples
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
All Countries
Close
Market Cap P/S P/E EV/EBITDA EV/EBIT
US
Warrior Met Coal Inc
NYSE:HCC
2.8B USD 1.8 7.5 4.5 6.1
ZA
Kumba Iron Ore Ltd
JSE:KIO
105.8B Zac 0 0 0 0
BR
Vale SA
BOVESPA:VALE3
234.2B BRL 1.1 4.9 3.3 4
AU
Fortescue Metals Group Ltd
ASX:FMG
56.6B AUD 1.9 6.2 4.2 4.2
AU
Fortescue Ltd
XMUN:FVJ
33.8B EUR 1.9 6.2 4.2 4.2
US
Nucor Corp
NYSE:NUE
27.6B USD 0.7 8.2 4.6 5.8
IN
JSW Steel Ltd
NSE:JSWSTEEL
2.2T INR 1.3 45 11.9 18.4
CN
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co Ltd
SSE:600019
157.3B CNY 0.5 16.4 15.8 15.8
IN
Tata Steel Ltd
NSE:TATASTEEL
1.8T INR 0.8 -42.6 9.4 16.1
JP
Nippon Steel Corp
TSE:5401
3.2T JPY 0.4 6.4 5.3 8.8
LU
ArcelorMittal SA
AEX:MT
18.2B EUR 0.3 -15.3 3.7 6.6
P/E Multiple
Earnings Growth P/E to Growth
US
Warrior Met Coal Inc
NYSE:HCC
Average P/E: 12.6
7.5
-37%
N/A
ZA
K
Kumba Iron Ore Ltd
JSE:KIO
Not Available
-35%
N/A
BR
Vale SA
BOVESPA:VALE3
4.9
44%
0.1
AU
Fortescue Metals Group Ltd
ASX:FMG
6.2
-53%
N/A
AU
F
Fortescue Ltd
XMUN:FVJ
6.2
-53%
N/A
US
Nucor Corp
NYSE:NUE
8.2
-37%
N/A
IN
JSW Steel Ltd
NSE:JSWSTEEL
45
115%
0.4
CN
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co Ltd
SSE:600019
16.4
17%
1
IN
Tata Steel Ltd
NSE:TATASTEEL
Negative Multiple: -42.6 N/A N/A
JP
Nippon Steel Corp
TSE:5401
6.4
19%
0.3
LU
ArcelorMittal SA
AEX:MT
Negative Multiple: -15.3
371%
N/A
EV/EBITDA Multiple
EBITDA Growth EV/EBITDA to Growth
US
Warrior Met Coal Inc
NYSE:HCC
Average EV/EBITDA: 6.7
4.5
-14%
N/A
ZA
K
Kumba Iron Ore Ltd
JSE:KIO
Not Available
-20%
N/A
BR
Vale SA
BOVESPA:VALE3
3.3
17%
0.2
AU
Fortescue Metals Group Ltd
ASX:FMG
4.2
-24%
N/A
AU
F
Fortescue Ltd
XMUN:FVJ
4.2
-24%
N/A
US
Nucor Corp
NYSE:NUE
4.6
-21%
N/A
IN
JSW Steel Ltd
NSE:JSWSTEEL
11.9
53%
0.2
CN
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co Ltd
SSE:600019
15.8
211%
0.1
IN
Tata Steel Ltd
NSE:TATASTEEL
9.4
93%
0.1
JP
Nippon Steel Corp
TSE:5401
5.3
30%
0.2
LU
ArcelorMittal SA
AEX:MT
3.7
11%
0.3
EV/EBIT Multiple
EBIT Growth EV/EBIT to Growth
US
Warrior Met Coal Inc
NYSE:HCC
Average EV/EBIT: 9
6.1
-42%
N/A
ZA
K
Kumba Iron Ore Ltd
JSE:KIO
Not Available
-40%
N/A
BR
Vale SA
BOVESPA:VALE3
4
-5%
N/A
AU
Fortescue Metals Group Ltd
ASX:FMG
4.2
-49%
N/A
AU
F
Fortescue Ltd
XMUN:FVJ
4.2
-49%
N/A
US
Nucor Corp
NYSE:NUE
5.8
-35%
N/A
IN
JSW Steel Ltd
NSE:JSWSTEEL
18.4
63%
0.3
CN
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co Ltd
SSE:600019
15.8
39%
0.4
IN
Tata Steel Ltd
NSE:TATASTEEL
16.1
155%
0.1
JP
Nippon Steel Corp
TSE:5401
8.8
N/A N/A
LU
ArcelorMittal SA
AEX:MT
6.6
4%
1.6

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