Shift4 Payments Inc
NYSE:FOUR
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one FOUR stock under the Base Case scenario is 126.89 USD. Compared to the current market price of 109.78 USD, Shift4 Payments Inc is Undervalued by 13%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Shift4 Payments Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Shift4 Payments Inc. is a dynamic player in the payments processing industry, emerging as a significant force facilitating seamless financial transactions for merchants across various sectors. Founded in 2018 and based in Allentown, Pennsylvania, the company has rapidly expanded its portfolio through strategic acquisitions and innovative technology solutions. Shift4 offers a comprehensive suite of services, including payment processing, point-of-sale systems, and business management tools, making it an attractive partner for businesses ranging from small enterprises to large hospitality chains. With its commitment to enhancing the transaction experience for merchants and customers alike, Shi...
Shift4 Payments Inc. is a dynamic player in the payments processing industry, emerging as a significant force facilitating seamless financial transactions for merchants across various sectors. Founded in 2018 and based in Allentown, Pennsylvania, the company has rapidly expanded its portfolio through strategic acquisitions and innovative technology solutions. Shift4 offers a comprehensive suite of services, including payment processing, point-of-sale systems, and business management tools, making it an attractive partner for businesses ranging from small enterprises to large hospitality chains. With its commitment to enhancing the transaction experience for merchants and customers alike, Shift4 is poised to capitalize on the growing demand for digital payment solutions.
What sets Shift4 apart is its focus on integration and scalability, allowing businesses to streamline operations and enhance customer experiences. The company’s cutting-edge technology supports a wide range of payment methods, including mobile wallets and e-commerce solutions, which have become essential in today’s digital-first economy. As an investor, you’ll find that Shift4’s strong revenue growth, marked by both organic expansion and strategic acquisitions, signals a robust market position. With an increasing number of merchants transitioning to integrated payment solutions, Shift4 Payments Inc. stands at the forefront of the payment processing revolution, providing both stability and promising growth potential in an ever-evolving landscape.
Shift4 Payments Inc. operates in the payment processing industry and offers a range of services tailored for businesses of various sizes. The core business segments of Shift4 Payments can typically be categorized as follows:
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Payment Processing Solutions:
- Shift4 provides end-to-end payment processing services for merchants, allowing them to accept different payment methods including credit and debit cards, mobile payments, and e-commerce transactions. Their platform is designed for various industries, including retail, hospitality, and e-commerce.
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Point of Sale (POS) Systems:
- The company offers advanced point of sale systems that integrate payment processing with other business management functions. These systems help merchants manage transactions, inventory, and customer relationships. Shift4's POS solutions support both traditional and mobile point-of-sale functionalities.
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E-commerce Solutions:
- Shift4 delivers secure payment processing tools for online merchants, enabling seamless integration with their e-commerce platforms. This includes support for shopping carts, payment gateways, and fraud prevention measures, which are essential for online businesses.
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Integrated Software Partnerships:
- The company collaborates with various software developers to provide integrated solutions that combine payment processing with other operational tools. This partnership model allows businesses to leverage Shift4’s payments technology within their existing software applications, enhancing overall efficiency.
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Value-Added Services:
- Shift4 offers various value-added services such as analytics, reporting, and customer support. These services help clients analyze their payment data, optimize their operations, and improve customer experiences.
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International Payment Solutions:
- The company extends its services beyond domestic transactions, offering international payment processing options, enabling businesses to accept payments from customers globally.
By focusing on these core segments, Shift4 Payments aims to provide a comprehensive suite of payment solutions that enhance the overall merchant experience and streamline payment processes across different channels.
Shift4 Payments Inc. has several unique competitive advantages that distinguish it from its rivals in the payment processing and fintech industry. Here are some key aspects:
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Comprehensive Payment Solutions: Shift4 Payments offers a broad array of solutions beyond basic payment processing, including online, mobile, and point-of-sale (POS) systems. This diversification allows businesses to manage all their payment needs through a single provider.
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Integrated Technology: Shift4 Payments features proprietary software that integrates seamlessly with many different business operation systems, offering clients customizable solutions that adapt to their specific needs and workflows.
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Vertical Focus: The company has carved out a strong presence in specific industries (e.g., hospitality, food and beverage, and e-commerce) by providing tailored solutions and features that meet the unique demands of these sectors.
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Value-Added Services: Beyond payment processing, Shift4 Payments offers value-added services such as loyalty programs, gift card solutions, and advanced reporting tools, giving businesses more than just a payment gateway.
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Data Security: Shift4 Payments prioritizes security through PCI-compliant systems, fraud protection tools, and end-to-end encryption. This focus on security helps build trust with clients and their customers, which is especially crucial in the payments industry.
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Merchant-Centric Approach: The company emphasizes its commitment to providing excellent customer service and support, which enhances client satisfaction and retention. Their merchant-centric focus aims to understand and adapt to the evolving needs of businesses.
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Direct Partnerships and Acquisitions: Shift4 Payments has established strategic partnerships and made acquisitions that enhance its capabilities and market reach. For example, acquiring technology platforms can provide more integrated solutions, helping the company stay ahead of competitors.
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Scalability: The platform is designed to cater to businesses of all sizes, from small startups to large enterprises. This scalability and flexibility enable a diverse range of clients to benefit from their services.
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Strong Brand Recognition and Reputation: The company has built a solid reputation in the industry, known for reliability and innovation. This brand strength can attract new clients and retain existing ones.
These competitive advantages position Shift4 Payments Inc. favorably in the crowded payments processing market and enable it to compete effectively against both large established players and emerging fintech startups.
Shift4 Payments Inc., like many companies in the payment processing industry, faces a variety of risks and challenges that could impact its operations and growth. Here are some of the key risks and challenges:
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Regulatory Changes: The payment processing industry is heavily regulated. Changes in regulations, including those related to data security (like PCI Compliance), consumer protection, and anti-money laundering, could lead to increased operational costs or limit business practices.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As a payment processor, Shift4 handles sensitive financial data. It faces ongoing threats from cyberattacks, which could lead to data breaches, loss of customer trust, and potential legal liabilities.
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Competitive Pressure: The payments industry is highly competitive, with numerous players, including traditional banks, fintech startups, and technology giants. Maintaining market share and pricing power in the face of fierce competition can be a significant challenge.
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Technological Advancements: Rapid advancements in technology necessitate continuous investment in infrastructure and innovation. Failing to keep up could result in losing market relevance or customers.
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Economic Conditions: Economic downturns or shifts in consumer spending behavior can impact transaction volumes. An economic recession could lead to lower revenues for Shift4 as businesses scale back their operations.
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Customer Concentration: If a significant portion of Shift4’s revenue comes from a limited number of clients, losing any major customer could materially impact its financial performance.
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Integration Challenges: Shift4 has made several acquisitions and needs to integrate these businesses effectively. Inadequate integration could lead to operational inefficiencies and diluted brand reputation.
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International Expansion Risks: As Shift4 explores opportunities outside the U.S., it may face challenges related to foreign regulations, cultural differences, and competition in those markets.
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Dependence on Third-party Services: Shift4 relies on third-party service providers for various functions, including cybersecurity and software development. Any disruptions in these services could adversely impact their operations.
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Market Volatility and Interest Rate Risks: Fluctuations in market conditions and interest rates can affect the investment environment and the cost of capital, impacting growth strategies and profitability.
By initiating robust risk management strategies and a focus on innovation, Shift4 Payments can better position itself to navigate these challenges in the near future.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Shift4 Payments Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Shift4 Payments Inc
Current Assets | 2.1B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.4B |
Receivables | 317.8m |
Other Current Assets | 350.4m |
Non-Current Assets | 3B |
Long-Term Investments | 78.9m |
PP&E | 214.9m |
Intangibles | 2.2B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 433.8m |
Current Liabilities | 703.4m |
Accounts Payable | 252m |
Accrued Liabilities | 151m |
Other Current Liabilities | 300.4m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 3.5B |
Long-Term Debt | 2.8B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 695.7m |
Earnings Waterfall
Shift4 Payments Inc
Revenue
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3.1B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-2.3B
USD
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Gross Profit
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882.1m
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-625.3m
USD
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Operating Income
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256.8m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-129.9m
USD
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Net Income
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126.9m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Shift4 Payments Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q3, Shift4 recorded a 56% increase in total volume to $43 billion and a 50% rise in gross revenue to $365 million. The adjusted EBITDA of $187 million indicated a 51.3% margin, driven by gains in hospitality and sports sectors. They revised 2024 guidance, projecting end-to-end volume of $164-$166 billion, representing a 50%-52% increase, and gross revenue of $1.35-$1.36 billion, a 44%-45% rise. The acquisition of Givex is expected to add 130,000 customers and potentially boost revenues. Shift4 remains focused on increasing operational efficiency amidst softening consumer spending in some verticals.
What is Earnings Call?
FOUR Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Shift4 Payments Inc's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Shift4 Payments Inc's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
FOUR Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Shift4 Payments Inc's solvency score is 47/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Shift4 Payments Inc's solvency score is 47/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
FOUR Price Targets Summary
Shift4 Payments Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FOUR is 112.12 USD with a low forecast of 70.7 USD and a high forecast of 132.3 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for FOUR is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
FOUR Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Description
Shift4 Payments, Inc. is an independent provider of payment acceptance and payment processing technology solutions in the U.S. based on total volume of payments processed. The company is headquartered in Allentown, Pennsylvania and currently employs 1,732 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2020-06-05. The Company’s payment platform provides omni-channel card acceptance and processing solutions, including end-to-end payment processing for a broad range of payment types, merchant acquiring, omni-channel gateway, software integrations, integrated and mobile point of sale (POS) solutions, security and risk management solutions, and reporting and analytical tools. Its technology solutions include VenueNext, Shift4Shop, Lighthouse, SkyTab Integrated Point-of-Sale (iPOS), Mobile POS and Marketplace. Its Lighthouse offers cloud-based suite of business intelligence tools, which includes customer engagement, social media management, online reputation management, scheduling and product pricing, as well as reporting and analytics. Its SkyTab iPOS provides purpose-built POS workstations pre-loaded with software suites and integrated payment functionality.
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The intrinsic value of one FOUR stock under the Base Case scenario is 126.89 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 109.78 USD, Shift4 Payments Inc is Undervalued by 13%.