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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one GM stock under the Base Case scenario is 81 USD. Compared to the current market price of 54.87 USD, General Motors Co is Undervalued by 32%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
General Motors Co
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Fundamental Analysis
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General Motors Co. (GM), one of the oldest and most recognized names in the automotive industry, has undergone a remarkable transformation in recent years. Founded in 1908, GM has established itself as a global leader in vehicle manufacturing, boasting a diverse lineup that includes popular brands such as Chevrolet, GMC, Cadillac, and Buick. However, the company’s narrative is not just one of tradition and legacy; it is also a tale of adaptation and innovation. As the automotive landscape shifts toward electrification and smart technology, GM has committed to an ambitious strategy focused on sustainability, aiming to become a fully electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer by 2035. This pivot not o...
General Motors Co. (GM), one of the oldest and most recognized names in the automotive industry, has undergone a remarkable transformation in recent years. Founded in 1908, GM has established itself as a global leader in vehicle manufacturing, boasting a diverse lineup that includes popular brands such as Chevrolet, GMC, Cadillac, and Buick. However, the company’s narrative is not just one of tradition and legacy; it is also a tale of adaptation and innovation. As the automotive landscape shifts toward electrification and smart technology, GM has committed to an ambitious strategy focused on sustainability, aiming to become a fully electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer by 2035. This pivot not only positions GM to capitalize on the growing demand for cleaner transportation options but also aligns with increasingly stringent global emissions regulations.
Investors looking at GM can find compelling reasons to consider this iconic company as a long-term investment. With significant resources allocated to research and development, GM is at the forefront of exploring advanced technologies such as autonomous driving and battery innovations. The company has announced plans to invest over $35 billion in electric and autonomous vehicles through 2025, suggesting a proactive approach to future-proofing its business. Moreover, GM's strong financial foundation, characterized by a solid balance sheet and improved profitability since its emergence from bankruptcy in 2009, provides a stable platform for growth. As the world transitions to green technologies, GM’s strategic moves not only drive its revival but also promise an exciting chapter ahead for investors eager to be part of the next automotive evolution.
General Motors Co. (GM) operates through several core business segments that are critical to its overall strategy. Understanding these segments provides insight into GM's operations and market positioning. Here are the primary segments:
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Automotive: This is GM's main business segment, comprising the design, manufacture, and sale of vehicles. It includes various brands like Chevrolet, GMC, Buick, and Cadillac. The automotive segment is further split into:
- Passenger Cars: Traditional sedans and hatchbacks.
- Trucks and SUVs: Pickups, sport utility vehicles, and crossovers, which have been increasingly popular among consumers.
- Electric Vehicles (EVs): GM is heavily investing in EV technology and aims to expand its electric offerings in the coming years, with models like the Chevrolet Bolt and initiatives under the GMC Hummer EV.
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Automotive Financing: Through GM Financial, the company provides financial services to customers and dealers, which include vehicle financing, lease options, and related offerings. This segment helps to improve vehicle sales by making it easier for customers to purchase vehicles.
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International Operations: GM has a significant presence in various international markets, including China, which is one of its largest markets outside North America. This segment adapts GM's global strategies to meet regional demands and regulatory requirements.
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Parts and Accessories: This segment deals with the sale of automotive parts, accessories, and services. It contributes to recurring revenue through the aftermarket sales business, which is vital for customer retention and brand loyalty.
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Connected Services and Software: GM is focusing on connectivity, and this segment includes offerings related to in-vehicle services, apps, and systems that enhance the user experience. This aligns with the industry's shift towards mobility services and smart vehicles.
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Sustainability and Technology Initiatives: GM is committed to sustainable practices and has set ambitious goals regarding emissions and renewable energy. This segment encompasses research and development initiatives targeting advancements in battery technology, autonomous vehicles, and smart infrastructure.
By strategically focusing on these core segments, GM aims to navigate the evolving automotive landscape while enhancing profitability and delivering shareholder value over time.
General Motors Co. (GM) possesses several unique competitive advantages over its rivals in the automotive industry. Here are some key points:
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Brand Portfolio: GM has a diverse brand portfolio that includes Chevrolet, GMC, Cadillac, and Buick. This broad range allows it to cater to various market segments, from affordable vehicles to luxury cars.
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Scale and Manufacturing Efficiency: GM benefits from economies of scale due to its large production volumes. This scale allows for lower per-unit costs, operational efficiencies, and greater negotiating power with suppliers.
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Global Presence: GM operates in over 100 countries and has a well-established international presence. This helps mitigate risks associated with regional downturns and allows for a broader market reach.
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Innovation in EVs and Technology: GM is investing heavily in electric vehicles (EVs) and technology (e.g., autonomous driving). The commitment to an all-electric future, as emphasized in their Ultium battery strategy, positions them favorably as the industry transitions to sustainable mobility.
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Strong Supply Chain Relationships: GM has built long-standing relationships with key suppliers, enhancing its ability to secure critical components and materials, especially important as the industry faces supply chain challenges.
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R&D Investment: GM invests significantly in research and development, which supports innovation in safety, connectivity, and efficiency in their vehicles. This investment helps maintain a competitive edge in technology and design.
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Financial Flexibility: GM has a robust financial position and access to capital markets, enabling it to fund new initiatives, research projects, and acquisitions, maintaining flexibility in a rapidly changing market.
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Loyal Customer Base: GM has a long history and established reputation, fostering brand loyalty among consumers. This loyalty can be a powerful asset, particularly in times of economic uncertainty.
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Strategic Partnerships: GM has formed strategic partnerships with technology companies (e.g., its relationship with Honda, collaborations in autonomous driving with companies like Cruise) that provide access to cutting-edge technology and innovation.
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Focus on Sustainability: GM's commitment to sustainability resonates with an increasingly environmentally conscious consumer base, allowing it to differentiate itself in terms of corporate responsibility and appeal to a growing market for eco-friendly vehicles.
In conclusion, GM's competitive advantages stem from its brand diversity, operational scale, investment in technology, and strategic initiatives, positioning it to capitalize on emerging trends in the automotive industry.
General Motors Co (GM) faces several risks and challenges in the near future, which can impact its operations, market position, and profitability. Here are some key areas to consider:
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Transition to Electric Vehicles (EVs):
- Competition: The EV market is rapidly growing with new entrants and established automakers alike. GM faces intense competition from companies like Tesla, Ford, and numerous startups.
- Technology and Innovation: Keeping up with the pace of innovation in EV technology (battery efficiency, range, charging infrastructure) is critical. Any lag in technology could diminish market competitiveness.
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Supply Chain Disruptions:
- Ongoing issues related to chip shortages and raw material availability can hinder production capabilities.
- The global supply chain's vulnerability to geopolitical tensions, natural disasters, or pandemics poses a threat to timely vehicle delivery.
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Regulatory Environment:
- Changing emissions regulations and government policies regarding fuel efficiency and EV adoption could necessitate significant investments to comply.
- Trade policies and tariffs, especially in key markets like China, can impact operational costs and profit margins.
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Economic Uncertainty:
- Consumer spending habits are tied to economic conditions. Recessions or economic downturns could lead to decreased vehicle sales.
- Inflation and rising interest rates can affect consumer financing options, making it more difficult for potential buyers to purchase new vehicles.
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Brand Reputation and Consumer Sentiment:
- Any negative publicity or quality issues can severely impact brand loyalty and sales.
- Consumer preferences are evolving, and failure to meet changing expectations regarding sustainability and technology can lead to a loss of market share.
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Workforce Challenges:
- Transitioning to new production methods, such as EV manufacturing, requires a skilled workforce. Finding, training, and retaining talent can be a challenge.
- Labor negotiations and union relations can impact operational efficiency and costs.
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Investment and Financial Challenges:
- GM’s transition to EVs requires significant capital investment. Managing this while also sustaining profitability from traditional vehicle sales can be complex.
- Fluctuations in stock prices and investor expectations can create pressure on management decisions and strategic direction.
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Cybersecurity Risks:
- As vehicles become more connected and reliant on software, the potential for cyberattacks increases. Protecting customer data and vehicle systems from cyber threats is critical.
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Environmental and Climate Risks:
- Climate change-related risks and the need for sustainable practices are becoming increasingly important. GM needs to demonstrate commitment to sustainability to mitigate potential backlash.
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Global Market Dynamics:
- Economic or political instability in major markets (e.g., China) can affect GM’s international sales.
- Changes in trade agreements or tariffs can impact pricing and profitability in global operations.
In conclusion, while GM is well-positioned to adapt to industry changes, these risks and challenges require careful management to ensure long-term success and sustainability in a rapidly changing automotive landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
General Motors Co
Balance Sheet Decomposition
General Motors Co
Current Assets | 115.4B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 32.2B |
Receivables | 58.2B |
Other Current Assets | 25B |
Non-Current Assets | 173.9B |
Long-Term Investments | 11B |
PP&E | 82.5B |
Intangibles | 4.7B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 75.6B |
Current Liabilities | 95.5B |
Accounts Payable | 29.6B |
Accrued Liabilities | 29.7B |
Other Current Liabilities | 36.2B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 122.9B |
Long-Term Debt | 91.7B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 31.2B |
Earnings Waterfall
General Motors Co
Revenue
|
182.7B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-160.4B
USD
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Gross Profit
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22.3B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-9B
USD
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Operating Income
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13.3B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-2.3B
USD
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Net Income
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11B
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
General Motors Co
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
General Motors reported a robust third quarter, achieving $49 billion in revenue, a 10% increase year-over-year. EBIT adjusted reached $4.1 billion with margins at 8.4%, and EPS adjusted was $2.96, up 30%. The company expects full-year EBIT adjusted of $14 to $15 billion and adjusted EPS of $10 to $10.50. GM is on track to produce around 200,000 EVs this year. They aim for improved EV profitability, projecting $2 billion to $4 billion reduction in EV losses by next year, while maintaining a disciplined approach to pricing and costs amid competitive pressures.
What is Earnings Call?
GM Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
General Motors Co's profitability score is 49/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
General Motors Co's profitability score is 49/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
GM Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
General Motors Co's solvency score is 44/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
General Motors Co's solvency score is 44/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
GM Price Targets Summary
General Motors Co
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GM is 60.7 USD with a low forecast of 38.38 USD and a high forecast of 92.4 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for GM is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
GM Insider Trading
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Profile
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Description
General Motors Co. engages in the designing, manufacturing, and selling of cars, trucks and automobile parts. The company is headquartered in Detroit, Michigan and currently employs 157,000 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2010-08-20. The firm provides automotive financing services through its General Motors Financial Company, Inc. (GM Financial) segment. GM North America (GMNA) and GM International (GMI) develops, manufactures and/or markets vehicles under the Buick, Cadillac, Chevrolet and GMC brands. The firm's segments include GMNA, GMI, Cruise and GM Financial. Its Cruise segment is engaged in the development and commercialization of autonomous vehicle technology. The company offers OnStar and connected services to approximately 22 million connected vehicles globally through subscription-based and complimentary services. The company is also developing hydrogen fuel cell applications across transportation and industries, including mobile power generation, class seven/eight truck, locomotive, aerospace and marine applications.
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one GM stock under the Base Case scenario is 81 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 54.87 USD, General Motors Co is Undervalued by 32%.