Generac Holdings Inc
NYSE:GNRC
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one GNRC stock under the Base Case scenario is 170.47 USD. Compared to the current market price of 186.75 USD, Generac Holdings Inc is Overvalued by 9%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Generac Holdings Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Generac Holdings Inc. is a leading American manufacturer of backup power generation and energy storage systems, primarily known for its innovative products designed to keep homes and businesses powered during outages. Founded in 1959, Generac has evolved from a niche generator manufacturer to a prominent player in the burgeoning renewable energy sector. The company’s flagship offerings, including residential and commercial generators, are complemented by its growing portfolio of energy storage solutions. As the demand for reliable power sources has surged—amplified by increasing severe weather events and a shift towards sustainable energy—Generac has positioned itself as a key provider, focu...
Generac Holdings Inc. is a leading American manufacturer of backup power generation and energy storage systems, primarily known for its innovative products designed to keep homes and businesses powered during outages. Founded in 1959, Generac has evolved from a niche generator manufacturer to a prominent player in the burgeoning renewable energy sector. The company’s flagship offerings, including residential and commercial generators, are complemented by its growing portfolio of energy storage solutions. As the demand for reliable power sources has surged—amplified by increasing severe weather events and a shift towards sustainable energy—Generac has positioned itself as a key provider, focusing not only on traditional power generation but also on smart home technology and energy management systems.
For investors, Generac represents a compelling opportunity rooted in its strong market position and innovative spirit. The company has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, driven by expanding residential demand and increasing commercial applications. A robust focus on research and development allows Generac to stay ahead of industry trends, making it a formidable competitor in a sector expected to see significant growth as power needs evolve. Moreover, with increasing consumer awareness of energy resilience and sustainability, Generac is well-poised to tap into market potential, supported by strategic partnerships and acquisitions aimed at enhancing its product offerings. This narrative of resilience, innovation, and growth makes Generac Holdings not just a provider of power solutions, but an attractive investment prospect in a transforming energy landscape.
Generac Holdings Inc. is a leading provider of power generation equipment and solutions, primarily known for its residential and commercial backup power systems. The company operates through several core business segments, each focused on different markets and customer needs. Here are the primary segments:
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Residential Power Systems:
- This segment is focused on providing backup power solutions for homes, primarily through the sale of standby generators. Generac’s residential products range from portable generators to larger home standby systems that automatically activate during a power outage.
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Commercial and Industrial Power Systems:
- Generac also supplies power generation solutions to commercial and industrial customers. This segment includes larger generator systems designed for businesses, healthcare facilities, and other critical operations that require reliable power. Products in this segment may include both stationary and mobile generators, often tailored for specific industry needs.
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Energy Technology:
- With the growing trend of renewable energy and battery storage solutions, Generac has invested in energy technology, offering products like solar inverters and energy storage systems. This segment aims to integrate renewable energy with traditional power solutions, providing customers with more sustainable options.
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Automotive and Mobile Power:
- Generac produces mobile generators and power solutions for various applications, including events, construction sites, and emergency response. This segment serves industries that require portable power sources for temporary or mobile applications.
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Service and Support:
- Beyond just selling products, Generac offers a comprehensive suite of services, including maintenance, replacement parts, and technical support. This segment is crucial for customer retention and ensures that systems operate efficiently over time.
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International Markets:
- Generac has expanded its reach into international markets, providing power solutions to customers outside of the United States. This segment involves adapting products to meet different regulatory demands and market needs in various regions.
Through these segments, Generac Holdings Inc. aims to provide comprehensive power solutions that cater to the diverse needs of its customer base while capitalizing on growth opportunities in an evolving energy landscape.
Generac Holdings Inc. has established several unique competitive advantages over its rivals in the power generation and energy solutions market. Here are some key areas where Generac excels:
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Strong Brand Recognition: Generac is one of the most recognized names in the home generator market, particularly for residential standby generators. Their brand is associated with reliability and durability, which can lead to higher customer loyalty and repeat purchases.
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Comprehensive Product Portfolio: Generac offers a wide array of products beyond just generators, including solar energy systems, energy storage solutions, and backup power products. This diversification allows them to cater to a broader range of customer needs, from residential to commercial applications.
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Innovative Technology: Generac invests heavily in research and development, leading to innovative technologies in generator design, ease of use, and efficiency. Their products sometimes feature advanced connectivity options, allowing users to monitor and control their devices remotely.
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Scale and Manufacturing Efficiency: Being a substantial player in the generational equipment market, Generac benefits from economies of scale that allow them to produce at a lower cost relative to smaller competitors. Their well-defined supply chain and manufacturing processes also provide a significant advantage.
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Distribution Network: Generac has a robust distribution network and strong relationships with various dealers, contractors, and retailers. This extensive network enhances their market reach and improves product availability for customers.
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Strong Focus on Residential Market: While competitors may focus on both commercial and residential markets, Generac’s substantial investment in the residential generator market distinguishes them. In recent years, there has been a surge in demand for home backup power solutions, which Generac effectively capitalizes on.
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High Customer Service Standards: Generac has built a reputation for strong customer support and service. Their emphasis on customer service helps in building enduring customer relationships and enhances brand loyalty.
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Strategic Acquisitions: Generac has pursued strategic acquisitions to expand its product offerings and markets, such as acquiring companies in the renewable energy space, which helps to solidify its position in an evolving energy landscape.
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Adaptability to Market Trends: The company’s ability to adapt to growing trends, such as solar energy integration, positions them favorably in a market increasingly focused on renewable energy and sustainability.
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Financial Strength: Generac has consistently demonstrated strong financial performance, providing them the resources to invest in marketing, R&D, and expansion, which can be an advantage when competing against smaller firms.
These competitive advantages help Generac maintain a robust position in the power generation sector and allow them to effectively fend off rivals. However, the market landscape is continually evolving, and staying attuned to industry changes will be key for Generac's ongoing success.
Generac Holdings Inc., a leading manufacturer of backup power generation products, faces several risks and challenges in the near future, which can be categorized into several areas:
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Market Competition:
- Increased Competition: The power generation market is becoming increasingly competitive, with both established players and new entrants. This can lead to pricing pressures and loss of market share.
- Technological Advancements: Competitors may develop more efficient or innovative technologies, requiring Generac to continuously invest in R&D to keep up.
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Economic Factors:
- Economic Downturn: A recession could reduce consumer and business spending on backup power systems, negatively impacting sales.
- Supply Chain Disruptions: Economic uncertainties, such as inflation or geopolitical tensions, may disrupt the supply chain, leading to increased costs and delays in production.
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Regulatory Risks:
- Environmental Regulations: Stricter emissions regulations and sustainability initiatives could require Generac to adapt its products, leading to increased operational costs.
- Utility Regulations: Changes in regulations governing utility companies and energy consumption may impact market demand for Generac's products.
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Technological Disruptions:
- Shift to Renewable Energy: As society increasingly turns towards renewable energy sources, this could impact demand for traditional backup generators, which could require Generac to pivot its product offerings.
- Battery Technology Advances: Advancements in battery storage technology may provide alternatives to traditional gas-powered generators.
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Operational Challenges:
- Capacity Constraints: Rapid growth in demand for backup power solutions could outpace Generac's manufacturing and supply chain capabilities.
- Quality Control Issues: Maintaining product quality in light of increased production can be a challenge, potentially leading to warranty claims and damage to the company’s reputation.
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Globalization Risks:
- International Expansion: While expanding into international markets offers growth opportunities, it also exposes Generac to foreign exchange risks, cultural differences, and local regulations.
- Geopolitical Instability: Political instability in regions where Generac operates or sources raw materials can affect operations.
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Consumer Behavior:
- Changing Customer Preferences: Changes in consumer preferences may affect product demand. If customers shift towards alternative energy sources or technologies, it could impact sales.
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COVID-19 Impact:
- Although the immediate pandemic effects may have waned, ongoing uncertainties related to COVID-19 variants could disrupt supply chains or alter consumer demand patterns.
Addressing these risks will require Generac to adapt its strategic planning, invest in innovation, and maintain strong relationships with suppliers and customers.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Generac Holdings Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Generac Holdings Inc
Current Assets | 2.1B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 214.2m |
Receivables | 658.6m |
Other Current Assets | 1.2B |
Non-Current Assets | 3.1B |
PP&E | 639.7m |
Intangibles | 2.2B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 230.1m |
Current Liabilities | 1B |
Accounts Payable | 424.8m |
Accrued Liabilities | 397.1m |
Short-Term Debt | 65.5m |
Other Current Liabilities | 132m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 1.8B |
Long-Term Debt | 1.4B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 397.4m |
Earnings Waterfall
Generac Holdings Inc
Revenue
|
4.1B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
|
-2.6B
USD
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Gross Profit
|
1.6B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-1.1B
USD
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Operating Income
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490.2m
USD
|
Other Expenses
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-197.8m
USD
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Net Income
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292.4m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Generac Holdings Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q3 2024, Generac posted net sales of $1.2 billion, up 10% year-over-year, driven by a 28% increase in residential product sales due to heightened demand from hurricanes. Adjusted EBITDA reached $232 million, representing a margin of 19.8%. The company raised its 2024 revenue growth outlook to 5%-9%, up from 4%-8%, with residential sales expected to rise in the high teens. Gross margins are projected to improve by 450 basis points for the year, with fourth-quarter adjusted EBITDA margins forecasted at approximately 20%. Generac's robust performance signals strong demand resilience, particularly in the home standby segment.
What is Earnings Call?
GNRC Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Generac Holdings Inc's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Generac Holdings Inc's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
GNRC Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Generac Holdings Inc's solvency score is 58/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Generac Holdings Inc's solvency score is 58/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
GNRC Price Targets Summary
Generac Holdings Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GNRC is 179.82 USD with a low forecast of 94.94 USD and a high forecast of 220.5 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for GNRC is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
GNRC Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Description
Generac Holdings, Inc. engages in the design and manufacture of power generation equipment and other power products. The company is headquartered in Waukesha, Wisconsin and currently employs 8,955 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2010-02-11. The company is engaged in providing power grid software solutions, backup, and prime power systems for home and industrial applications, solar + battery storage solutions, virtual power plant platforms, and engine- and battery-powered tools and equipment. Its segments include Domestic and International. The Domestic segment includes the Generac business and the acquisitions that are based in the United States and Canada. The International segment includes Generac business' Latin American export operations, and the Ottomotores, Tower Light, Pramac, Motortech, Selmec, Deep Sea, and Off Grid Energy acquisitions. The company designs and manufactures stationary, portable and mobile generators with single-engine outputs ranging between 800 watts and 3,250 kilowatts. The company has developed a line of turn-key energy storage systems for use in residential solar-plus-storage applications. The company also offers industrial-grade mobile energy storage systems.
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one GNRC stock under the Base Case scenario is 170.47 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 186.75 USD, Generac Holdings Inc is Overvalued by 9%.