GXO Logistics Inc
NYSE:GXO
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one GXO stock under the Base Case scenario is 72.06 USD. Compared to the current market price of 60.47 USD, GXO Logistics Inc is Undervalued by 16%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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GXO Logistics Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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GXO Logistics Inc
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GXO Logistics Inc. is a leading global provider of supply chain solutions, catering to a diverse array of industries from e-commerce and retail to technology and consumer goods. Founded as a spin-off from XPO Logistics in 2021, the company has rapidly established itself as a key player in the logistics sector, focusing exclusively on contract logistics services including warehousing, distribution, and last-mile delivery. With a broad suite of services and a presence in over 25 countries, GXO is well-positioned to capitalize on the booming e-commerce market and the increasing demand for sophisticated logistics solutions driven by digital transformation and consumer expectations for speedy del...
GXO Logistics Inc. is a leading global provider of supply chain solutions, catering to a diverse array of industries from e-commerce and retail to technology and consumer goods. Founded as a spin-off from XPO Logistics in 2021, the company has rapidly established itself as a key player in the logistics sector, focusing exclusively on contract logistics services including warehousing, distribution, and last-mile delivery. With a broad suite of services and a presence in over 25 countries, GXO is well-positioned to capitalize on the booming e-commerce market and the increasing demand for sophisticated logistics solutions driven by digital transformation and consumer expectations for speedy delivery.
For investors, GXO represents a compelling opportunity driven by its strong growth trajectory and innovative, technology-driven approach to logistics. The company leverages advanced automation and data analytics to enhance efficiency and scalability, which are vital components in a rapidly evolving marketplace. With a robust client base that includes some of the world's largest companies, GXO stands to benefit from long-term contracts and strategic partnerships. As industries continue to embrace digital supply chains, GXO’s commitment to sustainability and operational excellence underscores its potential for sustained profitability and market leadership, making it an attractive option for those looking to invest in the future of logistics.
GXO Logistics, Inc. is a prominent player in the logistics and supply chain management industry, primarily specializing in contract logistics and transportation services. As of my last update, the core business segments of GXO can be outlined as follows:
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Contract Logistics: This segment is the backbone of GXO's operations, providing customized logistics solutions tailored to the needs of various industries. Services may include warehousing, inventory management, order fulfillment, and distribution. They often utilize advanced technology and automation to enhance operational efficiency and drive cost savings for clients.
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Transportation: In this segment, GXO offers a range of transportation services, including freight brokerage and managed transportation solutions. They typically work to optimize supply chains by ensuring timely delivery of goods, managing carriers, and leveraging their extensive network to negotiate favorable shipping rates.
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E-commerce Fulfillment: With the rise of online shopping, GXO has positioned itself to support e-commerce businesses through specialized fulfillment services. This includes handling returns, managing inventory, and ensuring quick processing times to meet consumer expectations.
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Technology and Automation: GXO invests heavily in technology and automation within its logistics operations, leveraging data analytics, AI, and robotics to improve efficiency. This segment focuses on enhancing real-time visibility across the supply chain, optimizing warehouse operations, and reducing lead times.
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Industry-Specific Solutions: GXO also provides tailored logistics solutions for specific industries, such as retail, consumer goods, healthcare, and technology. These solutions are designed to meet the unique demands and regulatory requirements of each sector.
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Sustainability Initiatives: In response to growing environmental concerns, GXO incorporates sustainable practices within its logistics operations. This includes improving energy efficiency, reducing emissions, and promoting eco-friendly transportation options.
Overall, GXO Logistics Inc. aims to provide comprehensive logistics solutions that add value to their clients' supply chains, driving operational efficiency while adapting to changing market dynamics. The company's focus on technology and customer-centric services sets it apart in the competitive logistics landscape.
GXO Logistics Inc., a leading provider of logistics and supply chain solutions, holds several unique competitive advantages over its rivals:
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Focus on Technology and Automation: GXO heavily invests in advanced technologies, including automation and AI, to enhance its logistics operations. This not only improves efficiency but also reduces costs and errors in supply chain management, setting it apart from competitors that may rely more on traditional methods.
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Scalability and Flexibility: The ability to scale operations quickly to meet fluctuating demand is a significant advantage. GXO provides tailored solutions that can be adjusted based on client needs, allowing them to serve both large enterprises and niche markets effectively.
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Omnichannel Fulfillment Capabilities: GXO specializes in offering omnichannel logistics solutions, enabling seamless integration of online and offline shopping experiences. This capability is increasingly critical for retailers looking to meet consumer expectations for delivery speed and variety.
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Diverse Customer Base: The company caters to a wide range of industries, including e-commerce, healthcare, and consumer goods. This diversification helps reduce reliance on any single sector and spreads risk across various markets.
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Strong Global Network: With a vast network of facilities and distribution centers worldwide, GXO can offer expansive geographic coverage. This enhances service reliability and speeds up delivery times, which are essential factors in customer satisfaction.
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Expertise in Complex Logistics: GXO has a reputation for managing complex logistics challenges, such as returns management and difficult supply chains. Their expertise in these areas can be a significant draw for companies facing intricate distribution needs.
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Customer-Centric Approach: The company emphasizes building strong partnerships with clients, offering personalized services and support that many competitors may not provide. This focus on customer relations fosters loyalty and long-term contracts.
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Financial Strength and Backing: Being a spin-off from XPO Logistics, GXO benefits from a strong financial foundation that allows for reinvestment in technology and infrastructure, positioning it competitively against rivals that may not have the same level of capital support.
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Commitment to Sustainability: GXO is increasingly focused on sustainable practices within its operations, aligning with growing consumer and regulatory demands for environmentally responsible logistics. This commitment enhances its brand reputation and appeal, especially among environmentally-conscious businesses.
These competitive advantages collectively position GXO Logistics Inc. as a formidable player in the logistics industry, allowing it to effectively compete and capture market share against its rivals.
GXO Logistics Inc., as a prominent player in supply chain and logistics management, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key areas to consider:
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Economic Uncertainty: Fluctuations in the global economy can impact demand for logistics services. Economic slowdowns, inflation, or changes in consumer spending patterns can affect revenue forecasts.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain disruptions, such as those caused by geopolitical tensions, natural disasters, or pandemics, can impact operations and client fulfillment capability.
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Labor Issues: The logistics sector often faces labor shortages, high turnover rates, and potential strikes. Attracting and retaining skilled labor in a competitive market is crucial.
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Technological Advancements: Rapid technological changes necessitate continuous investment in automation and software. Companies that fail to adapt may fall behind competitors who leverage technology to improve efficiency.
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Regulatory Challenges: Changes in regulations related to transportation, labor laws, and environmental standards can impose additional costs and operational challenges.
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Competitive Pressure: The logistics industry is highly competitive, with numerous players vying for market share. Maintaining competitiveness requires innovation, cost management, and excellent customer service.
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Cybersecurity Risks: As logistics firms increasingly rely on digital systems, the risk of cyberattacks rises. A breach could lead to operational disruptions and reputational damage.
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Sustainability Pressures: As consumers and governments demand more sustainable practices, addressing environmental concerns related to logistics operations becomes essential, potentially requiring significant investment.
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Geopolitical Risks: Trade tensions, tariffs, and changing trade policies can impact international operations and costs.
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Financial Performance and Investor Expectations: Any inconsistency in delivering expected financial results can lead to a decline in stock price and investor confidence.
Understanding and proactively addressing these risks will be vital for GXO Logistics to maintain its competitive position and achieve long-term success.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
GXO Logistics Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
GXO Logistics Inc
Current Assets | 2.8B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 469m |
Receivables | 1.9B |
Other Current Assets | 398m |
Non-Current Assets | 8.6B |
PP&E | 3.4B |
Intangibles | 4.6B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 520m |
Current Liabilities | 3.3B |
Accounts Payable | 690m |
Accrued Liabilities | 2B |
Other Current Liabilities | 621m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 5.2B |
Long-Term Debt | 2.6B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 2.6B |
Earnings Waterfall
GXO Logistics Inc
Revenue
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10.4B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-8.6B
USD
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Gross Profit
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1.7B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-1.4B
USD
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Operating Income
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347m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-207m
USD
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Net Income
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140m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
GXO Logistics Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In the third quarter of 2024, GXO achieved record revenues of $3.2 billion, marking a 28% year-over-year increase. The company signed $226 million in new business, bringing year-to-date wins to $750 million. CEO Malcolm Wilson highlighted the growing demand for e-commerce logistics, with 60% of new contracts originating from this sector. Adjusted EBITDA reached $233 million, a 12% annual rise, and they expect to maintain adjusted EBITDA of $805 to $835 million for the full year. With a 30% to 40% conversion rate of adjusted EBITDA to free cash flow, GXO remains confident in long-term growth fueled by automation and strategic partnerships.
What is Earnings Call?
GXO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
GXO Logistics Inc's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
GXO Logistics Inc's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
GXO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
GXO Logistics Inc's solvency score is 42/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
GXO Logistics Inc's solvency score is 42/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
GXO Price Targets Summary
GXO Logistics Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GXO is 71.16 USD with a low forecast of 52.52 USD and a high forecast of 87.15 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for GXO is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
GXO Insider Trading
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Profile
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Description
GXO Logistics, Inc. provides logistics services in North America and Europe. The company is headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut and currently employs 75,000 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2021-07-22. The firm provides its customers with warehousing and distribution, order fulfillment, e-commerce and reverse logistics, and other supply chain services to deliver technology-enabled, customized solutions. The company offers platforms for outsourced e-commerce logistics, including the e-fulfillment platform in Europe. The firm has two reporting units: Americas, Asia and Pacific and Europe. The Company’s customers operate in sectors with outsourcing opportunities, such as retail and e-commerce, food and beverage, consumer packaged goods, consumer technology, telecommunications, manufacturing, chemical, agribusiness, life sciences and healthcare. The company provides a shared-space distribution network for business-to-consumer (B2C) and business-to-business (B2B) customers in North America. This network gives retailers, e-tailers and manufacturers access to its technology without the traditional distribution center models.
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IPO
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The intrinsic value of one GXO stock under the Base Case scenario is 72.06 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 60.47 USD, GXO Logistics Inc is Undervalued by 16%.