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NYSE:GEO
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one GEO stock under the Base Case scenario is 19.4 USD. Compared to the current market price of 28.67 USD, Geo Group Inc is Overvalued by 32%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Geo Group Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
Economic Moat
Geo Group Inc
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Months
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Select up to 2 periods:
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Geo Group Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Geo Group Inc
Current Assets | 490.4m |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 46.3m |
Receivables | 384.1m |
Other Current Assets | 60m |
Non-Current Assets | 3.2B |
Long-Term Investments | 8.1m |
PP&E | 2B |
Intangibles | 887.2m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 243.3m |
Current Liabilities | 388.9m |
Accounts Payable | 76.3m |
Accrued Liabilities | 288.1m |
Other Current Liabilities | 24.4m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 2B |
Long-Term Debt | 1.7B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 233.9m |
Earnings Waterfall
Geo Group Inc
Revenue
|
2.4B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-1.8B
USD
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Gross Profit
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656.1m
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-329m
USD
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Operating Income
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327.1m
USD
|
Other Expenses
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-299.4m
USD
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Net Income
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27.7m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Geo Group Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In the third quarter of 2024, GEO Group reported a net income of $26 million and revenues of $603 million, consistent with the previous year. The company projects fourth-quarter earnings per share between $0.19 and $0.22, with EBITDA expected between $114 million and $124 million. Debt reduction efforts are on track, with net debt projected to drop to approximately $1.67 billion by year-end, aided by lower interest expenses. GEO also plans to activate previously idle facilities, potentially generating an additional $300 million in revenues. As ICE funding likely increases, GEO is well-positioned to expand its operations significantly in response to anticipated demand.
What is Earnings Call?
GEO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Geo Group Inc's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Geo Group Inc's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
GEO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Geo Group Inc's solvency score is 41/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Geo Group Inc's solvency score is 41/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
GEO Price Targets Summary
Geo Group Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GEO is 29.78 USD with a low forecast of 17.17 USD and a high forecast of 38.85 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for GEO is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
GEO Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
The GEO Group, Inc. is a real estate investment trust, which specializes in the ownership, lease, and management of correctional, detention, and re-entry facilities. The company is headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida and currently employs 15,800 full-time employees. The firm provides technologies and monitoring services, and evidence-based supervision and treatment programs for community-based programs. The company also provides transportation services domestically and in the United Kingdom through GEOAmey PECS Ltd. The company operates through four segments. U.S. Secure Services segment primarily encompasses its U.S.-based public-private partnership secure services business. Its Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services segment, which conducts its services in the U.S., consists of its electronic monitoring and supervision services. Reentry Services segment consists of various community-based and reentry services. International Services segment primarily consists of its public-private partnership secure services operations in Australia and South Africa.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one GEO stock under the Base Case scenario is 19.4 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 28.67 USD, Geo Group Inc is Overvalued by 32%.