GXO Logistics Inc
NYSE:GXO

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GXO Logistics Inc Logo
GXO Logistics Inc
NYSE:GXO
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Price: 60.47 USD 0.78% Market Closed
Market Cap: 7.2B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one GXO stock under the Base Case scenario is 72.06 USD. Compared to the current market price of 60.47 USD, GXO Logistics Inc is Undervalued by 16%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

GXO Intrinsic Value
72.06 USD
Undervaluation 16%
Intrinsic Value
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GXO Logistics Inc

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

Economic Moat
GXO Logistics Inc

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Business Breakdown

GXO Logistics Inc. is a leading global provider of supply chain solutions, catering to a diverse array of industries from e-commerce and retail to technology and consumer goods. Founded as a spin-off from XPO Logistics in 2021, the company has rapidly established itself as a key player in the logistics sector, focusing exclusively on contract logistics services including warehousing, distribution, and last-mile delivery. With a broad suite of services and a presence in over 25 countries, GXO is well-positioned to capitalize on the booming e-commerce market and the increasing demand for sophisticated logistics solutions driven by digital transformation and consumer expectations for speedy del...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
GXO Logistics Inc

Current Assets 2.8B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 469m
Receivables 1.9B
Other Current Assets 398m
Non-Current Assets 8.6B
PP&E 3.4B
Intangibles 4.6B
Other Non-Current Assets 520m
Current Liabilities 3.3B
Accounts Payable 690m
Accrued Liabilities 2B
Other Current Liabilities 621m
Non-Current Liabilities 5.2B
Long-Term Debt 2.6B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 2.6B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
GXO Logistics Inc

Revenue
10.4B USD
Cost of Revenue
-8.6B USD
Gross Profit
1.7B USD
Operating Expenses
-1.4B USD
Operating Income
347m USD
Other Expenses
-207m USD
Net Income
140m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
GXO Logistics Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In the third quarter of 2024, GXO achieved record revenues of $3.2 billion, marking a 28% year-over-year increase. The company signed $226 million in new business, bringing year-to-date wins to $750 million. CEO Malcolm Wilson highlighted the growing demand for e-commerce logistics, with 60% of new contracts originating from this sector. Adjusted EBITDA reached $233 million, a 12% annual rise, and they expect to maintain adjusted EBITDA of $805 to $835 million for the full year. With a 30% to 40% conversion rate of adjusted EBITDA to free cash flow, GXO remains confident in long-term growth fueled by automation and strategic partnerships.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

GXO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

GXO Logistics Inc's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive 3-Years Revenue Growth
Positive Revenue Growth Forecast
Positive Gross Profit
Positive Free Cash Flow
48/100
Profitability
Score

GXO Logistics Inc's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

GXO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

GXO Logistics Inc's solvency score is 42/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
Low Altman Z-Score
42/100
Solvency
Score

GXO Logistics Inc's solvency score is 42/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

GXO Price Targets Summary
GXO Logistics Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast GXO stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GXO is 71.16 USD with a low forecast of 52.52 USD and a high forecast of 87.15 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
52.52 USD
13% Downside
Average
Price Target
71.16 USD
18% Upside
Highest
Price Target
87.15 USD
44% Upside
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Dividends

GXO Logistics Inc
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for GXO is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
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Ownership

GXO Insider Trading
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Period Sold Bought Net
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Profile

GXO Logistics Inc Logo
GXO Logistics Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Logistics & Transportation

Market Cap

7.2B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

GXO Logistics, Inc. provides logistics services in North America and Europe. The company is headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut and currently employs 75,000 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2021-07-22. The firm provides its customers with warehousing and distribution, order fulfillment, e-commerce and reverse logistics, and other supply chain services to deliver technology-enabled, customized solutions. The company offers platforms for outsourced e-commerce logistics, including the e-fulfillment platform in Europe. The firm has two reporting units: Americas, Asia and Pacific and Europe. The Company’s customers operate in sectors with outsourcing opportunities, such as retail and e-commerce, food and beverage, consumer packaged goods, consumer technology, telecommunications, manufacturing, chemical, agribusiness, life sciences and healthcare. The company provides a shared-space distribution network for business-to-consumer (B2C) and business-to-business (B2B) customers in North America. This network gives retailers, e-tailers and manufacturers access to its technology without the traditional distribution center models.

Contact

CONNECTICUT
Greenwich
Two American Lane
+12034891287.0
gxo.com

IPO

2021-07-22

Employees

75 000

Officers

CEO & Director
Mr. Malcolm Wilson
Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Baris Oran
Chief Legal Officer & Company Secretary
Mr. Karlis P. Kirsis
Chief Revenue Officer & President of Europe
Mr. Richard Cawston
Chief Commercial Officer
Ms. Elizabeth Fogarty
Chief Accounting Officer
Paul Blanchett
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Chief Technology Officer
Mr. Nizar Trigui
Chief Compliance & ESG Officer
Ms. Meagan Fitzsimmons
Chief Human Resources Officer
Ms. Corinna Refsgaard
Chief Automation Officer
Mr. Adrian Stoch
Show Less

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one GXO stock?

The intrinsic value of one GXO stock under the Base Case scenario is 72.06 USD.

Is GXO stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 60.47 USD, GXO Logistics Inc is Undervalued by 16%.

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