Geo Group Inc
NYSE:GEO

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Geo Group Inc
NYSE:GEO
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Price: 27.93 USD 1.53%
Market Cap: 3.9B USD
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Relative Value

The Relative Value of one GEO stock under the Base Case scenario is 22.89 USD. Compared to the current market price of 27.93 USD, Geo Group Inc is Overvalued by 18%.

Relative Value is the estimated value of a stock based on various valuation multiples like P/E and EV/EBIT ratios. It offers a quick snapshot of a stock's valuation in relation to its peers and historical norms.

GEO Relative Value
Base Case
22.89 USD
Overvaluation 18%
Relative Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Multiples

vs History
1
vs Industry
53
Median 3Y
0.5
Median 5Y
0.5
Industry
1.2
Forward
1.6
vs History
1
vs Industry
19
Median 3Y
14.7
Median 5Y
9.8
Industry
16.1
Forward
32.8
vs History
1
vs Industry
41
Median 3Y
4.2
Median 5Y
3.7
Industry
9.6
vs History
1
vs Industry
4
Median 3Y
2.7
Median 5Y
3.8
Industry
15.9
vs History
1
vs Industry
40
Median 3Y
1
Median 5Y
1.1
Industry
1.6
vs History
3
vs Industry
39
Median 3Y
1.3
Median 5Y
1.4
Industry
1.4
Forward
2.2
vs History
15
vs Industry
33
Median 3Y
4.6
Median 5Y
5.2
Industry
4.2
vs History
4
vs Industry
35
Median 3Y
6.7
Median 5Y
7.4
Industry
8.5
Forward
11.4
vs History
30
vs Industry
35
Median 3Y
8.9
Median 5Y
10.6
Industry
11.8
Forward
16.4
vs History
1
vs Industry
27
Median 3Y
11.5
Median 5Y
10.9
Industry
10.1
vs History
1
vs Industry
22
Median 3Y
15.9
Median 5Y
15.3
Industry
13.8
vs History
1
vs Industry
42
Median 3Y
0.9
Median 5Y
0.9
Industry
1.1

Multiples Across Competitors

GEO Competitors Multiples
Geo Group Inc Competitors

All Multiples
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
All Countries
Close
Market Cap P/S P/E EV/EBITDA EV/EBIT
US
Geo Group Inc
NYSE:GEO
3.9B USD 1.3 69.5 10.4 13.6
JP
Secom Co Ltd
TSE:9735
2.5T JPY 2.1 24.1 9.3 14.3
SE
Securitas AB
STO:SECU B
78.8B SEK 0.5 16.6 7.6 10.7
US
Brinks Co
NYSE:BCO
3.9B USD 0.8 33.1 8.1 12.8
JP
Sohgo Security Services Co Ltd
TSE:2331
525.9B JPY 1 20.6 6.7 10.8
US
CoreCivic Inc
NYSE:CXW
2.3B USD 1.2 30.2 9.5 15.6
SE
Loomis AB
STO:LOOMIS
23.4B SEK 0.8 15.2 4.2 8.2
TW
Taiwan Secom Co Ltd
TWSE:9917
56.3B TWD 3.2 20 13.1 21.5
AU
Threat Protect Australia Ltd
ASX:TPS
2.3B AUD 91.4 -148.7 -862.7 -862.7
KR
S1 Corp
KRX:012750
2.1T KRW 0.8 10.8 3.5 6.5
ES
Prosegur Compania de Seguridad SA
MAD:PSG
910.5m EUR 0.1 9.2 5.7 5.7
P/E Multiple
Earnings Growth P/E to Growth
US
Geo Group Inc
NYSE:GEO
Average P/E: 24.9
69.5
82%
0.8
JP
Secom Co Ltd
TSE:9735
24.1
22%
1.1
SE
Securitas AB
STO:SECU B
16.6
479%
0
US
Brinks Co
NYSE:BCO
33.1
394%
0.1
JP
Sohgo Security Services Co Ltd
TSE:2331
20.6
26%
0.8
US
CoreCivic Inc
NYSE:CXW
30.2
65%
0.5
SE
Loomis AB
STO:LOOMIS
15.2
72%
0.2
TW
T
Taiwan Secom Co Ltd
TWSE:9917
20
N/A N/A
AU
Threat Protect Australia Ltd
ASX:TPS
Negative Multiple: -148.7 N/A N/A
KR
S1 Corp
KRX:012750
10.8
9%
1.2
ES
Prosegur Compania de Seguridad SA
MAD:PSG
9.2
132%
0.1
EV/EBITDA Multiple
EBITDA Growth EV/EBITDA to Growth
US
Geo Group Inc
NYSE:GEO
Average EV/EBITDA: 7.8
10.4
6%
1.6
JP
Secom Co Ltd
TSE:9735
9.3
14%
0.7
SE
Securitas AB
STO:SECU B
7.6
20%
0.4
US
Brinks Co
NYSE:BCO
8.1
39%
0.2
JP
Sohgo Security Services Co Ltd
TSE:2331
6.7
18%
0.4
US
CoreCivic Inc
NYSE:CXW
9.5
10%
1
SE
Loomis AB
STO:LOOMIS
4.2
26%
0.2
TW
T
Taiwan Secom Co Ltd
TWSE:9917
13.1
N/A N/A
AU
Threat Protect Australia Ltd
ASX:TPS
Negative Multiple: -862.7 N/A N/A
KR
S1 Corp
KRX:012750
3.5
-6%
N/A
ES
Prosegur Compania de Seguridad SA
MAD:PSG
5.7
27%
0.2
EV/EBIT Multiple
EBIT Growth EV/EBIT to Growth
US
Geo Group Inc
NYSE:GEO
Average EV/EBIT: 12
13.6
0%
31.6
JP
Secom Co Ltd
TSE:9735
14.3
N/A N/A
SE
Securitas AB
STO:SECU B
10.7
29%
0.4
US
Brinks Co
NYSE:BCO
12.8
67%
0.2
JP
Sohgo Security Services Co Ltd
TSE:2331
10.8
N/A N/A
US
CoreCivic Inc
NYSE:CXW
15.6
10%
1.6
SE
Loomis AB
STO:LOOMIS
8.2
41%
0.2
TW
T
Taiwan Secom Co Ltd
TWSE:9917
21.5
N/A N/A
AU
Threat Protect Australia Ltd
ASX:TPS
Negative Multiple: -862.7 N/A N/A
KR
S1 Corp
KRX:012750
6.5
15%
0.4
ES
Prosegur Compania de Seguridad SA
MAD:PSG
5.7
34%
0.2

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